Trend Analysis
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 01-Jan-2026📘 NIFTY Trading Plan for 1-Jan-2026
(Timeframe: 15-min | Gap consideration: 100+ points)
Key Levels from Chart
Last Intraday Resistance Zone: 26,336 – 26,386
Opening Resistance Zone: 26,160 – 26,182
Opening Support Zone: 26,057 – 26,083
Last Intraday Support: 26,019
Lower Support (Extreme): 25,944
🔍 Note: Price is approaching an important daily resistance area, so reactions near upper zones are critical for trend continuation.
🟢 1. GAP-UP OPENING (100+ Points)
If NIFTY opens above 26,160, it signals strength carrying forward from the previous session.
🎓 Educational Explanation:
Gap-up openings near higher-timeframe resistance often test buyer conviction. Acceptance above resistance confirms continuation, while rejection usually leads to healthy pullbacks.
Plan of Action:
Avoid trading in the first 10–15 minutes; let volatility settle.
Sustaining above 26,160–26,182 → bullish continuation likely.
Fresh buying confirmation above 26,182 can push price toward 26,336–26,386.
Rejection from 26,336+ may trigger intraday profit booking.
Options traders: Prefer ATM / ITM Calls after retest & hold; avoid chasing far OTM calls.
🟡 2. FLAT OPENING
A flat open around 26,100–26,150 places price inside a decision zone.
🎓 Educational Explanation:
Flat opens reflect temporary balance. The market usually gives one clean directional move after breaking either side of the opening range. Patience avoids whipsaws.
Plan of Action:
Holding above 26,160 keeps bullish bias active.
Failure near 26,160–26,182 may lead to consolidation or pullback.
Breakdown below 26,083 increases downside probability toward 26,019.
Only trade after a clear breakout or rejection with volume support.
🔴 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ Points)
If NIFTY opens below 26,083, early sentiment turns cautious.
🎓 Educational Explanation:
Gap-downs into support zones often attract short covering or value buying. Selling without confirmation near support increases reversal risk.
Plan of Action:
First support to watch: 26,057–26,083.
Breakdown and acceptance below 26,057 opens downside toward 26,019.
If 26,019 fails, next support lies near 25,944.
Strong bullish candles near supports can give intraday bounce trades.
⚙️ Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 🛡️
Avoid overtrading on the first trading day of the year.
Risk only 1–2% capital per trade.
Use time-based SL (15–20 mins) if premium stops moving.
Prefer ATM options or spreads near resistance zones.
Book partial profits at predefined levels; don’t wait for extremes.
Avoid emotional trades near all-time-high resistance areas.
🧾 Summary & Conclusion
Above 26,182: Bulls stay in control toward 26,336–26,386.
Between 26,083–26,160: Market in balance; wait for confirmation.
Below 26,083: Sellers gain control unless buyers defend 26,019.
Trade reaction at levels, not excitement around new-year moves 🎯.
Discipline + patience = consistency.
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Markets involve risk; please consult your financial advisor before trading.
Compression Near Resistance — Let the Market Decide Today’s NSE:NIFTY candle is not a breakout candle.
The index has not closed above the descending trendline yet.
What we are seeing instead is compression just below a key resistance.
This is an important distinction.
Price is staying near the trendline without sharp rejection.
Upper wicks are controlled.
Pullbacks are shallow.
Selling pressure is getting absorbed rather than expanding.
That tells us the market is building energy, not giving direction yet.
For tomorrow, the market’s job is simple — test this trendline again.
Two scenarios have higher probability.
Scenario 1:
The index gives a mild dip toward the 26000–26030 zone and buyers step in.
If price stabilizes and starts holding above this area, it would indicate strength and set up a healthy continuation attempt.
Scenario 2:
The market opens flat or slightly positive and spends time near the trendline.
Sideways action near resistance, without aggressive selling, is also a bullish sign.
It shows sellers are defending, but not winning.
The risk scenario to watch:
If there is a sharp rejection from the trendline and Nifty starts sustaining below 25950,
then this compression can fail and the market may slip back into a range.
