CDSL (Monopoly Segment)CDSL, a key player in India’s financial infrastructure, benefits from rising retail participation, increasing Demat account openings, and the growing digitization of financial markets. With a debt-free status, diversified revenue streams, and a strong market position, it is well-suited for long-term growth.
Trend Analysis
Will AI Rewrite the Timeless Story of Price Action?1.What is Price Action?
Price action is the raw, unfiltered movement of a market’s price over time. It reflects the collective emotions and decisions of market participants—fear, greed, hope, and panic. At its core, price action carries the DNA of human psychology, making it timeless and universal.
One fascinating element of price action is its asymmetry. When the market rises, it often does so in a gradual, orderly manner, driven by cautious optimism. But when the market falls, fear takes over, leading to sharp, sudden sell-offs. This is because humans are inherently more afraid of losing money than they are excited about gaining it. This emotional imbalance—fear of losses and greed for gains—creates the unique patterns we observe on charts.
And here’s the remarkable part: the price action of the 1970 crash in S&P 500 looks very similar to that of 2008 NIFTY 50 crash (see the image below).Despite technological advancements, the charts of past decades echo the same fear-driven collapses and steady climbs we see today. Why? Because human emotions have not changed, and they remain the core drivers of price action.
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2.How AI Is Changing the Game
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is reshaping the financial markets, from executing trades in microseconds to analyzing sentiment across vast datasets. High-frequency trading (HFT) and predictive AI models have revolutionized how markets operate. However, there’s a fundamental truth that often gets overlooked: AI is created by humans.
The algorithms and codes powering AI were written by humans, meaning they inherently reflect human logic, biases, and assumptions. While AI can analyze patterns and react faster than any human, it is ultimately bound by the constraints of its programming. It cannot replicate the instinctive and emotional elements of human behavior that form the essence of price action.
Even in 2024, with all the advancements in AI, the market’s movements are still influenced by the same human emotions that shaped the price action of the 1900s. The fear of missing out (FOMO), panic selling during a crash, or greed during a bubble are not going away. AI can respond to these behaviours, but it cannot replace them.
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3.The Future of Price Action
AI is not here to erase price action; it’s here to evolve it. Traders will need to adapt to this new landscape, where algorithms coexist with human psychology. While traditional patterns may lose some reliability, opportunities will arise in new forms. Traders who combine human intuition with AI insights will have the edge.
Fear and greed will always be present in the markets, shaping price action just as they have for decades. The challenge for traders is to navigate this evolving market environment while remembering that, at its core, price action is still a story of human behavior—no matter how advanced the technology becomes.
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Conclusion:
AI will change the way we trade, but it won’t change the emotional DNA of the markets. Price action will continue to tell the story of human psychology, with all its unpredictability and drama, ensuring that markets remain as fascinating as ever.
What are your views on this? Do let me know in the comment section below.
Bearish on Copper - Weekly and Daily viewOn Weekly, The price is trading in a channel/range and looks like it is headed towards the bottom of the channel
On daily, price is displaying corrective structure ABC.
My view: Although it looks like taking support at the trendline on daily, it coud potentially break and go down below.
I am not a SEBI registered Analyst. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions.
BDL: Long Term ViewAfter a significant downtrend, BDL has recently shown a bullish reversal pattern marked by three consecutive green candlesticks, resembling a three white soldiers pattern on the daily chart. This formation indicates a noteworthy shift in market sentiment, suggesting that buyers have taken control and are applying upward pressure on the stock. Generally, such a pattern is viewed as a strong signal that the previous downtrend might be reversing into an uptrend.
In addition to this daily analysis, a breakout from the downtrend trendline has also been observed. Historically, this breakout level is recognized as a key support zone and often aligns with potential reversal points. The combination of the candlestick pattern and the trendline breakout reinforces the bullish outlook for BDL .
Given the current market conditions and technical indicators, BDL appears to offer a favourable opportunity for accumulation at the CMP . For those looking to enter, a prudent long-term stop-loss level has been set at 896 , creating an optimal risk-reward scenario. Based on this analysis, the target price for long-term investment could be set at 1723 .
Disclaimer: The information contained in this report is intended solely for informational and educational purposes, and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is imperative that investors conduct their own thorough research and consider their individual financial situations
COCHIN SHIPYARD analysisCOCHIN SHIPYARD is forming wave of Zig-zag pattern.
We can see the previous fall has 5 waves within it forming wave of Zig-zag.
