Nifty Intraday Analysis for 16th September 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 25200 – 25250 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 25400 – 25450 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 24900 – 24850 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 24700 – 24650 range.
Trend Analysis
Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 16th September 2025NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index has resistance near 55300 – 55400 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 55800– 55900 range.
Banknifty has immediate support near 54400 - 54300 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 53900 - 53800 range.
Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 16th September 2025NSE:CNXFINANCE
Index has resistance near 26525 - 26575 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 26725 - 26775 range.
Finnifty has immediate support near 26225 – 26175 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 26025 – 25975 range.
Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 16th September 2025NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index has immediate resistance near 13225 – 13250 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 13375 – 13400 range.
Midnifty has immediate support near 13000 – 12975 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 12875 – 12850 range.
XAUUSD – Wave (4) Pullback Could Launch Wave (5)Namaste Traders
Gold on the M30 chart remains bullish, but the push into the upper channel line signals short-term profit booking. For those trading Gold/USD or tracking Gold in INR terms on MCX, here’s my plan for the upcoming sessions:
🔍 Technical Overview
Price completed Wave (3) around 3697.40, tagging the upper trend channel – a natural zone for sellers to take profits.
The 3666–3670 region has acted as a pivot/support multiple times. I expect a Wave (4) correction into this zone before a fresh rally.
3657 is deeper support and also serves as the invalidation level for the bullish scenario.
If Wave (4) holds, Wave (5) could push towards 3720–3725.
📈 Key Levels
Type Price Level Notes
Resistance 3695–3700 Wave (3) top + upper channel edge – watch for rejection
Support (1) 3666–3670 Primary buy zone for Wave (4)
Support (2) 3657 Strong support & invalidation
Target (5) 3720–3725 Expected Wave (5) extension target
⚙️ Trading Plan
✅ Primary Setup – Buy the Dip (Trend Continuation)
Entry Zone: 3666–3670 (or a small sweep to ~3657).
Confirmation: Look for a bullish engulfing candle, pin bar, or MACD crossover on the M30 chart.
Take Profit:
TP1: 3695–3700 (previous high/resistance)
TP2: 3720–3725 (Wave (5) projection)
Stop Loss: Below ~3652.
Risk/Reward: Aim for 1:2 to 1:3.
⚠️ Secondary Setup – Countertrend Short
If price retests 3695–3700 and forms a strong rejection, a quick countertrend short is possible.
Targets: 3670 → 3657.
Stop Loss: Above ~3703–3707.
Use small position sizing, as this is against the primary trend.
🛡 Risk & Invalidation
A close below 3656 plus a break of the lower trend channel invalidates the bullish Wave (5) scenario.
For Indian traders watching MCX Gold (in INR), keep in mind USD/INR fluctuations – a weaker rupee can amplify gold gains even if spot prices pause.
Always keep risk ≤1–1.5% per trade and avoid chasing late entries.
🧭 Final Thoughts
Gold’s trend is still bullish on the short-term chart. A healthy correction into 3666–3670 could offer a prime entry for Wave (5). Be patient, wait for confirmation, and let the price come to your zone.
Countertrend shorts are valid only on a clear rejection at 3695–3700 – otherwise, stick with the trend.
Good luck and happy trading,
Part 6 Institutional TradingStrategies in Option Trading
Basic Strategies
Buying Calls: Profiting from price increases.
Buying Puts: Profiting from price decreases.
Covered Calls and Protective Puts
Covered Call: Holding a stock and selling a call to earn premium.
Protective Put: Buying a put to hedge potential losses in a stock position.
Spreads
Bull Call Spread: Buy a call at a lower strike, sell at a higher strike.
Bear Put Spread: Buy a put at a higher strike, sell at a lower strike.
Calendar Spreads: Different expiration dates for long and short options.
Advanced Strategies
Straddles: Buying a call and put at the same strike, betting on volatility.
Strangles: Buying out-of-the-money calls and puts.