Intraday bias for tomorrow:
Bias remains mildly positive as long as the index holds above 26000 with acceptance.
A confirmed close above the trendline will attract momentum traders, but until then, patience has the edge.
This is where many traders make mistakes.
They assume a breakout before it actually happens.
Experienced traders wait for the market to prove itself.
Sector-wise, defence stocks continue to show relative strength.
Index stability or an eventual breakout can support selective setups in that space.
Overall market mood is constructive, but not aggressive.
This is a preparation phase, not an execution phase.
Let the market speak first.
React to behaviour, not expectations.
That’s all for today.
Read the structure, ignore the noise.
Have a focused and profitable tomorrow.
📊 Levels at a glance:
Support zone: 26000–26030
Immediate resistance: Descending trendline area
Risk level: Below 25950
Bias: Wait for reaction, trade confirmation
Sector focus: Defence
Smart Money reloading Gold after liquidity sweep?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (30/12)
📈 Market Context
Gold remains structurally supported on higher timeframes, but current price action reflects controlled volatility and liquidity engineering rather than trend continuation.
With markets reacting to fresh U.S. data expectations, USD yield fluctuations, and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, Gold continues to attract safe-haven interest — yet extended intraday ranges suggest Smart Money is actively positioning rather than chasing price.
Recent headlines around Fed rate path uncertainty and mixed U.S. macro signals keep Gold bid on pullbacks, while thinning liquidity into the year-end session increases the likelihood of stop hunts and engineered traps on both sides of the range.
Smart Money behavior favors drawing liquidity first, confirming structure later — not clean breakouts.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H)
Current Phase:
HTF bullish structure with short-term corrective compression
Key Idea:
Expect liquidity interaction at discount (4320–4318) or reaction from internal supply (4465–4467) before any sustained displacement.
Structural Notes:
HTF bullish BOS remains valid
Prior CHoCH triggered a corrective leg
Price is compressing under bearish trendline
Discount zone aligns with potential accumulation
Buy-side liquidity rests above internal highs
Sell-side liquidity recently probed and absorbed
💧 Liquidity Zones & Triggers
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 4320 – 4318 | SL 4310
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 4465 – 4467 | SL 4475
🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation
Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion
🎯 Execution Rules
🟢 BUY GOLD 4320 – 4318 | SL 4310
Rules:
✔ Liquidity grab into discount zone
✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15
✔ Clear upside BOS with impulsive displacement
✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or refined demand OB
Targets:
4360
4400
4465 – extension if USD weakens and risk sentiment deteriorates
🔴 SELL GOLD 4465 – 4467 | SL 4475
Rules:
✔ Reaction into internal supply / premium imbalance
✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on LTF
✔ Downside BOS with momentum shift
✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or supply OB
Targets:
4430
4385
4320 – extension if USD strengthens or yields rise
⚠️ Risk Notes
Compression favors false breakouts
No execution without MSS + BOS confirmation
Expect volatility during U.S. session
Reduce risk around USD yield spikes or Fed-related headlines
Thin liquidity amplifies stop hunts
📍 Summary
Gold remains bullish by structure, but today’s edge lies in patience, not prediction.
Smart Money is likely to engineer liquidity before committing:
• A sweep into 4320–4318 may reload longs toward 4400–4465, or
• A reaction near 4465–4467 could fade price back into discount.
Let liquidity move first. Let structure confirm.
Smart Money waits — retail reacts. ⚡️
📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Resistance Breakout in BIGBLOC
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
BTC Rising wage Continuation, Macro TimeFrame Maybe we are looking at the wrong timeline. Today, I looked at BTC from history and also from a Macro Point of view.
1. Breaking down from the key support, which is at 80k, only happens on the Macro Rising wage pattern, which can go for weeks.
2. If you look at the Major Key levels like 80k, 96k, and 100k, there are multiple gaps to be completed.
Please review this chart. I am not giving 100% probability, but I have been following BTC for the last 8 years and breaking down historical patterns. I can assume (not certainty), that without Macro Rising wage we are not going anywhere.
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [01/01/2026: Thursday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 01st of January 2026. The day is Thursday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
The candle is a red paper umbrella plus an inside candle. The lower wick of the candle is longer as compared to the red body. It means the bears tried to push down the price, but the bulls are defending hard for their existence. Major resistance is 26200. Major support is 26000. The view is indecision.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
This week's candle is kind of a green dragonfly doji with a body of a green spinning top. Candle structures are imperfect but sufficient enough to offer psychological insights. Most importantly, this week's candle engulfed last week's bearish gravestone doji formation. For the past 4 weeks, the price has been within the range (26200 - 25900). Bears are badly trapped at the level 25900. Price gave a close above the level 26100 (which was previously a major resistance). Major resistance is 26200 while major support is 26000. Since it is the season of consecutive dojis (indecision candles) in Nifty 50, we still cannot build conviction of the trend. It is a sideways market for 10 weeks. However, this week's lower wick is long, showing signs of bullish emergence. The view is indecision to bullish.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
The daily candle is an imperfect bullish marubozu. There is no lower wick, but there is an upper wick that formed due to sharp selling below the level 26200. However, the green candle structure engulfed the previous 3 red days. Very strong support is now at level 26000. Level 26100 is presently a weak support, but as the price spends more time above level 26100, it will become a strong support. The view is indecision to bullish.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
Price has been in a zig-zag price structure since mid-November. For bullish sustenance, it is necessary for the price to trade above the level 26200 for a longer time with a promise of breaking out the previous all-time high (ATH: 26277.35). Major resistance is 26200. Weak support is 26100. Major support is 26000. In the present market condition, every downward move should be doubted. The view is bullish.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price stays above the level 26100 for a long time.
(iii) Price shows promise of breaking out above the level 26200.
Bearish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price starts to trade below the level 26050, with a sign of breaking down the level 26000.
No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26100 - 26050)
Events: SENSEX weekly expiry. No other high-impact event.
Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insights):
(i) The monthly TF bias is indecision.
(ii) The weekly TF bias is indecision to bullish.
(iii) The daily TF bias is indecision to bullish.
(iv) The 30-minute TF bias is bullish.
(v) Establish intraday bias with respect to the opening price.
(vi) Weekly SENSEX expiry. No other high-impact event. Expecting a choppy market in the first half. Price will probably remain below the level of 26200 in the first half.
(vii) Major resistance is 26200.
(viii) Weak support is 26100.
(ix) Major support is 26000.
(x) No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26100 - 26050).
(xi) Execute bullish trade when price sustains above 26100 for a long time with a promise of breaking out level 26200.
(xii) Execute bearish trade when price starts to trade below level 26050 with a promise of breaking down level 26000.
(xiii) Take trades only if either a bullish/bearish scenario appears. Otherwise, do not trade. Remember, not trading is an extension of trading activity. Be responsible.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
TMPV – Base Formation with Inverse Head & Shoulders at SupportTMPV was in a prolonged downtrend, respecting a descending trendline with multiple rejections. The decline eventually reached a well-defined demand zone, where selling pressure started to dry up.
At this support, price has formed a clear Inverse Head & Shoulders structure — with a deeper head, higher shoulders, and improving price acceptance near the base. This pattern reflects a gradual shift in control from sellers to buyers, supported by tighter candles and higher lows.
The recent move shows price lifting off the base while still respecting the broader structure. The descending trendline above remains a key reference, but the behavior near support suggests accumulation rather than continuation of weakness.
XAUUSD 1H: Structure Shift & Support-Based RecoveryOn the 1H timeframe, XAUUSD is currently in a corrective phase after rejection from the All-Time High near 4560. The sharp bearish move from the highs suggests profit booking and short-term distribution, not a confirmed long-term trend change. Price has now reacted from a strong support zone around 4345–4300, which earlier acted as a consolidation area and is showing demand through rejection wicks and slowing downside pressure. Market structure indicates possible base formation, with price trying to hold above support and stabilise. As long as price remains above 4300, a gradual recovery towards 4390–4415 is possible, followed by 4480–4520 if buying momentum improves. A decisive move below 4300 would invalidate the recovery scenario and increase downside risk.
This analysis is purely based on technical price action and is for educational purposes only.
BTCUSD Short Trade - Year End Precision
BTCUSD short trade executed with clarity and control.
Entry: Below 88,300
Stop Loss: 88,600
Target: 87,250
Levels were respected, risk stayed defined, and execution remained disciplined.
Closing the year the same way it started — focused and consistent.
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #ShortTrade #TradeRecap #TradingView #PriceAction #RiskManagement #CryptoTrader #YearEndTrades #Discipline
XAUUSD (ONDA) IntraSwing Levels For 31/12/25-01st JAN'26(3.30 am ₹₹₹ 🏃🏽 🏃🏼♀️ 🏃🏽♂️
💥 Have a Pr💰fitable
New Year 2️⃣0️⃣2️⃣6️⃣🚀
💥Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Do comment if Helpful .
Do Comment for In depth Analysis.
❇️ Follow notification about periodical View
NIFTY Analysis for 1st JAN '26: IntraSwing Spot levels" 🏃🏽🏃🏼♀️🏃🏽♂️Have a Pr💰fitable New Year 2️⃣0️⃣2️⃣6️⃣ "
💥Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Do comment if Helpful .
Do Comment for In depth Analysis.
❇️ Follow notification about periodical View
Part 10 Trade Like Institutions Income Generation – Traders Use Options to Earn Regular Income
Option selling is extremely popular among professional traders because it provides regular, consistent income.
Why Option Selling Works
Most options expire worthless
Time decay (Theta) works in favor of sellers
They can design strategies with high win rates
Market stays sideways most of the time
Popular Income Strategies
Covered Calls
Cash-Secured Puts
Iron Condors
Credit Spreads
Short Strangles (experienced traders only)
This income-based approach makes options attractive not only for speculators but also for stable monthly earners.
Part 9 Trading Master Class Options Allow High Reward Compared to Risk
Options have an asymmetric payoff.
For buyers:
Maximum loss is limited
Maximum profit can be unlimited (for calls) or very large (for puts)
For sellers:
High probability of winning
Small and consistent profits
This ability to balance risk vs reward is what attracts different types of traders:
Aggressive traders → Buy options for big moves
Conservative traders → Sell options for steady income
Both types of traders find value in the options market.
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 31st December 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 26100 – 26150 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 26325 – 26375 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 25750 – 25700 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 25550 – 25500 range.
Upside moment expected at the start of January’26 F&O Contract.
Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 31st December 2025NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index has resistance near 59600 – 59700 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 60100 – 60200 range.
Banknifty has immediate support near 58800 - 58700 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 58300 - 58200 range.
Upside moment expected at the start of January’26 F&O Contract.
Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 31st December 2025 NSE:CNXFINANCE
Index has resistance near 27600 - 27650 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 27875 - 27925 range.
Finnifty has immediate support near 27175 – 27125 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 26900 – 26850 range.
Upside moment expected at the start of January’26 F&O Contract.
Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 31st December 2025NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index has immediate resistance near 13725 – 13750 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 13875 – 13900 range.
Midnifty has immediate support near 13475 – 13450 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 13325 – 13300 range.
Upside moment expected at the start of January’26 F&O Contract.
WillDan (WLDN) analysisCurrent Price of WillDan group is 108.30$. why i am buying this stock.
1. It has given insane move after ATH and then gone into time correction.
2.After time correction, and making a good base ,a trend change is seen.
3. after breaking the base, its retesting the same level.
4. if it holds this level, there is possibility that it can give 25-30% move.
5. I am entering at current level with SL of 100.34.
I am managing my Risk.
Risky Option TradeIndusInd Bank
Spot Cmp 865
Trade Setup
Jan Series
870 PE
Lot Size 700
CMP 25.65
Buy now or on dip near 22
SL 17
expected Tgt between 33 & 40
Trade might fail is SPOT sustains above 875 ( in that case Switch to CE )
Maintain Strict TSL & SL
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Warm regards,
Naresh G
SEBI Registered Research Analyst
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