Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Full Technical Breakdown - Timeframe: 1DBitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Full Technical Breakdown - Timeframe: 1D
Market Structure & SMC (Smart Money Concepts)
✅ CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmed from $105K top → current lower high around FWB:88K zone.
📉 Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside occurred at $91K.
🟠 Bearish Order Block (OB): $86K– FWB:88K (price currently reacting here).
Liquidity Levels:
Sell-side: Swept at $76K
Buy-side: Sitting above FWB:88K
Fair Value Gap (FVG): Unfilled zone between $81K– GETTEX:82K may act as magnet for price.
ICT Model Alignment
Judas Swing: Sharp liquidity grab below $76K → followed by rebound — classic manipulation before real move.
PD Array Setup:
Resistance: FWB:88K (bearish OB + buy-side liquidity)
Support: $81K (discount zone + FVG)
Elliott Wave Outlook
Wave 1: July–Sept 2024
Wave 3: Nov–Feb rally to $105K (extended wave)
Wave 4: Correction to $76K likely complete
Wave 5 Target: Potential $115K+ if structure holds
Fractal Observation
🔹 Current price structure is mimicking Nov 2023–Jan 2024 pattern
🔹 If history rhymes: consolidation → breakout → retest → parabolic rally
Key Levels to Watch
🔼 Bullish Confirmation: Daily close above FWB:88K → targeting GETTEX:92K –$100K
🔽 Bearish Rejection: Drop below $81K → next support at $74K–$76K
Strategy Summary
🔹 Short-Term Bias: Cautiously Bullish
🔹 Entry Zone: Retest near GETTEX:82K (FVG + OB)
🔹 SL: Below $79.5K
🔹 TP Zones: FWB:88K → GETTEX:92K → GETTEX:98K
📈 R:R = Minimum 1:5 (High confluence)
Keep your eyes on HTF closures and manage risk. Liquidity traps are in play.
Trump
Everyone’s yelling “Rugpull!” over $OM because -90%+ But $TRUMP?🚨 Everyone’s yelling “Rugpull!” over CRYPTOCAP:OM because it's down 90%+…
But no one’s talking about the Official Donald Trump token $TRUMP — which also crashed over -90% from its ATH in just 3 months. 🤯
Isn’t that the same thing?
Seriously, what happens to the trader who aped in at $70+?
➡️ Just imagine the bag they're holding now. 😬
➡️ Not every memecoin with a “name tag” is safe.
➡️ Hype isn’t utility. Hype isn’t protection.
Feels scammy or just bad tokenomics?
You tell me. 💬
GOLDHello & welcome to this analysis
GOLD (Comex) 4hrs is going to enter the potential reversal zone of a bearish Harmonic Shark pattern between $3135 - $3155. Pattern negates above $3167.
Probable retracement levels $3100 / $ 3075 / $3025 / 2950
If it sustains above $3170-$3200 it gets v strong and will attempt $3300
The Market Looks Brutal Right Now... But Stay With MeThe Market Looks Brutal Right Now... But Stay With Me
It feels like a bloodbath out there… but here’s the truth:
A fast and brutal dump is honestly better than a slow, painful bleed. It shakes out the weak hands quickly—and sets the stage for stronger recoveries.
We've seen this movie before:
▪️ The Covid flash crash
▪️ War shocks like Russia vs Ukraine
▪️ Black swan events like FTX blowing up
▪️ The chaos of the LUNA death spiral
➡️ Each time, fear dominated the feed.
➡️ Each time, the "This time it's different!" crowd got louder.
➡️ And each time, those who stayed calm and DCA’d into real projects walked away with massive wins.
So why should this time—just because of tariffs or macro FUD—be any different?
It’s not.
Zoom out.
The long-term trend is built on strong fundamentals, not headlines.
Stick to the plan: accumulate multi-cycle, high-cap coins. Ride the wave.
The short-term noise fades, but smart strategy compounds.
