Supportandresistancezones
NZDUSD crosses 200-EMA within bearish channel despite RBNZ inactNZDUSD jumps to a three-week high while piercing the 200-EMA even as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) refrains from lifting interest rates for the first time since October 2021. It’s worth noting, however, that the Kiwi pair remains within a five-month-old bearish channel while approaching the immediate hurdle, namely the previous monthly high of around 0.6250. Should the quote manage to remain firmer past 0.6250, the stated channel’s top line, close to 0.6290, quickly followed by the 0.6300 round figure, will be crucial to watch as a clear break of the same won’t hesitate to challenge the yearly peak marked in February around 0.6540.
On the flip side, a daily closing beneath the 200-EMA, around 0.6220 at the latest, can trigger NZDUSD pullback toward the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of October 2022 to February 2023 run-up, near 0.6150. Following that, a six-week-old rising support line surrounding 0.6085 and the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of near 0.6030 can test the Kiwi pair sellers. In a case where the quote remains weak past 0.6030, the 0.6000 psychological magnet precedes the stated channel’s bottom line, near 0.5930, to act as the last defense of the buyers.
Overall, NZDUSD shrugs off RBNZ’s status quo and is on the way to challenging the bearish chart pattern.
GBPUSD renews multi-month high near 1.2900GBPUSD printed the first weekly gain in three after the US Dollar’s fall post-NFP. Following that, the Cable pair crossed the 1.2850 resistance, as well as defy the bearish triangle to rise to the highest level since April 2022. It’s worth noting that the bearish RSI divergence, where the price made a higher high but the indicator marked a lower high, suggests a lack of bullish momentum. However, the sellers need to confirm the bearish triangle break by slipping beneath the 1.2680 support, as well as witness downbeat UK employment data. Following that, the early June swing high of around 1.2550, the 100-DMA level near 1.2420 and May’s low near 1.2310 can act as intermediate halts before directing the quote toward the theoretical target of the bearish triangle, namely the 1.2140 level.
Meanwhile, a clear upside break of the 1.2850 hurdle on the daily closing basis becomes necessary for the GBPUSD upside toward the 1.3000 psychological magnet. It should be noted that the UK employment report needs to back the upside break of 1.2850 to keep the Pound Sterling buyers hopeful. Following that, a slew of supports and resistances marked between December 2021 and April 2021 highlight the 1.3150-60 region as the key challenge for the pair buyers.
Overall, GBPUSD is likely to return to the bear’s radar after a few weeks of absence. Though, the fundamentals need to back the Cable sellers.
Hindustan Unilever Strong BreakoutBased on my analysis of the daily timeframe chart of Hindustan Unilever, it appears that the stock has recently broken out above a strong resistance zone that has been tested multiple times. This presents a potentially good opportunity for a swing trade.
For entry, I recommend going long at the open of the next candle. However, it is prudent to enter with only half of the desired position size initially, as many breakouts tend to fail. If the price pulls back to the flip zone and finds support before resuming its upward movement, we can add the remaining half of the position size. It is worth noting that sometimes the price does not pull back, which is why we are entering the trade with only half of the desired position size right after breakout.
Regarding the stop loss, I suggest placing it below the resistance zone with a buffer to mitigate the risk of getting stopped out too early.
As for the target, I recommend aiming for a 1:3 risk to reward ratio. This means that for every unit of risk taken (i.e., the distance between the entry point and the stop loss), we are targeting three units of potential profit.
Thank you for reading this post. If you found it helpful, please consider giving it a like and following me for more trading insights and market analysis in the future.
BANKNIFTY : (PIVOT AUCTION CHART) Hey Pivster's
NSE:BANKNIFTY having a beautiful and smooth weekly pivot auction chart where you can see the "support" (WH3-MH3 zone) turned into "resistance" alongside the Weekly Bearish GPZ setup.
A brief synopsis for BankNifty:
-> We see a gap-up opening in the month of July'2023 with the first 30m candle close above WH3 and MH3 zone.
-> After making a swing high of 45353.20 it goes to dip and retest the WH3-MH3 zone (responsive players zone) where BNF takes a clean initial support by making a swing low as 45000.25 (round number) but does not breaks 45000.
-> BNF proceeds with the strength of daily intraday pivot based initiative players and a wild move happens in 2nd trading session of the month on 4th July,2023 where the price travels upside to mark a swing high 45655.50 which basically is above the MH4-WH4 zone (initiative players zone) but crisply closes within the zone and immediately a long sellers candle can be in the following 30min candle.
-> We see a responsive ranged based move for next 2 trading sessions (Check the Mother Candle of 5th July, 2023).
-> And as much needed breakout/breakdown on the last trading session of the previous week i.e. 7th July, 2023 we get a gap down opening which takes support from the marked zone and also 2D mother candle low.
