Trend Analysis
Gold 1H – Retail Sales Impact Before FedOn the 1H chart, Gold is holding near 3,682 after showing a clear Break of Structure. Liquidity is now seen both above the premium resistance at 3,700 and below the Fair Value Gap demand around 3,669–3,667. With U.S. Retail Sales data due at 19:30 IST today, intraday volatility is expected, but overall positioning is still cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision later this week. Traders can look for liquidity sweeps towards premium levels before retracements into demand zones.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,700 – 3,698 (SL 3,707): Premium resistance likely to trigger rejection towards 3,690 → 3,680 → 3,670.
• 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,669 – 3,667 (SL 3,660): Fair Value Gap demand zone for retracements, targeting 3,680 → 3,690 → 3,700+.
• 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,641 – 3,639 (SL 3,632): Deep discount support, targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,685+.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,669–3,667)
• Entry: 3,669 – 3,667
• Stop Loss: 3,660
• Targets:
TP1: 3,680
TP2: 3,690
TP3: 3,700+
👉 Look for a liquidity sweep into the FVG zone before New York session begins.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Sweep (3,641–3,639)
• Entry: 3,641 – 3,639
• Stop Loss: 3,632
• Targets:
TP1: 3,655
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,685+
👉 A good risk-to-reward opportunity if price sweeps stops below structure before Retail Sales release.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Run (3,700–3,698)
• Entry: 3,700 – 3,698
• Stop Loss: 3,707
• Targets:
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,680
TP3: 3,670
👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium supply before fading lower.
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🔑 Strategy Note
While Retail Sales data may bring short-term price swings, market attention is focused on the Fed. Smart Money is likely to trap both sides of liquidity: fading premium near 3,700–3,698 while accumulating buys at 3,669–3,667 and 3,641–3,639. Trade with smaller positions and confirm with H1 closes before entries.
BANCOINDIA - Breakout with Volume SurgeBanco Products India has shown a breakout with volumes soaring to about 11 lakh shares in recent sessions, significantly higher than its 20-day average volume of around 8.4 lakh shares.
The stock price surged to ₹697 on September 15, 2025, up from about ₹619 just a few days earlier, reflecting strong buying interest and accumulation.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 16.09.25XAUUSD/Gold 1H Buy Projection (16.09.25). Here’s a breakdown of the key points from your analysis:
🔹 Chart Analysis
Support & Resistance
Support S1: Around 3678 zone.
Minor Resistance Breaked: Price broke above the 3680 resistance area.
Resistance R1 (ATH): Around 3692 – 3696 area.
Entry & Stoploss
Current price: 3683.63
Stoploss: Below 3676 level.
Risk Zone (Red Area): Price should not break below this zone for the buy setup to remain valid.
Target Levels
Target Price 1: ~3688
Target Price 2: ~3692–3696
Indicators
Stochastic Oscillator (top indicator):
Showing a bullish crossover (green line crossing above red), suggesting upward momentum.
RSI (bottom indicator):
Turning upward from 64.47, showing renewed buying pressure.
🔹 Projection
The setup is bullish with expected upward movement from 3683 → 3692 → 3696+.
The chart suggests a possible pullback and continuation before reaching higher targets.
As long as 3680 support holds, momentum favors the upside.
Nifty strategy for 16/9/25In yesterday trading session a small red candle was formed it is engulfed previous day Green candle which is indicated bears strength in the market at higher levels but still remains bulls strength in the market until upto nifty closed below 25050 levels on daily closing basis. Coming to the today nifty may open on flat negative note as per SGX NIFTY around at 25050 levels where good support to nifty. I think nifty may consolidate between 25250 and 24950 levels untli upto major news flows into the market so investors can add short and buy positions on nifty around at support and resistance levels with strict stop losses.
Support levels : 25003,24950
Resistance levels : 25140.25248
Stock of the day : DOMS & COFORGE these stocks are traded still inside our recommendation levels so investors can ride continue on this stocks.
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“Gold Shines Bright | Bullish Momentum Targeting $3,700🔎 Technical Analysis – XAU/USD (1H Chart)
Trend: Strong bullish trend confirmed, with price making higher highs and higher lows.
Buy Zone: Around 3,590 – 3,600 USD, where buyers stepped in aggressively.
Short-Term Target 🎯: 3,650 – 3,700 USD (already highlighted on chart).
Key Support Levels:
3,561 USD (near-term support)
3,490 USD (major support, bullish structure invalidation if broken)
📌 Outlook: As long as price holds above the buy zone, momentum favors bulls with potential continuation toward 3,700+ USD.
🌍 Fundamental Drivers for Gold Bullishness ✨
Federal Reserve Rate Cuts Expectations 🏦⬇️ – If the Fed signals easing or holds a dovish stance, real yields fall → Gold strengthens.
Weakening US Dollar (DXY) 💵📉 – A softer dollar makes gold more attractive to global investors.
Geopolitical Risks 🌍⚠️ – Rising global tensions increase demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
Central Bank Demand 🏦🔒 – Many central banks are adding gold reserves to hedge against currency risks.
Inflation Hedge 📊🔥 – Gold remains attractive when inflationary pressures stay elevated.
Positional or Long-term opportunity in IDFC First BankGo Long @ 71.75 for Targets of 82, 90.5, and 98 with SL 68
Reasons to go Long :
1. On Weekly timeframe If we draw Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low (A) to the swing high (B) then the stock took support from the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
2. In addition to this, the stock formed a Bullish Engulfing Pattern (marked with a orange color) around 0.382 Fibonacci level.
3. Also there is a strong demand zone (marked with a purple color) from which the stock is taking support.
4. Besides the stock formed a Double Bottom (W) pattern at 0.382 Fibonacci level.
5. Also the stock gave a Trendline breakout (marked with a red color).
HINDUSTAN Zinc - 3rd largest silver producer in the world Did you know Hindustan Zinc is the 3rd largest producer of Silver in the world?
Along with a 75% market share of ZInc in India..they also produce Silver.
With the underlying commodity moving up..
Long if it can retest and bounce from 455 with a Stoploss below 445.
NIFTY getting ready for UNIDIRECTIONAL UPMOVE!!We expected NIFTY to take rejection around previous swing and we did kinda see that and showing rejection around previous swing but it can also be seen that NIFTY is maintaining itself above the supply zone and psychological level of 25000 hence as long as we are above this level every dip can be bought so plan your trades accordingly.
Will 25350 act as a RESISTANCE !? EXPLAINED!!As we can see NIFTY has shown unidirectional upmove as expected and analysed in our previous multiple posts but now it can be seen closing at very crucial area which is 25350 zone. As discussed earlier there is a pending GAP which was yet to be filled has finally been achieved but can show rejection as these zones has multiple unfilled orders of big volumes hence we can expect NIFTY to reject at this zone until it forms some kind of flag-pole pattern for bigger break towards 25500. so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
Sensex Expiry - Trades and targetsMarket is in uptrend so look for CE trades most of the day. Buy on dip should be followed. Do not look for PE till we close below 82380. We might see a retest to hit SL few times then we can see continuation of trend. Wait for resistance or support to break before taking any trades. Preserving capital is most important and do not increase lot size as premiums are less. Start with less quantity and if in profit then keep adding lots, book profits every 100 points. I have marked targets on chart. If you booked profit in the morning then close system and please do not over trade.
At Support - Weekly Chart - TECHM📊 Script: TECHM
📊 Industry: IT - Software (Computers - Software & Consulting)
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈On Weekly Chart Script is forming symmetrical triangle and trading near support line.
📈 Script is trading at upper band of BB.
📈 MACD and Double Moving Averages are giving Crossover
📈 Right now RSI is around 58.
📈 One can go for Swing Trade.
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 1547
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 1612 / 1655
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 1499
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
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Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
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Supreme Ind (Daily) - Approaching Critical Res ConfluenceAfter a significant uptrend that concluded in June 2024, Supreme Industries entered a corrective downtrend lasting until April 2025. Since then, the stock has shown signs of a bullish reversal by establishing a pattern of higher lows , indicating that buyers are stepping in at progressively higher prices.
The Resistance Zone
Currently, the stock is approaching a major technical hurdle: a confluence of resistance . This is created by the intersection of a long-term downward-sloping (angular) trendline and a key horizontal resistance level. Multiple recent attempts to breach this zone, though unsuccessful, signal persistent buying interest and a buildup of pressure.
Indicator Analysis
Positive Signs: Trading volume has been healthy in recent sessions. Furthermore, the short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) have registered a bullish crossover , confirming positive short-term momentum.
Cautionary Signs: A long-term Golden Crossover (50-day SMA crossing above the 200-day SMA) has not yet occurred. This more significant signal would be needed to confirm a durable, long-term trend reversal.
Future Outlook & Key Levels
The future direction depends on the stock's ability to resolve the battle at the current resistance confluence.
Bullish Scenario: A decisive breakout and close above both trendlines would be a strong bullish signal. If this occurs, the stock could rally towards the next target of ₹5,060.
Bearish Scenario: If the resistance holds and the upward momentum fades, the stock could pull back to test its support level near ₹4,251.
Keep monitoring !!
Nifty chart showing fed rate cutPositive momentum on Nifty make or break level but as gift Nifty is trading above 25500 so any Positive news will trigger Nifty tomorrow for 25600 means 300+points and in coming 3 days market will suppose to show some big fluctuations as US has many things to release
Focus focus on fed rate cut according to me market is showing some rate cut as market is in resistance and closed near that level means big players know something which we were waiting for
Follow to more content
Sensex expiry Analysis - Daily ChartSensex expiry analysis for tomorrow. On daily time frame we completed 1 W shape pattern and there are still 2 levels left at 83080, 83480, 83840. We need to wait for the resistance to break after a retest so we can see good premium spikes. It will not be so easy on expiry, SL hunting will happens few times with big candles then continuation can happen. Have patience and wait till the resistance is broken. Will be updating levels as the day progresses.
Breakout - Looks Good On Chart - GRAPHITE📊 Script: GRAPHITE
📊 Industry: Industrial Products (Electrodes & Refractories)
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 Script is trading at upper band of BB.
📈 MACD is giving crossover .
📈 Crossover in Double Moving Averages.
📈 Right now RSI is around 63.
📈 One can go for Swing Trade.
📈 In Monthly Chart It Script is forming Symmetrical triangle and about to give breakout, we can see good rally in future.
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 555
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 578 / 597
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 539
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
BAJAJ FINANCE NEXT TARGETTrend Now - Side ways in 1 Hour candle
BLACK LINE - STOPLOSS HUNTING LINES-when you buy above the black line it will fall below the Black line.
When you short below the black line again it will go up the black line.
so your SL will be hit on both ways.So be cautious around the Black line
GREEN LINE BOX - SUPPORTS
PREDICTION - If resistance gives a big candle with high volume break out next target will be
VIOLET ARROW - Next target Level
RED LINE BOX - RESISTANCE
Gold Trading Inside Channel – Key Support & Resistance Levels!Hello Traders!
Gold is currently moving inside a well-defined ascending channel on the 30-min chart. Both buyers and sellers are respecting the levels of this channel, giving us clear trading opportunities.
Key Observations
Price has tested the upper channel resistance multiple times, facing rejection near $3,710–$3,720.
The lower channel support around $3,650 has been well respected, creating strong buying reactions.
A minor resistance trendline is now forming, which could temporarily limit upside momentum.
Short-term path suggests: rejection from minor resistance → retest of channel bottom → potential bounce back toward the upper channel.
Trading Plan
Bullish bias remains intact as long as Gold holds above $3,650 channel support.
A bounce from support may target $3,710–$3,720 zone again.
If support breaks, deeper correction may follow.
Rahul’s Tip
Always wait for confirmation near channel edges. Trading inside the channel can be tricky, but respecting support and resistance gives you high-probability setups.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Analysis By @TraderRahulPal (TradingView Moderator) | More analysis & educational content on my profile
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