banknifty 24th may rising wedge and double top bank nifty is forming rising wedge pattern (blank line) and double top (M) green line and there is a strong support trendline. If the support trendline is broken at 43888 level then possibility of reaching 43333 is high. if it takes support at 43888 level then market might retest and try to break all-time high.
Don't be bullish or bearish trade with the market direction.
Buy above 440057(43900 CE) Target 44132,44282,44410,44550.
Sell below 43766 (43800 PE) Target 43579,43465, 43333.
Wedge
#SIEMENS Rising wedge & hanging man formation Siemens on weekly timeframe is forming a rising wedge formation.
It is also formed at the top of the rising channel in which Siemens has been trading from quite some time, generally such formation are formed as ED formation in EW and can be a signal of truncated 5th in its impulsive wave upmove.
Although, this post doesn't deal in great detail with EW wave marking but an indicative wave counts are marked as well.
Weekly chart is also showing a negative divergence and longs need to be cautious here as I have anticipated it earlier as well (link in related idea section) and since then it hasn't moved up much on upper side.
On daily time frame, the script has formed a "Hanging Man", which is also a bearish reversal pattern and most importantly the candlestick pattern has appeared at ATH. Invalidation level for this pattern is any closing above the high of the hanging man candle and if price start sustaining below and closes below this candle, then it will be a confirmation of this pattern which can drag the price downside.
nifty 19th may W-pattern and failing wedgeNifty is in failing wedge pattern if it sustains above 18210 then possibly it can reach 18414 level and there is another indication of W pattern or double bottom forming if it breaks the same level(18210) then it can reach 18418 level easily. From the Feb speed resistance fan it is taking support at 0.382 level(18110) and if it breaks then 18004 is the next support(0.5 level) and if it takes supports at 18110 level then possibly it can reach 18417 level.
I would suggest being neutral and go with the market direction accordingly.
Buy above 18213(18150 CE) Target 18256, 18304, 18343
Sell below 18106 (18150 PE) Target 18054, 18005, 17942
Trendline Wedge BreakoutPlease look into the chart for a detailed understanding.
Consider these for short-term & swing trades with 2% profit.
For BTST trades consider booking
target for 1% - 2%
For long-term trades look out for resistance drawn above closing.
Please consider these ideas for educational purpose
Clean science falling wedge breakout on weeklyBuy clean science for longerterm
ABOUT
Incorporated in 2003, Clean Science and Technology Ltd is one of the leading chemical manufacturers globally. It manufactures functionally critical specialty chemicals such as Performance Chemicals (MEHQ, BHA, and AP), Pharmaceutical Intermediates (Guaiacol and DCC), and FMCG Chemicals (4-MAP and Anisole).
KEY POINTS
Product Segments & Revenue split FY22
Performance chemicals (70%): 4 key products are MEHQ, BHA, AP and TBHQ.
Geography-wise Revenue Classification
Leading Manufacturer of Green Chemistry
Green chemistry is an emerging focus among manufacturing industries that minimizes pollution at a molecular level and Clean science works on developing eco-friendly and sustainable manufacturing processes of specialty and fine chemicals and is one of the global leaders in its key products including monomethyl ether of hydroquinone, butylated hydroxyanisole, anisole, and 4-MAP, besides in other key products including guaiacol and DCC
Product Application
Company's products include Anisole, MEHQ, Guaiacol, MAP, BHA, Ascorbyl Palmitate. These are used as key starting level materials, as inhibitors or as additives by diverse Industries such as Textiles, FMCG, Agriculture, Personal Care, and many others. Its Key customers include Bayer AG, SRF Ltd, Gennex Laboratories, Nutriad International NV and Vinati Organics.
**International Footprints **
The company supplies its products to manufacturers and distributors in India as well as overseas markets i.e. China, Europe, USA, Korea, Taiwan, and Japan. Bayer AG, Genex Laboratories Limited, Nutriad International NV, SRF Limited, Vinati Organics are a few of its customers. In FY 22, it generated 70 % of revenues through export outside India
Manufacturing Facilities
It has 3 certified production facilities in India strategically located at Kurkumbh (Maharashtra), in close proximity to the JNPT port from where it exports the majority of products. Each facility has an on-site R&D unit, quality control department, warehouse, and effluent treatment system.
