Nifty Trading Strategy for 02nd January 2025📊 NIFTY INTRADAY TRADE SETUP (15-MIN CANDLE BASED)
🟢 BUY SETUP (Bullish Scenario)
📈 Condition:
Buy ONLY IF NIFTY breaks & closes above the HIGH of the 15-minute candle
Confirmation Level: 26192 (15-min candle must CLOSE above this level)
🎯 BUY TARGETS:
🎯 Target 1: 26230
🎯 Target 2: 26255
🎯 Target 3: 26299
🛡️ Risk Management Tip:
Trail stop-loss after Target 1 is achieved
Book partial profits at each target for safer trading
🔴 SELL SETUP (Bearish Scenario)
📉 Condition:
Sell ONLY IF NIFTY breaks & closes below the LOW of the 15-minute candle
Confirmation Level: 26107 (15-min candle must CLOSE below this level)
🎯 SELL TARGETS:
🎯 Target 1: 26075
🎯 Target 2: 26045
🎯 Target 3: 26005
🛡️ Risk Management Tip:
Trail stop-loss once Target 1 is hit
Avoid over-trading in sideways market
⚠️ IMPORTANT TRADING RULES
✔️ Trade only after 15-minute candle close confirmation
✔️ Avoid trades during high volatility news events
✔️ Follow strict stop-loss discipline
✔️ Capital protection is more important than profits
🚨 DISCLAIMER
⚠️ I am NOT a SEBI Registered Advisor.
📌 This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
📌 Stock market investments are subject to market risks.
📌 Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
📌 I am not responsible for any profit or loss arising from the use of this information.
Trend Analysis
GCPL – Technical View (Weekly)📉📈 Trend & Structure
Long-term trend had been downward, but price is now attempting a trend reversal.
The stock has formed a symmetrical triangle / falling wedge–type structure.
Recent candles show higher lows, indicating buying interest at lower levels.
Key Levels
Current Price: ~₹1,238
Immediate Resistance: ₹1,260–1,280 (trendline + supply zone)
Major Resistance: ₹1,330–1,350
Supports:
₹1,200 (near-term)
₹1,150 (strong base support)
Momentum Insight
Breakout attempt above ₹1,250 is positive but needs weekly close with volume for confirmation.
Failure to sustain above ₹1,260 may lead to range-bound movement.
Bias (Short-Term)
Neutral to mildly bullish above ₹1,200
Bullish only on confirmed breakout above ₹1,280 with volume
⚠️ Disclaimer
This chart analysis is only for educational and informational purposes and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
Technical analysis involves risk and may not always predict future price movements.
Please consult a SEBI-registered investment advisor before taking any investment or trading decision.
The analyst is not responsible for any financial losses arising from use of this analysis.
ITC – Sell on Rise | Major Support Zone Ahead📉 ITC – Sell on Rise | Major Support Zone Ahead
Stock: ITC Ltd
Timeframe: Daily
Trend: Bearish (Short-term)
🔍 Technical Analysis
ITC has decisively broken all major support levels, indicating a clear shift in market structure from sideways to bearish. The recent breakdown is accompanied by weak price action, suggesting sellers are in control on rallies.
Post breakdown, the stock is now below key moving averages and struggling to reclaim lost support zones, confirming a sell-on-rise structure.
🔻 Trend Structure
Breakdown of multiple supports
Lower highs formation on daily timeframe
Pullbacks likely to face selling pressure
🔻 Volume Behavior
Breakdown occurred with expanding volumes
Indicates distribution, not panic selling
Any bounce without volume likely to fail
🟢 Strong Buy Support Zone (High Probability Demand Area)
📍 ₹280 – ₹295 zone
This zone is technically important due to:
Fibonacci 0.50 retracement level
Anchored VWAP support
Prior price acceptance area
This zone is expected to act as a strong demand zone where buyers may attempt a reversal or consolidation.
