JINDALSTEEL: Classic Breakout & Retest Setup!1. Price is rejecting from the 17years ath level acting as very strong support.
2. EMAs are also supporting the strength.
3. Overall RRR looks decent enough.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Views are personal. Please, do your due diligence before investing.⚠️
💬 What are your thoughts on this share it in the comments below. ✌️
🔥 Happy Trading!✅🚀
Trend Analysis
Federal Bank: Wave 4 Triangle Near Completion, Wave 5 AheadAfter a clean five-wave impulse from the 2020 low near ₹35.70 to the 2024 peak at ₹220, Federal Bank appears to be transitioning into a larger corrective phase.
Weekly Outlook
The broader structure suggests the start of a 5-3-5 zigzag correction , marked as A–B–C .
Wave A is still unfolding — only Wave 4 of A appears complete, with Wave 5 expected next to finish the first leg of the correction.
Once Wave 5 concludes, price could rebound toward the lower channel trendline to form Wave B, a counter-trend rally within the broader correction.
Thereafter, a deeper Wave C decline may follow, potentially stretching into the ₹149–₹128 zone, which aligns with the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci retracement range of the 2020–2024 advance.
This developing structure reflects a natural pause after a long impulse cycle, with the market now transitioning into a corrective rhythm.
Daily Chart Details
Zooming in, the internal structure of Wave A shows a clear five-wave drop, with Wave (4) evolving as a contracting triangle pattern.
The MA50 has started curling toward the MA200, hinting at a possible bearish crossover — a classical confirmation of trend transition.
If price breaks below the triangle base, Wave (5) could extend toward ₹186–₹178, derived from Wave 1 projected from Wave 4’s end.
The targets will be adjusted once the final (e)-wave of the triangle is confirmed, as a minor uptick remains possible.
A sustained move above ₹206.39 would invalidate the immediate bearish setup and delay the decline.
Conclusion:
Federal Bank’s structure aligns with a typical post-impulse correction, and the interplay between Elliott Wave and moving averages provides a clear framework to track this phase.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY50 LONG SETUPNifty just broke through the 25,080 structure high with a strong impulsive move, marking a Bullish BOS after weeks of chop.
Before that breakout, price swept liquidity below 24,950 — taking out equal lows — then reversed sharply.
This created a textbook bullish order block at 25,045–25,070, which is perfectly aligned with the breakout point and option data support near 25,000.
A controlled pullback into this zone offers a high-probability continuation trade targeting clean liquidity pockets above.
🟢 Entry Zone: 25,045 – 25,070 (1H bullish OB retest)
🛑 Stop-Loss: 24,985
🎯 Target 1: 25,250
🎯 Target 2: 25,380
📈 R:R: ≈ 1:3 to TP1 / 1:4.5+ to TP2
Banknifty long setupBank Nifty just printed a clean Break of Structure above 56,150 after sweeping out liquidity near 55,700–55,800.
The breakout was impulsive, leaving behind a neat bullish order block at 55,950–56,050.
Institutional players often reload at this kind of OB zone before the next leg higher.
The 1H structure + OB + sweep combo makes this a high-probability intraday continuation play.
Trade Plan
🟢 Entry Zone: 55,950 – 56,050 (OB retest)
🛑 Stop-Loss: 55,720 (below OB & swept lows)
🎯 Target 1: 56,550 (previous high / intraday liquidity pocket)
🎯 Target 2: 56,900 (imbalance fill + next liquidity magnet)
📈 R:R: ≈ 1:3.5 to TP1 / 1:5+ to TP2
Execution Notes
Wait for a controlled retrace into the OB zone — no chasing on gap-ups.
Ideal entry is with confirmation wick / rejection inside OB on 5m–15m.
Trail SL to breakeven after TP1 to lock in risk-free runners.
INJ Spot Trade Setup – Waiting for PullbackINJ has been rejected at resistance, and we are now watching for a pullback into the $11.40 – $12.00 support zone. This level has acted as a strong support area in the past and may offer a good entry point for a long spot position.
🔹 Entry Zone: $11.40 – $12.00
🔹 Take Profit Targets:
• TP1: $14.00 – $16.00
• TP2: $20.00 – $23.00
🔹 Stop Loss: Below $11.00 (conservative SL placement)
LINKUSD – Waiting for Pullback to Support Before Long EntryLINK was recently rejected at resistance, and we’re now watching for a pullback to confirm support before entering a long spot trade.
🔸 Trade Setup
We are targeting a long spot entry around $21.00 – $21.50, which aligns with prior structure and potential buyer interest. This zone could provide a strong foundation for a rebound if confirmed with price action or volume.
