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Trend Analysis

BANKNIFTY Levels for Today Here are the BANKNIFTY’s Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both. Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level. Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose. Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by RainingMoneywithTech
Billionbrains Garage Ventures Ltd (NSE) – Daily Chart | Long SetThe stock is showing a bullish structure with higher lows and steady price consolidation. Recent price action suggests strength and a potential continuation move. Trade Plan: Entry: 173 Stop Loss: 164 (below recent swing low) Targets: T1: 191 T2: 210–212 zone The setup offers a favorable risk–reward ratio, and momentum remains positive as long as price holds above the key support zone of 170–174. Note: Partial profit booking near the first target is advised. Strict stop-loss discipline is important. 📌 For educational purposes only. #Billionbrains #PriceAction #SwingTrading #BullishSetup #RiskReward #IndianStocks #NSE #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartPatterns
NSE:GROWWLong
by TradeForReward
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5% DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES? - Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day - Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade - SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall Trendline Breakout in KARURVYSYA BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
NSE:KARURVYSYALong
by Kapil-Mittal
2
DIXON 1 Week Time Frame 📊 Current Price Context Current share price is roughly around ₹10,150–₹10,300 on NSE/BSE. 📅 1‑Week Time‑Frame Key Levels 📌 Major Weekly Support Levels These act as zones where buyers may step in if price dips: Support 1 (S1): ~₹10,040–₹10,050 – first defensive zone this week. Support 2 (S2): ~₹9,720–₹9,730 – deeper weekly support if S1 breaks. Support 3 (S3): ~₹9,170–₹9,180 – wide range lower support in extended sell‑off. 👉 A close firmly below ~₹10,040 could accelerate downside momentum for the week. 📌 Weekly Resistance Levels These are upside caps for the short‑term: Resistance 1 (R1): ~₹10,900–₹10,910 – immediate upside hurdle. Resistance 2 (R2): ~₹11,460–₹11,470 – secondary resistance if R1 breaks. Resistance 3 (R3): ~₹11,780–₹11,790 – higher weekly target zone. 👉 A weekly close above ₹10,900–₹11,000 improves short‑term bullish bias. 📉 Short Summary — 1W Levels Bullish breakout zone: ↗️ Close above ~₹10,900 → next target ₹11,460 / ₹11,780 Range‑bound / neutral: ↔️ ₹10,040 – ₹10,900 Bearish breakdown zone: ↘️ Close below ~₹10,040 → deeper support at ₹9,720 → ₹9,170
NSE:DIXONLong
by Knowledgehub
BEL (Bharat Electronics) – Clean Breakout With Strong Momentum🟢 Simple Chart Explanation: • BEL was moving in a healthy uptrend • Price respected the rising trendline multiple times (buyers active) • The ₹430–₹440 zone acted as a strong resistance earlier • Today price gave a powerful breakout candle above this zone • Breakout came with strong momentum, showing buyer strength 📌 Important Levels to Watch: • New Support: ₹430–₹440 • Immediate Resistance: ₹460–₹470 • Trend Support: Rising trendline (blue line) • Invalidation: Close below ₹425 💡 Price Action View: • Resistance → Support flip confirmed • Strong bullish candle near highs • As long as price holds above breakout zone, trend remains bullish 📊 Bias: • Bullish above ₹430 • Expect continuation or healthy consolidation before next move ⸻ ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is shared only for educational purposes. I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. This is not a buy or sell recommendation. Trading and investing involve market risk. Please do your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before taking any decision. ⸻ ❤️ If this chart helped you, do LIKE & SAVE it for future reference (Daily breakout levels are very useful when saved 📌)
NSE:BEL
by MrRisk_Manager
CADJPY 2HR T/F ANALYSIS --- WE NEAD A RETESTING FOR SELL SIDE 📊 Market Structure Explanation (cadjpy – 2hr) the structure are clear look like a strong bearish formation:- in this selling trend we can se imbalance also and our strong supply of previous demand which are marked clearly into green color they demand copy and past on recent demand bottom to top and now we have a retesting area :- 🔍 What the market can do next:- Scenario 1 – Pullback / retesting (Needs Confirmation): For any meaningful retesting to occur, the market must first show clear bearish candlestick confirmation. This includes patterns such as: Bearish engulfing candles Strong rejection wicks (upper shadows) Evening star formations Consecutive bearish closes Long upper-wick rejection candles showing selling pressure Without these bearish structures, any downside move should be treated as a temporary pullback, not a retesting. Scenario 2 – Continuation: If buyers stay strong and bearish confirmation does not appear, price can break above this zone and continue higher with another impulsive bullish move. Scenario 3 – Range formation: Market may form a small sideways structure near this level before choosing a clear direction. 🧭 Summary: The trend is bearish, but price is at a sensitive resistance zone. Retesting is only valid if bearish candlestick patterns and selling pressure appear. Otherwise, the structure favors continuation or short-term consolidation before the next move.
