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StevenTrading – XAUUSD Next Week | Elliott Wave 5 & ...⚡️ StevenTrading – XAUUSD Next Week | Elliott Wave 5 & Resistance–Support (H4/M30) 📰 Fundamental Analysis Gold holds around 4,000 USD thanks to safe-haven demand amidst macro uncertainties. US consumer sentiment weakens; prolonged government shutdown risks increase defensive demand. The market is pricing in about a 68% chance of a Fed rate cut in December; however, USD rebounds may limit short-term gains. → Next week, prioritise disciplined trading, wait for H4 candle confirmation before expanding targets. 📊 Technical – Elliott Wave + Resistance/Support Elliott Context: Bullish scenario (short-term): wave count shows currently in wave 5 up if decisively breaking the 4,035–4,058 zone. Bearish scenario (medium/long-term): wave 5 down remains valid if it doesn't surpass 4,035 and closes H4 below 3,960 (losing uptrend line). Key Price Zones & Trendline: Resistance: 4,035–4,058 (confirmation zone for rise), 4,149, 4,292. Support: 4,002 (current price), 3,960 (trend loss confirmation), 3,780 (deep target if reversal). H4 Trendline: upward, passing through the 3.92–3.96 bottom cluster; breaking trendline with H4 close below 3,960 = triggers wave 5 down. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 🟢 Bullish – Activating wave 5 up Condition: H4 candle closes above 4,035. Entry: 4,036–4,040 Stop loss: 4,020 Take profit: 4,058 → 4,149 → 4,292 Note: wait for M30 retest holding 4,035 before increasing position. Entry: 4,002–4,006 Stop loss: 3,988 Take profit: 4,019 → 4,035 → 4,058 Reason: retest price box + uptrend line, expecting push to confirmation zone. 🔴 Bearish – Activating wave 5 down Condition: H4 candle closes below 3,960 (trendline break). Entry: 3,956–3,960 (retest) Stop loss: 3,976 Take profit: 3,920 → 3,885 → 3,820 → 3,780 Reason: confirms structure loss, opens downward momentum towards 3.78k. ⚠️ Risks & Invalidation Buy order invalidation: H4 candle closes below 3,988/3,960 (depending on scenario) → stop buying, wait for new structure. Sell order invalidation: H4 candle closes above 4,058, especially holding above 4,035 after retest → stop selling, switch to waiting for rebound buying.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
NIFTY at a Crucial Zone - BIG MOVE COMINGNifty is standing at a crucial support zone, and the next few days will determine whether the market begins a fresh rally or breaks down for a deeper decline. At present, Nifty has taken support near 25320–25380. This area is critical for three reasons: Gap Support: There was a gap on the charts near 25320 from earlier trading sessions. That gap is now filled and is acting as a support level. Trendline Retest: This same zone also touches the long-term trendline that Nifty broke earlier. Retesting that trendline is a common technical behaviour before the next big move. 50% Fibonacci Retracement: If we measure the recent rally from 24600 to 26100, then the 50% retracement level also comes exactly around 25,350. This means the market has corrected half of its move and is now testing buyers' strength. So, this area between 25320–25380 is a major support zone where buyers are expected to defend the market. Current Market Behaviour For the last few sessions, Nifty has been falling, but it is still holding this support. If the market takes support here and starts going up, it can trigger short covering. Many short traders are keeping their stop loss near the previous candle highs, which are around 25550. If Nifty breaks above 25550, these stop losses will get hit, and that can lead to a sharp rally due to short covering. Upside View (If Nifty Moves Up) If Nifty crosses 25550 and sustains above it, we can expect a good upside move: First target: 26470 – 26500 Next target: 26900 This move can happen quickly because short sellers will exit their positions and buyers will enter aggressively. Downside View (If Support Fails) If Nifty breaks below 25320 and closes below it: Next support is near 24600, but this level has already been tested earlier, so it has become a weak support now. If 24600 also breaks, the next possible target is 24000. This will mean that the market has entered a deeper correction phase. Volatility & India VIX Right now, India VIX is around 12.55, and it is slowly moving up. This increase in VIX means uncertainty is rising, which usually supports a downside or volatile market. If VIX cools down near 11, it will show that fear is reducing, and the market can again aim for new highs. But if VIX keeps rising toward 15, expect more pressure and a possible fall. Final View Nifty is at a point where either fresh buying starts or the market breaks down. All major indicators (trendline, gap, Fibonacci, and previous support) are pointing to this being a decisive zone. Traders should watch 25320 on the downside and 25550 on the upside - whichever breaks first will set the next trend. Stay patient and avoid emotional trades here - this is where big moves begin.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by TradingBaniya
