USDINR - REVERSAL PLAYThe Indian Rupee (INR) has depreciated by 1 RS against the US dollar in the past month and is approaching its historical peak, a potential reversal opportunity. Consider taking a short position, using a tight stop loss set at the all-time high of 83.6 . This decision is bolstered by the presence of a bearish divergence, lending further support to this strategy.
Usdinrshort
USDINR - bearish bias USDINR has taken nice resistance of the upper trend line. And selling pressure is building up since morning.
Short term trade is to trade till lower line.
To some one who wants to play for longer view may add shorts at each peak done like today. Once it starts trending lower trendline, down rally may start after a retest.
Smart think to do will be add after first breakown below lower trendline retest.
This will test a lot of patience.
User Discretion - any drastic news from Gov may drive prices crazy
USD INR 2023Two week of the balance zone is disturbed and the balance zone is broken. USDINR unable to onboard new buyers in this zone. Triple top formed and trend reversal confirmed. In the short term it may test 81.60 to 81.80 levels to attract buyers. If it fails to attract, the next key level is 80.80.
USDINR September ViewUSDINR has been doing a sideways move for a while...
Although now as per Dow theory also, it has given a Bearish Direction with change in Dow theory...
Details in the chart above....
Let's take every bounce an opportunity to sell Calls of higher strikes (above current price - OTM)
and when it breaks TL, we might also be brave to buy Puts of ATM strike...
Achhe Din Aa Rahe hai India ke....
Jai Hind !
Plan your Trade ! Trade your Plan !
Happy Trading !
USDINR View for next 1 or 2 daysUSDINR
Formed kind of bearish flag pattern
if it breaks the inclined TL downwards, then T1 : 75.75
further if it breaks that level too, then 75.54
But if it breaks the high of evening star and inclined TL above, then
76.46 is the level to watch for, if it breaks that then USDINR may get bullish again.
Plan your Trade ! Trade your Plan !
Happy Trading !
USDINR View Buying Option OpportunityUSDINR as expected moving in a neutral to short range as per our expiry view posted previously....
Now that we are watching a Sandwich pattern formed on 4Hourly timeframe,
if it breaks down
then there is a flag breakdown also with a breakdown of 50 EMA
this confluence may trigger an excellent Option buying opportunity.
For buying, use next week's option or monthly option of ATM or ITM strike.
Target : till 200 EMA or POLE target.
Plan your Trade ! Trade your Plan !
These ideas are shared for trader community to improve conviction and employing different execution strategies on their individual views if they match our view.
USDINR Next week view 18 March ExpiryUSDINR on Weekly Time frame has reached channel resistance marked in Blue parallel line
at this channel resistance, on daily timeframe it has shown us a hanging man (hammer) type candle ,
the low of this candle is also taken down by the big bearish candle.
Now this all has happened at the previous resistance level and this bearish engulf (hammer + big bearish candle) has taken down
low of the bullish breakout candle too confirming fake breakout.
Now, as per this price action any bounce is a Sell with Stop loss high of the hammer candle (77.150)
We can also see Bearish Divergence with RSI.
View : Neutral to Short with target 75.5
Counter view : if the high of the hammer is broken out, then bullish momentum continues, hence, continuing the view given in my previous post. Please check out.
Strategy that can be applied :
Bear Call Spread - Buy 77.25 CE Sell 77 CE (Buy OTM Sell ATM/ITM)
OR
Call Ratio Back Spread Buy twice of the lots of 76.5 PE and Sell 76.75 PE (Sell one lot of ITM, Buy two lots of OTM)
Few things to know about this spread are below :-
* Unlimited profit if the market goes down
* Limited profit if market goes up
* Predefined loss if the market stays within a range
USDINR ViewUSDINR has broken an inclined Trendline,
this can be seen as inverted flag pattern breakdown. {considering upside retracement as inverted flag}
Since, 75 seems to be a strong resistance (breakdown level), I am considering Bear Call Spread strategy with next week's (11th Feb) options.
