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A year-long rounding bottom pattern on M_MFINThe key for traders is to watch for a confirmed breakout of the rounding bottom, ideally with high volume. If no immediate breakout happens and a pullback occurs, traders should stay alert for the formation of a cup and handle, which could signal an even stronger continuation of the bullish trend. Both outcomes—whether a breakout or the formation of a cup and handle—are bullish signals, but understanding the pattern fully can help traders position themselves more effectively.
NSE:M_MFIN
by TradePatternsLikePro
Bullish Bottom Triangle - Paisalo Digital LtdA bullish "Bottom Triangle" chart pattern on Paisalo Digital Ltd ( NSE:PAISALO ). This pattern suggests a potential upward movement in the stock price from its current close of 73.45 to a target range of 83.00 - 87.00. A Bottom Triangle pattern typically forms over a period of uncertainty or consolidation, characterized by two converging trendlines as prices reach lower highs and higher lows. During this period, trading volume tends to diminish as the price fluctuates within a narrowing range, indicating market indecision. However, before the triangle reaches its apex, the price breaks above the upper trendline with a notable increase in volume, confirming the bullish reversal of the prior downtrend. This pattern suggests that the stock price may have reached a bottom and is poised for an upward movement. Traders and investors may interpret this as an opportunity to consider buying positions in anticipation of a potential price increase within the indicated target range. It's important to note that while technical analysis patterns can provide valuable insights, they are not guaranteed predictors of future price movements. Therefore, investors should conduct thorough research and consider other factors such as fundamental analysis and market conditions before making any trading decisions. PLEASE NOTE THAT: This chart analysis is only for reference purpose. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade
NSE:PAISALO
by hardeepssethi
EUR/USD: A Third Wave of an Impulse in Sight Analysis The advance from Oct. 03, 2023 low of 1.0448 to 1.1140 subdivides into five waves. This wave pattern is significant because impulse waves identify the direction of the dominant trend. Thus the five wave advance implies further buying to come that would take prices above 1.1140 as wave 3. The subsequent decline in EUR/USD is developing in three waves; Double Zigzag correction labelled ((w))-((x))-((y)) with wave ((y) in progress, supports this analysis. Counter trend price action typically consists of three waves, it's slow, choppy and often contained within parallel lines. The depth of corrective wave guideline suggests that corrections tend to register their maximum retracement within the span of travel of the previous fourth wave of one lesser degree, most often ending near its terminus. More over, in ratio relationships, sharp corrections tend more frequently to retrace 61.8% of the previous wave particularly when they occur as wave 2 of an Impulse or wave B in a larger Zigzag. Observe that this level is near the previous fourth wave of one lesser degree. Within wave 2, wave ((y)) = 0.618 X ((w)) at 1.0701. Observe that this level is near the previous guidelines. All this evidence virtually suggest that a bottom is at hand and a reversal could be around the corner. Trade Plan Entry: Buy at Market Price Protective Stop: 1.0448;in an Impulse wave 2 CAN NEVER retrace 100% of wave 1. Target: 1120 pips; in an Impulse the third wave commonly travels 1.618 times the gain of the first as in; wave 1 = 692 pips (1.1140-1.0448), wave 3 = (1.618 X 692) Risk-Reward: 1:3
Long
by Aquanet_Market_Forecast
2
AUDJPY: Ending Diagonal Pattern; A Reversal on the Horizon.The advance from Mar 24, 2023 low of 86.06 subdivides into five waves. Notice that this price action contains overlapping waves that contract and form a wedge shape. That is the emblem of an ending diagonal which cues a swift and dramatic reversal on the horizon. According to Elliott Wave guideline, the expected reversal is projected to reach at least the point where the diagonal initiation occurred, and potentially extend beyond. In this instance, the relevant level is identified by the conclusion of wave ((b)) at 86.06. A salient attribute of ending diagonal is that all initial subwaves form either a single or multiple zigzag patterns. Waves (i), (iii), (iv) and (v) appear to be single zigzags, while wave (ii) is a double zigzag. Wave (v) often makes a throw-over (a brief break beyond the trendline connecting waves (i) and (iii) ). A throw-over suggests a diagonal has finished. Once price action pushes below the trendline connecting waves (ii) and (iv), we would have compelling proof that the diagonal has ended. The next event should be a swift move to at least 86.06 and