Advanced Chart Patterns in Technical Analysis1. Introduction to Advanced Chart Patterns In trading, patterns repeat because human behavior is repetitive. Fear, greed, and hope drive market movements, and these emotions get imprinted in price charts. Advanced chart patterns are an extension of classical technical formations, combining structure, volume, and momentum to forecast price trends. Mastering them helps traders differentiate between false breakouts and genuine opportunities. Advanced patterns generally fall into two main categories: Continuation Patterns – Indicating a pause before the prevailing trend continues. Reversal Patterns – Signaling the end of a trend and the beginning of a new one. 2. Head and Shoulders (Reversal Pattern) The Head and Shoulders pattern is one of the most reliable reversal signals. It indicates a change in trend direction — from bullish to bearish (standard form) or from bearish to bullish (inverse form). Structure: Left shoulder: A price rise followed by a decline. Head: A higher peak than the left shoulder, followed by another decline. Right shoulder: A lower rise, followed by a breakdown through the neckline. Neckline: Connects the lows between the shoulders and serves as a key breakout level. Once the price breaks below the neckline, it confirms a bearish reversal. The target is estimated by measuring the distance from the head to the neckline and projecting it downward. Inverse Head and Shoulders works similarly but in the opposite direction — signaling a bullish reversal after a downtrend. 3. Cup and Handle Pattern The Cup and Handle is a bullish continuation pattern resembling a teacup. It was popularized by William O’Neil in his book How to Make Money in Stocks. Formation: Cup: A rounded bottom, showing a gradual shift from selling to buying. Handle: A short pullback or consolidation that follows the cup, forming a downward-sloping channel. When the price breaks above the handle’s resistance with strong volume, it often signals a continuation of the prior uptrend. Target: The depth of the cup added to the breakout point. This pattern is often seen in growth stocks and long-term bullish markets. 4. Double Top and Double Bottom These patterns are classic but essential to advanced technical traders due to their reliability and frequency. Double Top: Appears after a strong uptrend. Price makes two peaks at similar levels separated by a moderate decline. A breakdown below the “neckline” confirms a bearish reversal. Double Bottom: Appears after a downtrend. Two troughs form around the same level with a peak in between. A breakout above the neckline signals a bullish reversal. Volume confirmation is crucial — rising volume on the breakout adds credibility to the pattern. 5. Flag and Pennant Patterns Flags and Pennants are short-term continuation patterns that often appear after a strong price movement, known as the “flagpole.” Flag: Forms as a small rectangular channel sloping against the main trend. Pennant: Appears as a small symmetrical triangle following a sharp move. These patterns typically consolidate the market before the next strong move in the same direction. Breakout Rule: When price breaks in the direction of the previous trend, accompanied by high volume, it confirms continuation. Target Projection: Length of the flagpole added to the breakout point. 6. Wedge Patterns Wedges are advanced chart patterns signaling either continuation or reversal depending on their position and direction. Rising Wedge: Forms when price makes higher highs and higher lows, but the slope narrows upward. Typically appears in an uptrend and indicates weakening bullish momentum — a bearish reversal signal. Falling Wedge: Forms with lower highs and lower lows converging downward. Usually appears in a downtrend, indicating a potential bullish reversal. Volume generally declines during formation and expands during breakout, confirming the move. 7. Symmetrical, Ascending, and Descending Triangles Triangles represent consolidation phases and serve as reliable continuation patterns. Symmetrical Triangle: Characterized by converging trendlines with no clear direction bias. Breakout direction typically follows the prior trend. Ascending Triangle: Horizontal resistance with rising support. Usually forms during an uptrend, signaling bullish continuation. Descending Triangle: Horizontal support with declining resistance. Typically bearish, indicating continuation of a downtrend. Triangles are volume-sensitive patterns — declining volume during formation and surge during breakout strengthens reliability. 