🧠 Trading Plan
🔹 Sell on Rise
Look for rejection signals near broken supports
Avoid fresh longs above resistance until structure improves
🔹 Buy Only at Support
Aggressive longs only if strong price reaction is seen in ₹280–₹295 zone
Look for:
Bullish reversal candle
Volume expansion on bounce
Failure of price to sustain below VWAP
⚠️ Risk Management
Avoid positional longs until price reclaims key resistances
Keep strict stop loss below support zone if attempting counter-trend longs
This is a zone-based trade, not blind buying
📌 Conclusion
ITC remains bearish in the short term and is best approached with a sell-on-rise strategy. A meaningful buying opportunity may emerge only near the ₹280–₹295 strong support zone, supported by Fibonacci 0.50 and Anchored VWAP confluence.
📉 Trade the trend. Respect levels. Manage risk.
Earnings Season Trading: Strategies, Opportunities, and RisksUnderstanding Earnings Season
Earnings season typically occurs four times a year, shortly after the end of each fiscal quarter. Companies release their income statements, balance sheets, cash flow statements, and forward guidance during this time. In markets like the US and India, earnings seasons often cluster, with many companies reporting within a few weeks. This concentration of information increases overall market volatility and sector-wide movements. Stocks may move not only due to their own results but also in reaction to peer performance, sector trends, and macroeconomic signals.
Why Earnings Move Markets
Stock prices are forward-looking, meaning they reflect expectations about future performance rather than just past results. Earnings announcements act as a reality check against these expectations. If reported earnings exceed expectations (an earnings beat), the stock may rise. If earnings fall short (an earnings miss), the stock may decline. However, the reaction is not always straightforward. Sometimes a stock falls even after strong results if expectations were too high, or rises after weak earnings if the outlook improves. This dynamic makes earnings season trading both challenging and rewarding.
Pre-Earnings Trading Strategies
One common approach is pre-earnings positioning. Traders analyze estimates, historical earnings reactions, sector momentum, and technical setups before the announcement. Stocks often build up momentum leading into earnings, especially if there is optimism about results. Traders may enter positions days or weeks in advance, aiming to benefit from this “earnings run-up.” Technical indicators such as volume expansion, breakout patterns, and relative strength are often used to time entries. However, pre-earnings trades carry risk, as unexpected results can quickly reverse gains.
Post-Earnings Reaction Trading
Another popular strategy focuses on trading after earnings are released. Instead of speculating on the outcome, traders wait for the market’s reaction and then act. Post-earnings trading emphasizes confirmation—how price, volume, and trend behave once new information is fully absorbed. Strong earnings accompanied by high volume and a breakout above resistance may signal trend continuation. Conversely, a sharp drop below key support after disappointing results may indicate further downside. This approach reduces uncertainty but may miss the initial large move.
Gap Trading and Volatility Plays
Earnings often cause price gaps, where a stock opens significantly higher or lower than its previous close. Gap trading strategies aim to profit from either continuation or gap-filling behavior. Some stocks continue strongly in the direction of the gap due to sustained institutional interest, while others retrace as early traders take profits. Understanding the context—such as overall market sentiment, guidance quality, and historical behavior—is crucial when trading gaps.
Earnings season is also a period of elevated implied volatility, especially in options markets. Options traders use strategies like straddles, strangles, and spreads to benefit from large price moves or volatility changes. While these strategies can be powerful, they require a strong understanding of option Greeks, volatility crush, and risk-reward dynamics.
Role of Guidance and Management Commentary
Earnings numbers alone rarely tell the full story. Management guidance, conference calls, and future outlook often matter more than reported profits. Markets react strongly to changes in revenue growth expectations, margin outlook, capital expenditure plans, and commentary on demand conditions. A company may report solid earnings but issue cautious guidance, leading to a negative reaction. Successful earnings season traders pay close attention to these qualitative factors, not just headline numbers.
Sector and Index Effects
Earnings season trading is not limited to individual stocks. Strong or weak results from market leaders can influence entire sectors and indices. For example, earnings from major banks can impact the financial sector, while results from large IT or FMCG companies can move broader indices. Traders often monitor sector ETFs or index futures to capture these broader moves. Relative performance within a sector can also highlight leadership and laggards, offering pair trading or rotation opportunities.
