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TVSSCS: Trendline Breakout Post Strong Q3FY26, Chart of the WeekTVS Supply Chain Solutions Just Broke Out on 12x Volume After Hitting Rock Bottom; Technical Reversal Meets a ₹6,300 Crore Order Pipeline. This Breakout Could Define TVS Supply's Next 12 Months. Let's Understand in "Chart of the Week" As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions. Price Action: - The stock has experienced significant volatility over the past 18 months, declining approximately 49% from its peak of ₹258 in September 2023 to the current level - Recent price action shows a dramatic reversal, with the stock surging on record volumes after hitting multi-year lows around ₹92-100 zone Volume Spread Analysis: - Exceptional volume spike visible in the latest session: 84.25 million shares traded versus 20-day average of 6.66 million - This represents a volume explosion of approximately 12.6x the normal trading activity - The volume surge accompanies the price breakout, indicating strong institutional participation and genuine buying interest - Prior to this breakout, the stock exhibited consistently low volumes during the downtrend, suggesting capitulation and lack of seller interest at lower levels Base Formation and Accumulation: - The stock formed a classic accumulation base between September 2025 and February 2026, spanning approximately 5 months - Base range: ₹92-140, with the stock consolidating primarily in the ₹100-125 zone - This base represents a 60%+ correction from the all-time highs, suggesting significant value discovery - The base formation shows Some characteristics of a rounding bottom pattern with decreasing volatility toward the end - Smart money appears to have accumulated positions during the ₹100-115 range when retail sentiment was most negative Key Support Levels: - Immediate Support: ₹115-120 (recent breakout zone and prior resistance) - Secondary Support: ₹105-110 (base midpoint and volume cluster) - Strong Support: ₹92-100 (52-week low and multi-year support zone) - Critical Support: ₹85 (psychological level; breach would invalidate bullish structure) Key Resistance Levels: - Immediate Resistance: ₹140-145 (previous swing high from October 2025) - Major Resistance: ₹160-170 (200-day moving average zone and gap resistance) - Psychological Resistance: ₹180-190 (quarterly pivot and volume resistance) - Long-term Resistance: ₹220-230 (2024 swing high cluster) - Ultimate Resistance: ₹258 (all-time high from September 2023) Trend Structure: - The stock has broken above multiple descending trendlines that had contained price action since September 2023 - The current breakout suggests potential channel exit and trend reversal Fundamental and Sectoral Backdrop: Company Overview: - TVS Supply Chain Solutions is one of India's largest integrated supply chain solutions providers and part of the ₹8.5 billion TVS Group - Operations span across two primary segments: Integrated Supply Chain Solutions (55% of revenue) and Network Solutions (including Global Forwarding Solutions and Integrated Final Mile Solutions) - Global presence across 26 countries and 4 continents with 24.7 million sq. ft. of warehouse capacity (19.9 million sq. ft. in India) - Serves over 91 Fortune 500 customers across automotive, industrial, consumer, technology, rail, utilities, and healthcare sectors Recent Financial Performance: - Q3 FY26 revenue grew 11.1% year-on-year to ₹2,715.8 crore - EBITDA rose 36.7% to ₹205.8 crore, with margins expanding to 7.6% from 6.2% - The company reported a consolidated net profit of ₹10.72 crore in Q3 December 2025 compared with a net loss of ₹24.65 crore in Q3 December 2024 - Excluding the impact of new wage code compliance costs, adjusted profit stood at ₹18.02 crore versus a loss of ₹23.80 crore in the prior year - The company has a ₹6,300 crore order pipeline Strategic Initiatives and Growth Catalysts: - Strategic acquisition of Swamy & Sons 3PL for ₹88 crore to strengthen FMCG logistics capabilities - Swamy & Sons has deep domain expertise in FMCG logistics with a strong presence in Andhra Pradesh and Telangana - The acquisition brings 116 warehouses across 5 states totaling approximately 4 million sq. ft., with over 70% of revenue from FMCG players - Recent contract wins include a 3-year contract from DICV (Daimler India Commercial Vehicles) for in-plant warehouse management - New CEO Vikas Chadha appointed effective January 22, 2026, bringing fresh leadership perspective Sectoral Outlook: Indian Logistics Industry: - India's logistics sector is valued at approximately $243.8 billion in 2025 and projected to reach $429.0 billion by 2034 - The sector is well-positioned for strong growth with an expected CAGR of 10.7% till 2026 - Logistics costs have dipped below 10% of GDP for the first time, down from 13-14% - Union Budget 2026-27 allocates ₹5,98,520 crore to the transport sector with initiatives including new Dedicated Freight Corridors and 20 National Waterways Government Policy Support: - PM Gati Shakti National Master Plan has integrated 57 Central Ministries and 36 states with 1,700 data layers for unified infrastructure planning - National Logistics Policy aims to reduce logistics costs from 13-14% of GDP to 8% by 2030 - 35 key locations approved for Multi-Modal Logistics Parks development, with 5 expected to be operational by 2027 - Indian e-commerce is expected to grow at a CAGR of 27% to reach $163 billion by 2026, driving demand for efficient last-mile delivery services Industry Tailwinds: - Rise of third-party logistics with the India 3PL market forecast to increase by $16.77 billion at a 9.45% CAGR between 2023 and 2028 - E-commerce volumes surged to $380 billion in 2025, with AI adoption tripling among SMEs for predictive routing - Manufacturing push under Make in India and PLI schemes increasing demand for integrated supply chain solutions - Dedicated Freight Corridors hit 96% operational status, improving rail connectivity Competitive Position and Concerns: - TVS SCS has positioned itself among the top warehousing 3PL service providers in India post Swamy & Sons acquisition - The company's digital capabilities leveraging AI, IoT, and Machine Learning provide competitive advantages - However, the company has faced challenges including high valuation multiples, weak capital efficiency, and ongoing regulatory disputes - Five-year sales growth of 8.64% is considered modest for a growing sector - Stock has significantly underperformed both the Sensex and the transport services sector over the past 1-2 years Technical Summary: - The stock has completed a multi-month base formation and broken out on exceptional volumes, suggesting institutional accumulation - The breakout from the descending channel indicates a possible trend reversal - Critical resistance zones exist at ₹140-145, ₹160-170, and ₹180-190 that will determine the sustainability of this move - Volume confirmation is the strongest technical positive, with 12.6x average volume supporting the breakout Fundamental Summary: - The company has achieved a profitability turnaround, with Q3 FY26 showing margin expansion and return to profit after previous quarter losses - Strategic acquisition of Swamy & Sons strengthens FMCG logistics capabilities, a high-growth segment within supply chain - A robust order pipeline of ₹6,300 crore provides revenue visibility for coming quarters - The Indian logistics sector is entering a golden period with government support, infrastructure development, and e-commerce growth creating strong tailwinds Critical Factors to Monitor: - Ability to sustain above ₹115-120 support zone in near term - Follow-through buying in coming sessions to confirm breakout validity - Quarterly execution and margin trajectory in FY26 Q4 and FY27 - Integration success of Swamy & Sons acquisition and synergy realization - Broader market conditions and risk appetite for mid-cap stocks - Progress on the ₹6,300 crore order pipeline conversion to revenue My 2 Cents: - The technical setup suggests this could be a pivotal moment for TVS Supply Chain, with the potential for a sustained upward move if the breakout holds - The combination of technical reversal patterns, record volume, and improving fundamentals creates a compelling near-term setup - However, investors should remain cautious about the multiple overhead resistance levels and the stock's history of failed rallies - The sectoral tailwinds from government infrastructure spending and e-commerce growth provide a supportive macro backdrop - Risk management through appropriate stop-losses below ₹115 is essential given the stock's high volatility Full Coverage on my Mid-Week Newsletter coming Wednesday. Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:TVSSCSLong
by Karanshah137
3
Jindal Stainless (D): Strongly Bullish - Sector-Backed BreakoutTimeframe: Daily | Scale: Linear The stock has confirmed a major "Blue Sky" breakout, clearing a confluence of resistance levels (Angular + Horizontal) to hit a new All-Time High. This move is powered by a sector-wide rally and strong institutional volume. 🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why") The breakout is fueled by a convergence of positive factors: > Sector Rally: The Nifty Metal index is surging, lifting all ferrous metal stocks. When a stock breaks out with its sector, the probability of success increases significantly. > Strong Earnings Support: The company’s Q2 FY26 results provided the fundamental floor, and the market is now pricing in future growth from its capacity expansion plans (targeting 4.2 MTPA). 📈 2. The Chart Structure (The "Coil" bursts) > The Squeeze: The tight sideways trend below the angular resistance. This "Coiling" action (low volatility + drying volume) indicated that sellers were exhausted. > The Breakout: Today's surge of 5.14% smashed through the ₹825–₹830 supply zone. - Significance: By closing at a new ATH ( ₹848.05 ), the stock has no overhead supply (resistance) left. It is now in "Price Discovery" mode. > Volume: The 2.77 Million volume is an "Ignition Bar." It confirms that "Smart Money" has initiated a new markup phase. 📊 3. Technical Indicators > EMAs: The Positive Crossover (PCO) on Short-term EMAs confirms the immediate trend is vertical. > RSI: Rising RSI across all timeframes (Monthly/Weekly/Daily) signals synchronized momentum. An RSI above 60 in a breakout is a sign of strength, not an overbought signal. 🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels The stock is primed for a "Blue Sky" run. > 🐂 Bullish Target (Blue Sky): - Target 1: ₹960 . - Strategy: Since the stock is at an ATH, use a Trailing Stop Loss (e.g., 20-day EMA) to ride the trend as far as it goes. > 🛡️ Support (The "Must Hold"): - Immediate Support: ₹790 – ₹800 . The previous resistance zone should now act as a rock-solid floor (Polarity Principle). - Stop Loss: A close below ₹776 would act as a structural failure, invalidating the breakout. Conclusion This is a Grade A Setup . > Refinement: The "Low Volume" during the sideways phase followed by "High Volume" on the breakout is the perfect recipe for a sustainable move. > Action: The breakout is confirmed. The dip to ₹820-830 (if it happens) is a buying opportunity.