Market Insights: Will #Nifty's Bottom Be Shaped by Recent News?As they say, history always rhymes. Will this time again be a repeat of history, repeating some pattern in #Nifty charts?
Let's study the past. Back in October 2021, when Nifty made a top around 18600, it went into a price and time-wise correction, taking over 35 weeks to form a major bottom in June 2022. This bottom was formed amid extreme negative sentiments due to the Russia-Ukraine crisis. During this bottom formation, the market broke down below the major consolidation zone of May 2021 to August 2021 and also closed below the weekly clouds. However, just prior to that, the market took support around cloud lows and rallied swiftly by 8-12% in May 2022. After forming the June 2022 bottom, Nifty went on to make a new high in November 2022, which was around 55 weeks from October 2021.
Now, let's see where we are. Nifty made a recent ATH back in September 2024, and since then, this correction is close to 27 weeks old. The market recently took support exactly at weekly cloud lows and rallied swiftly by 8-10%. As of now, it risks breaking down below the weekly cloud and may test or break below the major consolidation zone of December 2023 to June 2024.
The tariff war is an uncertain event in the history of markets, but markets, as they say, are always forward-looking and smarter than what an individual can think. Most of the time, bottoms are formed with extreme negative sentiments. Will this be a repeat of the past, or will this time be different?
Will Nifty attempt a new high or test the old high after about 55 weeks from September 2024, coinciding with Diwali 2025, giving investors a good time around Diwali? Or will this Diwali be different?
Only time can answer this, but I'm sharing these observations from my limited experience.
This post is not a recommendation for any buy or sell but purely an educational post to observe and learn from history.
GOLD CRASHES HARD — BUT THE BIG SHORT VIEW WAS ALREADY 🟡 GOLD CRASHES HARD — BUT THE BIG SHORT VIEW WAS ALREADY IN PLAY
Gold dropped — and dropped even harder than expected.
But for those following closely, this wasn’t a surprise.
From the start of April, we had been watching for signs of reversal after gold kept printing new ATHs. The candlestick behavior on the higher timeframes was already hinting at exhaustion — and today’s move validated that broader view.
🔍 Why I’ve Been Calling for a BIG SHORT — Not Just in Gold
This isn’t just about XAUUSD.
Zoom out and you’ll see the signs across the board:
US, EU, and Asian stock markets are in a steep decline
Crypto is stagnant, with no new capital inflow and little investor interest
And gold — after a historic run — is now facing intense profit-taking pressure, especially under growing geopolitical and global trade risks
In this environment, many investors are moving to cash and staying on the sidelines.
📉 DXY: A Potential Comeback?
The USD Index (DXY) has been heavily sold off in recent months.
But if you look closely — it's now testing a multi-year support zone that's held strong for nearly 3 years.
AD’s view?
If this level holds — and if recent tariff policies + international pressure from Trump continue — we could see a real USD recovery in the coming weeks.
Trump appears to be playing hardball — not just for his own benefit, but strategically for the U.S.
His aggressive trade moves are forcing nations to reconsider tariff terms. And in the short term, that puts Trump in a position of power — globally.
🤔 The Fed’s Dilemma
Even as Trump escalates trade pressure, the Fed remains cautious.
They’ve held back from rate cuts — waiting for clearer outcomes from these global negotiations.
All eyes are now on Trump’s next moves — and how other major economies will respond.
🔮 Strategy Moving Forward
Many investors are still in risk-off mode, hoarding cash and waiting for further declines.
AD still expects further downside in gold next week, alongside a potential short-term bounce in DXY.
→ After that, once the trade talk dust settles, we could very well see Gold resume its climb, while USD retests major supports on the D1 timeframe.
📌 I’ll be back with a full weekly outlook tomorrow, but for now — absorb this Gold/USD landscape and build your strategy for the new week.
Stay sharp & protect your capital.
— AD | Money Market Flow
Will $ETH Drop Below $1,000 Before Heading to $7,000+? Will CRYPTOCAP:ETH Drop Below $1,000 Before Heading to $7,000+?