Plan your Trade ! Trade your Plan !
Happy Trading !!!
USDINR Trendline breakdownUSDINR gave inverted head and shoulder breakout and achieved it's target
Now, it is showing bearish divergence with previous high in stochastic.
candle close below breakout level shows bear strength.
Bollinger Band has started expanding indicating increasing volatality.
Trade with SL.
Plan your trade. then trade your plan.
Happy Trading !!!
USDINR ViewUSDINR has touched the Inverted Head and Shoulder target
Now, it is either retracing or reversing from the resistance point.
May capture this movement with SL at top of today's high.
Any bounce is a sell.
If it crosses 75, next target 74.75
USDINR Rising WedgeUSDINR gave a fantastic rally,
however, now the price is narrowing upwards, causing a wedge pattern.
its time for the breakdown of the wedge, if it does, good short trade activates.
USDINR: Breakout or Breakdown?On the weekly USDINR chart, there is a symmetrical triangle kind of a formation. It has taken about 20 months to form on the chart. This pattern could break on either side. My bias would be on the long side because the overall trend on the weekly and the monthly chart looks definitely bullish. But I would be open to re evaluate the scenario if it breaks the pattern and the trendlines to the down side.
Possible upside long term target: 81
Possible downside long term target: 67
Wait for the breakout and retest on either side, then trade on smaller timeframes.
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Manage risk properly and trade your plan.
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USDINR - Reversal from ResistanceNote: This is for educational purpose only. Please do not trade in F&O based on this analysis.
There seems to be a bearish reversal from supply zone. Low of current candle is lower than that of previous candle.
SL: ₹ 74.70
USDINR View 27 Aug 2021USDINR in a downtrend channel still as published previously.
Now it is also showing Head and Shoulder pattern if breaks the neckline will give good targets similar to the length from top of head to neckline.
If it fails to break down, then sideways view continued till it breaks upside.
Will look for price action tomorrow and take position of bear call spread if it favors my view.
Happy Trading !!!
USDINR View USDINR finally printed an Evening Star kind of pattern,
taking resistance of a downtrend channel.
Not in any trade this week as I was not very clear with my view.
Now, will take the trade tomorrow, based on price action,
will try to execute bear call spread and will try to sell on a bounce if I get one.
USD/INR preparing to move!Monthly chart for USD/INR formed ascending triangle and looks ready for a potential down move.
Things to consider:
1. Ascending Traingle formation
2. Monthly Resistance
3. Macd & RSI indicating down move
4. Half M formation (could complete to make full M)
How to enter:
1. Review the market conditions as i presented
2. Locate the monthly resistance
3. Take entry on strong down moment on 4 hr tf
ALL THE BEST!
USDINR View Scenario 1 : Continues the Head n Shoulder breakdown (can you spot Head and Shoulder?) to achieve T1
of Head and Shoulder breakdown target &
200 EMA Support. If breaks further,
then T2 can be achieved which is a support of 2 hammers printed previously.
Scenario 2 : If it does not break and open flat or gapup,
it may consolidate here before breaking down. Range 74.5 - 74.25
Scenario 3 : It may achieve T1 and do a false breakdown of the inclined trend line (& 50 EMA) and again bounce back up.
Look for bullish candle patterns here.
USDINR View 16 July Weekly Expiry View and StrategyPossible Top is formed with Fake Breakout and strong inverted hammer.
View : Sideways to Bearish
Resistance @ 74.75 Support at 74
Short Straddle 74.75 or 74.5 Strike is possible
Or my favourite Bear Call Spread.
Sell 74.75 CE and buy 75 CE
this must be done on bounce, if we get one for this week's expiry.
USDINR View USDINR formed a bearish divergence
Carrying a bear call spread for this week's expiry
Sold 75 CE
and Hedged 72.25 CE, buying it.