NSE:JSLLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
UPL (W): Strongly Bullish, Fundamentally-Driven BreakoutBased on Weekly Timeframe, Logarithmic Scale This is a high-conviction breakout. The stock has decisively broken a 4.5-year angular resistance, driven by a blockbuster quarterly earnings report that confirmed a strong business turnaround. The alignment of high-timeframe indicators suggests a new long-term uptrend is beginning. 🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why") The technical breakout is not random. It is a direct response to strong Q2 2026 earnings : - Strong Profitability: The company reported a 40% year-over-year growth in EBITDA and a net profit of ₹553 crore , a massive turnaround from the net loss reported in the same quarter last year. - Upgraded Guidance: Management upgraded its full-year EBITDA growth guidance, signaling confidence in the business. - Market Reaction: This news provided the "fuel" for the market to absorb supply and break the multi-year resistance. 📈 2. The Long-Term Setup (The "Big Picture") - The 2021 Peak: After its ATH in June 2021 , the stock was capped by a long-term angular resistance trendline . - The 2024 Bottom: The stock was in a corrective downtrend, which found its ultimate bottom in March 2024 . - The Reversal: Since that low, the stock has been in a steady reversal, forming a bullish structure of Higher Lows . - The "Lid": This recovery was repeatedly halted by the 4.5-year angular resistance, which it failed to break on previous attempts. 📊 3. The Decisive Breakout (The Past Two Weeks) - Week of Nov 03: The stock broke out and closed above the angular resistance for the first time. - Week of Nov 10: The stock confirmed the breakout with a gap-up open and a further 1.42% gain. - Volume: The volume during the March 2024 uptrend was low (a "wall of worry"), but the breakout and confirmation weeks saw above-average volume ( 12.29 Million last week), confirming institutional interest. 🎯 4. Confluence of Indicators Indicator analysis confirms the new long-term trend. This "trifecta" of bullishness on high timeframes is very powerful: - EMAs: Short-term Exponential Moving Averages are in a "PCO" (Price Crossover) state on both the Monthly and Weekly charts. - RSI: The Relative Strength Index is rising on both the Monthly and Weekly charts. 🧠 5. Short-Term Caution & Future Scenarios - The "Inverted Hammer": The last daily candle of the week was an "inverted hammer." This is a sign of short-term indecision and profit-taking . It signals that while the breakout is valid, it's meeting immediate supply, and a healthy pullback or "re-test" is highly possible. - Conclusion: The trend is now bullish, but the entry point is key. 🐂 The Bullish Case (Continuation) - Trigger: The bullish momentum continues, absorbing the short-term profit-taking. - Target: The next logical price target is ₹830 . 🐻 The Pullback Case (Healthy Re-test) - Trigger: If the "inverted hammer" plays out and momentum is lost in the short term . - Support: The price would likely fall to re-test the angular resistance-turned-support at ₹730 . A "bounce" off this level would be a classic, healthy confirmation of the breakout.