According to the rule, wave will go a minimum 23.6% and a maximum of 50%.
Anyone in the buying side in COCHIN SHIPYARD, should exit at these levels, as the price will fall again to form wave of Zig-zag.
Trend changes above 61.8% level.
This analysis is based on Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
This not buying recommendations. Please always do your research before you take any trade.
BHEL - BULLISH or BEARISH? Crab or Gartley?CMP: 252.5
TF: Daily
Observations:
- Price has broken Swing low at 224 and bouncing up in three wave structure
- Price is trading below the rising channel/trendline
- Price has negated the LH-LL structure by breaking the 249.2 high.. but the larger LH is still intact at 290 levels
- UNFILLED GAP at 236
- Price has just reclaimed 200 DEMA
- Price is still trading below the Cloud.. Cloud resistance is placed at 260
- SuperTrend is at 260
- Price is still trading below the falling trendline (connecting 327 and 291)
I have marked both of the Harmonic pattern possibilities that meets the criteria
- Gartley - The RED one.. target is placed at 261
- CRAB - Target is at 320
In my view, Price has a huge supply at 265-270 levels..
Price is now trading in the range of 200 to 270 band.. use the extreme ends for LOW Risk trades
I am not a SEBI registered Analyst. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions.
market view for nifty 29 november 2024Technical Indicators: Traders often rely on chart patterns, moving averages, and RSI (Relative Strength Index) to determine Nifty’s momentum and strength. If the Nifty is near key support or resistance levels, it could either break out or reverse direction.
Global Factors: Any significant global market news or events (such as economic data releases or geopolitical tensions) can have an impact on Nifty’s direction.
Sentiment & News: News from sectors such as banking, tech, or oil, or any domestic economic policy changes, could influence investor sentiment.
Volume: If there is a strong volume trend behind price movements, it may signal more sustainable moves.
market view for nifty 29 november 2024Technical Indicators: Traders often rely on chart patterns, moving averages, and RSI (Relative Strength Index) to determine Nifty’s momentum and strength. If the Nifty is near key support or resistance levels, it could either break out or reverse direction.
Global Factors: Any significant global market news or events (such as economic data releases or geopolitical tensions) can have an impact on Nifty’s direction.
Sentiment & News: News from sectors such as banking, tech, or oil, or any domestic economic policy changes, could influence investor sentiment.
Volume: If there is a strong volume trend behind price movements, it may signal more sustainable moves.
Man Infra Limited: Buy OpportunityTechnical Analysis:
Man Infra Limited has presented a promising trendline breakout with high volume, signaling strong bullish momentum. The RSI is above 70, indicating robust buying pressure. This setup suggests a potential continuation of the uptrend.
Trade Setup:
Stop Loss (SL): 196
Target: 243
Fundamental Catalyst:
The company has made remarkable progress, reporting total booking collections of approximately ₹14.75 billion ($176.56 million) as of September 24. This significant achievement reinforces the stock's positive outlook and adds confidence to the technical setup.
With both technical and fundamental factors aligning, Man Infra Limited offers a strong buy opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on the ongoing momentum.
Stay disciplined with the stop-loss level to manage risk effectively.
A better product than Solar IndustriesThe Defence stocks seem to be running hard
The issue is that Solar Industries, and it's product are overrated and this is so unknown
I knew this in my high school as someone on a passenger train spoke about this to me
It was a mystical company making Defence tendering products back then!
Target: Previous highs or 4 digits
Indian defence spending
Newer sources
ISRO and DRDO orders
Proximity to Sriharikota and Hyderabad
What People Think About Management In summary, trade risk refers to the potential for financial loss or negative consequences arising from fluctuations in the value of goods or services traded between different countries.
Basically money management in trading is a defensive strategy that is meant to preserve capital. It is a way to decide how many shares or lots to trade at any given time based on your available capital. Successful money management can save you from draining your account when you hit a bad streak of losing trades.
Management TradingTrade management involves a series of tasks and decisions that occur after a trade is executed. These tasks include: 1. Determining Position Size: Before entering a trade, calculate the appropriate position size based on your risk tolerance and account size.
Trade Management is the process by which companies plan, execute, and administer payment for trade promotions. Successful trade management includes: Managing trade funds. Maximizing trade promotion profitability. Minimizing claim and deduction costs.
Advanced Trading Trading involves the buying and selling of financial assets, such as stocks, to earn profits based on the price fluctuations of these assets. There are different types of trading, and traders use various strategies, techniques, and tools to decide when to buy or sell different assets.