Iron Condors & Butterflies: Limited-risk strategies combining multiple options for steady income.
Real-World Examples
Apple Stock Call: Investor buys 100 Apple call options at ₹150. Stock rises to ₹180; profit realized by exercising or selling the call.
Hedging a Portfolio: Investor holds ₹10 lakh in shares, buys put options to limit losses during market decline.
Income Generation: Investor sells covered calls on a stock they own to earn premium income.
Gold on Fire: Fed Rate Cuts & Global Tensions Fueling the Rally!Hello, fellow traders! Gold (XAU/USD) is on an absolute tear, closing strong at $3,680.80/oz on September 15, 2025, after hitting a new all-time high (ATH) of $3,685.39/oz. The past week has been solid, with gold up 1.6% as the US dollar weakened (down 0.3% to a one-week low) and US bond yields dropped. The market is buzzing with talk of a sure-shot 0.25% Fed rate cut on September 17, with some even betting on a bigger 0.5% move as per the CME FedWatch Tool. Plus, geopolitical tensions and reports of China easing gold import norms are adding more fuel to this fire. Let's do a deep dive and check out some solid trading setups! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: All That Glitters Is Gold! 🌟
Fed Rate Cuts: The latest US data is a mixed bag—the August CPI was hot, but the jobs market is cooling down. This is giving the Fed a clear signal to cut rates for the first time since December 2024. Lower interest rates are a big negative for the US Dollar, making non-yielding assets like gold super attractive. This is a classic "buy the rumor, sell the news" situation, but right now, the rumor is all about buying gold!
Geopolitical Jitters: The upcoming Fed meeting is quite tense, with political drama and a lot of pressure from the White House. This kind of uncertainty is gold's best friend, as it’s the ultimate safe-haven asset.
Chinese Demand: Recent reports suggest China is making it easier to import gold, which means more demand is coming from the world's biggest consumer. Strong buying from both official and private players in China is a major tailwind for gold's upward move.
Technical Analysis: Breaking All Barriers! 📉
Gold has smashed through the Fibo 2.618 level and is in uncharted territory. What's impressive is that the pullbacks are very shallow, just a $10 blip before it resumes its rally. This shows the bulls are in complete control, and selling pressure is minimal. The strategy is simple: look to buy on dips and be very selective about any shorting opportunities.
Resistance Levels: $3704, $3714, $3724
Support Levels: $3694, $3686, $3674, $3666
Trading Setups (Strict Risk Management Is Key):
Buy Scalp:
Zone: $3688 - $3686
SL: $3682
TP: $3691 - $3696 - $3701 - $3706
Buy Zone:
Zone: $3667 - $3665
SL: $3657
TP: $3675 - $3685 - $3695 - $3705 - $3715
Sell Scalp:
Zone: $3704 - $3706
SL: $3710
TP: $3701 - $3696 - $3691 - $3686
Sell Zone:
Zone: $3724 - $3726
SL: $3734
TP: $3716 - $3706 - $3696 - $3686 - $3676
Gold is at an ATH—so be careful of liquidity traps around the Fed announcement! Above $3694, the target is the sky; below, we could see a test of $3666. Manage your risk tightly before September 17! What's your plan: buy the dip or sell the top? Let me know your strategy in the comments! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #RateCuts #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Geopolitics #CentralBank
#USHAMART - VCP BreakOut in Daily Time Frame Script: USHAMART
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 VCP BreakOut in Daily Time Frame
📈 Price consolidated near Resistance before BO
📈 Volume spike during Breakout
📈 MACD Crossover
📈 Stock is near ATH
📈 Can go for a swing trade
BUY ONLY ABOVE 410 DCB
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 407
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 – 12.90%
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 – 6.20%
⚠️ Important: Market conditions are Okish, Position size 50% per Trade. Protect Capital Always
⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk:Reward Ratio as 1:2, with this RR, you only need a 33% win rate to Breakeven.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with MMT. Cheers!🥂
Part 4 Institutional TradingOption Styles
Options come in different styles, which dictate when they can be exercised:
American Options
Can be exercised anytime before expiration.
European Options
Can be exercised only on the expiration date.
How Option Trading Works
Buying vs Selling Options
Buying an option: You pay the premium for the right to buy/sell.
Selling an option (writing an option): You collect the premium but take the obligation if the buyer exercises it.
Exercising Options
Exercising is when the holder uses their right to buy or sell at the strike price.
Options in the Secondary Market
Options can also be traded without exercising. Traders can buy and sell options in the market to profit from changes in premiums.
Hedging and Speculation with Options
Options are used both for hedging (reducing risk) and speculation (betting on price movement). For example:
Hedging: Buying put options to protect a stock portfolio.
Speculation: Buying call options to profit from anticipated upward movement.
Nifty Index (Research for 16 Sep Expiry)NIFTY is running from supportive trendline. ..PCR has also come in favour of CE( ie indicating that CE buyers/ Put sellers are showing their strength. Coming expiry will probably closes in green
Nifty CMP-25114
expecting Targets- 1) 25220 ,
2) 25330 ,
3) 25420
Intraday Support- 25025, 25980
Major support (I think we won't need it in this expiry) - 24750
Part 3 Learn Institutional Trading Types of Options
Call Options
A call option gives the holder the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price before or on the expiration date. Investors buy calls when they anticipate the price of the underlying asset will rise.
Example: You buy a call option for a stock at ₹100 strike price. If the stock price rises to ₹120, you can exercise your option, buy the stock at ₹100, and make a profit.
Put Options
A put option gives the holder the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price. Investors buy puts when they expect the price of the asset to fall.
Example: You buy a put option for a stock at ₹100. If the stock falls to ₹80, you can sell it at ₹100, making a profit.
Option Pricing: How Options Are Valued
The price of an option is called the premium, and it consists of two components:
Intrinsic Value
Intrinsic value represents the real, tangible value of the option if it were exercised today.
Call Option Intrinsic Value = Current Stock Price − Strike Price
Put Option Intrinsic Value = Strike Price − Current Stock Price
Time Value
Time value is the extra cost investors are willing to pay for the potential of future gains. It decreases as the option approaches expiration, a process known as time decay.
Factors Affecting Option Prices (The Greeks)
Options are affected by multiple factors called the Greeks:
Delta: Measures how much the option price changes with the underlying asset price.
Gamma: Measures the rate of change of delta.
Theta: Measures the effect of time decay on the option.
Vega: Measures sensitivity to volatility.
Rho: Measures sensitivity to interest rates.
Multi-Pattern Mastery: Descending Triangle Meets Broadening FormThis chart demonstrates the power of multi-pattern recognition in technical study,showcasing how a descending triangle (white lines) can coexist with a broadening formation pattern (red ascending line with shared lower base). The descending triangle shows consistent lower highs against a stable support level, while the broadening pattern reveals expanding volatility through higher highs and the same lower boundary.
Patterns to Study :
Descending Triangles: Characterized by horizontal support and declining resistance, typically indicating bearish pressure building
Broadening Formations: Feature diverging trendlines creating a "megaphone" effect, signaling increased market volatility and indecision
Pattern Confluence: When multiple patterns share common elements (like the lower support base here), it creates stronger technical significance and potential reference points
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
Gold Facing Strong Resistance – Bearish Move Towards Support ?Analysis:
Resistance Zone: Price is struggling to break above the $3,645–$3,650 area, which has acted as a strong resistance multiple times.
Support Levels: Immediate support lies around $3,620 and $3,614, with the major support zone at $3,580.
Price Action: Repeated rejections from resistance indicate weakening bullish momentum. Sellers are gaining control near the resistance zone.
Bearish Outlook: A potential downward move is projected, with price likely to test $3,580 support if resistance continues to hold.
Risk Management: A break and close above $3,650 would invalidate the bearish scenario and could trigger a bullish continuation.