Short
by Akash_kumar8908
CGPOWER: Major Rebound or Supply Trap?CGPOWER has staged a stunning recovery from recent lows, fueled by a robust Q3 Earnings beat and a massive 62% YoY jump in its order backlog (now at ₹15,753 Cr!). While the fundamentals are firing, the technicals are at a crossroads. 📉 The "Supply Wall" Challenge The Zone: 581 – 591 This is a historical supply zone where the stock has faced rejection multiple times. The stock hit an intraday high of 582.75 today, exactly where the "sellers' camp" begins. Despite the rally, major brokerages like Nomura have slightly trimmed targets due to copper price inflation, which might keep the "Supply Zone" active in the short term. 🎯 Trading Roadmap Bullish Case: A decisive daily close above 591 clears the historical overhead supply. If sustained, we are looking at a fast-track target toward 635+. Bearish Case: If price fails to break 591 and starts showing weakness while going below 582 (rejection candles), expect a retracement to 556. 🛠 Action Plan Support Level: Bulls remain in control as long as we hold above 574 (a bull mindset). A confirmatory "full swing" short only opens up below 574 although short can be initiated at 582.
NSE:CGPOWERLong
by STtraderr
Technical vs. Fundamental AnalysisIntroduction In the world of investing and trading, understanding the value and timing of financial instruments is crucial. Investors and traders often rely on two primary methods to guide their decisions: technical analysis and fundamental analysis. While both aim to inform decisions about buying, holding, or selling securities, they differ fundamentally in approach, methodology, and application. Understanding the strengths, limitations, and appropriate use cases of each is vital for anyone participating in financial markets. 1. Fundamental Analysis Fundamental analysis focuses on evaluating a security’s intrinsic value. It attempts to determine whether a stock, bond, or other asset is overvalued, undervalued, or fairly priced based on the underlying economic and financial factors. 1.1 Core Principles At its core, fundamental analysis is about understanding the “health” of a company or asset. Analysts examine various factors, including: Financial Statements: Income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements are analyzed to assess profitability, liquidity, solvency, and efficiency. Key metrics include earnings per share (EPS), price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, debt-to-equity ratio, and return on equity (ROE). Industry Conditions: The sector in which a company operates affects its potential. Market share, competitive advantages, regulatory environment, and industry growth trends are critical considerations. Macroeconomic Factors: Interest rates, inflation, GDP growth, and fiscal policies can significantly influence asset prices. Management Quality: Leadership decisions, corporate governance, and strategic vision often determine long-term success. 1.2 Methods There are two primary approaches to fundamental analysis: Top-Down Approach: Analysts first study macroeconomic conditions, then industry trends, and finally specific companies. Bottom-Up Approach: Focuses on analyzing individual companies, often ignoring broader economic conditions, to identify investment opportunities. 1.3 Example Suppose an investor evaluates Company X, a technology firm. By analyzing its revenue growth, profit margins, R&D spending, and competitive position, the investor determines the intrinsic value of the stock to be $150. If the current market price is $120, the stock may be considered undervalued, presenting a potential buying opportunity. 1.4 Advantages of Fundamental Analysis Long-Term Perspective: Helps investors identify securities that may generate sustainable returns over years. Value Identification: Can reveal undervalued or overvalued assets relative to intrinsic value. Economic Insight: Offers a comprehensive understanding of industry and macroeconomic impacts on investments. 1.5 Limitations of Fundamental Analysis Time-Consuming: Requires deep research, data collection, and analysis. Subjectivity: Estimating intrinsic value involves assumptions that may differ among analysts. Less Effective for Short-Term Trading: Market prices may diverge from fundamental values for extended periods. 2. Technical Analysis Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on price movements and trading patterns rather than the underlying business. It assumes that all relevant information is already reflected in the asset’s price, and that historical patterns tend to repeat over time. 2.1 Core Principles Technical analysis is based on three key assumptions: Market Action Discounts Everything: Prices reflect all available information, including fundamentals, market sentiment, and news. Prices Move in Trends: Once established, trends are more likely to continue than reverse, at least until proven otherwise. History Tends to Repeat Itself: Human psychology leads to recurring price patterns. 