🔸 Targets & Risk Management
Take Profit 1: $27.00 – $31.00
Take Profit 2: $38.00 – $43.00
Stop Loss: Below $19.50
A clean bounce off support with a bullish structure would trigger the setup. Waiting for confirmation is key. As always, manage risk carefully.
Usha Martin Ltd (USHAMART)Usha Martin Ltd (NSE: USHAMART) is an established Indian company primarily engaged in manufacturing steel wires, strands, wire ropes, cords, and related accessories, with additional involvement in optical fiber cables and other telecom products. Founded in 1960 and headquartered in Kolkata, it serves key sectors like infrastructure, automotive, mining, elevators, and offshore oil & gas. As of October 2025, the stock trades around ₹450–₹462, with a market cap of approximately ₹13,800–14,000 crore. While stock investing involves risks and isn't a recommendation, here are substantiated reasons why analysts and investors might view it as a compelling buy, based on recent financials, market trends, and technical signals.
Strong Financials: ₹403 Cr profit in FY25, 23% EPS growth, low debt (0.05 D/E), 14.8% ROE.
Technical Breakout: Bullish patterns, support at ₹425–₹440, targets ₹500–₹590.
Growth Drivers: Infrastructure, auto, EV, and telecom demand; export growth.
Risks: Commodity volatility, modest sales growth (10% 5Y).
Poonawalla Fincorp (POONAWALLA)Poonawalla Fincorp Limited (NSE: POONAWALLA), a non-banking financial company (NBFC) under the Cyrus Poonawalla Group, focuses on consumer and MSME lending, including personal loans, vehicle finance, and supply chain financing. As of October 7, 2025, the stock trades around ₹565, up ~8% in the last session and ~76% year-to-date (YTD), significantly outperforming the Sensex's ~4% gain. This momentum stems from robust operational growth, promoter confidence, and technical strength. Below, I'll outline key reasons to consider it, based on recent financials, market analysis, and sentiment. Note: This is not financial advice—always conduct your own due diligence, as NBFC stocks can be volatile due to interest rate sensitivity and credit risks.
Explosive Growth: AUM up 67.7% YoY to ₹47,625 Cr, with 35-40% growth expected in FY26.
Promoter Confidence: ₹1,500 Cr infusion, promoter holding at 62.5%.
Strong Financials: ₹6,200 Cr liquidity, 11% NII growth, low credit costs.
Bullish Technicals: Breakout above ₹480, targets ₹620-₹650, RSI at 73.
Market Edge: Retail credit boom, AI-driven lending, positive X sentiment.
Risks: Profit dip (one-off), rate sensitivity, high valuation. Watch Q2 results (Oct 17).
Century Extrusions (D) - Breakout or Fakeout?Century Extrusions has shown a significant sign of life after a prolonged period of sideways movement. However, a critical bearish indicator is flashing a warning sign, placing the stock at a crucial crossroads.
The Bullish Catalyst: A Powerful Surge
After a lackluster uptrend, the stock entered a consolidation phase in December 2023 , trading within a defined range. Today's session broke this monotony with authority:
- Massive Price Gain: The stock surged by +17.03% in a single session.
- Volume Spike: This price surge was backed by a significant spike in trading volume, indicating strong buyer participation.
- Resistance Retest: This move represents a serious attempt to break out of a persistent resistance trendline that has capped previous rallies.
Supporting this bullish action, key indicators are aligned positively across Monthly, Weekly, and Daily timeframes, with short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) in a positive crossover and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) showing rising momentum.
If the stock can successfully breach and sustain above the immediate resistance, the path could be clear for a move towards the ₹44 level.
The Bearish Warning: Waning Momentum
Despite the powerful price action, a significant red flag exists. A bearish divergence is clearly visible across the Monthly, Weekly, and Daily timeframes. This occurs when the price charts higher peaks while the RSI indicator forms lower peaks, suggesting that the underlying momentum is fading despite the price surge.
This divergence is a potent warning sign that the current breakout attempt may lack the strength to continue. If this signal proves true and the breakout fails, the stock could reverse course and decline towards the support level of ₹23 .
Conclusion and Outlook
The situation is a classic standoff between price action and momentum. The breakout is visually impressive, but the underlying bearish divergence cannot be ignored.
The price action over the next few trading sessions is critical for confirmation. A decisive close above the resistance would validate the bullish breakout, while failure to hold today's gains could confirm the bearish divergence, leading to a potential downturn. Prudent analysis requires waiting for the market to reveal its true direction.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Breakout in IDEA
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
Goodluck swing500% big volume after price fall and quickly recover , now look like maybe sustain and move upside,
Here i just look
Huge volume
But price move , after profit booking, then fast way recovery.