CAPEX
In FY22, co. incurred ₹140 Crores, capex towards unit three primarily. All capex was funded from internal accruals. Majority Capex was undertaken at unit three where they commissioned two plants, PBQ and TBHQ, which are newer products. Doubled anisole capacity and increased BHA capacity by 50%. Increased capacities of MEHQ and Guaiacol by 50% and the plant was commissioned in April 2022. They are also in the process of doubling PBQ capacity,completion expected in the second half FY23.
R&D Breakthrough in FY21
The Co. successfully developed key products in HALS series using in-house R&D capabilities and has become the first Indian company to develop HALS series which find application in diverse end industries including polymerization inhibitor, water treatment, paint industry, coatings industry, etc. The company plans to commercialize this product by H2 FY2023.
Revenue Concentration
In FY22, revenue from a single customer accounted for 12.5% of the total revenues.
IPO Details
The Company got listed on Jul 19, 2021, the IPO size of the company was 1546 Cr of which the entire issue was an Offer for sale.
Incorporation of subsidiary
During FY22, co. incorporated a new WOS to manufacture speciality chemicals including the HALS series under the name “Clean Fino-Chem Limited” with an initial Capital of 10 lakhs Subsequently, the Company made additional equity investments of 55 crores in CFCL.
The greenfield Capex on an acquired 34-acre land parcel will be undertaken through this subsidiary.
BankNifty - Unveiling the Magic of Wave Analysis Near ATH-44151Introduction
In the world of financial markets, technical analysis plays a crucial role in understanding market trends and making informed investment decisions. One powerful tool in this domain is wave analysis, which has proven its accuracy time and again. In a recent BankNifty analysis, wave analysis beautifully predicted the index's movements, providing traders with valuable insights. This article will delve into the fascinating details of this analysis, its striking coincidence with the actual market movements, and the subsequent implications for the BankNifty index.
The Coincidence: Wave 5 and the All-Time High on short term
Wave analysis involves identifying patterns and cycles within price movements. In the case of BankNifty, the wave analysis successfully anticipated the index's behavior, specifically focusing on the relationship between Wave 5 and the all-time high (ATH).
Wave 5 is the final impulse wave in Elliott Wave Theory, representing the last leg of the uptrend. As per our last update **BankNifty's- Danger: Is this A Rising Wedge?– Time to Rethink**
Astonishingly, the analysis predicted that Wave 5 would measure 62% of the distance covered by Wave 1-3, precisely at the level of 44085. The BankNifty index then surged slightly above the projected level, reaching 44151.70—a mere 0.10 points shy of the ATH at 44151.80. This near-perfect alignment with the projected level served as a testament to the accuracy of wave analysis.
The Dark Cloud Cover Pattern: A Warning Signal
Building upon the foundation of the initial analysis, the subsequent market movements confirmed the reliability of wave analysis. After hovering just below the ATH, a bearish candlestick pattern emerged, known as the Dark Cloud Cover on daily chart this week. This pattern consists of an opening above the previous day's high or close, followed by a price decline, closing below the midpoint of the prior candle.
The Dark Cloud Cover, observed in the BankNifty index, provided a firm footing to the analysis, indicating that the index was likely to halt temporarily below the ATH of 44151.80. It acted as a warning signal for traders, highlighting the possibility of a reversal or consolidation in the index's upward trajectory.
The Downside Move: A Potential Shift in Sentiment
The subsequent session on May 17th witnessed a follow-up downside move, confirming the analysis's predictions. The BankNifty index slipped from 43950 to 43446, experiencing a significant fall of approximately 500 points. This downward movement hinted at a potential shift in sentiment, as market participants reevaluated their positions and adjusted to the prevailing conditions.
However, it's important to note that the index bounced back from its lows and closed at 43748, indicating that the downside move might not be fully established yet. Traders and investors need to closely monitor future market developments to assess whether this downward momentum will continue or if a reversal could occur.
The Road Ahead
In conclusion, the recent BankNifty analysis using wave analysis techniques has showcased its effectiveness in predicting market movements. The coincidental alignment between Wave 5 and the ATH, followed by the emergence of the Dark Cloud Cover pattern and subsequent downside move, confirms the importance of technical analysis in navigating the financial markets.