2.2 Tools and Techniques Technical analysts use charts, patterns, and indicators to forecast price movements: Charts: Line charts, bar charts, and candlestick charts visualize price action over different time frames. Indicators: Moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), MACD, Bollinger Bands, and Fibonacci retracement levels help identify trends and momentum. Patterns: Head-and-shoulders, double tops/bottoms, triangles, and flags signal potential reversals or continuations. Volume Analysis: Helps confirm trends or warn of potential reversals. 2.3 Example A trader observes that Stock Y has formed a “double bottom” pattern on its daily chart, signaling a potential upward reversal. Using this information, the trader may enter a long position, anticipating a price increase based on historical pattern behavior rather than the company’s earnings or fundamentals. 2.4 Advantages of Technical Analysis Timing and Short-Term Opportunities: Helps traders make decisions based on market trends and entry/exit points. Quantitative Approach: Uses measurable price data and mathematical indicators. Market Sentiment Insight: Captures emotions and behaviors that drive short-term price movements. 2.5 Limitations of Technical Analysis Does Not Measure Intrinsic Value: Focuses purely on price action without regard to a company’s financial health. False Signals: Patterns and indicators can fail, leading to losses. Short-Term Focus: Often unsuitable for long-term investment strategies. 3. Fundamental vs. Technical Analysis: Key Differences Feature Fundamental Analysis Technical Analysis Focus Intrinsic value of the asset Price movements and trends Time Horizon Long-term Short- to medium-term Basis Financial statements, economic indicators, industry trends Price charts, volume, technical indicators Assumption Market prices eventually reflect true value History tends to repeat; price trends continue Tools Ratios, financial models, macroeconomic data Charts, trend lines, moving averages, oscillators Decision Making Buy undervalued, sell overvalued Buy when patterns signal upward trend, sell on reversal signals Use Case Investment (long-term) Trading (short-term or swing trading) 4. Integrating Both Approaches Many successful investors and traders combine both fundamental and technical analysis: Long-Term Investors: Use fundamental analysis to identify undervalued stocks, then apply technical analysis to optimize entry points. Swing Traders: May rely primarily on technical analysis but consider fundamental news (earnings, economic data) to anticipate volatility. Portfolio Management: Combining both can improve risk management and timing of trades. Example of Integration Consider a tech company showing strong earnings growth (fundamental analysis). A technical analyst may wait for a price breakout above a resistance level before entering a trade. By combining both approaches, the investor aligns value with optimal timing. 5. Market Psychology and Behavioral Insights Fundamental Analysis: Relies on rational evaluation of financial health, assuming markets are logical over the long term. Technical Analysis: Captures human psychology, fear, and greed, which often dominate short-term market behavior. This difference reflects the broader tension between value investing and trend trading. Technical analysis often thrives in volatile, sentiment-driven markets, whereas fundamental analysis provides a grounded assessment during stable, growth-oriented periods. 6. Conclusion Both fundamental and technical analysis offer valuable insights, but they serve different purposes. Fundamental analysis is ideal for long-term investors seeking intrinsic value, focusing on company performance, industry trends, and economic conditions. Technical analysis suits short-term traders aiming to exploit market trends and price patterns, focusing on timing and market sentiment. While some purists favor one approach over the other, the most successful market participants often blend the two. Fundamental analysis provides the “why” behind an investment, while technical analysis provides the “when.” By understanding the strengths and limitations of each method, investors and traders can make more informed, strategic, and disciplined financial decisions. In today’s dynamic financial markets, a holistic approach that considers both fundamentals and technical signals can enhance profitability, reduce risk, and provide a robust framework for navigating complexity. Knowledge of both allows market participants to adapt to changing conditions, combine long-term insight with short-term strategy, and ultimately make more confident decisions in the face of uncertainty.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TechnicalExpress