8. Rectangle Pattern A Rectangle or Trading Range represents a period of indecision between buyers and sellers. Formation: Price oscillates between horizontal support and resistance. Interpretation: Breakout above resistance → bullish signal. Breakdown below support → bearish signal. Traders often trade within the rectangle until a confirmed breakout occurs, using stop-losses near the opposite boundary. 9. Diamond Pattern The Diamond Top is an advanced reversal pattern that forms after a prolonged uptrend. It begins as a broadening formation (wider price swings) and ends with a narrowing triangle — resembling a diamond shape. Indicates distribution and market exhaustion. Once price breaks below the support line, it confirms a bearish reversal. This pattern is rare but highly reliable when spotted correctly. 10. Harmonic Patterns (Advanced Category) Harmonic patterns use Fibonacci ratios to predict potential reversals with high precision. These include Gartley, Bat, Butterfly, and Crab patterns. Gartley Pattern: Indicates retracement within a trend, typically completing at the 78.6% Fibonacci level. Bat Pattern: Uses deeper retracement levels (88.6%) to identify precise turning points. Butterfly Pattern: Suggests a reversal near 127% or 161.8% Fibonacci extensions. Crab Pattern: Known for extreme projections (up to 224% or more), signaling deep retracements. These patterns require advanced understanding of Fibonacci tools and are used by professional traders for precision entries. 11. Rounding Bottom and Top Rounding Bottom: Gradual shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. Indicates long-term accumulation before a breakout. Typically seen in major trend reversals in large-cap stocks. Rounding Top: Slow shift from bullish to bearish sentiment. Represents distribution and is often followed by a sustained downtrend. These patterns form over long durations (weeks or months) and are reliable for positional traders. 12. Broadening Formation Also known as a megaphone pattern, it shows increasing volatility and investor uncertainty. Formation: Two diverging trendlines — one ascending, one descending. Meaning: Early sign of market instability; may precede major reversals. Trade Setup: Enter once a confirmed breakout occurs beyond the pattern boundaries. 13. Volume and Confirmation in Chart Patterns Volume plays a critical role in confirming pattern validity. Key principles include: Decreasing volume during consolidation or pattern formation. Increasing volume during breakout, confirming institutional participation. False breakouts often occur on low volume, trapping retail traders. Combining volume indicators (like OBV or Volume Oscillator) with pattern analysis enhances accuracy. 14. Practical Application and Risk Management Even the most reliable patterns fail without proper risk management and confirmation strategies. Wait for breakout confirmation with candle close beyond key levels. Use stop-loss slightly below support or above resistance. Combine patterns with momentum indicators like RSI or MACD for confirmation. Avoid overtrading; focus on quality setups with clear symmetry and volume validation. 15. Conclusion Advanced chart patterns bridge the gap between price action and trader psychology. They help traders interpret market behavior and anticipate future movements with a structured approach. Patterns like the Cup and Handle, Head and Shoulders, and Wedges reveal not just the direction but also the strength and conviction of trends. Mastering these patterns requires practice, discipline, and confirmation through indicators and volume. When used correctly, advanced chart patterns empower traders to make informed, high-probability decisions — transforming random price data into profitable trading opportunities.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Breakdown & Long Setup (15-Min Chart)The S&P 500 has completed a full five-wave impulsive decline and is now progressing through a corrective A–B–C structure, offering a potential long setup on the horizon. 🔍 Wave Structure Recap: - Wave (1) began on Oct 29, 2025, from a top of 6,920.33, and ended on Oct 31 at 6,814.27. - Wave (2) retraced to the 61.8% Fib level of Wave (1), topping at 6,879.01. - Wave (3) extended to the 161.8% Fib projection of Wave (1), bottoming at 6,707.52. - Wave (4) retraced between the 23.6%–38.2% Fib zone, peaking at 6,757.64. - Wave (5) concluded near the 61.8% extension, at 6,631.45. 📈 Current Setup: - The index is now completing corrective Wave A, currently in its final sub-wave (v), targeting the 38.2% projection at 6,734.47. - We anticipate a Wave B retracement toward the 50%–61.8% zone, near 6,670, which will be our entry level to go long and ride the upcoming Wave C. 🧠 Strategy: - Wait for Wave A to complete near 6,734. - Look for bullish confirmation around 6,670 during Wave B. - Target Wave C extension with trailing stops to capture the move.