probably beyond. The wave count is not the sole basis for considering a short position. Beyond what is illustrated, there has been a divergence in prices and MACD since June 16, 2023, suggesting a diminishing upward momentum and indicating a weakening uptrend. Despite new highs in prices on November 16, 2023 and February 21, 2024, MACD did not follow suit. This bearish divergence frequently foreshadows a potential downturn in prices. (Insert MACD on your chart and draw a trendline connecting the highs) Trading Plan Entry: Sell above wave (iii) high. Protective Stop: 100.95; the price level at which wave (v) would be longer than wave (iii), which would render our diagonal scenario invalid. As a rule, within a contracting ending diagonal, wave three is always shorter than wave one, and wave five is always shorter than wave three. Target: 86.06 and below Risk-Reward: 1:5
Short
by Aquanet_Market_Forecast
HINDOILEXP: opportunity for steep rise.🔍 Technical Analysis Update for NSE:HINDOILEXP - Week Starting January 23, 2024 📊 Current Status: The stock closed at a high of ₹186.85 on the last trading day. It has been range-bound since August 2023 but recently breached a six-month high before closing just below it. 📈 Entry Point: Consider entering the trade if the price crosses and sustains above ₹189.80 in the next day or two. This could signal the start of a bullish trend. 🎯 Target: The first target is set at ₹196.40. 🛑 Stop Loss: A key stop loss point is at ₹172.85, aligning with a critical Fibonacci level of 0.5 at ₹172.75. This acts as a strong support level. 💹 Key Indicators: Volume: Increasing volume supports the potential bullish trend. Percentage R: Positioned at the upper band, indicating bullishness. Stochastic RSI: A buying crossover has occurred in an oversold situation, further supporting bullish prospects. 🚦 Overall Outlook: The stock is showing signs of breaking out of its long-term range with increasing volume and positive technical indicators. Monitoring the stock's ability to maintain above ₹189.80 will be crucial for confirming the bullish trend. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions . 🔖 #HindustanOilExploration #StockAnalysis #BullishTrends #TradingStrategy #StockMarket #InvestmentTips 🌟 Stay informed and trade wisely! 🌟
NSE:HINDOILEXPLong
by finogent
7 Important Tips for Risk Management Hey everyone! While trading and investing offer the opportunity for profit, there is always the potential for loss. Here are a couple of time-tested tips to help you in understanding and managing your risk better. 📝 Develop a Trading Plan ─ Many traders jump into the market without a thorough understanding of how it works and what it takes to be successful. ─ You should have a detailed trading plan in place prior to engaging in any trades. ─ Your plan should include essential components such as the entry point, a strategically defined stop-loss level to mitigate potential losses, and target levels to define your anticipated profit points. ─ Having a well-structured plan equips you with a roadmap during stressful trading situations and ensures that your trades are consistently aligned with your risk tolerance threshold. ——————❌——————❌—————— 🧘‍♂️ Understand your Risk Tolerance ─ Risk is subjective. Different traders have different personalities and systems, hence a different risk tolerance. ─ Start with self-reflection: Begin by reflecting on your own attitudes, beliefs, and emotions towards risk. Consider how comfortable you are with the possibility of losing money, how patient you are with market fluctuations, and how much stress or anxiety you can handle when investments don't go as planned. Understanding your own psychological and emotional response to risk is crucial in determining your risk tolerance. ─ Consider your financial situation: Take into account your current financial situation, including your income, savings, debts, and expenses. A thorough understanding of your financial resources and obligations will help you gauge the amount of risk you can afford to take. ─ There is no “One-size-fits-all” approach . Find out what suits your needs based on your account size, age, long-term plan, and other key variables that are specifically unique to your circumstances. Then, implement it accordingly. ——————❌——————❌—————— 📚 Follow your Trading System ─ Develop a clear and comprehensive trading system that outlines your approach, rules, and criteria for entering and exiting trades. ─ A well-designed system provides structure and discipline, helping you avoid impulsive decisions driven by emotions or short-term market fluctuations. ─ A trading system is essential because it requires you to think deeply about your approach to markets before you begin risking real money. ─ Backtest and research your system: Validate the effectiveness of your trading system by backtesting it against historical market data. This allows you to assess its performance and