Trade is the exchange of goods and services between parties for mutually beneficial purposes. People and countries trade to improve their circumstances and quality of life. It also develops relationships between governments and fosters friendship and trust.
PCR TradingThe Put Call Ratio (PCR) is a tool in the stock market to understand how investors feel about a stock or the market's future. It compares the number of put options to call options traded. More puts traded mean investors expect prices to fall (bearish). More calls traded mean investors expect prices to rise (bullish).
A PCR above 1 indicates that the put volume has exceeded the call volume. It indicates an increase in the bearish sentiment. A PCR below 1 indicates that the call volume exceeds the put volume. It signifies a bullish market ahead.
Ashokley - Dont be deceived by inv H&S - Pullback is dueCMP: 231.79
TF: 90 minutes
First and foremost, my primary view is BULLISH on this counter (positional/investment) for a detailed view on the larger TF, read my analysis at
Key Highlights/Positives:
- Price successfully broke the swing high at 230.45 and negated the LH-LL structure.
So, any pullback is a buying opportunity with the SL of 214
- Price closed above all key moving averages on Daily TF
- On hourly you can spot Golden Crossover (50 EMA taking out 200 EMA) - very good bullish sign
- On Shorter TF, Inverted H&S formation is seen and the price is trading above the neckline.. Potential target is 250-260
- Price has broken and trading above the AVWAP from the TOP
Challenges/Negatives/reasons for Pullback:
- There is an unfilled GAP at 225 area
- On daily, price is trading inside the cloud. Could face resistance at 240
- From 264 to 202, the price was falling in a single leg.. No corrective structure seen/observed ..
This marks a case for,
- Either a deeper pullback to form double bottom structure (Blue line marking zig zag from the top)
- Or a sideways move like 3 rise method (keeping the red trendline intact) and sharp bounce thereafter
Again, for investors, it is a hold and add on dips..
but for short term traders, it is a wait and watch game for now..
Always focus on LOW Risk Set ups..
I am not a SEBI registered Analyst. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions.
Crude down trend will continue 5650 downside Target sl 5960Disclaimer -
This information is only for educational purposes, this is not for any buy or sell recommendations .
On Our Harmonic pattern indicator
based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
ENTRY -
When price breaks 30% retracement Which is D points then take Entry on Buy or Sell Trade
SL -
SL is (-3%) Which is mentioned in Chart . our SL is just above or below of Recent high or Low .
TARGET -
Target 1- (T1 : 61.8 %)
Target 2- (T2 : 88.6 %)
Target 3- (T3 : 127.2 %)
Target 4- (T4 : 161.8 %)
Please note:-
It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit
Banknifty if break today low then big fall will comeDisclaimer -
This information is only for educational purposes, this is not for any buy or sell recommendations .
On Our Harmonic pattern indicator
based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
ENTRY -
When price breaks 30% retracement Which is D points then take Entry on Buy or Sell Trade
SL -
SL is (-3%) Which is mentioned in Chart . our SL is just above or below of Recent high or Low .
TARGET -
Target 1- (T1 : 61.8 %)
Target 2- (T2 : 88.6 %)
Target 3- (T3 : 127.2 %)
Target 4- (T4 : 161.8 %)
Please note:-
It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit
Nifty ready for test recent low 23250 if break 24050 then buy Disclaimer -
This information is only for educational purposes, this is not for any buy or sell recommendations .
On Our Harmonic pattern indicator
based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
ENTRY -
When price breaks 30% retracement Which is D points then take Entry on Buy or Sell Trade
SL -
SL is (-3%) Which is mentioned in Chart . our SL is just above or below of Recent high or Low .
TARGET -
Target 1- (T1 : 61.8 %)
Target 2- (T2 : 88.6 %)
Target 3- (T3 : 127.2 %)
Target 4- (T4 : 161.8 %)
Please note:-
It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit
Natural gas 244 -245 fall possible avoid any buy trade Disclaimer -
This information is only for educational purposes, this is not for any buy or sell recommendations .
On Our Harmonic pattern indicator
based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
ENTRY -
When price breaks 30% retracement Which is D points then take Entry on Buy or Sell Trade
SL -
SL is (-3%) Which is mentioned in Chart . our SL is just above or below of Recent high or Low .
TARGET -
Target 1- (T1 : 61.8 %)
Target 2- (T2 : 88.6 %)
Target 3- (T3 : 127.2 %)
Target 4- (T4 : 161.8 %)
Please note:-
It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit