XAUUSD – PRIORITIZE BUYING WITH THE TREND | TARGET 4100
Hello trader 👋
Gold continues to set new highs, maintaining a strong upward momentum despite the USD stabilizing temporarily. The current market structure shows a sustainable uptrend, with short-term corrections only serving as entry points for trend-aligned buying.
🔎 Technical Analysis
The price is currently moving within an ascending channel and has just broken out above the previous high, confirming the dominance of buying pressure.
The 4.618 Fibonacci extension signals a technical target around 4100, a strong psychological resistance and the mid-term price expectation.
RSI remains above the 60 level → upward momentum shows no signs of weakening.
EMA200 (H1–H4) is well below, reinforcing a stable uptrend structure.
⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan
🟢 BUY 1:
Entry: 4003 – 4005
Stop Loss: 3998
Take Profit: 4016 → 4025 → 4040 → 4062
👉 Buy when the price retraces to the lower edge of the channel or retests the key level.
🟢 BUY 2:
Entry: 3961 – 3963
Stop Loss: 3956
Take Profit: 3975 → 3988 → 3996 → 4008 → 4025
👉 Enter at the FVG (Fair Value Gap) support area in agreement with the ascending trendline.
💡 Market Insight
Fed rate cut bets: Expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in the coming months continue to boost gold demand.
Temporary U.S. government shutdown → creates uncertainty, increasing safe-haven flows.
USD is stable but not strong, keeping gold attractive.
With the current market sentiment, every correction is a “buy the dip” opportunity.
⚖️ Scenarios & Strategy
Main strategy: Only look to buy with the trend, avoid counter-trend selling (if any – should only be short-term).
Buy around trendline / FVG / key level 3960 for a reasonable entry point and low risk.
Monitor the breakout area 4040 – 4060: If decisively broken, the likelihood of reaching 4100 is very high.
📌 Summary:
Trend: Strong bullish continuation
Priority: Buy with the trend – Buy on dips
Technical target: 4100 USD/oz
Manage capital carefully, avoid FOMO at new highs.
Trend Analysis
XAUUSD – PRIORITISE BUYING WITH THE TREND | TARGET 4100
Hello trader 👋
Gold continues to set new highs, maintaining a strong upward momentum despite the USD stabilising temporarily. The current market structure indicates a sustainable uptrend, with short-term corrections only serving as entry points for trend-following buys.
🔎 Technical Analysis
The price is currently moving within an ascending channel and has just broken out above the previous high, confirming the dominance of buying pressure.
The 4.618 Fibonacci extension signals a technical target around 4100, a strong psychological resistance and a medium-term price expectation.
RSI remains above the 60 zone → indicating that the upward momentum has not weakened.
EMA200 (H1–H4) is well below, reinforcing a stable uptrend structure.
⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan
🟢 BUY 1:
Entry: 4003 – 4005
Stop Loss: 3998
Take Profit: 4016 → 4025 → 4040 → 4062
👉 Buy when the price retraces to the lower edge of the channel or retests the key level.
🟢 BUY 2:
Entry: 3961 – 3963
Stop Loss: 3956
Take Profit: 3975 → 3988 → 3996 → 4008 → 4025
👉 Entry at the support zone of FVG (Fair Value Gap) in agreement with the ascending trendline.
💡 Market Outlook
Fed rate cut bets: Expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in the coming months continue to drive gold demand.
US government temporary shutdown → creates uncertainty, increasing safe-haven flows.
USD is stable but not strong, keeping gold attractive.
With the current market sentiment, every correction is an opportunity to “buy the dip”.
⚖️ Scenario & Strategy
Main strategy: Focus only on buying with the trend, avoid counter-trend selling (if any – should only be short-term).
Buy around trendline / FVG / key level 3960 for a reasonable entry point and low risk.
Monitor the breakout zone 4040 – 4060: If it breaks decisively, the likelihood of reaching 4100 is very high.
📌 Summary:
Trend: Strong uptrend (Bullish continuation)
Priority: Buy with the trend – Buy on dips
Technical target: 4100 USD/oz
Manage capital carefully, avoid FOMO at new highs.
NTPC 1 Month View📊 1-Month Price Targets & Forecasts
WalletInvestor: Projects a price range of ₹332.62 to ₹345.31 within the next 14 days, with a potential upside to ₹416.02 over the next year.
MunafaSutra: Identifies immediate support at ₹326.63 and resistance at ₹338.93, suggesting a sideways trading range.
StockInvest.us: Anticipates NTPC's stock to trade between ₹319.95 and ₹343.83 over the next 3 months, indicating a neutral trend.