identify any potential flaws or areas for improvement. Additionally, research and analyze your system under various market conditions to understand its adaptability and resilience. ─ Evaluate your system's performance in different scenarios: Simulate your system's performance in different market environments, including bear markets or periods of increased volatility. By assessing how your system would fare in adverse conditions, you can gauge its robustness and make necessary adjustments to enhance its overall effectiveness. ─ Some traders keep hopping strategies after a series of losses. This usually leads to more losses and is unproductive in the long term. ─ Stick to your system with a verifiable edge: If your trading system has been thoroughly tested, backtested, and proven to have an edge, have confidence in it and adhere to its rules consistently. Consistently following a system that has demonstrated positive expectancy over time increases your chances of generating consistent profits in the long run. ——————❌——————❌—————— 🚨 Use a Stop-Loss ─ A stop-loss order is an order that is placed at a predetermined price level and can help in limiting your losses if the trade goes against you. ─ In general, this predetermined price level is the level at which your trade idea gets invalidated. ─ A stop loss helps in protecting against emotional decision-making and allows you to maintain discipline in your trading system. Implementing a stop-loss order ensures that you have predefined risk parameters, allowing you to quantify and control your downside risk. ——————❌——————❌—————— ✂️ Manage your Position Size ─ Effectively managing your position size is crucial in mitigating risk and maximizing potential returns. ─ By carefully determining the appropriate position size, you can avoid excessive exposure in any single trade. ─ Trading is a game of probabilities. Hence, a trader should never put all his eggs in one basket and if he does, then he should be well aware of it. ——————❌——————❌—————— ❌ Don't Overtrade or Revenge Trade ─ Resist the temptation to overtrade or engage in revenge trading, even in the face of losses. Attempting to recover losses through higher-risk trades is never a good idea and can lead to even bigger losses. ─ It's easy to feel strong emotions while trading. However, making decisions based on emotions rather than rational analysis can be a recipe for disaster. ——————❌——————❌—————— 📔 Maintain a Trading Journal ─ A trading journal can help you in identifying the shortcomings in your trading. ─ By documenting your trades, you gain valuable insights into your strengths and weaknesses as a trader. Regularly reviewing and evaluating your journal allows you to identify patterns, mistakes, and areas for improvement. ─ This self-reflection enables you to fine-tune your strategies, refine your risk management techniques, and enhance your overall trading approach. ─ Moreover, a trading journal helps instil discipline and accountability by keeping a record of your trading actions and outcomes. It serves as a reference point for future analysis and learning, enabling you to continuously evolve as a trader. ——————❌——————❌—————— Thanks for reading! I hope you enjoyed this post. Please feel free to write any additional tips or pieces of advice in the comments section below! Trade safe. Be smart. I’ll see you in the next one. Cheers! Rajat Kumar Singh (@johntradingwick)
Editors' picks
NSE:ADANIENTEducation
by johntradingwick
3
Nifty: Nifty expiry Target of 17564 done for us!!!Nifty 17564 If you have been following me, Nifty has respected most of the levels identified with the help of Technical Analysis The yellow zone above 18000 has been drawn long back. You can check my previous post Thereafter, I have been suggesting this case: if Nifty starts trading below the blue line then probability is very strong for Nifty testing the red line. I had given a figure of Nifty closing below 17836-17854 odd levels could be a cue of Nifty testing 17564. We cannot time the market but when time comes we can sure make the most of it. I was expecting this test to happen on Thursday but market has it's own way. It has done that today itself. However it gave ample opportunity to entry. We had positioned earlier with a Bear Call Spread strategy. When Market gave signals by breaking below the Blue line we took some aggressive bets as well by Buying Mar series Put options as well. Yesterday Nifty closed a tad below 17836 levels at 17826. Results are in front of you... How doing your study well can reward you... We have booked profits in stages today with complete profit booking done when Nifty came to 17564 This is not a case of any fresh trade but a post to make you understand that when times are tough study will help you and can keep you ahead . Invest your time in learning...!!! Trust my analysis has been of help...🙏 Like and Follow To trade with me...!!! Take care & safe trading...!!!
NSE:NIFTY
by indiamarketoutlook
4
How to find High Probability trades? Hi all, hope you guys are doing well. It’s been a long time since I last posted. Apologies for that. 🙏 In this post, we are going to see how we can combine different indicators/concepts to create confluence zones and find high-probability trades. Introduction A trade that has a greater chance of success than a regular trade is called a high-probability trade. Obviously, it's our assumption that some trades have higher chances of success as compared to others because they have more supporting factors. Nevertheless, a high probability trade can also result in a loss. How to find high-probability trades? There are a few things that you can observe to find a confluence of various important factors such as a support/resistance level, demand/supply zone, Fibonacci level, moving averages, volume, RSI, etc. Depending on your knowledge and trading style, the confluence zone can be derived using a combination of various different concepts or indicators. In this post, I am going to share the factors that I look at for finding good trades. How to find confluence zones? In order to find the confluence zones, you need to understand the concepts and the indicators, then combine them together to create the whole picture. It's like building a jigsaw puzzle - first, you need to identify the individual pieces, and then you need to put them together. Let’s dive into all of these concepts one by one. 1. Market structure Market structure is simply a basic form of understanding how the markets move . The price action is how the market moves based just on price, without the consideration of trends and how they may continue. But the market structure is focused mainly on the trend. I have covered market structure in various different threads that you can read here: 2. Consolidation before Breakout If a stock consolidates before giving a breakout, there are higher chances that it will be a true breakout. This is because all the residual supply gets absorbed at the resistance zone and most of the pending demand orders get filled. Ideally, once a stock goes into consolidation, one of the two processes occurs: Accumulation Distribution In layman’s terms, - If demand is more aggressive than supply, then the price rallies, which confirms accumulation. - Similarly, if the supply is more aggressive than the demand, then the price falls down, which confirms distribution. If you are struggling with identifying the breakouts, be sure to read this post. 3. Support-Resistance levels S/R levels are critical parts of trend analysis because they are used to highlight important zones. The fact that these levels flip roles between support and resistance can be used to determine the range of a market, trade reversals, bounces, or breakouts. These levels exist due to the influx of buyers and sellers at key junctures. Flip zone acting as resistance: Flip zone acting as support: If you are looking for an in-depth tutorial on support and resistance, please check out my old guide here: 4. Supply-Demand zones S/D demand zones are one of the most important things that I look at while charting. The stronger the S/D zone, the higher the chances of a reaction. Always look for these zones in the direction of the major trend. 5. Location of 200MA or 200EMA Always observe the position of 200MA/EMA with respect to price. Once the price interacts with the moving average, study the reaction. If you are looking for a long trade, then look for a positive reaction as the price reacts with the moving average. 6. Overlap with a Fibonacci level A lot of times, the price will come back to a Fibonacci level. You need to observe the price behaviour near these levels. If you are not familiar with the Fibonacci tool, please check my old guide on Fibonacci retracement and extension. 7. Candlestick pattern and the size of the candles The candle spread plays an important role in determining the strength and mood of the underlying trend. In layman's terms, big-bodied candles indicate strength and small-bodied candles act as noise. In any case, the candlestick pattern and candle spread should only be viewed at an important level. The context plays a crucial role. 8. Chart patterns This is pretty self-explanatory. If you trade patterns, you can combine them with other factors to strengthen your analysis. 9. Volume expansion Ideally, at the time of the breakout, the volumes should rise . The volume can be deceiving and we need to see orderflow for a clear picture. Obviously, the majority of us are not looking at the orderflow and hence the volumes can be deceiving. But, for a normal trader, the simple volume indicator is more than enough. So, these are mainly all of the factors that I look at while analyzing the charts. Please note that the usage of the concepts will vary with charts. Sometimes only 3-4 factors may be at play and the other times, 6-7. High Probability trade checklist: 1. Market structure 2. Consolidation before the Breakout 3. Support-Resistance levels 4. Supply-Demand zones 5. Location of 200MA or 200EMA 6. Overlap with a Fibonacci level 7. Candlestick pattern and the size of candles 8. Chart pattern 9. Volume expansion In the example above, you can notice the following things: 1. The market structure was bullish before the breakout, which was evident from the formation of higher highs and higher lows. Don't confuse the internal structure (Low time frame structure) with the external structure (High time frame structure). 2. The price was consolidating in the rectangle/parallel channel for a good amount of time. 3. When the price reached the previous demand zone, the selling pressure started to decrease and the buyers started to step in. 4. When the price interacted with 200MA/EMA, there was a strong reaction to the upside. This means that the buyers want to take the price higher. 6. The buying interest can be seen by an increase in the volume in the last few sessions before the breakout. The volume can be deceiving and we need to see orderflow for a clear picture. But in general, you do not need to complicate this, just use volumes in conjunction with other factors. 7. We always look for some reversal or indecision candlesticks in the confluence zone. In the chart above, at the point of interaction with the moving average and the demand zone, we can see the formation of exhaustion candles. Again, we need to look at these patterns only at specific important levels (like support or resistance levels) and disregard the formations in between the levels. 8. When the price broke above the previous major resistance with a massive bullish candle, there was a heavy volume expansion. More examples: You can read and revise this post until you understand all the concepts. Thanks for reading. I hope you found this helpful! 😊 Disclaimer : This is NOT investment advice. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Invest your capital at your own risk. Happy learning. Cheers! Rajat Kumar Singh (@johntradingwick) Community Manager (India), TradingView
Editors' picks
NSE:BELEducation
by johntradingwick
52
An Intraday trading system with a High winning rate using VWAP Dear reader, this is a full-fledged trading system. If you follow all the mentioned steps correctly, you will definitely have a great winning ratio. You can back-test this system on any instrument, stock, commodity, forex, etc. This system should only be used to take “Long” trades using the 5 min time frame on a stock that has sufficient liquidity. Steps to follow: 1. Look for Bullish divergence – The first and foremost thing that you need to do is to look for the Bullish divergence. The bullish divergence must be either strong, medium, or hidden bullish divergence. Ignore the weak bullish divergence. If you don’t know about bullish divergence, you should read my thread on it. Here’s the link: 2. Look for early signs of reversal, after the divergence has occurred – As soon as you spot divergence, look for different signs of reversal. These can include either some reversal, neutral candlestick patterns or a sharp curve in RSI along with the formation of some bullish candlestick. 3. Look for candlestick patterns – You should look for the candlesticks such as a hammer, bullish engulfing, inverted hammer, a railway track pattern, morning star pattern. 4. When to enter the trade? –You should wait for the price to close above the VWAP and there must be some sort of increase in volume which confirms the buying interest. When the price closes above the VWAP with a good volume, enter the trade. Until both of these conditions are met, do not enter the trade. 5. How to set stop loss? – The stop loss can be either the swing low or the low of the reversal candle. Also, you can either use a fixed stop loss or trail your stop loss to the succeeding swing lows. 6. How to choose the target? – The minimum target should be the previous swing high or the previous supply zone. You can keep trailing your position if the stock keeps giving multiple breakouts. This system is highly effective and you can modify it according to your needs. You can read and revise this post until you master the concepts. I hope you find this post useful. Also, if anyone is interested in getting a PDF version of this thread, then you can message me, I'll provide it. Disclaimer: This is NOT investment advice. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Invest your capital at your own risk. Happy learning. Cheers! @johntradingwick -NSE (NCFM) Certified Technical Analyst
NSE:SAILEducation
by johntradingwick
106
Infy: Chart set up and trading strategy for July monthInfy Observation - After result announcement, Infy goes into consolidation mode for a 2-5 weeks - it then has rallied 17-27% till the next result announcement (calculation done on a opening or closing basis) - current rally is measured at roughly 21% so far and another 9 trading sessions to go - if Infy is to follow the blue channel, then we have be at the top end of the channel - however if Infy is to follow the red dotted channel, then there is a scope for a price movement up to 1671 odd levels Given the set up, F&O strategy that one may consider selling Infy 1660 Call option around 12 The strategy has a max profit potential of Rs 7200/- per lot More importantly from risk management point of view, it covers risk of rise in Infy price up to 1672 levels till 29 July 2021. Take care & safe trading Like & Follow for more such ideas Disclaimer - The view expressed here is my personal view - Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions - Use this for educational purpose - Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same - It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely - Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance - if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk - Do take proper risk management measures - Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
NSE:INFY
by indiamarketoutlook