Risk Management During Earnings Season
Risk management is critical during earnings season due to heightened volatility and unpredictable reactions. Position sizing should be adjusted to account for potential large price swings. Stop-loss orders, while useful, may not always protect against gaps, so traders must be prepared for slippage. Diversification across multiple trades and avoiding overexposure to a single earnings event can help reduce portfolio risk. Many experienced traders also avoid holding large positions overnight during earnings unless they have a strong edge or hedging strategy.
Behavioral Aspects and Market Psychology
Earnings season amplifies behavioral biases such as overconfidence, herd mentality, and loss aversion. Traders may chase stocks after strong earnings or panic-sell after disappointing results. Media headlines and social media commentary can further exaggerate emotional responses. Successful earnings traders remain disciplined, stick to predefined plans, and avoid impulsive decisions driven by short-term noise.
Long-Term Perspective vs Short-Term Trading
Not all earnings season activity is about short-term trading. Long-term investors use earnings to reassess company fundamentals, valuation, and growth trajectories. Consistent earnings growth, improving margins, and strong cash flows reinforce long-term confidence, while repeated disappointments may signal deeper issues. Understanding the difference between temporary earnings-related volatility and structural business changes is key to making informed investment decisions.
Conclusion
Earnings season trading is a dynamic and complex aspect of financial markets that offers significant opportunities for traders and investors alike. It combines elements of fundamental analysis, technical trading, volatility management, and behavioral finance. While the potential rewards are high, so are the risks. Success during earnings season requires preparation, discipline, and a clear understanding of both market expectations and actual results. By focusing on strategy, risk control, and continuous learning, traders can navigate earnings season more effectively and turn market uncertainty into a structured trading advantage.
LTTS : Near Key Support | Trend Continuation WatchTimeframe: Daily
Trend Context: Corrective phase nearing completion
Current Price Zone: ~4,380
🔍 Market Structure & Technical Observations
Elliott Wave Perspective (Educational View):
The stock appears to be completing a corrective Wave-C near the 4,360–4,390 zone.
This zone aligns with prior demand and acts as a potential reversal pocket.
If Wave-C holds, the next impulsive leg (Wave-5) can begin.
Moving Average Insight:
Price has pulled back toward the short-term moving average, often seen near corrective endings.
Sustaining above this base improves odds of a trend resumption.
Support & Risk Zone:
Critical support: 4,360–4,390
Invalidation level: Daily close below 4,290
A close below this would indicate deeper correction, not accumulation.
Volume Behavior (Contextual):
No panic volume seen during decline, suggesting controlled profit booking, not distribution.
🎯 Trade Strategies
🟢 1. Swing Trading Strategy (Cash / Positional)
Buy Zone: 4,360–4,420 (on stabilization / reversal candle)
Stop Loss: Daily close below 4,290
Upside Targets:
Target 1: 4,770–4,830 (Major supply / F&O target zone)
Target 2: 5,120 (Swing projection)
📌 This setup offers a favorable Risk–Reward if price respects the Wave-C base.
🟡 2. F&O / Options Strategy (Educational)
Prefer bull call spreads or call buying only after confirmation.
Ideal confirmation:
Strong close above 4,480–4,500
OR bullish structure on lower timeframe from support
Avoid aggressive naked calls below 4,360, as volatility expansion works both ways.
🎓 Educational Notes (Why This Zone Matters)
Corrections often end where:
Prior breakout occurred
Fibonacci retracement clusters
Market sentiment turns pessimistic
The 4,360–4,390 zone ticks multiple boxes → making it a decision zone, not blind buy.
⚠️ Risk Management Guidelines
Do not average blindly below support.
Size positions assuming stop loss will be hit.
Options traders must factor in time decay — direction alone is not enough.
🧾 Summary & Conclusion
LTTS is currently at a make-or-break zone.
If the 4,360–4,390 support holds, the stock has the potential to resume its primary uptrend toward 4,830 and 5,120 in the coming weeks.
Failure to hold 4,290 on daily closing basis invalidates the bullish structure.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI registered analyst.
Markets are uncertain, and I may be wrong — please manage risk responsibly.
Managing Losses and Drawdowns: The Psychology Behind DrawdownsUnderstanding Drawdowns Beyond Numbers
A drawdown is not just a percentage decline in capital; it is an emotional experience. A 10% drawdown can feel manageable to one trader and devastating to another. This subjective experience arises because drawdowns threaten three deeply rooted psychological needs:
Ego and self-image (“I thought I was good at this”)
Sense of control (“The market is not behaving as expected”)
Fear of future loss (“What if this gets worse?”)
When capital declines, traders often interpret it as personal failure rather than statistical variance. This misinterpretation magnifies emotional pain and clouds judgment.
Loss Aversion and Emotional Asymmetry
One of the strongest behavioral finance principles at play during drawdowns is loss aversion. Psychologically, losses hurt roughly twice as much as equivalent gains feel good. This asymmetry explains why traders may:
Exit winning trades too early
Hold losing trades too long
Abandon a profitable system after a temporary drawdown
Loss aversion pushes traders to seek emotional relief instead of probabilistic advantage. The mind prioritizes stopping pain now over achieving long-term expectancy, which is why impulsive decisions increase during drawdowns.
Ego, Identity, and Overreaction
Many traders unconsciously tie their identity to trading performance. When equity curves fall, it feels like a judgment on intelligence, discipline, or competence. This ego involvement triggers:
Overtrading to “prove oneself”
Revenge trading after losses
Strategy hopping in search of instant recovery
The more ego-driven the trader, the more severe the psychological reaction to drawdowns. Professionals, in contrast, view drawdowns as operational events, not personal ones.
Fear, Stress, and Cognitive Narrowing
During drawdowns, stress hormones such as cortisol increase, leading to cognitive narrowing—a mental state where the brain focuses on threats and ignores nuance. In this state:
Risk perception becomes distorted
Probabilistic thinking declines
Rule-based discipline collapses
Traders begin to see the market as hostile rather than neutral. This “fight or flight” response is biologically outdated for modern financial markets but still governs behavior unless consciously managed.
The Illusion of Control and Panic Adjustments
Another psychological trap during drawdowns is the illusion of control. Traders may believe that frequent changes—adjusting stops, indicators, timeframes—will immediately stop losses. While adaptation is important, reactive tinkering driven by fear usually worsens outcomes.
Common panic behaviors include:
Reducing position size inconsistently
Removing stops after losses
Doubling down to recover faster
These actions are rarely strategic; they are emotional attempts to regain certainty in an uncertain environment.
Drawdowns as Statistical Reality, Not Failure
Every trading system has a maximum expected drawdown. Even highly profitable strategies experience losing streaks. The psychological error is assuming that a drawdown means:
The strategy is broken
Market conditions will never improve
Losses will continue indefinitely
In reality, drawdowns are the cost of participation. Accepting this intellectually is easy; accepting it emotionally requires experience, preparation, and mindset conditioning.
Managing Losses Through Psychological Preparation
Effective drawdown management begins before losses occur. Traders who survive long term typically:
Define acceptable drawdowns in advance
Risk small enough to stay emotionally stable
Expect losing streaks as normal
When losses occur within expected boundaries, the mind remains calmer. Surprise—not loss itself—is what destabilizes psychology.
Detachment and Process-Oriented Thinking
One of the most powerful psychological shifts is moving from outcome focus to process focus. Instead of asking:
“How much money did I lose?”
Ask:
“Did I follow my rules correctly?”
This reframing reduces emotional volatility and restores a sense of control. Over time, consistency of process matters far more than short-term equity fluctuations.
Confidence vs. Overconfidence During Drawdowns
Healthy confidence allows traders to continue executing a proven system during drawdowns. Overconfidence, however, collapses quickly when losses appear. True confidence is built on:
Data-backed expectancy
Historical drawdown analysis
Emotional self-awareness
Traders with grounded confidence do not panic during losses; they become more disciplined.