🔍 Summary
Analysts generally foresee NTPC's stock maintaining a neutral to slightly bullish trend over the next month, with price targets ranging from ₹332.62 to ₹345.31. The consensus suggests potential upside, but the stock may experience fluctuations within this range.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 09.10.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 09.10.2025
Timeframe: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
please like and share my idea if you find it helpful
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
BANKNIFTY Levels for Today
Here are the BANKNIFTY’s Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
ETHFIUSDT - BULLS ARE NOT DONE YET?Symbol - ETHFIUSDT
ETHFIUSDT is undergoing a corrective phase after updating its local high at 1.938 The breakout above the 1.677 zone appears to be an attempt to initiate a distribution phase following an extended period of consolidation. The key question now is whether the bulls can sustain control above this area.
Bitcoin is also in correction mode following a false breakout of its resistance level. In this context, the broader cryptocurrency market is experiencing a temporary decline. Nevertheless, the prevailing trend remains bullish, supported by a favorable fundamental outlook. Once the current correction concludes, market growth may resume.
On the daily timeframe, ETHFIUSDT is attempting to transition into a distribution phase after approximately five to six months of consolidation. The overall trend remains upward, and following the breakout of resistance, a corrective movement toward the liquidity zone at 1.677 is developing. A false breakdown, accompanied by a shift in market imbalance and subsequent consolidation above 1.678, could stimulate renewed buyer interest - potentially leading to further price appreciation.
Resistance levels: 1.898, 1.938
Support levels: 1.677, 1.534
The chart highlights two critical support zones - 1.677 and 1.534, Sustained bullish activity above the 1.677 level may result in a rebound and continued upward movement, confirming the ongoing distribution phase. Conversely, failure to maintain this level could prompt a retest of the zone at 1.534, where a liquidity sweep may subsequently trigger a new wave of buying pressure.
HCL TECH - RSI positive divergenceRSI positive divergence is a powerful technical analysis signal that indicates a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. Here's a simple step-by-step explanation for your community members:
Understand RSI: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) measures the speed and change of price movements on a scale of 0 to 100. Values below 40 typically indicate an oversold market, while values above 60 suggest an overbought market.
Spot the price trend: Look at the stock price chart. If the price is making lower lows (falling prices) over time, it indicates a downtrend.
Observe the RSI behavior: While the price is making lower lows, check the RSI indicator below the price chart. In RSI positive divergence, the RSI makes higher lows.
What is RSI positive divergence? It's when the price hits new lows, but RSI doesn't follow and instead forms higher lows. This shows weakening selling pressure and suggests buyers may soon take control.
Interpretation: RSI positive divergence signals the existing downtrend may be losing momentum, making it likely for the price to reverse upwards.
Confirmation: Traders often wait for additional bullish signals or a price breakout to confirm the reversal before entering long positions.
GOLD M30 – Bulls Defend $4,000, Eyes on 4,100+Gold’s historic surge above the $4,000 psychological barrier is now consolidating, with buyers defending the 3996$ support (Fibo 0.618 reaction). The structure remains bullish, while intraday traders are eyeing the next reaction zones for both continuation and scalp opportunities.
📊 Technical Levels to Watch (Fibo Matrix – M30)
3996$ Support Zone: Breakout retest + Fibo 0.618 → must-hold for bulls.
4018 – 4020: First intraday resistance, potential short-term reaction.
4043$: Expansion-based psychological barrier.
406x – 407x: Key SELL Reaction Zone (Fibo 1.5 – 1.618) → scalp rejection likely.
4095$+: Upper liquidity expansion, next major target if momentum extends.
🎯 Francis Trade Plan
✅ BUY Setup:
Entry: 3996 – 4000 zone.
Targets: 4018 → 4043 → 406x.
SL: Below 3984.
⚠️ SELL Setup (Short-term scalp only):
Entry: 406x – 407x reaction.
Targets: 4020 → 4000.
SL: Above 4096.
🔑 Francis View
The breakout at $4,000 signals strength, and bulls still dominate.
👉 Dips into 3996 support remain attractive BUY opportunities.
👉 Short-term scalpers can prepare for reaction SELLs around 406x – 407x.
📌 Bias: Bullish above $3996 – 4,100 zone remains the next liquidity magnet.
Buying zone of TATA MOTORSLong time consolidation phase is going in Tata Motors, this is likely to end and stock can start fresh leg of move towards 1200 levels in next one year, as we are looking weekly chart, it clearly showing strength in MACD and RSI slowly moving upwards. All the moving averages are giving positive outlook for fresh move. So, one can buy this at this point or can enter at 740 levels which is resistence of the stock. Stock support is 640 levels.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 09/10/2025
________________________________________
🔹 1. Momentum
D1:
The current momentum is turning downward.
We need to wait for today’s D1 candle to close for confirmation.
➡️ If the daily candle closes bearish, it may mark the beginning of a deep and strong corrective wave.
H4:
H4 momentum is about to enter the oversold zone, suggesting the possibility of:
• A short-term bullish retracement, or
• A sideways consolidation phase before the next major move.
H1:
H1 momentum is approaching the overbought zone, indicating a potential short-term bearish correction ahead.
________________________________________
🔹 2. Wave Structure
Overview:
In the previous analysis, the COT report indicated that the market is in an overly optimistic phase — a warning sign to stay cautious with long positions or late entries.
D1:
• The yellow wave 5 has already broken above the channel (throw-over), which is a typical sign of a final impulsive phase.
• When wave 5 extends strongly, the following correction (wave 4) often drops sharply, erasing most of the previous gains.
➡️ Therefore, it’s time to prioritize a defensive strategy and avoid chasing tops.
H4:
• Price has moved beyond the upper boundary of the channel, making the exact top of wave 5 hard to pinpoint.
• We should monitor price reaction when it returns inside the channel — if price fails to make a new high when H4 momentum reaches the overbought zone, it will likely confirm the completion of wave 5.
H1:
• The wave count has been slightly adjusted compared to the previous plan.
• Within the black wave 5, there is now a clear 5-wave yellow substructure.
• The recent decline has broken below the lower trend channel and the previous wave 4 low — an early sign of a potential wave 5 top.
⚠️ The upcoming correction could be steep and fast, making this an important time to prepare for risk management and trade planning.
________________________________________
🔹 3. Outlook & Trading Plan
All timeframes (D1 – H4 – H1) are showing an extended wave 5, but there’s still no clear confirmation of a top.
Hence, we should trade cautiously and manage positions tightly.
Currently, price has broken below the lower channel and wave 4 yellow, with a liquidity area near 4038 — this offers a good opportunity to open a small sell position to anticipate a potential reversal.
Trading Plan:
Sell zone (small lot): 4037 – 4039
Stop loss: 4048
Take profit: 3985
National Aluminium Co. Ltd (NALCO) – 1HMarket Structure:
Price is currently in a bullish trend with a clear BOS (Break of Structure) on the 1H timeframe. After showing strong displacement to the upside, the market is expected to retrace into a discount zone before continuing bullish expansion.
POI (Point of Interest):
A demand zone is identified around ₹214–₹215, aligning with previous structure support and unmitigated bullish order block. Price may revisit this zone to collect liquidity and rebalance inefficiency.
Liquidity & FVG Analysis:
Liquidity Sweep: Sell-side liquidity below ₹216–₹217 could be targeted next.
Fair Value Gap: Exists between ₹216–₹220 — a likely magnet for re-entry before expansion.
Scenarios (As per the 3 projected paths):
Red Path: Aggressive continuation after shallow retracement — short-term bullish impulse.
Purple Path: Controlled pullback and BOS confirmation before bullish leg.
Black Path: Deep liquidity sweep into POI (~₹214) followed by a strong reversal.
Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: ₹214–₹215 (after bullish reaction confirmation).
Stop Loss: Below ₹199 (structural invalidation).
Target: ₹248+ (premium zone and equal highs).
Bias: 🟢 Bullish – Looking for liquidity sweep and continuation to premium range.
Confirmation: Wait for a lower timeframe BOS (M15–M5) within POI before entry.
CRUDEOIL1! / USOIL - Correction is not complete yet?
TF: 240 Minutes
CMP: 5580
I have plotted the internal wave counts of this larger corrective pattern (WXY) and also drew Pitchfork Support and Resistance levels for better understanding.
In summary, looks like the correction is not yet complete and we are in the final leg of the correction (Y leg)..
In this Y leg, the thesis is that, we are falling in an ABC three wave down or 1,2,3,4,5 impulse down.
In either case, we have completed first leg (a or 1) and the 2nd is about to get over (b or 2)..
The next, most rewarding one is the C or the 3rd wave down..
Wait for solid rejection at the upper levels (5620-5650 Max) and look for a decent RR set up.
Will update here when the trade becomes active.. For now, the B or 2 rise is not yet complete.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
RBL BANK READY FOR A SMOOTH RUNThe stock has been forming an cup and handle pattern on the weekly chart and this pattern is in process since 2021 that's a 4 year consolidation, now the stock has entered into it's ending phases.
The stock can give a good rally and give more than 70% returns from a long term point of view.
The FIIs and DIIs have been piling up this stock lately 3% and 14% respectively showing further reliability.
BRITANNIA Price Action 2 probable entriesBritannia Industries Ltd is currently trading around ₹5,849 after opening at ₹5,882, slightly down from the previous close with a minor loss on the day. The stock’s recent 52-week high stands at ₹6,337, while the low is ₹4,506, reflecting a broad trading band throughout the year. With an annualized volatility of about 25%, the scrip has seen moderate market fluctuations. Market capitalization is robust, totaling approximately ₹1.41 trillion.