XAUUSD – Bullish trend, focus on Buy pullbacks to 5,700Market Context (M30) Gold continues to trade in a strong bullish continuation after a clean impulsive leg higher. The recent consolidation above former resistance shows acceptance at higher prices, not exhaustion. This behavior suggests the market is rebalancing liquidity before the next expansion leg. On the macro side, USD remains under pressure, while safe-haven demand stays firm. Even though bond yields are relatively stable, capital flows continue to favor gold, keeping the upside bias intact. ➡️ Intraday bias: Bullish – trade with the trend, not against it. Structure & Price Action • Market structure remains bullish with Higher Highs – Higher Lows • Previous resistance has flipped into demand and is being respected • No bearish CHoCH or structural breakdown confirmed • Current pullbacks are corrective moves within an active uptrend Key takeaway: 👉 As long as price holds above key demand, pullbacks are opportunities for continuation. Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Buy the Pullback Patience is key. Avoid chasing price into extensions. • BUY Zone 1: 5,502 – 5,480 (Minor demand + short-term rebalancing zone) • BUY Zone 2: 5,425 – 5,400 (Trendline support + deeper liquidity zone) ➡️ Only execute BUYs after clear bullish reaction and structure confirmation. ➡️ No FOMO at highs. Upside Targets • TP1: 5,601 • TP2: 5,705 (upper Fibonacci extension / expansion target) Alternative Scenario If price holds above 5,601 without a meaningful pullback, wait for a break & retest to join the next continuation leg. Invalidation A confirmed M30 close below 5,400 would weaken the bullish structure and require reassessment. Summary Gold remains in a controlled bullish expansion supported by both structure and macro flow. The edge lies in discipline — buying pullbacks into demand while the trend stays intact, not predicting tops. ➡️ As long as structure holds, higher prices remain the path of least resistance.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Trading Strategy for 28th January 2026🟡 GOLD ($) TRADING PLAN 📊 TREND TRADING (Intraday) 📈 BUY SETUP 🟢 Condition: ➡️ Buy above the high of 30-min candle ➡️ Candle must close above $5244 🎯 Targets: 💰 $5255 💰 $5266 💰 $5277 🛑 Stop Loss: 🔻 Below the low of the breakout candle 📉 SELL SETUP 🔴 Condition: ➡️ Sell below the low of 1-hour candle ➡️ Candle must close below $5125 🎯 Targets: 💰 $5115 💰 $5105 💰 $5095 🛑 Stop Loss: 🔺 Above the high of the breakdown candle ⚡ SCALPING STRATEGY 🔻 SELL SCALPING (Resistance – $5244) ❌ Price tests $5244 zone ❌ 15-min candle rejection observed 📍 Entry: ➡️ Sell below the low of rejected 15-min candle 🛑 Stop Loss: 🔺 Above the high of rejected candle ⏱️ 5–10 points max or trail SL 📌 Trade Management: 🔄 Trail stop once price moves in favor 🔺 BUY SCALPING (Support – $5125) ✅ Price tests $5125 zone ✅ 15-min candle rejection observed 📍 Entry: ➡️ Buy above the high of rejected 15-min candle 🛑 Stop Loss: 🔻 Below the low of rejected candle ⏱️ 5–10 points max or trail SL 📌 Trade Management: 🔄 Trail stop once price moves in favor ⚠️ DISCLAIMER 🚨 This is not investment advice. 📉 Trading in commodities involves high risk. 💸 Past performance does not guarantee future results. 🧠 Trade only with proper risk management. 📌 Always consult your financial advisor before trading. ❗ Author is not responsible for any profit or loss.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
Small Cap vs. Large Cap – Visualizing Risk Cycles & Rotation PoiWhat the Lines Tell Us: 1. Small Caps (Blue): Steeper rallies in bullish phases, sharper falls in corrections. Higher beta, higher reward, higher pain. 2. Large Caps (Red): More stable, smoother trends. Acts as a defensive harbor during market stress. Now: The gap is wide again. Historically, this signals rising risk in small caps. Correlation with the Ratio-Based Strategy: - The Small-Cap / Large-Cap Ratio from my earlier post is essentially the vertical distance between these two lines. - When the blue line runs far above the red (wide gap) → Ratio is high (>1.6) → Time to rotate to large caps. - When the lines converge (gap narrows) → Ratio is low (<1.6) → Time to enter small caps. Current Implication: The gap is historically wide (similar to 2008, 2018 highs). This aligns with the ratio signal, reinforcing the move toward large-cap ETFs/index funds for capital preservation. Small caps will again shine—after the gap closes. Takeaway: You don’t need complex indicators. Sometimes, just watching these two lines and their separation tells you when to rotate—capture small-cap upside, hide in large-cap safety.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by tanmay_agrawal