Recovery Psychology and the Urge to ‘Make It Back’
One of the most dangerous mental states is the recovery mindset—the urge to quickly make back losses. This mindset shifts goals from execution to emotional repair. Consequences include:
Taking suboptimal trades
Increasing risk unjustifiably
Ignoring market conditions
Professionals understand that capital recovery is a byproduct of good decisions, not a direct objective.
Learning vs. Self-Blame
Constructive reflection during drawdowns focuses on behavior, not self-worth. Questions that promote growth include:
Were losses within expected parameters?
Did emotions influence execution?
Is this variance or a structural issue?
Self-blame, on the other hand, drains confidence and increases hesitation, leading to missed opportunities when conditions improve.
Resilience and Long-Term Survival
Psychological resilience is the ability to stay rational under prolonged uncertainty. This is developed through:
Experience with past drawdowns
Journaling emotional responses
Gradual exposure to risk
Traders who survive multiple drawdowns develop emotional immunity. Losses no longer shock them; they become routine data points.
Conclusion: Mastering the Inner Game
Managing losses and drawdowns is less about eliminating pain and more about responding intelligently to it. The market will always test patience, discipline, and emotional stability. Those who understand the psychology behind drawdowns stop fighting reality and start working with it.
In the long run, strategies make money—but psychology keeps you in the game. Traders who master drawdown psychology transform losses from threats into teachers, building the emotional durability required for sustained success in the financial markets.
Maruti 5th wave**Maruti Suzuki – Weekly Chart | Elliott Wave View**
On the weekly timeframe, Maruti appears to be in the **final stages of the 5th impulse wave** that started from the 2020 low.
Using standard Elliott Wave projections:
* The 5th wave target comes to 16726 considering 1 st wave starting from 2020.
* Price has already reached this zone, but **the 5th wave structure does not yet look complete**.So I have restrictive view above 16726
This suggests:
* **16726 may not be the critical.
let us observe how it unfolds it today
From the **fundamental side**, **Maruti Suzuki India Limited** has reported **strong sales performance in 2025**, which supports the idea of **continued strength rather than an abrupt reversal**.
⚠️ This is a **Wave-5–focused view only**.
Reversal signals and momentum divergence will be critical to confirm final exhaustion.
*Trend remains up, but risk management is essential at higher levels.*
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NIFTY Analysis for 2nd JAN '26: IntraSwing Spot level🚀Follow GIFTNIFTY Post for NF levels
💥Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Do comment if Helpful .
Do Comment for In depth Analysis.
❇️ Follow notification about periodical View
💥 Do Comment for Stock WEEKLY Level Analysis.🚀
BANK NIFTY AT MAJOR DECISION ZONE (SMC) BANKNIFTY (1H) is currently trading at a critical equilibrium zone, where both buyers and sellers are active. Price is compressed between a descending trendline resistance and a strong demand / EQ support, making this a high-probability expansion setup.
🔹 Market Structure
Bank Nifty is range-bound on the higher timeframe. Recent price action shows consolidation after a corrective move, suggesting liquidity is building on both sides before the next impulsive leg.
🔹 Key Levels
Resistance / Supply (Premium):
59,850 – 59,900
Immediate Resistance (Trendline):
59,300 – 59,350
Immediate Support (Equilibrium):
58,650 – 58,575
Major Range Support:
57,620
🔹 Bullish Scenario
If price breaks and sustains above the descending trendline, followed by acceptance above 59,300, we can expect a liquidity-driven expansion towards the premium zone at 59,850 – 59,900. This move would indicate short covering and fresh long participation.
🔹 Bearish Scenario
If price fails at the trendline and shows rejection, followed by a breakdown below 59,000, selling pressure may accelerate towards 58,650 (EQ). A loss of this level can open doors for a deeper move towards 57,620, completing the range rotation.
🔹 Smart Money View
Market is currently in liquidity engineering mode. Best trades will come after confirmation, not inside consolidation. Let price show intent before committing capital.