🟣 Historically, #ETH respected the 0.5 Fib retracement in bull markets – In the last bull run, ETH retraced to 0.5 Fib at $89 — then exploded to $4,867
🟣 That’s +56,000% in just 1.5 years!
This cycle, the 0.5 Fib level sits around $661. With the monthly trendline breakdown, the big question is:
Will #Ethereum dip below $1,000 and test $700 before making a new ATH?
If ETH reaches sub-$1,000 zones, I'm personally buying heavy and holding for 1–2 years. No FA – just Fib, patience & conviction.
ETH will reward those who ride the wave, not fear the dip.
Hold strong. Next 1–2 years = massive opportunity.
Bitcoin Short played out perfectly and Down 7%Bitcoin Short played out perfectly.
Price respected the SMC chart structure — 4H candle failed to close above FVG + -OB zone.
Post Trump Tariff news, market triggered high-leverage stop hunts with a fake pump before a sharp dump.
📉 Entry: $88,440 ✅
📈 Exit: $82,200 ✅
✅ ~7% move captured. Trade closed in profit.
$ONDO Near Golden Entry Zone: Is $ONDO Ready for a 5x Move?LSE:ONDO Technical Analysis & Bull Market Outlook
LSE:ONDO is currently trading near a key accumulation zone, aligning with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which historically signals a high-probability bounce area in strong trending markets.
Accumulation Strategy
Ideal accumulation zone lies between $0.80 - $0.60. DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) approach recommended on major dips for optimal positioning before the breakout confirmation.
Historical Breakout Behavior
In the last HTF (High Time Frame) breakout, ONDO delivered a +200% move post-breakout. Based on current consolidation and market structure, a potential 400%-500% upside is anticipated if similar breakout structure plays out.
Upside Targets in Bull Case: $2/$5/$10
Why Still Bullish?
* Clean structure on daily and 4H TFs.
* Strong demand near 0.786 FIB.
* Institutional interest confirmed:
Trump’s World Liberty Finance acquired 342,002 LSE:ONDO , investing $505,218 at an average entry of ~$1.47 — current price is trading ~45% lower, indicating strong long-term conviction.
Not financial advice. Strictly TA-based view. Manage risk accordingly.
BitcoinBitcoin rising from $85,189 to $88,000 today implies an anticipated increase of about 3.3%. Given the current market conditions and recent price movements, such a rise is within the realm of possibility, though it would require a reversal of the current downward trend.
It's important to note that Bitcoin's price has experienced significant fluctuations recently. Following President Donald Trump's announcement of a U.S. strategic crypto reserve, Bitcoin's value surged by over 11%, reaching a high of $95,136. However, it remains below its record high of $109,135 achieved in January 2025.
BTC#19: “Cryptocurrency Reserves” and trading plants💎 💎 💎 After Trump posted about his plan to put BTC into the national cryptocurrency reserve, BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSD had a meteoric rise back to 93~95x. Let's plan to trade BTC: 💎 💎 💎
1️⃣ **Fundamental Analysis:**
📊 The current market is dominated by “US crypto assets”.
🚀 Trump: Will put BTC into the national reserve, this will help the crypto sector break out. However, it is also important to note that the US lacks budget support and crypto reserves are just empty words at present.
📌 The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 93%.
It can be seen that the current cash flow injected into the market is not really significant because interest rates have not yet decreased and the US tariff policy is still waiting to cause an economic war. Current news plays a role in restraining the downward momentum and fear in the recent past.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **Frame D**: it can be seen that the price is looking for an important resistance area. Note that the current price structure is decreasing, so the price can still turn around at any time when it touches the diagonal resistance zone.
🔹 **Frame H4**: It is clear that yesterday's increase has not yet had any technical recovery to be able to break through the current resistance zone.