From a technical perspective, Britannia’s chart structure indicates mild downward momentum in the short term, with prices trending below the 20-day moving average but holding above the larger 50- and 200-day averages. The daily ranges have narrowed, and the price closed near the day’s low at ₹5,839, suggesting mild intraday bearish sentiment. Key support appears at ₹5,800, while resistance lies at ₹5,900 and then at the recent swing high. RSI and momentum indicators remain neutral, and trend-following tools show sideways movement, reflecting cautious accumulation.
Fundamentally, Britannia continues to deliver stable earnings even with moderate price declines. The trailing P/E is elevated at about 64, indicating a premium valuation, and the stock is currently trading at roughly 33% above its estimated fair value. The quarterly results for June 2025 showed an 8.8% year-on-year revenue increase with operating profit and net profit also marginally growing. Debt levels are moderate and promoter pledging is low, with no major concerns visible in the shareholding pattern.
Overall, Britannia holds long-term structural strength, but its short-term trend is weak. Investors are advised to wait for clear momentum signals before considering fresh positions, and any breakout above ₹5,900 may trigger a retest of annual highs, while downside risks are limited by strong support near ₹5,800.
JM Financial – Long-Term Breakout Setup on Monthly ChartJM Financial is approaching a major breakout zone around ₹200, which has acted as a strong resistance for several years. The stock has built a solid base and is showing renewed momentum with strong monthly candle structure and improving volume.
If it manages to break and sustain above ₹200, it could mark the beginning of a long-term trend expansion phase. MACD is turning positive on higher timeframe — adding to the bullish setup.
📊 Positional Trade Plan
Entry: Above ₹200 (monthly closing or breakout confirmation)
Stop Loss (SL): 10% below entry or as per your risk
Target: 🎯 ₹300 (Long-term positional target)
View: A monthly close above ₹200 can trigger a strong multi-month breakout — ideal for investors with medium-to-long-term outlook.
BAJAJHIND 1 Day Time Frame 📈 Current Price Action
Current Price: ₹21.79
Day's Range: ₹21.23 – ₹22.34
Volume: ~9.15 million shares traded
VWAP: ₹21.91
52-Week Range: ₹16.56 – ₹40.75
The stock has shown a positive movement today, trading above key pivot levels and indicating a continuation of the uptrend.
🔧 Key Technical Levels
📌 Pivot Points
Central Pivot Point (CPR): ₹21.09
Support Levels:
S1: ₹20.59
S2: ₹19.69
S3: ₹19.19
Resistance Levels:
R1: ₹21.99
R2: ₹22.49
R3: ₹23.39
Camarilla Pivot:
R2: ₹21.74
S2: ₹21.22
The stock is currently trading above the central pivot point, suggesting a bullish intraday bias.
Gold Trading Strategy for 08th October 2025🟡 GOLD (XAUUSD) – INTRADAY TRADE SETUP 💰
📊 Strategy: Trade based on 5-Min Candle Breakout
🟢 BUY Setup
💵 Buy Above: High of 5-min candle closing above $4004
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ $4013
2️⃣ $4022
3️⃣ $4035
4️⃣ $4050
🛡️ Stop Loss:
Place below the low of the previous 3 candles from the entry point.
🔴 SELL Setup
💵 Sell Below: Low of 5-min candle closing below $3966
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ $3953
2️⃣ $3941
3️⃣ $3922
4️⃣ $3903
🛡️ Stop Loss:
Place above the high of the previous 3 candles from the entry point.
⚖️ Disclaimer:
📢 This setup is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading in Gold, Forex, or any commodity involves high risk. Please use proper risk management and consult your financial advisor before trading.
BANKNIFTY Levels for Today
Here are the BANKNIFTY’s Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
Retesting of Impulsive moveNSE:HBLENGINE
This is in healthy up-trend. Shown the breakout on 01 Sep 2025, and again tested the previous levels, formed multiple bullish candles (24 Sep 2025 and 01 Oct 2025), also formed "W" Pattern at previous breakout levels. If we consider the blending of candles from 23 sep 2025 to 01 Oct 2025 it shows the bullish candles
Buy at 840
Stop loss 805
Target 910
Nifty - Expiry Day Analysis Oct 7Today, the price moved along with the upper trend line of the channel and is sustaining above 25000. Now price has to break 25100 with bullish strength to move towards 25400.
The hourly chart shows the formation of a rounding bottom.
Buy above 25120 with the stop loss of 25070 for the targets 25160, 25200, 25260 and 25300.
Sell below 24960 with the stop loss of 25010 for the targets 24920, 24880, 24820 and 24780.
Expected expiry day range is 24900 to 24250.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.