TVC:SPXLong
by RajnishMytemple
Expected eurusd sell upto April 2026Long term expectations for eurusd Forecasts suggest the EUR/USD pair is likely to remain under selling pressure until April 2026, with projections showing declines toward the 1.06–1.09 range before a potential rebound later in 2026. TICKMILL:EURUSD --- EUR/USD Sell Outlook up to April 2026 📌 Introduction The EUR/USD currency pair, often called the “fiber,” is the most traded forex pair globally. Its movements reflect the balance of power between the Eurozone economy and the United States economy. Traders, investors, and policymakers closely monitor this pair because it influences global capital flows, trade balances, and risk sentiment. As we look ahead to April 2026, multiple forecasts from financial analysts and institutions indicate a bearish trend for EUR/USD. This article provides a comprehensive 1500-word analysis of why the euro is expected to weaken against the dollar, the fundamental and technical drivers behind this outlook, and what traders should anticipate in the months leading up to April 2026. --- 📉 Forecast Data: EUR/USD Until April 2026 According to long-term projections: - December 2025: EUR/USD expected around 1.1207, down nearly 3% from earlier levels. - January 2026: Forecast at 1.0866, marking a 5.9% decline. - February 2026: Projected at 1.0673, continuing the bearish momentum. - March 2026: Expected to fall further to 1.0569, the lowest in this cycle. - April 2026: Slight recovery to 1.0698, but still well below 2025 highs. This data suggests a clear sell bias until at least April 2026, with EUR/USD struggling to hold above the 1.07 level. --- ⚖️ Fundamental Drivers of EUR/USD Weakness 1. Divergence in Monetary Policy - Federal Reserve (Fed): The Fed is expected to maintain a relatively hawkish stance, keeping interest rates higher for longer to combat inflation. Higher U.S. yields attract global capital, strengthening the dollar. - European Central Bank (ECB): The ECB faces slower growth and weaker inflationary pressures compared to the U.S. This limits its ability to raise rates aggressively, leaving the euro vulnerable. 2. Economic Growth Gap - U.S. Economy: Resilient consumer spending, strong labor markets, and technological investment continue to support growth. - Eurozone: Struggles with energy costs, sluggish industrial output, and geopolitical risks (e.g., Ukraine conflict) weigh on growth. 3. Energy Dependence The Eurozone remains heavily dependent on imported energy, particularly natural gas. Any supply disruptions or price spikes disproportionately hurt the euro compared to the dollar. 4. Safe-Haven Flows In times of global uncertainty, investors flock to the U.S. dollar as a safe-haven asset. This dynamic further pressures EUR/USD lower. --- 📊 Technical Analysis Outlook Long-Term Trend - Resistance Levels: 1.12 (December 2025), 1.10 (January 2026). - Support Levels: 1.06 (February–March 2026). - Trend Bias: Downward channel until April 2026. Indicators - Moving Averages: 200-day MA trending downward, confirming bearish sentiment. - RSI (Relative Strength Index): Hovering near oversold territory, suggesting persistent selling pressure but potential for short-term corrections. - Fibonacci Retracements: Key retracement levels point to 1.056–1.07 as critical support zones. --- 🌍 Geopolitical and Macro Risks - U.S. Elections (2024 aftermath): Policy uncertainty may briefly weaken the dollar, but long-term fundamentals favor USD strength. - Eurozone Debt Concerns: Rising debt levels in Italy and Spain could undermine investor confidence in the euro. - Global Trade Tensions: Any escalation in trade disputes tends to benefit the dollar as a safe haven. --- 📈 Trading Strategies for EUR/USD Sell Bias 1. Short Positions: - Enter near resistance levels (1.11–1.12). - Target support zones (1.06–1.07). 2. Risk Management: - Use tight stop-losses above 1.13. - Diversify with other USD pairs (USD/JPY, USD/CHF). 3. Hedging: - Consider long positions in commodities (gold, oil) to offset euro weakness. 