NSE:UPLLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
BHEL (D): Strongly Bullish, on a high-volume trendline breakoutThe stock has shown a significant character change, breaking a long-term corrective downtrend with exceptional force. All short-term and long-term indicators are aligning, suggesting a new bullish leg has begun. 📉 1. The Long-Term Context (The "Big Picture") - Massive Run-Up: After a parabolic 1,720% surge from its March 2020 bottom, the stock hit a major peak in July 2024. - Corrective Downtrend: This was followed by a healthy 8-month correction (Jul 2024 – Feb 2025), which allowed the stock to build a new base. - Reversal Pattern: In recent months, the stock has reversed this trend by forming a clear pattern of Higher Lows , indicating that selling pressure has been absorbed and accumulation has taken place. 🚀 2. The Current Breakout (Today's Decisive Action) Today's price action is the most significant bullish signal for the stock this year. - High-Volume Surge: The stock surged +6.48% on massive volume of 75.43 Million shares, indicating strong institutional interest. - Major Trendline Break: The price gapped up above the angular resistance trendline (formed since the July 2024 high) and, most importantly, closed firmly above it . - Short-Term Breakout: This move also broke and closed above a minor, short-term resistance, adding to the bullish conviction. 📊 3. Key Technical Indicators The underlying momentum across all timeframes supports this breakout: - RSI: The Relative Strength Index is rising on the Daily, Weekly, and Monthly charts, showing broad-based, building momentum. - EMAs: Short-term Exponential Moving Averages are in a "PCO" (Price Crossover) state on all three timeframes, confirming the trend is strongly bullish. 🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels to Watch The path forward is now defined by two clear levels: 🐂 The Bullish Case (Breakout Confirmation) - Immediate Hurdle: The next major test is the horizontal resistance at ₹265 . - Confirmation: A decisive close above ₹265 would confirm the breakout and open the door for a significant rally. - Target: If this momentum is sustained, the next logical price target is the ₹300 level. 🐻 The Bearish Case (Fake Breakout) - Trigger: If today's move is a "fakeout," the price will fail to breach ₹265 and fall back below the broken angular trendline. - Confirmation: A close back below the gap-up level (today's open) would be a bearish sign. - Target: This failure would likely see the stock fall to retest its closest support at ₹245 . Conclusion Today's high-volume, gap-up breakout above a multi-month downtrend line is a powerful bullish event. The indicators are all aligned, suggesting this is the start of a new upward move. The key level to watch for confirmation is ₹265 .
NSE:BHELLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
Shipping Corp (W) - Breaks Out on Massive 21% Weekly SurgeAfter a significant downtrend from its July 2024 All-Time High, the Shipping Corporation of India (SCI) has signaled a powerful bullish trend reversal, culminating in a decisive, high-volume breakout this past week. The Bullish Reversal The downtrend that began last year found its bottom in March 2025. Since then, the stock has been in a constructive reversal phase, systematically forming a series of Higher Lows . This classic pattern indicated that selling pressure was being absorbed and buyers were becoming more aggressive, setting the stage for a potential breakout. This Week's Decisive Breakout This past week (ending Oct 24, 2025), the bullish setup was decisively confirmed: - Massive Price Surge: The stock exploded by +21.82% for the week. - Enormous Volume: This move was backed by a huge volume of 107.25 million shares . - Key Resistance Breach: The surge shattered a key horizontal resistance trendline , and importantly, the stock closed the week above this level , which is a strong sign of confirmation. This breakout is powerfully supported by the volume pattern: after drying up during the consolidation phase, it has now picked up significantly, validating the move. Underlying Technical Strength The breakout is underpinned by strong momentum indicators on the higher timeframes: - The short-term EMAs are in a bullish Positive Crossover (PCO) state on both the Monthly and Weekly charts. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also rising on both the Monthly and Weekly charts. Outlook and Key Levels to Watch With the resistance now cleared, the path of least resistance has shifted firmly upwards. - Bullish Target: If this bullish momentum continues, the next logical area of resistance and potential price target is the ₹330 level. - Critical Support: The recently broken resistance level, around ₹243 , now becomes the most critical new support zone to watch. The key to watch for next week is follow-through buying or a successful retest of the ₹243 breakout level, which would further confirm the new uptrend.
NSE:SCILong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
ATL (D) - Signals Bullish Reversal with Powerful BreakoutAllcargo Terminals has demonstrated a significant bullish development, suggesting its long-term downtrend may be reversing. Today, the stock decisively broke out of a key horizontal resistance trendline , a move confirmed by an impressive +9.61% price surge on the back of massive trading volume. This breakout is the latest in a series of positive signs since May 2025, including the consistent formation of Higher Lows , which indicated a potential shift in market structure after the downtrend from January 2024. Broad-Based Bullish Confirmation 👍 The positive outlook is strongly supported across multiple indicators and timeframes: - Volume Thrust: The breakout was accompanied by exceptionally high volume , signaling strong conviction from buyers. - Daily & Weekly Momentum: Both the short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) are exhibiting bullish crossovers on both the daily and weekly charts, indicating synchronized positive momentum. Outlook and Key Levels Following a strong breakout, a common technical development is a retest of the former resistance level as new support . The price action in the coming days will be crucial for confirming the breakout's validity. - Bullish Case 📈: If the momentum is sustained and the breakout level holds, the stock could proceed towards the next resistance target near ₹42 . - Bearish Case 📉: However, if the stock fails to hold the breakout and momentum wanes, it could pull back towards the support level of ₹27 .