🔹 Trade Plan
Wait for:
✔ Break & retest for longs
✔ Rejection + displacement for shorts
Avoid overtrading inside the range.
⚠️ This is an educational analysis. Always manage risk properly.
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 02nd January 2026NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 26300 – 26350 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 26500 – 26550 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 25975 – 25925 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 25775 – 25725 range.
Range bound moments are expected as low participation due to new year weekend.
20 JAN 2026 Expiry OutlookNIFTY is heading into the 6 Jan expiry with clear signs of absorption and compression, following a phase of elevated traded volumes without corresponding price damage. This behaviour typically precedes a liquidity-driven test of key reference levels, rather than an immediate directional breakdown.
Daily timeframe continues to remain constructive:
Both RSI and Stoch RSI are positioned above their respective moving averages, indicating improving momentum.
The recent volume expansion (30 Dec → 1 Jan) is significant, and historically, similar volume events have resulted in short-term continuation lasting multiple sessions.
Volume Profile POC around 25,900 continues to act as a strong acceptance zone, from where price has responded positively.
Bollinger Bands on the Daily TF still leave room for upside, with no signs of exhaustion near the upper band.
From a structural perspective, the market appears to be preparing for a retest of the all-time high liquidity zone.
Key reference zone
26243–26321
Prior ATH region (23 Sept 2024 ~26280)
Gap-up rejection zone from 1 Dec 2025 (~26325)
This zone represents unresolved supply and liquidity, which markets often revisit after prolonged acceptance below.
Lower timeframe behaviour (context, not contradiction)
On the 4H timeframe, RSI and Stoch RSI remain above their MAs but are not expanding, while price has moved sideways despite the highest traded volume since late November. This suggests absorption rather than distribution, placing the 4H RSI-MA in a decision zone.
On 1H, 30m and 15m timeframes, momentum has gone through a reset phase, with bearish RSI-MA crossovers and consolidation. Importantly, this has occurred without a structural breakdown, which is typical of pre-expiry compression rather than trend failure.
Most realistic expiry path
Near-term:
- Sideways action or a shallow dip toward 26050–26000, allowing lower timeframes to rebuild momentum.
Constructive condition:
- Sustained acceptance above 26150 would indicate successful absorption and support formation.
Directional attempt:
- A move toward 26243–26321 (ATH retest) becomes the logical next objective.
Decision point at ATH
Acceptance above 26320 (with momentum expansion on 4H) would open the path toward 26500.
Rejection from the ATH zone, followed by a loss of 26150 and a bearish 4H RSI-MA crossover, would shift focus back to the 25900 Volume Profile POC.
Conclusion
This setup favours a process-driven approach rather than prediction. Current price action suggests absorption and positioning, not exhaustion. Unless the 4H RSI-MA decisively breaks down, the market structure supports a reset → build → ATH retest sequence into expiry.
Watch momentum resolution at key levels — the market will reveal intent.
ATGL 1 Week Time Frame 📊 Latest Price (approx): ~₹590–₹595 on NSE (price fluctuates within the day) — current levels seen near this range.
📈 Weekly Support & Resistance Levels (pivot‑based)
These are weekly pivot‑derived levels that traders often use to gauge likely support and resistance zones for the week ahead:
🔹 Weekly Resistance Levels
R1: ~₹622
R2: ~₹637
R3: ~₹657
🔸 Weekly Pivot (mid zone): ~₹602
🛡️ Weekly Support Levels
S1: ~₹587
S2: ~₹567
S3: ~₹552
These weekly pivots are from standard pivot point calculations and give you the broad weekly range to watch.
📍 Key Round Levels to Watch (Weekly)
Resistance zones:
~₹620–₹630: short‑term overhead supply/resistance.
~₹650+: higher resistance if the market turns bullish later in the week.
Support zones:
~₹580: immediate support around current price band (often reacts intraday).
~₹560–₹570: stronger weekly support — key level if price weakens.
~₹550: deeper support on weekly frame.