4. Scalping Opportunities: - Intraday volatility around ECB/Fed announcements offers short-term sell trades. --- 📌 Outlook Beyond April 2026 While EUR/USD is expected to remain weak until April 2026, forecasts suggest a gradual recovery starting mid-2026: - May–July 2026: EUR/USD projected to rebound toward 1.16–1.17. - August–October 2026: Further recovery to 1.19–1.21, signaling a shift in sentiment. This indicates that the sell bias is temporary, and traders should prepare for a potential trend reversal after April 2026. --- 📝 Conclusion The EUR/USD pair is forecasted to remain under selling pressure until April 2026, with levels dropping toward 1.06–1.09. The bearish outlook is driven by monetary policy divergence, economic growth disparities, energy vulnerabilities, and safe-haven flows favoring the dollar. For traders, this period offers opportunities to capitalize on short positions, but risk management is crucial given pote TICKMILL:EURUSD ntial volatility. Beyond April 2026, a gradual recovery is expected, marking a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. --- ✅ ---
Short
by rfxsignals
LT market structure shift LT bullish setup, 30 ema above 50 ema above 100 ema and market structure shift, stoploss below 50 ema closing basis, risk rewar 1:2 Larsen & Toubro (L&T) financial update and key features for 2025: Market Capitalization: Approximately ₹3.6 lakh crore Revenue (FY 2025): ₹2.26 lakh crore (~$27 billion), showing steady growth Net Profit (FY 2025): ₹16,000 crore+, reflecting solid profitability Earnings Per Share (EPS): Around ₹55-60 Price to Earnings (P/E) Ratio: In the range of 30-35, indicating reasonable valuation for the industrial sector Business Segments: Engineering & Construction, Manufacturing, Financial Services, IT and Technology Services Order Book: Strong and diversified, exceeding ₹5 lakh crore, underpinning future revenue visibility Dividend Yield: Around 1.2%-1.5% Long-term Growth Drivers: Large infrastructure projects in India, government focus on urbanization and defense manufacturing, digital & technology expansion Financial Health: Robust balance sheet with low debt and strong cash flows L&T remains one of India's premier conglomerates with a diversified portfolio and stable financial metrics, well-positioned to benefit from rising infrastructure and industrial spending
NSE:LTLong
by rajeshpgpg
Implied Volatility and Open Interest Analysis1. Understanding Implied Volatility (IV) Implied Volatility is a metric derived from the market price of options that reflects the market’s expectations of future volatility in the price of the underlying asset. Unlike historical volatility, which measures past price fluctuations, IV is forward-looking—it tells us how much the market expects the asset to move in the future. Key Characteristics of IV: Expressed in percentage terms, showing the expected annualized movement in the underlying asset. Does not predict direction—only the magnitude of expected price swings. Higher IV means the market expects larger price movements (high uncertainty or fear). Lower IV means smaller expected price movements (stability or complacency). Factors Influencing Implied Volatility: Market sentiment: During uncertainty or events like elections, budgets, or economic announcements, IV tends to rise. Supply and demand for options: Heavy buying of options increases IV, while heavy selling reduces it. Time to expiration: Longer-duration options usually have higher IV due to greater uncertainty over time. Earnings or corporate events: Stocks often show rising IV ahead of quarterly earnings announcements. 2. Interpreting Implied Volatility High IV Environment: When IV is high, option premiums are expensive. This generally indicates: Traders expect significant movement (up or down). Fear or uncertainty is present in the market. Volatility sellers (option writers) might see an opportunity to sell overpriced options. For example, before major events like the Union Budget or RBI policy meeting, IV in Nifty options typically spikes due to the anticipated market reaction. Low IV Environment: When IV is low, option premiums are cheaper. This usually means: The market expects calm or limited movement. Traders may be complacent. Volatility buyers might see an opportunity to buy options cheaply before an expected rise in volatility. Implied Volatility Rank (IVR) and IV Percentile: IV Rank compares current IV to its range over the past year. Example: An IV Rank of 80 means current IV is higher than 80% of the past year’s readings. IV Percentile shows the percentage of time IV has been below current levels. Both help traders decide if options are cheap or expensive relative to history. 