Usdinrstrategy
USDINR - all time highs will be taken out in November?USD is making some serious inroads. INR trailing behind unable to maintain the equilibrium.
83.4210 is the current ATH. Today we went up to 83.3010. TVC:DXY at 107.
Continued FII selling will only add fuel to the fire. When the Indian media houses are gung-ho about the decadal that belongs to India & its growth story - the people outside are not that interested.
TVC:US30Y quoting 4.945% looks exciting from a debt perspective !
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A rising USDINR means the INR is getting devalued. Calendar year 2022 saw an erosion of 11.07%, YTD is only 0.61% - will the rising US yield + war in middle east further erode the Indian Rupee??
USDINR1st BUY 82.02 (30% of your capital)
2nd BUY 81.73 (30% of your capital)
3rd BUY 81.43 (30% of your capital)
A margin call of 10% must be maintained.
Note: Only buying (long FUT or Monthly CALL) is recommended here; no shorting or bearish trend is recommended; almost all events are happened so strong naturals (above > 82.39); do not buy weekly CALL options and OTM CALL options; only ITM or ATM monthly options are recommended.
USDINR: Breakout and retest done, 75.50 coming?USDINR has broken out of the symmetrical triangle pattern formed on the weekly chart which I had discussed in my previous idea. After that it has done a retest of the pattern trendline and the 20EMA on the daily chart. If we observe a continuation bar forming, as explained on the chart, we could see a retest of 75.50 pretty soon.
Stay tuned for the continuation of the story..
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Manage risk properly and trade your plan.
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USDINR: Breakout or Breakdown?On the weekly USDINR chart, there is a symmetrical triangle kind of a formation. It has taken about 20 months to form on the chart. This pattern could break on either side. My bias would be on the long side because the overall trend on the weekly and the monthly chart looks definitely bullish. But I would be open to re evaluate the scenario if it breaks the pattern and the trendlines to the down side.
Possible upside long term target: 81
Possible downside long term target: 67
Wait for the breakout and retest on either side, then trade on smaller timeframes.
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Manage risk properly and trade your plan.
Like and follow for more. :)
USDINR View USDINR finally printed an Evening Star kind of pattern,
taking resistance of a downtrend channel.
Not in any trade this week as I was not very clear with my view.
Now, will take the trade tomorrow, based on price action,
will try to execute bear call spread and will try to sell on a bounce if I get one.
USD/INR preparing to move!Monthly chart for USD/INR formed ascending triangle and looks ready for a potential down move.
Things to consider:
1. Ascending Traingle formation
2. Monthly Resistance
3. Macd & RSI indicating down move
4. Half M formation (could complete to make full M)
How to enter:
1. Review the market conditions as i presented
2. Locate the monthly resistance
3. Take entry on strong down moment on 4 hr tf
ALL THE BEST!
USDINR View Scenario 1 : Continues the Head n Shoulder breakdown (can you spot Head and Shoulder?) to achieve T1
of Head and Shoulder breakdown target &
200 EMA Support. If breaks further,
then T2 can be achieved which is a support of 2 hammers printed previously.
Scenario 2 : If it does not break and open flat or gapup,
it may consolidate here before breaking down. Range 74.5 - 74.25
Scenario 3 : It may achieve T1 and do a false breakdown of the inclined trend line (& 50 EMA) and again bounce back up.
Look for bullish candle patterns here.
USDINR Weekly ChartUSDINR is currently trading at a very important resistance zone.
A weekly closing about 74 levels will be very important.
USDINR - Bullish Reversal from supportNote: This is for educational purpose only.
There seems to be a bullish reversal from demand zone with increasing volumes.
USDINR - Hammer at SupportNote: This is for educational purpose only.
There seems to be a bullish hammer at support with rise in volume. Moreover, there seems to be a bullish RSI divergence.
USDINR - Bearish breakoutNote: This is for educational purpose only.
There seems to be a bearish breakout in USDINR with ultra high volume. However, RSI is below 30 which indicates oversold. Don't aggressively short this pair. There is a possibility of some bounce back before the next down fall.
Algorithmic Derivation of Levels for USDINR : 12th March 20USDINR Algorithmic + Technical Derivation of Levels
Please feel free to comment and share ur findings