Oil Supply and Demand Balances1. Understanding Oil Supply Oil supply refers to the total quantity of crude oil and petroleum products available for consumption at a given time. It can be categorized into several sources: a) Crude Oil Production: Crude oil production is the primary component of oil supply and is influenced by geological availability, technological capabilities, investment in exploration, and political factors. Major oil-producing countries such as Saudi Arabia, the United States, Russia, and members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) play a pivotal role in global production levels. b) Inventories and Stockpiles: Strategic and commercial oil reserves contribute to supply. Strategic reserves are maintained by governments to stabilize domestic markets in times of disruption, while commercial stockpiles are held by oil companies to meet demand fluctuations. Changes in inventory levels can signal either oversupply or shortages, impacting market prices. c) Refinery Output: Oil supply also depends on the capacity of refineries to process crude oil into usable products such as gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and heating oil. Refinery utilization rates, maintenance schedules, and technological improvements can affect the amount of refined products available in the market. d) Geopolitical Factors: Supply is highly sensitive to geopolitical events. Conflicts in oil-producing regions, sanctions, or trade restrictions can constrain supply, while agreements among producers to cut or increase output (such as OPEC+ decisions) directly influence global supply levels. e) Technological Advances and Unconventional Sources: The development of unconventional sources, such as shale oil and oil sands, has significantly expanded supply options. Advances in hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling, particularly in the U.S., have shifted the global supply landscape by increasing production flexibility. 2. Understanding Oil Demand Oil demand represents the quantity of crude oil and petroleum products that consumers are willing and able to purchase at prevailing prices. It is shaped by multiple factors: a) Economic Activity: Oil is a critical input for industrial production, transportation, and power generation. Economic growth drives higher energy consumption, especially in emerging economies such as China and India, which have rapidly growing industrial sectors and expanding transportation networks. b) Transportation Sector: The transportation sector accounts for the largest portion of oil demand. Demand for gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel is highly correlated with vehicle ownership, freight movement, and air travel. Shifts toward electric vehicles and public transportation can gradually reduce oil demand growth. c) Seasonal Variations: Oil demand fluctuates seasonally. For example, gasoline consumption typically rises during the summer driving season, while heating oil demand peaks in winter in colder regions. These seasonal patterns create temporary imbalances in supply and demand. d) Energy Policy and Substitutes: Government policies, such as fuel efficiency standards, carbon taxes, and subsidies for renewable energy, can affect oil demand. Increased adoption of alternative energy sources, biofuels, and electric mobility reduces reliance on oil and shifts the demand curve downward. e) Population Growth and Urbanization: Long-term oil demand trends are influenced by population growth and urbanization. Growing populations increase energy consumption, while urbanization often leads to higher transportation fuel usage, expanding the overall demand for oil. 3. Balancing Supply and Demand The balance between oil supply and demand is crucial for maintaining price stability. When supply exceeds demand, inventories build up, leading to falling prices. Conversely, when demand outstrips supply, inventories decline, creating upward pressure on prices. This balance can be analyzed in several ways: a) Global Oil Market Equilibrium: Oil markets aim to reach an equilibrium where the quantity supplied matches the quantity demanded at a certain price. This equilibrium is rarely static due to continuous changes in production, consumption patterns, and external shocks. b) Short-term vs Long-term Balances: Short-term balances are influenced by seasonal fluctuations, weather events, refinery outages, and geopolitical crises. For instance, hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico can temporarily disrupt U.S. production, tightening supply and pushing prices higher. Long-term balances are determined by structural factors such as new oil field developments, technological innovation, energy transitions, and long-term economic growth trends. c) Market Signals: Oil prices serve as a signal for both producers and consumers. High prices incentivize increased production and energy efficiency, while low prices can reduce exploration investment and promote consumption. Futures markets also reflect expectations about future supply-demand balances. 