3. Understanding Open Interest (OI) Open Interest represents the total number of outstanding option or futures contracts that are currently open (not yet closed, exercised, or expired). It indicates the total participation or liquidity in a particular strike or contract. For example, if a trader buys 1 Nifty 22000 Call and another trader sells it, OI increases by one contract. If later that position is closed, OI decreases by one. Key Aspects of OI: Rising OI with rising prices = new money entering the market (bullish). Rising OI with falling prices = fresh short positions (bearish). Falling OI with rising or falling prices = unwinding of positions (profit booking or exit). Stable OI = sideways or consolidating market. 4. How to Read Open Interest Data OI and Price Relationship: Price Trend OI Trend Market Interpretation ↑ Price ↑ OI Long build-up (bullish) ↓ Price ↑ OI Short build-up (bearish) ↑ Price ↓ OI Short covering (bullish) ↓ Price ↓ OI Long unwinding (bearish) For example, if Nifty futures rise by 150 points and OI increases, traders are opening new long positions, suggesting bullishness. But if prices rise while OI falls, short positions are being covered. 5. Using OI in Option Chain Analysis In options trading, OI is especially useful for identifying support and resistance zones. High Call OI indicates a potential resistance level because sellers expect the price to stay below that strike. High Put OI indicates a potential support level because sellers expect the price to stay above that strike. For instance: If Nifty has maximum Call OI at 22500 and maximum Put OI at 22000, traders consider this as a range of consolidation (22000–22500). A breakout above 22500 or breakdown below 22000 with sharp OI changes can signal a shift in trend. 6. Combining IV and OI for Better Insights Using IV and OI together gives a more complete picture of the market’s mindset. Scenario 1: Rising IV + Rising OI Indicates strong speculative activity. Traders expect big moves, either due to events or upcoming volatility. Suitable for straddle or strangle buyers. Scenario 2: Falling IV + Rising OI Implies calm market conditions with new positions being built. Traders expect limited movement. Suitable for option writing strategies (like Iron Condor, Short Straddle). Scenario 3: Rising IV + Falling OI Suggests short covering or unwinding due to fear. Market participants are closing existing positions amid uncertainty. Scenario 4: Falling IV + Falling OI Indicates profit booking after a volatile phase. Usually happens in post-event consolidation. 7. Practical Example: Nifty Option Chain Analysis Suppose the Nifty 50 index is trading around 22,300. Strike Call OI Put OI IV (Call) IV (Put) 22,000 4.8 L 6.2 L 15% 16% 22,300 5.5 L 5.1 L 17% 18% 22,500 7.8 L 3.9 L 20% 17% Here: Maximum Call OI at 22,500 → Resistance zone. Maximum Put OI at 22,000 → Support zone. IV is rising across strikes → traders expect upcoming volatility. If price moves above 22,500 and Call writers exit (OI drops), while new Put OI builds, it signals a bullish breakout. 8. Role of IV and OI in Strategy Selection High IV Strategies (Volatile Market): Buy Straddle or Strangle (expecting large movement) Calendar Spread Long Vega strategies Low IV Strategies (Stable Market): Iron Condor Short Straddle Covered Call Credit Spreads OI data helps traders identify which strikes to select for these strategies and where the market might reverse or consolidate. 9. Limitations of IV and OI Analysis While powerful, both metrics have limitations: IV can be misleading before major events; it reflects expectations, not certainty. OI data is end-of-day in many cases, so intraday traders might miss rapid shifts. Sharp OI changes might also result from rollovers or hedging adjustments, not directional bias. Hence, traders must use IV and OI along with price action, volume, and trend indicators for confirmation. 10. Conclusion Implied Volatility and Open Interest form the foundation of options market sentiment analysis. IV tells us what the market expects to happen in terms of movement magnitude. OI tells us how much participation or commitment traders have in the current trend. Together, they reveal a deeper layer of market psychology—identifying whether traders are fearful, greedy, hedging, or speculating. For successful trading, combining price action + IV + OI enables traders to forecast volatility cycles, confirm trends, and time their entries or exits effectively. In essence, mastering IV and OI analysis empowers traders to read the invisible hand of market sentiment—a crucial skill for anyone in the derivatives market.