NSE:ATLLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
Automotive Axles Ltd (Weekly Timeframe) - Potential Reversal ??After the Double Top formation (May 15, 2023) in weekly timeframe, the stock has been in a downtrend. With this week's price action, the stock seems to BreakOut of a Weekly resistance zone with good volume. EMAs are also in positive state. A Long-term angular resistance BreakOut along with Short-term resistance BreakOut makes this more significant to consider as a reversal sign. Watchout for next week's price action to determine if the reversal signs are intact or not. If it does, then the next target maybe 2,100.
NSE:AUTOAXLESLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
Archean Chemical - Chart of the WeekNSE:ACI has a beautiful structure in the Weekly Timeframe that qualifies for my Chart of the Week idea. It saw Decent Volumes this week and closed above its recent swing high, with RSI and MACD Trending Upwards and Closing Above all Major Short moving Averages, breaking the Trendline. About: NSE:ACI is India's largest exporter of bromine and industrial salt in Fiscal 2021. The company is the leading specialty marine chemical manufacturer in India and is focused on producing and exporting bromine, industrial salt, and sulphate of potash to customers around the world. Brokerage View: ICICI Securities research report on Archean Chemical Industries ACI has a plethora of opportunities – each carrying strong value creation potential – along its path ahead. Right off the bat, the expansion in bromine derivatives, and thus, higher captive bromine consumption would likely provide a strong fillip to ACI’s bromine business. Separately, Oren shall help cater to chemicals’ demand for O&G exploration services along with bromine compounds. Also, the success in its SOP flotation process could unlock extensive value. Further, its foray into SiC chip production – likely production FY28E onwards – would place ACI among the few Indian producers in semiconductors. Outlook: It is also exploring a giga-factory in ZincGel batteries using zinc-bromide electrolyte, which exhibits synergies with its bromine. In our view, the stock has little to lose due to undemanding valuations (12.8x FY27E PE). Retain BUY and TP of INR 675 (based on 15x FY27E EPS). Trade Setup: It has broken the falling trendline and respected a Major Support Zone, Buy on Dips will the way to play this counter because of the uncertain environment of trump tariffs. Stop Loss: Swing Low Levels around the Levels Marked on a Weekly Closing Basis only. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FLLOW for more 👍BOOST if useful ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:ACILong
by Karanshah137
4
Britannia |Bull Rally Pending . ⭕️ Swing Trading opportunity: Price Action Analysis Alert !!!⭕️ 💡✍️Technical Reasons to trade or Strategy applied :- ✅Inverted Head & Shoulder Chart Pattern Bull Breakout required ✅Breakout confirmation required ✅Rise in Volume ✅Good 3 touches Trendline with volume ✅Clear uptrend with HH & HLs sequence in smaller Time frame ✅ Order block as potential Supports ✅Check out my TradingView profile to see how we analyze charts and execute trades. 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️If you have any questions about this stock, feel free to reach out to me. 📍📌Thank you for exploring our idea! We hope you found it valuable. 🙏FLLOW for more ! 👍LIKE if useful ! ✍️COMMENT Below your view !
NSE:BRITANNIALong
by ReviveTraders
SAKSOFT - Horizontal Trendline Breakout🔊 SAKSOFT - Horizontal Trendline Breakout ⌛Duration - Short Term (1 Week to 4 Week) 📊📈 Trade Logic - Horizontal Trendline Breakout with Huge Volume CMP - ₹321.75 Time Frame - Daily 🎯Target 1 : ₹350 🎯Target 2 : ₹360 🎯Target 3 : ₹380 🛑 Stop : ₹300 🏆 Risk/Reward Ratio (1: 2.5) Disclaimer: The stock information shared above is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. It reflects my own analysis and is intended solely for educational purposes. Any actions you take based on this information are your responsibility, and the admin of this channel is not liable for any financial gains or losses. Please consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
NSE:SAKSOFTLong
by Profit_Trader25
CDSL (Looks Good For Short Term)CDSL has given a trendline breakout on a daily chart. The stock can head towards 1960, 2000, and 2100 levels in the coming days. The stop loss can be placed at the low of the current candle (2nd Feb) which is 1823. The stock also has taken support on the weekly candle. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst. All the stocks are for educational purposes. Investors must consult a financial advisor before making any investment. It is not a buy or sell recommendation.
NSE:CDSLLong
by onkarsoundankar