4. Factors Disrupting the Balance Oil supply-demand balances are highly sensitive and prone to disruption. Key disruptive factors include: Geopolitical Tensions: Wars, sanctions, and political instability in oil-producing regions can reduce supply unpredictably. Natural Disasters: Hurricanes, earthquakes, and other natural events can damage infrastructure, affecting both production and transportation. Technological Changes: Breakthroughs in extraction or renewable energy can shift the balance. For example, the shale revolution dramatically increased U.S. oil production. Economic Shocks: Global recessions reduce industrial activity and transportation, causing oil demand to fall sharply. Policy Shifts: Regulatory changes, carbon pricing, and subsidies for alternative energy can either suppress or stimulate oil consumption. 5. Measurement of Supply-Demand Balances Organizations such as the International Energy Agency (IEA), U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), and OPEC regularly monitor oil supply-demand balances. Key metrics include: Supply Figures: Crude oil production, refinery output, and stock changes. Demand Estimates: Consumption data across sectors and regions, including transportation, industrial, residential, and power generation. Inventory Levels: Changes in crude and product stocks, signaling tightness or oversupply in the market. Market Indicators: Futures prices, backwardation/contango structures, and spreads between crude grades. These metrics allow analysts to forecast potential shortages or surpluses and anticipate price trends. 6. Implications for the Oil Market The supply-demand balance has profound implications: Price Volatility: Imbalances lead to sharp fluctuations in oil prices, affecting energy costs globally. Investment Decisions: Producers rely on supply-demand forecasts to plan new exploration, production, and refining capacity. Policy Formulation: Governments monitor the balance to ensure energy security, manage strategic reserves, and design energy policies. Global Economic Impact: Oil prices influence inflation, trade balances, and economic growth worldwide. Surplus supply tends to lower prices, benefiting consumers, while shortages raise prices and strain economies. 7. Future Trends in Supply-Demand Balances Several emerging trends are reshaping oil supply-demand dynamics: Energy Transition: Shift toward renewables, electric vehicles, and energy efficiency may reduce long-term oil demand growth. Peak Oil Demand: Some analysts project a peak in global oil demand in the next few decades, driven by technological innovation and policy shifts. Geopolitical Realignments: Changes in OPEC+ strategies and new producers entering the market will influence future supply levels. Climate Policies: Decarbonization commitments and emission reduction targets are likely to constrain fossil fuel consumption. Conclusion Oil supply and demand balances form the foundation of global energy markets. Supply is shaped by production levels, inventories, refinery capacity, technology, and geopolitics, while demand is influenced by economic activity, transportation, policies, population growth, and energy alternatives. Maintaining equilibrium is critical for price stability and economic planning. Disruptions in either supply or demand can lead to volatility, affecting markets worldwide. As the world moves toward cleaner energy sources, the dynamics of oil supply-demand balances will continue to evolve, making careful monitoring and analysis increasingly vital for stakeholders across the energy sector.
NSE:RELIANCEEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
Possibility of some cooldown on GOLD for few months.Possibility of some cooldown on GOLD for few months. Gold after Rally to ATH of 165000+ looks reached on top end of the Channel ... Possibilities are it can consolidate near 170-175K Level for few weeks before providing new direction to the commodity. LTP - 164K Range 150K to 175K. View - Cautious / Consolidation Technicals: Crude is seen moving in upward direction ... Crude / Equities & Gold / Silver are seen moving in opposite directions in past ... With Equities market looking to bottomed out we can see big money moving from Metals to Equity in near months. Happy Investing.