✅ Bias: Bearish below $3,650
🎯 Targets: $3,620 → $3,614 → $3,580
🛑 Invalidation: Above $3,650
Part 2 Ride The Big MovesIntroduction to Options
Option trading is a sophisticated financial strategy that allows investors to hedge, speculate, or generate income in financial markets. Unlike buying a stock or a commodity directly, trading options gives you the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price within a specific time period.
The concept of options is not new. Options have been used for centuries to hedge risks and manage investments. In modern financial markets, options are widely used by retail investors, institutional investors, and professional traders because they provide flexibility, leverage, and strategic opportunities that are not available in traditional stock trading.
An option derives its value from the underlying asset, which can be a stock, commodity, index, currency, or ETF. Because options have time-limited value, they are classified as derivatives, meaning their price depends on the price movement of the underlying asset.
Key Terminology
Understanding option trading requires familiarity with basic terms:
Underlying Asset: The security or instrument on which the option is based. For example, Apple stock for an Apple options contract.
Strike Price: The predetermined price at which the option can be exercised.
Expiration Date: The date when the option contract expires. After this date, the option is worthless if not exercised.
Premium: The price paid to buy the option. Think of it as the cost of the “insurance” provided by the option.
In-the-Money (ITM): A call option is ITM when the stock price is above the strike price; a put option is ITM when the stock price is below the strike price.
Out-of-the-Money (OTM): Opposite of ITM. Call options are OTM when the stock price is below the strike price, and put options are OTM when the stock price is above the strike price.
At-the-Money (ATM): When the stock price equals the strike price.
Havells Bullish Flag Breakout: Can We See a Rally to 1680+?Havells India Ltd. is currently showing a classic bullish technical setup—a Bullish Flag Pattern—that could lead to a potential breakout and strong upside movement in the short term. Traders who favor breakout-based strategies should pay close attention to this chart, especially considering the structured parallel channel and previous rally that preceded it.
1. Bullish Flag Pattern: Anatomy of the Setup
A bull flag is a continuation pattern that occurs after a sharp price rise (flagpole), followed by a period of consolidation within a narrow parallel channel (the flag). This structure typically suggests that the bullish trend will resume once the price breaks out of the flag range.
In Havells:
Flag Pole: The stock surged sharply from the 1517 zone to near 1610, forming a vertical rise.
Flag/Channel: Price moved sideways within a narrow support at ~1570 and resistance at ~1610, creating a clean parallel channel.
This shows price compression after a strong move, typically a sign of healthy consolidation before another leg up.
2. Breakout Levels and Price Action Confirmation
As per the current chart:
Havells has broken above the resistance zone around 1610, signaling a potential breakout.
The breakout candle is attempting to close above the red resistance band, and follow-up candles will be crucial to confirm strength.
A retest of this breakout zone could offer ideal long entries.
3. Projected Targets from the Pattern
Using the flagpole height, we can project upside targets from the breakout point:
Initial Target: ₹1630.15
A conservative target based on minor resistance and pole extension.
Final Projected Target: ₹1680.45
This marks the full measured move and could be achieved if the rally sustains momentum.
4. Ideal Trading Plan (For Traders)
Entry:
After confirmed breakout above ₹1610
Or on retest near ₹1600–1610 zone with bullish price action.
Stop Loss:
Below the flag support zone at around ₹1570
Aggressive traders can keep it below ₹1585.
Targets:
T1: ₹1630
T2: ₹1680+
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Minimum 1:2 depending on entry price.
5. Risk Scenarios to Watch For
False Breakouts: If the breakout doesn’t sustain and price falls back into the channel, it may trap early longs.
Macro Events: Broader market volatility (Nifty moves or global cues) can impact momentum.
Volume: Lack of volume on breakout candles can reduce conviction—always monitor volume to confirm strength.
Conclusion: Havells Looks Set for a Fresh Rally
This is a textbook bullish flag breakout in formation, with clear upside potential. If the momentum sustains, Havells could very well reach 1680+ in the coming sessions. However, traders must practice disciplined risk management, wait for confirmation, and avoid chasing without a proper plan.
Gold Ahead of FOMC: Holding the Bullish Structure, Eyeing 3,700Hello everyone, gold is heading into a very sensitive week with the upcoming FOMC decision on rates and policy guidance. On the H1 chart, price just broke out to 3.68xx with a strong candle and improved volume, now consolidating just below 3,690–3,700 – a psychological barrier and session high. The broader trend remains upward as gold trades above a rising Ichimoku cloud, while clear support steps form below: 3,662–3,665 as the nearest floor, 3,648–3,642 as a deeper defense, and the 3,635–3,625 cloud zone as intraday trend protection. As long as gold holds above 3.66x, I favour a high-probability accumulation setup to retest 3,690–3,700; if H1/H4 candles close above 3,700, the next target could extend to 3,715–3,730.
On the news side, the midweek FOMC is the key trigger. A dovish Powell and dot-plot could soften USD and yields, giving gold a chance to break 3,700. A hawkish tone, however, may spark profit-taking and pull gold back to 3,662–3,665 or even 3,648–3,642 to test demand. Labour data, manufacturing reports, and the BoE decision will also shape sentiment. With US figures lately underwhelming, markets lean toward a softer Fed stance, which underpins gold. I tilt bullish, watching reactions around 3,665 and 3,645 as FOMC headlines hit.
Do you think the Fed will sound dovish or hawkish this week? Drop your thoughts!
Part ! Ride The Big MovesWhat is an Option?
An option is a financial derivative that gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price (strike price) on or before a specified date (expiration date).
Underlying Asset: This can be a stock, index, commodity, currency, or ETF.
Strike Price: The price at which the asset can be bought or sold.
Expiration Date: The date on which the option contract expires.
Premium: The price paid to purchase the option.
There are two main types of options:
Call Option: Gives the holder the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price.
Put Option: Gives the holder the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price.
Call Options Explained
A call option becomes profitable when the price of the underlying asset rises above the strike price plus the premium paid.
Example:
Stock price: ₹1,000
Strike price: ₹1,050
Premium: ₹20
If the stock rises to ₹1,100:
Profit = (Stock Price – Strike Price – Premium) = 1,100 – 1,050 – 20 = ₹30
If the stock remains below ₹1,050, the option expires worthless, and the loss is the premium paid.
Kotak Swing Idea (Long)Kotak might move upside due to following logical reason:
1) Inside/doji candle on daily candle (trend reverse)
2)Trading above 20 EMA in 1 hr to 4 hr chart (Support)
3)GAP cover pending
4)Swing Low formation is shifting up
5)Consolidation from last 1.5 months
(Note: Author not responsible for anyone profits or loss, nor a sebi registered RA. Please do your own due diligence before taking any trades. For educational purpose only)
CEATPrice respected the Bullish Order Block and Discount Zone, confirming demand around 3000–3100.
A liquidity sweep occurred below 3000, trapping sellers and then reversing sharply.
Market structure shift (MSS) is visible with strong bullish candles reclaiming 3300+.
Current momentum is positive with price moving towards 3450–3500 resistance.
Titan on 1W TF1. Titan have taken support on long term support zone for 3 times.
2. Near support zone, it have formed bullish candlestick patterns.
In May 2025, it have formed Bullish Morubozu like candle which was last hit to support zone.
3. In first week of July 2025, there was a strong bearih candle with volume, despite that, stock have sustained near 3400 levels by consolidation and then have bounced back with 2 Bullish belt-holds in the bounce and have tested the long term resistance zone.
And now have retraced around 50%(July - Aug move).
4. Now the current levels are make or break levels, short term trend will be confirmed, bearish or bullish as per the move from these levels (50% zone).
Probability wise looks like it may take support, previous resistance zone should act as support as per price action.
Let's see how it moves further.
Disclaimer: This is not any stock tip/advice to buy or sell. Invest on your own risk.