NSE:ASIANPAINTEducation
by TechnicalExpress
LT - Positional Short SetupCMP 3980 on 04.11.25 In the last 2 years, the stock has been traveling in a rising wedge pattern. At present, it has reached higher levels. If it reverses from these levels, there could be a short opportunity. All important levels are marked on the chart. Possible targets may be 3840/3730 or even more downside, depending upon the scenario. If it sustains above 4100, the exit plan should be exercised. All the above illustrations and descriptions are for educational and observation purposes only. It is not a buying or selling recommendation. All the best.
NSE:LTShort
by anandlive
Part 6 Learn Institutional Trading What Are Options? An option is a financial derivative whose value is based on an underlying asset—such as stocks, indices, or commodities. The two main types of options are: Call Option: Gives the holder the right to buy an asset at a specific price (called the strike price) before or on the expiration date. Put Option: Gives the holder the right to sell an asset at a specific strike price before or on the expiration date. The buyer of an option pays a premium to the seller (writer) for this right. The seller, in return, assumes an obligation—if the buyer exercises the option, the seller must fulfill the contract terms.
NSE:KOTAKBANKEducation
by SkyTradingZone
1
AMBUJACEM 1 Week Time Frame 📊 Key support / resistance & pivot levels According to Market Screener, short-term support is around ₹554.95 and resistance around ₹591.40. Weekly pivot levels from one source: Standard pivot ~ ₹575.17, support S1 ~ ₹554.03, resistance R1 ~ ₹587.83. Daily pivot for a shorter time frame: Pivot ~ ₹582.32, S1 ~ 575.69, R1 ~ 585.64. 🎯 Key levels to watch (for the upcoming week) Here are approximate levels you might monitor: Support: ~ ₹555–560 — if price dips, this zone may provide a floor. Resistance: ~ ₹590–595 — breaking above could open further upside. Pivot / midpoint: ~ ₹568–570 — the “centre” where short-term bias may shift.
NSE:AMBUJACEMLong
by Knowledgehub
LiamTrading – XAUUSD D1 | Scenario for Week 2 of NovemberLiamTrading – XAUUSD D1 | Scenario for Week 2 of November Accumulation range 4047–3928, prioritise buying on breakout – watch for short at 4200 (FVG + Fib 0.382) Overview: After the correction from the historical peak, gold is forming a bottom – accumulating in the price box 4047–3928. The D1 structure still leans towards a medium-term uptrend if the price holds above 3928; the ~4200 area coincides with a broad FVG + Fib 0.382, a “liquidity pool” prone to strong reactions. Macro Summary Hedging flows against public debt/deficit risks and net buying demand from some central banks/Asian bloc support the long-term trend. Expectations of a cooling interest rate path in 2026 help ease pressure on gold, but pullbacks may still occur before major technical milestones. Technical Analysis (D1 Frame – Trendline | S/R | Volume zone | Fibonacci) Accumulation Range: 4047 (top of the box) ↔️ 3928 (bottom of the box). D1 closing above 4047 confirms an upper range expansion; breaking 3928 triggers a deeper decline to lower Fib levels. Fibonacci of the most recent up wave: The price is oscillating around 0.618 → tendency to form a base. Deeper area if the base breaks: 0.5 ~ 3850 and 0.382 ~ 3710. Key resistance: 4090–4120 (mid-box area), ~4200 (FVG + Fib 0.382) – expected large liquidity/short-term reversal zone. Important support: 3990–4010 (psychological/trading cushion), 3928 (lower range – breakout mark). Trendline: The medium-term uptrend line remains intact if corrections do not close below 3928. Trading Scenario for the New Week Scenario 1 – Buy with the trend on upper range breakout Condition: D1 closes above 4047, retest holds firm at 4038–4047. Entry: 4048–4055 SL: 4018 TP: 4090 → 4120 → 4185–4205 (FVG + Fib 0.382) Management: Take partial profit at 4090/4120, move SL to breakeven at +1R. Scenario 1b – Buy at the box bottom (fade range) Entry: 3935–3945 (when there is a rejection candle/clear buying tail at 3928–3945) SL: 3895 TP: 3995–4010 → 4040–4047 Note: If D1 closes below 3928, cancel the plan and switch bias to a bearish scenario. Scenario 2 – Short reaction at the 4200 liquidity zone Entry: 4185–4205 (FVG + Fib 0.382) when clear rejection appears on D1/H4 SL: 4225 TP: 4120 → 4047 → 4010 (extended target: 3850 if there is a breakdown signal) Note: Counter-trend order; reduce volume, exit quickly if D1 closes above 4205. Risk & Invalidation The medium-term bullish bias remains valid as long as D1 does not close below 3928. D1 closing below 3928 opens the path to 3850 (Fib 0.5), even 3710 (Fib 0.382). Strong news (CPI, employment, central bank speeches) can disrupt signals; wait for candle closure according to the chosen frame. Summary Gold is “spring-loaded” within 4047–3928. Priority plan: Buy on breakout–hold 4047 to aim for 4090–4120 and test ~4200; simultaneously watch for short reaction at 4200. If 3928 breaks, switch scenario to decline towards 3850 → 3710.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAU/USD – Retest Before Takeoff📊 Market Structure After several days of fluctuating within a narrow range, gold has finally broken through the main descending trendline extending from the peak of 4,108 USD. Buyers are currently controlling the short-term structure by continuously creating BoS (Break of Structure) in the price range of 3,965 – 3,980 USD. The Order Block 3,970 – 3,975 USD area has become an important dynamic support zone , converging with the newly formed trendline. If the price continues to hold above this area, there is a high possibility of a light retest to absorb liquidity before breaking out to higher resistance zones. Above, the Resistance 4,028 USD zone is the first barrier to overcome to confirm the medium-term uptrend, while the Liquidity Zone around 4,070 – 4,080 USD is the extended target of the breakout. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Order Block (Support): 3,970 – 3,975 USD → potential retest area. • Resistance Zone: 4,028 USD → first profit-taking point for buyers. • Liquidity Zone: 4,070 – 4,080 USD → extended target if resistance is successfully broken. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Scenario – Retest OB: If the price adjusts to the 3,970 – 3,975 USD area and a confirming candle signal appears (bullish rejection / engulfing): • Entry: 3,972 – 3,975 • SL: 3,960 • TP1: 4,015 • TP2: 4,028 • TP3: 4,070 → Prioritize trading with the trend after the uptrend structure is confirmed. 2️⃣ SELL Scenario – Reaction at Resistance: If the price hits the 4,028 – 4,070 USD area and there is a strong reversal signal: • Entry: 4,045 • SL: 4,065 • TP1: 4,015 • TP2: 3,985 → Short-term scalp, only activate if a clear rejection signal appears. 🧠 Vincent’s View Gold is showing signs of transitioning from accumulation to range expansion . Breaking the descending trendline is the first signal for a new upward move, as long as the OB 3,970 area remains intact. Buyers can take advantage of pullbacks to increase their position, targeting 4,070 USD – where significant liquidity converges above. “Break the line, respect the retest — that’s where smart money joins the move.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 07/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
How will 25500 act now! As a SUPPORT or RESISTANCE!?As we can see NIFTY showed strong recovery despite opening weak exactly as analysed bt failed to close above 25500 which could potentially make 25500 psychological level as STRONG DEMAND ZONE TURNED SUPPLY ZONE but will turn void if opens gap up and sustains itself above 25500! 25500 can be ascertained as a SUPPLY ZONE only if NIFTY despite opening strong fails to hold itself above 25500 and closes below so keeping all these important points in mind, plan your trades accordingly.
NSE:NIFTY
by Wealthcam