As the BankNifty index navigates these critical junctures, traders and investors should remain vigilant and adapt their strategies accordingly. The interplay between technical analysis, market sentiment, and fundamental factors will determine the index's future trajectory.
Thanks for reading.
BankNifty Tidal Wave- Ride or Crash? 15th May 2023Welcome back to another episode of Wave Talks. Bank Nifty's Tidal Wave -Ride or Crash: Index can face a significant shift with the unfolding ending diagonal. Will you ride the wave to profit or crash on the shore? Unfolding wedge pattern
It's time to reconsider Bank Nifty's pattern as it poses a risk. Let us discuss in details price objective & outlook for next few weeks with key & critical levels for better risk management.
Last Idea - BankNifty's Danger -Is this a rising wedge
BankNifty's- Danger: Is this A Rising Wedge?– Time to RethinkEarlier in The Day - When Magical Level of 43350 Holds
Ending diagonal
Also known as an ending wedge, is a term used in the field of technical analysis to describe a specific chart pattern that signals the end of a trend or price movement. This pattern is characterized by converging trendlines that form a wedge shape and typically consists of five waves, with the third and fifth waves being smaller than the first and second waves.
Rising wedges are bearish reversal patterns that often signal the end of an uptrend, leading to a decline in prices.
Few classic examples from history where rising wedges have occurred, and financial instruments have collapsed:
1. The Dot-Com Bubble (2000):
2. The Global Financial Crisis (2007-2008): A rising wedge pattern emerged in the US housing market and various mortgage-backed securities leading up to the financial crisis.
3. The Crude Oil Crash (2014-2016): Crude oil prices experienced a sharp decline between 2014 and 2016 due to a combination of oversupply and weak demand. A rising wedge pattern was evident in crude oil prices before the crash.
As a trader, it is essential to be cautious and aware of potential risks when trading financial instruments that exhibit rising wedge patterns. Some tips to keep in mind are:
1. Stay informed about market trends and technical analysis patterns to identify potential reversal signals, such as the rising wedge.
2. Keep track of economic data, news, and events that could impact the financial instrument you are trading.
3. Practice proper risk management by using stop-loss orders and position sizing to minimize potential losses.
4. Diversify your trading portfolio to reduce the impact of a single financial instrument's collapse.
5. Remain disciplined and follow your trading plan, ensuring that you do not give in to emotions like fear or greed.
16th March 2023 :Last idea - Truncated Pattern Are Really Explosive : BankNifty
My BTC 2023 scenario 48K or 60-62K? Hi dear community and my loyal followers, I hope you are fine.
I'm looking at weekly log chart of BTC.
As you noticed from my previous analyses I compared 2022-2023 with 2015-2016 and not with 2019-2020 coz they are very identical. Taking into account this similarities I nailed any single move from the bottom of 2022/15.5K/ to the current moment /30K/.
As you see Based on my measurement and similar move I don't expect BTC to dump below 25K instead of it I expect pump to 35-37K maybe a little bit higher/37-38K/ filling weekly FVG zone and reached the same % pump as BTC did in 2015, after that we'll see dump to 20-22K filling daily GAP on BTC futures. Then we'll see see huge bounce towards 48K if we count 30% from the top and 60-62K if we count from the last swing high 37-38K to the top as it is shown in 2015. The worst case I expect 48K in 2023. When BTC reaches 48K or 60-62K we should see deep correction to 25-28K in case that BTC new ATH will be hit in 2024-2025.
If you like my analayses don't forget to check below analyses, like, comment, follow and share please. I will appreciate any kind of support. Have a good day, I wish you good trades and big profits.
Triveni turbine weekly breakoutTriturbine stock has given a weekly breakout from rising wedge pattern.
Yesterday, the stock closed above 310 which was its ATH closing which was an indication for the breakout. 300-310 will act as a strong support now for the stock. It is better to wait for a retracement and watch the price action at support.
The stock is in uptrend and is looking positive as a positional trade.
Sharing this chart only for educational purposes.
Upper Limit for the next month is @105A rising wage pattern on the daily timeframe and also have a good resistance at around 105 and will face some support at around 74, also on a lower timeframe (1H) it's making a Head & Shoulder pattern which is a clear sign of downtrend. and also option data supporting that its going to go downwards next month so 3 strong points 👍