View!!!
HDFC CHART ANALYSISHDFC chart analysis, HDFC interim support rests at 2000-2010 around that it must take retracement to statisfy the long trend line, a closing below 2108 can take it upto 2050 levels then further downwards and upcoming resistance is being observed at 2192 after which a closing and a follow up can give good move in HDFC. Support and resistance are still yet to be confirmed and HDFC can show up some bounce and then may take support around 2050 levels Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
View on Exit PollFinally, exit polls have given some hope of stable government but considering past track record of +/- 10-15% deviation in numbers, risk to financial market has already been built up. BJP with 285+ seats and NDA with +310 seats are good for market but that should not last long as real concerns on economic slowdown will come into play. Will poll numbers behave like 2014 or 2004? Need to cross fingers till 23rd May. RBI June policy will have to be watched as how banking regulator will respond to inflationary concern, trade war and slowdown in economy. Market consensus is for 25 basis point reduction. Liquidity should be the concern till the time new govt come into power and start full fledged fiscal operation. Trump's soft stance on trade dispute with EU, Japan, Canada and Mexico is a positive move but major dispute is in between top 2 economies of the world. $ 738 billion of goods and services trade between global giants is at risk. Apart from this, Japan's capital good exports to China, Australia's commodities export to China, Korea's semiconductor and Tourism exports to China are also at risk. Crudeoil is still not cooling off from recent peaks. Skymet's prediction of below average monsoon is risk to inflation.Risk reward balance is still tilted towards risk. Investors in market should wait for clear directional close above 11900 to understand big investor's appetite for risks.
SBI: Whats the story...SBI
CMP 256
Observations
- trading in ascending channel since Feb 2016
- currently at lower end of channel
-trading below 50 day EMA
- trading below 200 day EMA
View going forward
Scenario 1
- stock is at major trendline support & if the stock holds on to current level then
- the stock may see a bounce towards either 50 day EMA currently around 278 or max towards mid red line of channel around 295-305 levels
- and then we may see a bigger fall
Scenario 2
- The stock breaks past the channel support
- takes support around green line (around 244)
- on bounce finds resistance at 200 day EMA
- & falls again
Given the chart setup
- likely short term target 269-278
- & if we seen rejection on any bounce then the target over medium term looks likely to be around 220-196
Take care & safe trading...!!!