And some News for affect in short to midium term
Sbi mutual fund bought that time , and some defences news
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Round Bottom Breakout in PREMEXPLN
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
XAUUSD – Waiting for breakout confirmation at 3956XAUUSD – ACCUMULATION & WAIT FOR NEW TREND CONFIRMATION WHEN BREAKING 3956
Hello trader 👋
Gold is fluctuating in a short-term accumulation phase, following a strong rally last week. The technical structure on the H1 frame shows the price is retesting the central support area around 3956, which will determine the next direction.
In the current context, price action is mainly restrained within the rising channel, but buying momentum has slowed. The market is waiting for new trend confirmation – either breaking up to the 4000 area or adjusting to lower support.
🔎 Technical Perspective
Fibonacci 0.618 – 1.618 indicates significant resistance at the 3997–4000 area, coinciding with a strong liquidity zone.
The medium-term uptrend line remains intact, however, the RSI momentum shows slight divergence – warning of a potential adjustment.
Key price areas to watch: 3956 – 3946 – 3927 – 3917.
⚖️ Detailed Trading Scenarios
🔴 Main SELL Scenario:
Entry: 3997 – 4000
Stop Loss: 4005
Take Profit: 3976 → 3945 → 3928 → 3910
👉 Sell at the Fibonacci extension area + psychological resistance 4000 (high liquidity zone).
🔴 SELL upon confirmation of breaking 3956:
Entry: 3959 – 3961
SL: 3965
TP: 3945 → 3928 → 3910
👉 Short-term breakout order when the price closes below 3956, confirming a daily downtrend.
🟢 BUY when price retraces to support:
Entry: 3942 – 3944
SL: 3938
TP: 3955 → 3970 → 3990
👉 Suitable for Buy strategy following the short rising channel, prioritised when there is a strong candlestick reaction.
🟢 BUY at deep support area (POC & Trendline):
Entry: 3900 – 3898
SL: 3892
TP: 3910 → 3928 → 3940 → 3955 → 3970
💡 Macro Perspective
Many major financial institutions have raised their December 2026 gold price forecast from $4,300 to $4,900/oz, citing that central banks in emerging markets continue to diversify foreign exchange reserves into gold.
This reinforces the belief that the long-term uptrend remains robust.
📌 Summary:
Gold is in an accumulation phase waiting for a new direction around the 3956 area.
Strict capital management – the market may experience strong volatility when political news and US data return.
share your thoughts in the comments section, follow me for the earliest scenarios
SELL ENTRY - EURNZD🔻 SELL ENTRY - EURNZD 🔻
Price has tapped into a major supply zone after a clear bearish structure.
Expecting rejection from this premium area for a continuation to the downside.
📊 Timeframe: 15 Min
📈 Setup Type: Supply Zone / Trend Continuation
🎯 Direction: SELL
⚙️ Confirmation: Bearish engulfing or rejection wick near zone
💬 “Trade what you see, not what you feel.”
SELL ENTRY - AUDJPY🔻 SELL ENTRY - AUDJPY 🔻
Price has tapped into a premium supply zone on the 15-min timeframe after a strong bullish push.
Now expecting rejection and possible continuation to the downside.
📊 Timeframe: 15 Min
📈 Setup Type: Supply Zone / Lower High Formation
🎯 Direction: SELL
⚙️ Confirmation: Bearish candle formation or liquidity sweep
💬 “Patience before precision. Wait for confirmation before execution.”
Demand Zone - TATACHEM | Swing Trading | Time Based Trading |🛒 Trade Snapshot: TATACHEM
Buy Date: 01-Oct-2025
Quantity: 922 shares
Entry Reason: Demand zone
Chart Context: Price reacted near historical support
Setup Type: Swing entry with zone validation
Confirmation: Volume support and price structure alignment
Exit Plan : I will exit this stock before Oct 15, 2025.
#TimeBasedTrading
#SwingTrading
Demand Zone APOLLOHOSP | Swing Trading | Time Based Exit 🛒 Trade Snapshot: APOLLOHOSP
- Bought Date: 01-Oct-2025
- Quantity: 7 shares
- Buy Price: ₹7409.50
- Entry Reason: Demand zone validation
- Setup Type: Precision entry near institutional support
- Chart Context: Price held firm at a key demand area
- Confirmation: Tight spread and zone reaction
- Next Watch Level: Breakout above recent consolidation
Exit : I will exit this trade anytime before 14 days.