MCX:GOLD1!
by ChartsBoltahai
Beating Nifty with One Ratio: The Small-Cap / Large-Cap SwitchWe all know small-cap outperforms in bull runs, but we forget to remember that it also crash harder in downturns. On the other hand, large-caps give just moderate returns But what if you could systematically increase your returns—using the same index funds? The Core Idea Track the "Small-Cap to Large-Cap Ratio" (BSE Small-Cap Index ÷ Nifty 50). This ratio shows when small-caps are overextended vs. large-caps. The Simple Rule (Backtested 2006-2024) 1. Go Small-Cap when ratio < 1.6 2. Switch to Large-Cap when ratio > 1.6 Why It Works It’s not market timing—it’s risk timing. The ratio peaks (1.8–2.2) near market tops and bottoms near 1.0. Switching at 1.6 avoids the worst drawdowns while staying invested. Backtested Results 1. Nifty Buy & Hold: ~12.1% CAGR (₹10L → ~₹70L) 2. Small-Cap Buy & Hold: ~12.3% CAGR (₹10L → ~₹75L) 3. Switch Strategy (Pre-tax): ~18.6% CAGR (₹10L → ~₹2.3Cr) How to Implement 1. Use ETFs: Nifty Bees for large-cap, a Small-Cap ETF for small-cap. 2. Check ratio monthly; switches occur ~every 2 years. 3. For SIPs, direct new money per the current signal.
BSE:SMLCAPEducation
by tanmay_agrawal
CANDLE PATTERNS Candlestick patterns are one of the most important tools in technical analysis because they visually represent market psychology: who is in control—the buyers (bulls) or the sellers (bears). Each candlestick captures the battle between demand and supply within a specific timeframe, such as 1 minute, 5 minutes, 30 minutes, daily, or weekly. By studying the shape, size, and position of candles, traders can understand momentum, reversals, trend continuation, and market indecision. Candlestick charts were first developed by Japanese rice merchants over 300 years ago. Today, they are used by traders across stock markets, index futures, options trading, forex, and crypto. A single candle contains four key pieces of information: Open High Low Close A candle is generally green (bullish) if the close is above the open, and red (bearish) if the close is below the open. The body shows the range between open and close, while the wicks (shadows) show the highest and lowest price levels touched. Patterns form when two or more candles appear together in a particular sequence indicating reversal, continuation, or indecision.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Gold at ATH before FOMC shakeout first or straight breakout?🧭 Macro Snapshot Donald Trump maintains a hardline stance, increasing military presence in the Middle East → geopolitical risk remains elevated. Tonight’s key focus: Federal Reserve Political pressure and questions around Fed independence. DXY continues to weaken, retesting major historical support (2020–2022) → supportive for gold. 👉 Conclusion: Geopolitics + a weaker USD set the bullish bias, while the Fed determines short-term volatility. 📊 Intraday Range to Watch Upper range: 5,280 – 5,305 Lower range: 5,190 – 5,160 → High probability of range trading and liquidity absorption ahead of the Fed decision. 🟢 Support 5,220–5,225 | 5,150–5,165 | 5,080–5,085 | 5,050–5,060 🔴 Resistance 5,280–5,294 | 5,300 | 5,315 | 5,380–5,385 ⚠️ Strategy Notes Expect possible fake moves / stop hunts within the range. Avoid chasing highs or catching tops without confirmation. Focus on price reaction at key levels and stay disciplined. Summary: Gold is fundamentally supported, but today the key is how price reacts within 5,160–5,305. Be patient — wait for confirmation — trade the reaction.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Chum_trades
1
Gold retraces after surge – trend remains intact.Quick Context Recent geopolitical uncertainty continues to support safe-haven flows. Gold has already delivered a strong bullish impulse, and the current move looks like a healthy correction, not a reversal. Technical Snapshot (H1–H4) Strong bullish impulse already completed Current price action = controlled retracement No bearish CHoCH, no structural breakdown Market is resetting momentum after expansion This is typical impulse → retrace → continuation behavior. Key Levels to Watch Buy Zone: 5,180 – 5,160 Invalidation: H1 close below 5,120 Upside continuation targets: 5,300 5,360 Extension toward 5,440+ If – Then Logic If price holds above 5,160 → expect continuation higher If price sweeps into 5,180–5,160 and reacts → buy-the-dip opportunity Only if H1 closes below 5,120 → bullish bias weakens Bottom Line Gold is not reversing — it is reloading. Pullbacks are part of trend strength. Wait for reaction, not confirmation at the highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC