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Gold : More room for correction/ DeclineSo finally gold entered into correction phase and seems like there is more room for decline in this correction cycle : Today CPR is descending and the last day candle is a good bearish candle and as discussed in yesterdays update the area around 2620-30 is a support zone with high volume and price is currently tested this zone and bouncing on Intra day but in Higher side we have descending CPR + Dynamic Trend Line resistance + FIB Resistance zone (2655-2662 for current cycle till last day), so under these resistance we can still look for sell opportunities towards weekly S1(2616) or low near 2600. Currently I am watching chart on FXCM data feed and there maybe difference in levels that I am sharing : Let me know in if you see some changes /difference.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
How to Draw Support and Resistance Like a Pro! Support and Resistance are one of the most important aspects of technical analysis but often I see traders doing it wrongly. How to Draw Support and Resistance: Imagine you have a chart filled with SR like the one below. Do you know which levels to pay attention to? When you’re about to start, how to plot support and resistance lines? It’s filled with nothing but lines and it doesn’t seem to make much meaning of the chart at all. nah My approach to drawing Support and Resistance uses either 1 line or 2 lines. It is much cleaner and immediately tells you which area of the chart to pay attention to. I use a single line when price respect a level almost to the pip and i use 2 lines when price bounces off an area. I highlight only the key Support and Resistance of a chart meaning the obvious swing highs and lows. The intermediate SR i will not draw any lines so as to maintain my focus on the key areas. Besides, with enough screen time you can easily identify those intermediate Support and Resistance without any lines. real world… You must keep in mind of the R.S.M. formula. These three things stands for: Reaction Setup Management Now take notes because this is important… Reaction Here’s the truth: Drawing support and resistance lines aren’t the holy grail.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by EmpireCrown
EXIDEIND Support & Resistance #EXIDEIND Trend: Strong uptrend from January to June 2024, followed by a corrective phase. Currently consolidating with signs of a potential reversal. Chart Pattern: Double Bottom pattern with a breakout above ₹490, signaling a possible trend reversal. Candlestick: Strong bullish candle today (+5.42%) with no upper wick, indicating strong buying pressure. Price Action: Support found at 460. Breakout above ₹490 shows buyer strength and momentum. Volume: Significant volume spike (13.69M), confirming the breakout strength. Buy Entry: Consider buying around ₹490-500 for potential upside. Stop Loss: Set a stop loss below 460 (key support level). Target: Initial target around 540, with potential to reach *580-1600 if momentum continues.
NSE:EXIDEINDLong
by SkyTradingZone
Bitcoin: BTCUSD tests 7-Week uptrend as September wraps upAfter three weeks of gains, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) kicks off the NFP week on a down note. It’s testing the 50-SMA support and approaching the lower end of its seven-week uptrend. Along with the US employment report for September, including the key Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), Monday's speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will be crucial for market watchers. Stay tuned! Buyers are struggling to gain traction, while sellers are still holding back Whether it's pre-event nerves or month-end consolidation, Bitcoin buyers are struggling to gain market acceptance as the key week begins. Bearish MACD signals and the price's inability to hold above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement from July to August are tempting short-term sellers. However, a quick drop in the RSI (14) and strong support levels below make it tough for bears to regain control. Technical levels to watch In the short term, the bottom of the bullish channel around $64,050 is a key support level for potential sellers. Below that, the 200-SMA near the $60,000 mark acts as the last line of defense for buyers. If Bitcoin (BTCUSD) falls below $60,000, a gradual decline toward the monthly low around $52,500 could be on the horizon. For a rebound, Bitcoin needs to break past the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at about $65,650. If successful, the monthly high of $66,500 and the upper boundary of the bullish channel around $68,900 will attract buyers. If Bitcoin moves past $68,900, it could quickly surpass $70,000 and aim for the yearly high of around $73,800 set in March. Pullback in prices expected Looking ahead, a potential bounce in the US Dollar and some price consolidation could lead to a pullback in BTCUSD. However, the overall bullish trend is likely to continue.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by MTradingGlobal