#TimeBasedTrading
#SwingTrading
SELL ENTRY - AUDCAD🔻 SELL ENTRY - AUDCAD 🔻
Price reached a premium supply zone after a strong impulsive drop.
Now retesting the zone for potential continuation to the downside.
📊 Timeframe: 15 Min
📈 Setup Type: Supply Zone / Break of Structure
🎯 Direction: SELL
💰 Risk-to-Reward: High Probability Setup
⚙️ Confirmation: Bearish rejection from supply
💬 "Trade smart. Risk small. Let the market do the work."
Robust Safe Haven Flow Sends Gold Flying to $3985Dollar Index shows resilience, climbs to 98.50
Geo political unrest boosts safe haven demand.
Gold extends bullish move to $3985
Immediate Support sits at $3955
Immediate Resistance sits at $3978
Gold continues to extend prevailing bullish streak setting new record high back to back with hardly any noticeable pullback as any retracement and dips are quickly being absorbed by buyers waiting for value buying on at bargain prices. Today's session has witnessed strong surge to new record high reaching $3985 and a pullback to $3969 while immediate hurdle $3988 caps recent gains in consolidation mode.
Fundamental drivers
Strong buying by central banks and record ETF flow boosting structural demand for the metal as safe haven asset as the world prepares to add more Gold to reserves to ward off dollar risks.
Geo political uncertainties across some European countries and Japan elections add to global concerns already on edge from Tariff woes.
Sticky inflation remains pivotal concern for Fed's interest rate decisions and Fed's hawkish or dovish tones will significantly impact further price action for Gold, Treasury bonds and Gold.
The US government shutdown continues with standoff in Congress adding tailwind to Gold.
Technical drivers
Gold is trading inside a broad ascending channel with strong bullish momentum where any pullback is quickly being absorbed and bought by buyers waiting to buy at value bargain. The bullish momentum is defying odds of overbought conditions and has been testing channel resistance where casual downward spikes only work to scare away weak longs enabling strong longs to see further gains and sustainability.
There has been multiple tests of channel mid line and lower boundaries attracting buying intervention again and again.
The current momentum is bullish supported by price stability above immediate support $3955 which if broken, exposes next downside zone $3938-$3935
The only major catalyst with potential for a strong downside correction is extremely overbought RSI reading of 90+ on monthly time frame which may witness a sizeable price correction in near term as these heights are prone to profit booking.
Overall outlook
Immediate rend remains bullish with strong momentum buying any pullback while heights are vulnerable to profit booking and correction.
Markets are adopting very cautious approach and short sellers are miserably trapped.
Indraprastha Medical (D) - Bullish Breakout or Bearish Reversal?Indraprastha Medical Co. is at a critical juncture, presenting conflicting signals that warrant close attention. While the long-term trend remains bullish, emerging patterns suggest a potential reversal.
The Bullish Case: Strong Momentum
The stock has been in a consistent uptrend since July 2023, followed by a period of sideways consolidation that began in October 2024. Today's session was notably strong:
- New All-Time High: The stock registered a new all-time high, with the closing price being the same as the high of the day. This indicates intense buying pressure and an absence of selling at the peak.
- Massive Volume: The breakout was supported by exceptionally high trading volume, adding conviction to the upward move.
- Indicator Alignment: Key momentum indicators are bullish across multiple timeframes (Monthly, Weekly, and Daily). The short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are in a positive crossover state, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is rising, confirming the underlying strength.
If this bullish momentum is sustained and the stock decisively breaks out from the current resistance zone, the next potential target is the ₹760 level.
The Bearish Counterargument: Divergence and Reversal Pattern
Despite the bullish price action, there are significant warning signs:
- Potential Double-Top: Today's new high has formed a potential Double-Top pattern on the Monthly, Weekly, and Daily charts. This is a classic bearish reversal pattern that can signal a market peak.
- Bearish Divergence: Crucially, this pattern is accompanied by a bearish divergence in the RSI. While the price made a new high, the RSI failed to do so, suggesting that the momentum behind the rally is weakening.
If the breakout fails and this bearish pattern plays out, the stock could see a significant correction, with a potential downside support level at ₹385 .
Conclusion and Outlook
The current technical landscape is ambiguous. We have a powerful breakout candle on high volume conflicting with a classic bearish reversal pattern and weakening momentum.
The immediate price action in the upcoming days is critical. Traders should wait for confirmation . A sustained move above today's high would validate the bullish case, while a failure to hold these levels and a subsequent breakdown would give credence to the bearish scenario.