-> Comes the awaited breakdown with a clean price-action as follows-
* Breakdown of Intraday 30min ORB range
* Breakdown of WH3-MH3 zone marking a comeback of broader responsive players
* Breakdown of 2D Mother Candle range
And, as we see price now travels to the 'GAP-UP ZONE' which was created on the starting of the July month.
-> What happens today must now be very clear and fun to interpret as per the pivot auction theory which is as follow -
* Price pushed to gap up opening towards the WH3-MH3 zone which is beautifully in confluence with the 'Daily Bearish GPZ'
* As we expect the support turns resistance and we see a ORB (30min) breakdown in the second half.
I hope you enjoyed the read time for the BNF synopsis and hopefully take home a lot of things, factors and situations to your learning desk and sharp mind which is powerful enough to decode every problem.
MORAL - Stock Market is EASY, but not SIMPLE :)
If you thought this was helpful to you then share the same with your fellow traders / friends / family etc.....
Regards,
Mukkull
AUDUSD retreats from 0.6700 as China inflation easesAUDUSD consolidates the first weekly gain in three as softer inflation numbers from the biggest customers, namely China, drag the quote from a fortnight-old falling resistance line, around the 0.6700 round figure. The pullback move also retreats as the RSI eases from the overbought territory, which in turn suggests the Aussie pair’s further weakness towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of May-Jun upside, near 0.6630. However, a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since June 01, close to 0.6585-95, appears a tough nut to crack for the bears. In a case where the sellers dominate past 0.6585, the odds of witnessing a slump toward the late May swing low of around 0.6458 can’t be ruled out.
Meanwhile, the aforementioned two-week-long descending resistance line around 0.6700 guards the immediate upside of the AUDUSD pair ahead of the 100-SMA hurdle surrounding 0.6715. Following that, the late June high of near 0.6720 and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of near 0.6800 can challenge the risk-barometer pair’s upside before directing the bulls toward the previous monthly high of around 0.6900.
Overall, AUDUSD’s previous weekly gain appears a one-off affair unless the US inflation signals keep softening.
TVs motors trade ideaTVs Motors CMP 1054
Points to observed
1. Trending in downward 👇 channel
2.recent action price bounce from low
3. Rejection zone last time 1055-1053
4.sustains above mentioned price is bullish development
Till 1037 is saved
Learning part Here 😉
1. CHANNEL price movement
2. Repeated price action bounce or rejected
3.also Flip zone reaction around 1055
Hope 🙏 ita Learning for all there
#Ibulhsgfin cash : Looks good in dips 116-122#Ibulhsg fin Cash -Positional
05.07.2023
Buy in dips at 116-122
Stoploss 105
Target 155-160 in 4-6 months
Cmp 130.50
(Wait for buying opportunity)
Bajaj Finserv DoubleBottom RSIDivergenceBajaj Finserv has formed a Double Bottom pattern, while RSI is making higher lows which is clear sign of RSI Bullish Divergence.
Entry:
We can go long on open of next candle.
Stoploss: (Never trade without a stoploss)
We can keep stoploss below the double bottom support zone.
Target:
We can keep the Target 1 & Target 2 near the next resistance zones as marked on chart.
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Falling wedge highlights EURUSD as markets await FOMC MinutesEURUSD pares weekly losses within a fortnight-long falling wedge bullish chart formation ahead of Fed Minutes. The major currency pair’s rebound appears more interesting as it stays beyond the 200-EMA amid a steady RSI (14) line, suggesting further upside. However, the Euro bulls need to carve out the 1.0920 hurdle to confirm the bullish pattern pointing towards the theoretical target of 1.1100. However, the late June high of around 1.1010 and the yearly peak of around 1.1095 may act as an intermediate halt during the anticipated rise.
Meanwhile, a downside break of the 200-EMA, around 1.0865 at the latest, will direct the EURUSD bears toward confronting the 1.0835-30 support confluence comprising the stated wedge’s bottom line and an ascending trend line from late May. It’s worth noting that a clear downside break of 1.0830 will make the Euro pair vulnerable to testing the early June swing high of around 1.0780. Additionally, the quote’s weakness past 1.0780 could direct it to the previous monthly low of near 1.0660.
Overall, the EURUSD pair is likely preparing for a bullish move but the upside needs to cross the 1.0920 resistance and gain support from the dovish Fed Minutes to convince the buyers.
Nifty near to its Reverse pointAs a usual concept, a demand zone is shown.
So if NIFTY reverse from the 50% retraced line, expected targets are shown.
If not reversed, it may go till 61.8% and possible to reverse.
If it moves below the 61.8% line, possible to continue the down trend.
(Note that present RSI is 40.08, which is not actually gives a reverse sign.)
Disclaimer: As usual, it is not a recommendation.