Gold approaches key upside hurdle ahead of US PCE InflationAfter hitting an all-time high, gold prices are losing momentum as buyers await the US September Core PCE Price Index, the Fed's favorite measure of inflation. Bulls may slow down, but are still in the game On Thursday, FOMC Chair Jerome Powell's reluctance to discuss monetary policy joined the market’s dovish bets on the US central bank to propel the Gold price, especially amid the rush for a haven amid uncertain markets. Technically, the bullish MACD signals add strength to the upside bias for the precious metal. However, the overbought RSI (14) and nearness to an upward-sloping resistance line from December 2023, close to $2,695 at the latest, challenge the bullion’s further advances. Technical levels to watch With the overbought RSI indicating a $2,695 hurdle for gold buyers, the $2,700 level serves as an additional barrier to monitor for better trading opportunities. Beyond that, a potential surge toward the 100% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of February-June moves, near $2,757, can’t be ruled out. Gold sellers should watch for a clear break below the four-month resistance line at $2,620. If this occurs, the 61.8% and 50% Fibonacci Extension levels around $2,578 and $2,522 could draw in bears. Key targets below $2,522 include $2,467 and $2,399. That said, a break below the convergence of the 200-SMA and a year-long support line at $2,288 could signal a trend change for traders. What next? A positive surprise from the US Core PCE Price Index could spark the anticipated pullback in gold prices. However, the dovish Fed stance and strong technical support may prevent XAUUSD bears from gaining control.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD: Bulls need validation from 1.1200 and Fed Chair PowellEURUSD is gaining support after falling from a 14-month high, as buyers wait for comments from US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. Upside remains favored The EURUSD pair is holding above a two-week rising support line and the 200-SMA, along with an upward trend line from late June, which keeps buyers optimistic. The steady RSI (14) also indicates a slow upward movement. Technical levels to watch Even with key support levels helping the EURUSD pair and the RSI suggesting an upward trend, the bulls may struggle to break through the horizontal resistance around 1.1200. If they succeed, the next targets could be the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci Extensions (FE) of the pair’s August-September moves, respectively near 1.1215 and 1.1265. The previous yearly high around 1.1275 is a crucial point for the bears; if that breaks, prices could reach the 2022 peak of 1.1495. Meanwhile, EURUSD sellers should look for a clear drop below the immediate rising support line around 1.1125 to enter the market. However, the 200-SMA and a three-month trend line near 1.1080 and 1.0950 will be important obstacles for sellers. If the price stays below 1.0950, it could fall further toward the previous monthly low of 1.0780. Charts, Powell in the spotlight Along with the technical factors, comments from Fed Chair Powell will be important for EURUSD bulls. The recent rise is driven by market expectations of two more 0.50% rate cuts from the US central bank in 2024. If Powell dismisses these expectations, which seems unlikely, a downward reversal in Euro prices could happen.
by MTradingGlobal
1
The Growing Attraction in a Volatile WorldThe gold price chart shows a clear upward trend since the beginning of September, with the EMA 34 and EMA 89 both signaling a strong upward momentum. The weakening of the USD, along with global economic stimulus measures and political tensions, have pushed gold prices higher. Especially in the context of major central banks around the world - from the US to Europe, and the People's Bank of China - all spreading monetary support packages like spring rain, further fueling the desire to invest in gold. Gold remains a safe haven and attractive asset in the current unstable context. Investors need to closely monitor market developments to seize opportunities and adjust strategies promptly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Alexander_FXTrading
Gold Price Analysis September 25Fundamental Analysis Gold rose to a fresh record high of $2,670 an ounce on Wednesday after a surprise drop in U.S. consumer confidence data on Tuesday raised expectations of more aggressive policy easing and deeper interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. Lower interest rates are good for gold because they reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing assets, making it more attractive to investors. The People's Bank of China's biggest stimulus move since the Covid pandemic announced on Tuesday, which included steep cuts in borrowing costs as part of a package of measures to revive the slumping economy, also supported gold prices. Escalating tensions in the Middle East after Israel resumed bombing Hezbollah targets in Lebanon further boosted safe-haven flows into the yellow metal. Technical Analysis Gold is sideways in a narrow range and waiting for clear buying and selling forces at the support level of 2650 to see how the price reacts when the US session enters. If it cannot break through 2650, a new ATH can be established today. Pay attention to the resistance zones at the top of 2670-2680 and see the price reaction in this zone to SELL. Important support is at the 2640 zone Trading signals BUY GOLD zone 2650 SL 2645 BUY GOLD zone 2640 SL 2635 SELL GOLD zone 2670 SL 2675 SELL GOLD zone 2680 SL 2685
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
EMAs Support Bullish MomentumEUR/USD is showing signs of recovery, with the price trading near the resistance at 1.1200. The 34 EMA and 89 EMA have both undergone a crossover phase, which is usually a positive signal, suggesting that the bullish momentum could continue. The current chart shows the pair breaking out from lower levels, heading towards the resistance levels above. Based on the current EUR/USD chart and the bounce from recent support levels, the prediction is that the pair could continue to rise in the short term. The crossover of the 34 EMA and 89 EMA, coupled with the price currently testing the resistance zone around 1.1200, suggests that the bullish momentum could continue. If the price successfully breaks above 1.1200, the next target could be the 1.1250 area.
by Alexander_FXTrading
GBPUSD: Overbought RSI, key resistance test buyersGBPUSD bulls are pausing at their highest level since February 2020, marking six days of gains despite a slow market atmosphere. That said, the Pound Sterling is facing a liquidity squeeze as we approach key data and events this week, which could impact its upward momentum at these multi-month highs. Pullback appears imminent but bulls can keep the reins Apart from the market’s anxiety ahead of this week’s key catalysts, the overbought RSI (14) line and a 10-week-old ascending resistance line, close to 1.3430 at the latest, suggest consolidation in the GBPUSD prices. Important technical levels A pullback in GBPUSD seems likely, with key short-term support levels at the 61.8% and 50.0% Fibonacci extensions of the quote’s August-September moves, respectively near 1.3375 and 1.3300. However, the previous monthly high near 1.3265 and the 21-SMA at 1.3190 are important, as they align with the bottom of a bearish wedge pattern near 1.3140, which could act as a final defense for buyers. On the flip side, for buyers to regain control, they need to break through the 1.3440 resistance. If they succeed, GBPUSD could target the February 2022 peak of around 1.3645 and the 2022 high of 1.3748. A sustained move above 1.3750 could even lead to a challenge of the psychological level at 1.4000. All eyes on US data/events Technical indicators for GBPUSD suggest a pullback may be on the horizon, even as recent U.S. factors favor ongoing Federal Reserve rate cuts throughout 2024. Therefore, key insights from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech on Thursday and the U.S. Core PCE Price Index— the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation—on Friday will be vital for determining the market's direction.
by MTradingGlobal
Catching the Uptrend Amid Expectations of Interest Rate CutsIn the context of the global economy witnessing major adjustments from central banks, gold prices continued to experience a spectacular week of price increases, reaching a new record high. The main reasons were the weak dollar and the continuous decline in US Treasury bond yields, combined with the tense geopolitical situation between Israel and Hezbollah. At the end of the trading session on September 23 at Kitco, gold recorded a price of 2,625.00 USD/ounce, slightly up 3.60 USD. The market is waiting for new signals from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this week, especially the upcoming speech of Chairman Jerome Powell, along with the announcement of PCE price index data, an inflation measure that the Fed is particularly interested in. Technical analysis from the current chart shows that gold is trading right at a key resistance level, with a strong upside momentum supported by the 34 EMA and 89 EMA, which are acting as key support levels. Given the current economic and geopolitical factors, gold could continue its upward momentum if the upcoming monetary policy meetings of the Fed and other central banks yield further monetary easing decisions. Further rate cuts could further strengthen the buying interest in gold as a safe-haven asset. If gold breaks the current resistance level, the next target could be around $2,700/oz. In case the price falls below the supporting EMAs, one needs to keep a close eye on the support level at $2,560/oz, which could provide an ideal entry point for long positions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Alexander_FXTrading
20% upside possible in TATA Group (FMCG) Stock in short termHello i hope you all will be doing good in your life and your trading as well, today i have brought a stock which is belongs from TATA Group and stock in from FMCG sector. Stock is forming narrow Contractions which comes in volume contraction Pattern. Soon stock can give breakout of the zones which i have marked above in chart. Stock is good to go as positionally for short term to medium term. I will explain about this VCP method in next paragraph. The Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) is a technical chart pattern used in stock trading to help identify potential buying opportunities and market breakouts. It's based on the idea that a period of low volatility is likely to follow a prolonged consolidation phase. What it is? A chart pattern that indicates a stock is preparing for a breakout. How it works? A price consolidation phase, where the price moves within a narrow range, followed by a breakout or breakdown. Characteristics? A series of smaller contractions, each tighter than the last, ideally with 2-4 contractions. How it's created? A supply and demand characteristic, created by institutions accumulating within a base. How it's used? To identify potential entry points for trades. Note:- I have taken help of Google to explain about this pattern. Tata Consumer Products Ltd. is one of the leading companies of the Tata Group, with presence in the food and beverages business in India and internationally. It is the second largest tea company globally and has significant market presence and leadership in many markets. In addition to South Asia (mainly India), it has presence in various other geographies including Canada, UK, North America, Australia, Europe, Middle East and Africa. Market Cap ₹ 1,20,297 Cr. Current Price ₹ 1,216 High / Low ₹ 1,254 / 844 Stock P/E 90.6 Book Value ₹ 162 Dividend Yield 0.64 % ROCE 10.6 % ROE 8.32 % Face Value ₹ 1.00 Industry PE 30.1 Debt ₹ 3,477 Cr. EPS ₹ 11.5 Promoter holding 33.8 % Intrinsic Value ₹ 188 Pledged percentage 0.00 % EVEBITDA 46.1 Change in Prom Hold 0.29 % Profit Var 5Yrs 27.0 % Sales growth 5Years 16.0 % Return over 5years 34.4 % Debt to equity 0.22 Net profit ₹ 1,167 Cr. ROE 5Yr 6.83 % Profit growth 15.9 % Earnings yield 1.81 % PEG Ratio 3.36 Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades. Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's. Thankyou.
NSE:TATACONSUMLong
by TraderRahulPal
4
Historic Turning Point: Gold Takes New HighGold has continued to rally, hitting new highs on the back of the Fed’s rate cut, which has weakened the US dollar and lowered bond yields. Gold is currently trading at $2,625.00, up slightly by 0.14%. Markets are expecting another rate cut by the Fed later this year, which continues to support gold prices. Technically, gold is currently above both the 34-EMA and 89-EMA, indicating a clear bullish bias. Traders should keep an eye on the next resistance level at $2,630. A successful break above this level could pave the way for further gains. However, if a correction occurs, the key support level to watch is $2,590. A pullback could be an opportunity for investors to buy, especially if the fundamentals remain bullish.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Alexander_FXTrading
USDJPY: Bears have strong reasons to regain controlAs Yen traders return from a long weekend, the USDJPY is testing its recent dip from a five-week-old downward resistance line, influenced by a rebound in the US Dollar. It’s worth noting that the quote’s recovery in the last week benefited from positive signals from the RSI and MACD indicators, bouncing back from a nine-month horizontal support zone. Sellers keep the reins While USDJPY buyers are making their presence felt, a bearish RSI divergence and a moving average crossover, combined with the resistance line, keep sellers optimistic about potential downward moves. The 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) has crossed below the 200-EMA, signaling a bearish trend. Additionally, the higher high on the indicator contrasts with the lower high in prices, reinforcing the bearish RSI divergence. Key technical levels to watch Sellers will gain confidence if USDJPY breaks below a seven-week horizontal support area around 141.70-80. However, the lows from December 2023 and September 2024 pose a challenge for bears at 140.20-139.60. If the pair drops below 139.60, it could test the mid-2023 low near 137.30. On the flip side, buyers will initially target the falling resistance line around 144.25. If successful, they may then aim for the monthly high and late August peak near 147.20 and 149.40, respectively. Additionally, the 150.00 level acts as an important barrier for any upward movement. Bulls face more challenges than bears Whether through technical signals or the differing monetary policies of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the US Federal Reserve (Fed), USDJPY sellers face a relatively smoother journey compared to buyers.
by MTradingGlobal
#banknifty - 24th September !Support and resistance are key concepts in technical analysis used to identify potential price levels where assets may reverse or stall. Support: -Definition: A support level is a price point where buying interest is strong enough to overcome selling pressure, preventing the price from falling further. - Indicators: Support levels can be identified through historical price data, trend lines, or moving averages. - Behavior: When a price approaches support, it may bounce back up. If broken, it can become a new resistance level. Resistance: - Definition: A resistance level is a price point where selling interest is strong enough to overcome buying pressure, preventing the price from rising further. - Indicators: Similar to support, resistance levels can be identified through past price action, trend lines, or moving averages. - Behavior: When the price approaches resistance, it may retreat. If broken, it can turn into a new support level. Importance: - Trade Decisions: Traders use these levels to make buy or sell decisions, set stop-loss orders, and identify potential profit targets. - Market Psychology: Support and resistance levels reflect market sentiment and the balance between supply and demand. Understanding these concepts can enhance trading strategies and improve decision-making.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by thetradeforecast
Bullish Harami candlestick Pattern Seen near support zoneHello Everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your trading and your life as well. I have brought a stock which has taken support near to important support zone and has formed bullish Harami (Pregnant Lady) candlestick pattern. Nifty is highly bullish so all the stocks giving participation in the rally, BPCL just have started. Behalf of this Harami candlestick pattern stock can react and take support in this zone and price can move upward from here. All the Targets, entry levels and the Stop loss has already mention on chart above. Please go through to know that. First let's discuss about this Bulish Harami Candlestick Pattern. Bullish Harami candlestick pattern is a price chart pattern that signals trend reversals in an ongoing bear market. Bullish Harami candlestick pattern is a two candlestick pattern in which there is a long bearish candlestick and small bullish candlestick pattern. About Bharat Petroleum Corporation is a public sector company which is engaged in the business of refining of crude oil and marketing of petroleum products. Presence Across Value Chain Retail (Petroleum) - The company owns 82 retail depots and operates ~20,000 retail outlets across India. Presently, it has a market share of ~26% in the domestic petroleum market. LPG - The company owns and operates 54 LPG bottling plants and serves over 6,200 distributors of LPG in India. It has a base of ~9 crore customers with a market share of 27%. Industrial/ Commercial - The company serves 8,000+ customers and provides them with a reliable supply of industrial and commercial petroleum products. Aviation - The company has 56 aviation service stations across airports in India and has a 21% market share in ATF (Aviation Turbine Fuel) in the domestic market. Lubricants - The company sells more than 400 grades of lubricant products through its own brand MAK Lubricants. It has a market share of ~25% through a base of over 18,000 customers. Gas - The company has a customer base of 55+ major LNG customers. The company undertakes this business through its wholly owned subsidiary Bharat Gas Resources Ltd which has business interest in 50 GAs (geographical areas). Market Cap ₹ 1,46,685 Cr. Current Price ₹ 338 High / Low ₹ 367 / 166 Stock P/E 7.53 Book Value ₹ 174 Dividend Yield 6.21 % ROCE 32.1 % ROE 41.9 % Face Value ₹ 10.0 Industry PE 10.4 Debt ₹ 54,599 Cr. EPS ₹ 43.9 Promoter holding 53.0 % Intrinsic Value ₹ 352 Pledged percentage 0.00 % EVEBITDA 5.25 Change in Prom Hold 0.00 % Profit Var 5Yrs 28.2 % Sales growth 5Years 8.48 % Return over 5years 7.77 % Debt to equity 0.72 Net profit ₹ 19,056 Cr. ROE 5Yr 23.0 % Profit growth -2.86 % Earnings yield 15.5 % PEG Ratio 0.27 Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades. Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's. Thankyou.
NSE:BPCLLong
by TraderRahulPal
4
Bitcoin: BTCUSD pierces 200-SMA, but buyers face challengesBitcoin (BTC) has climbed to its highest level in a month, crossing the important 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) early Monday. This rise continues a two-week upward trend, supported by a weaker US Dollar. However, traders are feeling cautious as they prepare for a big week ahead, which includes the preliminary PMIs for September, Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. Bulls gain acceptance Despite hesitance due to upcoming data, Bitcoin buyers are gaining confidence after crossing the key moving average. Positive MACD signals, a strong RSI, and a successful rebound from a two-week rising support line are pushing back against bearish sentiment for the cryptocurrency pair. Key technical levels to watch As Bitcoin buyers gain strength, they must overcome a horizontal resistance zone around $65,100–$65,400. If they succeed, the next challenge will be a downward trend line from mid-March, currently near $68,500, before they can aim for the yearly high of about $73,800. Notably, the $70,000 and $72,000 levels will serve as additional hurdles. Conversely, sellers need to break below the 200-day moving average at around $63,900 to take control. However, they will face challenges at the rising support line near $61,000 and the psychological level of $60,000. If they manage to push lower, they might target $57,000 initially, followed by a monthly low of around $52,550. Poised for short-term strength With strong technical signals and a generally weaker US Dollar boosting trader confidence, Bitcoin (BTC) prices are expected to stay solid in the short term. However, a series of resistance levels may challenge the bulls along the way.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by MTradingGlobal