🔹 **Frame H1**: Temporarily, the price is still in an upward trend influenced by yesterday's positive news. The previously broken trendline will act as an important support for the price to break out in the near future
3️⃣ **Trading plan:*
⛔ The current area is no longer ideal for establishing a trading position, if the price still has no recovery, we can consider looking for a SELL position when the price reaches the diagonal resistance area when a price structure appears on a smaller time frame. BUY should only be made if the price recovers and accumulates in the old resistance area and an increasing price structure appears on a smaller time frame.
✅ On the D and H4 time frames, the price structure is still bearish, besides, H1 has increased strongly without any technical recovery due to the influence of positive news. So we can completely wait for a trading opportunity when the price finds an important resistance and support zone.
💪 **Wishing you success in achieving profits!**
Trump's Tariffs and GoldSo it seems like gold is moving against my expectation for a pullback/consolidation (Black arrow path ) a correction before continuing its bullish trend.
The price broke through monthly R1(2871)in Today's bull run and now testing the weekly resistance R1 (2907), indicating a strong bullish sentiment in the market. If this momentum keeps up, we could see gold testing or even surpassing this resistance level, with a potential aim towards 2945.843(Monthly R2).
However, looking at the broader picture, there's a chance we might see some profit-taking(As price is at psychological level of 2900) or a market reaction to upcoming events like Fed Chair Powell's speech or the release of January's inflation data, which could lead to a temporary pullback to around 2850-70 area (Last week base) , where previous resistance might now act as support and at that zone we have to decide the next path.
Trump's tariff plan, especially the concept of reciprocal tariffs, adds another layer of uncertainty, potentially boosting gold further as everyone look for safety against trade war fears.
As expected in previous posts overall view remain bullish as per current price action and I am still holding my buy trade (from 2660 and Silver from 30.40) , yes in last week closing I was expecting a pullback and was waiting to add more near to 2800, Now we have to wait gold price action in this data packed week before making any decision.
Trump Coin Technical Analysis #Trumpcoin
➡️🤪⛽️Sentiment around the $TRUMP coin on social platforms and in the crypto community seems bullish and showing positive signals. However, there's caution regarding its sustainability due to the memecoin's inherent volatility and the political nature of the coin's association. There's a noted potential for the coin to experience significant drawdowns if market sentiment shifts or if there are regulatory changes affecting cryptocurrencies linked to political figures. 📉📈 Chart for your reference
BTCUSD Chart estimations on previous Low and HighI'm just attempting to see where the BTCUSD may head next. So far, I have been able to deduce these scenarios where BTC might drop, reason being availability of both Hidden Divergence and Trump VS Biden uproar. Only one scenario is valid for BTCUSD pump and that is just a small possibility. However, the Support and Resistance levels at these Fib levels are way too strong for Market to ignore them. I suspect that the bear market is accumulating and thus we might see some massive drops in coming days.
How would you play these?
Inc in weekly jobless claims supported Gold, eye on retail salesGold prices continued to move sideways on the back of multiple events and updates floating in the market, although if the metal could not keep up pace it will be on the track for its first weekly decline in three weeks for the metal. On the bright side for the metal yesterday, President Trump announced that he is willing to raise his offer of $1.8tln for a Covid relief bill, although this idea was shot down by his fellow Republican itself, putting cold water on this little ray of hope. Europe and few states in U.S. are battling surges in COVID-19 cases, with new infections and hospitalizations rising to record levels, increasing worries and keeping the floor strong for gold. Increase in the weekly jobless claims to it's two
week high in the yesterday's session also supported gold on the lower levels. Market participants will keep an eye on the Retail sales and Industrial
production data from the US; in case of any decline could further support the metal.
With the trend on gold higher since 2016, and the weekly timeframe demonstrating active support at $1,882, buyers still likely have a strong hand in this fight. Traders may interpret chart structure as a cue to begin pursuing bullish themes off the current H4 trend line support, while conservative buyers might prefer to wait and see if the unit conquers H4 resistance at $1,916 before taking action.
Suggestion: BUY GOLD FROM 1906-07 SL BELOW 1894 TGT 1915/1920
ELSE SELL BELOW 1894 TGT 1885/1880 SL ABV 1905