📌 Weekly Strategy Levels
👉 Bullish scenario: A sustained close above ₹620 for the week could open up moves toward ₹637–₹657.
👉 Bearish scenario: If the stock breaks below ₹587 on a weekly close, watch support ₹567, then ₹552.
USDCHF – Buy from Discount Zone | Trendline Support + SMCTrade Description:
USDCHF has delivered a strong impulsive bearish move followed by sell-side liquidity sweep, and price is now reacting from a high-probability discount zone on the 1H timeframe.
The pair is currently holding descending channel support, where we can see price compression and reduced bearish momentum, indicating potential smart money accumulation. This area aligns with a previous BOS level, strengthening the case for a mean reversion / corrective move to the upside.
🔹 Key Confluences:
Price at discount zone
Reaction from channel support
Sell-side liquidity taken
Weak follow-through from sellers
MY ENTRY :
ENTRY @ 0.78759
TP: 0.79199
SL: 0.78569
Reversal Trade – NAUKRI (Info Edge) | 1H ChartNSE:NAUKRI
📌 Trade Description
This is a classic demand-based reversal, not a random bottom-pick. Price has corrected sharply into a previously validated demand zone, where aggressive buying earlier pushed price up with momentum. Now price has returned to the same zone with declining momentum, offering a low-risk, high-R:R opportunity.
If this demand fails, the trade is invalid. Simple. No hope-trading here.
🔍 Technical Analysis
Trend Context: Short-term down-move, but within a broader range. This is a mean-reversion + base formation play, not a breakout chase.
Demand Zone (₹1320–₹1330):
⦿Earlier sharp impulse move originated from this zone → proves institutional participation.
⦿Price revisiting demand after time + correction = fresh probability.
Price Behaviour:
⦿Selling pressure is slowing down near demand.
⦿Smaller candles + wicks = absorption, not aggressive distribution.
Structure Expectation:
⦿First: base formation inside demand
⦿Then: higher low on 1H
Finally: reversal push toward ₹1370–₹1385 zone.
🎯 Trade Plan
Entry: Near demand zone after stabilization (no blind buying)
Stop Loss: Below demand zone (tight & non-negotiable)
Targets:
⦿T1: ₹1348–₹1360
⦿T2: ₹1375–₹1385
Risk–Reward: Minimum 1:2
This is a reaction trade, not a prediction.
Stay disciplined. Let price confirm, then execute.
Keep Learning,
Happy Trading.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 02.01.2026NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 02.01.2026
Timeframe: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
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📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – January 2, 2026
🎉 Happy New Year 2026
Wishing everyone a disciplined, consistent, and profitable trading year ahead.
1. Momentum Analysis
Daily (D1)
Daily momentum is currently approaching the oversold zone and preparing for a bullish reversal. This suggests that in the coming period, the market is likely to see a corrective rebound lasting at least several days, until D1 momentum reaches the overbought area.
H4
H4 momentum is currently in the overbought zone, which increases the probability of a bearish momentum reversal on the H4 timeframe in the near term.
H1
H1 momentum is compressed and overlapping within the overbought zone, indicating a high probability that H1 momentum will continue to turn bearish.
2. Elliott Wave Structure
Daily (D1)
After the strong sell-off, we can identify approximately five consecutive bearish D1 candles, which aligns well with the observation that D1 momentum is preparing to reverse upward from oversold conditions.
Therefore, the upcoming advance is likely to be Wave 2 or Wave B, within the structure of the purple Wave Y.
This expected rebound may move in sync with D1 momentum. As a result, we should closely monitor price behavior as D1 momentum enters the overbought zone for confirmation.
- If D1 momentum reaches overbought but price fails to create a new high, this will further confirm the continuation of the purple Wave Y scenario.
- The projected targets for Wave Y remain at 4072 and 3761.
H4
The prior decline on H4 can be counted as Wave 1 or Wave A within the purple Wave Y structure.
The current recovery is likely forming Wave 2 or Wave B.
⚠️ If price breaks decisively above 4549 while D1 momentum is already overbought, the current wave-count scenario would be invalidated and require reassessment.
H1
A complete five-wave bearish structure (red) has already formed.
According to Elliott Wave principles, a completed five-wave move is typically followed by at least a three-wave corrective structure.
With D1 momentum preparing to reverse bullishly, if today’s D1 candle closes with bullish confirmation, this corrective rally could extend for several days, but should not break above the 4549 level.
Since this advance is likely Wave 2 or Wave B, its characteristics are expected to be:
- Slow price movement
- Overlapping and choppy sub-waves
👉 For this reason, I recommend short-term trading only at this stage and avoiding aggressive long-term buy positions.
3. Resistance Zones & Key Levels
The expected completion zones for the corrective rebound are:
- 4376
- 4405
- 4445
Among these:
- 4405 and 4445 are strong confluence resistance zones, aligning with the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the prior decline.
- These areas are considered ideal zones to look for long-term sell opportunities, targeting the completion of the purple Wave Y.
4. Trading Plan
Sell Scenario 1
- Sell zone: 4404 – 4406
- Stop loss: 4415
- TP1: 4344
- TP2: 4275
- TP3: 4072
Sell Scenario 2
- Sell zone: 4444 – 4446
- Stop loss: 4465
- TP1: 4405
- TP2: 4275
- TP3: 4072
Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 02nd January 2026NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index has immediate resistance near 13975 – 14000 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 14125 – 14150 range.
Midnifty has immediate support near 13725 – 13700 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 13575 – 13550 range.
Range bound moments are expected as low participation due to new year weekend.
Gold Update: Watching Channel Support for ContinuationGuys last trade of the year haha, let's see if we got something in this trade. Gold is trading inside a rising channel, and the overall structure remains positive. After the recent move up, price has pulled back toward the lower side of the channel, which is a normal and healthy behavior in an uptrend.
This pullback is bringing price closer to a key support area, where buyers have previously stepped in. As long as price holds above this support, the probability favors upside continuation rather than a breakdown.
This is not a breakout trade. It is a buy-on-pullback setup, where patience matters more than speed. A clear hold near support is what keeps this setup valid.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile.
If this update helped, like and follow for regular updates.
Bank Nifty for Expansion Final Idea of 2025Greetings Traders, As we head into the final sessions of 2025, I’m sharing my last trading idea of the year a high-conviction Bank Nifty setup based purely on price structure, acceptance, and breakout continuation logic.
🔹 Current Market Structure:
Bank Nifty has completed a healthy corrective phase and is now trading inside a tight consolidation range after a prior impulsive move. The repeated inability of price to break below the demand zone suggests strong accumulation at lower levels.
🔹 Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: 58,400–58,600 (multiple rejections, double-bottom formation)
Resistance / Neckline: 59,500 (range high and supply cap)
Price is coiling between these two levels, creating a classic volatility compression setup. Such structures often resolve with directional expansion, and the higher timeframe bias currently favors the upside.
🔹 Trade Plan (Upside Bias):
Primary Trigger: A decisive 4H close above 59,500
Aggressive Entry: Break-and-hold above 59,500 on strong momentum
Conservative Entry: Breakout followed by a retest and hold of 59,500
🔹 Targets:
Target 1: 60,000 (round-number resistance and partial booking zone)
Target 2: 61,300–61,500 (measured move projection from consolidation range)
🔹 Risk Management / Invalidation:
As long as price holds above 58,400, the bullish structure remains intact
A sustained breakdown below this zone would invalidate the long setup and negate the idea
🔹 Trade Philosophy:
This is a structure-based trade, not a prediction. The idea is to react to confirmation, align with momentum, and let price expansion do the heavy lifting.
Final Note:
Ending 2025 with a reminder that clean levels, patience, and risk control matter more than overtrading. Trade light, trade planned, and let the market confirm.
⚠️ This is a trading idea for discussion and educational purposes only. Manage risk accordingly.
Regards- Amit, Happy new year in advance mates.






















