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GBPUSD, H4 LondGBP/USD stays within the descending channel coming from late September and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart stays well below 50, reflecting the bearish bias. The 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) forms a strong support level at 1.2970. If this support fails, the mid-point of the descending channel could be seen as the next bearish target at 1.2930 before 1.2900 (round level). On the upside, interim resistance is located at 1.3000 (round level, static level) before 1.3040 (upper limit of the channel) and 1.3100 (100-period SMA on the 4-hour chart).
Long
by dipen228
Japanese Yen Slightly Rebounds, Is USD/JPY Really Reversing?Are you ready for the latest hot updates on the USD/JPY pair? Let’s dive deep into the analysis with Alisa! The Japanese Yen has slightly recovered after Japanese officials intervened, pushing the USD/JPY pair below 152.00. However, the Fed’s interest rate hike prospects and political uncertainty in Japan are limiting the Yen’s upward momentum. Investors are closely watching the PMI data to assess the global economic outlook. Looking at the technical chart, the upward trend is still ongoing. Although the USD/JPY pair is currently slightly declining, it won’t be long before the uptrend resumes. With support from the ascending price channel and the 151.00 level, the pair's upward momentum will be reinforced. So, what do you think? Will the USD/JPY pair continue to decline, or will it reverse and rise? Let Alisa know!
by Alisa_Rokosz
EURUSD bounces back from year-long support ahead of EU/US PMIEURUSD records its first daily gain in four, bouncing back from the lowest level since July 3, as traders eagerly await the preliminary readings of October's PMIs for the Eurozone and the US. The Euro pair’s movement aligns with overbought RSI conditions while it turns from an upward support line established in early October 2023. Sellers remain in control Despite an oversold RSI (14) supporting EURUSD's bounce from key support, bearish MACD signals and trading below the 200-SMA keep sellers optimistic. The downside bias is further strengthened by more dovish expectations from the European Central Bank (ECB) compared to the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Key technical levels to watch The multi-month support line around 1.0765 is crucial for EURUSD. A clear break below this level could expose the pair to a decline toward February and June 2024 lows, near 1.0700 and 1.0680, respectively. However, if the RSI conditions hold, Euro bears may face challenges around 1.0680. If not, the yearly low marked in April around 1.0600 will be the last line of defense for buyers before the pair heads toward the late 2023 bottom around 1.0450. Alternatively, a rebound for EURUSD seems unlikely while trading below the 200-SMA at 1.0870. That said, the immediate upside is protected by the 50% Fibonacci level from the pair's rise between October 2023 and September 2024, located around 1.0830. Additionally, the 38.2% Fibonacci level and an 11-week-old support line near 1.0920 and 1.1000 will be tough obstacles for bulls to overcome if they break past 1.0830. Further recovery looks challenging While some technical signals indicate that sellers may be losing momentum, several technical and fundamental factors suggest buyers are not yet ready to step in. The EURUSD's corrective bounce could continue with strong EU data and weak US statistics. However, if the US Dollar sees a positive surprise, the likelihood of further downside for the pair remains high.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD - POSITIONAL TRADE FOR HUGE PROFITSymbol - EURUSD EURUSD is currently trading at 1.11900 My short setup has formed in EURUSD & I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side. Shorting EURUSD pair at CMP 1.11900 I will be adding more position if 1.12300 comes & will hold with SL 1.12850 Targets I'm expecting are 1.10200 - 1.09150 - 1.07700 Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Short
by akshit_official
Economic Recession Weighs on EUR/USDHello everyone, Alisa is back! Today, let’s analyze the EUR/USD currency pair. EUR/USD has fallen below 1.0800 due to concerns over an economic recession in the Eurozone and the ECB's continued rate cuts. Inflation decreasing faster than expected has driven these decisions, reducing the Euro’s appeal. On the 4-hour chart, EUR/USD is showing a clear downtrend. The 1.080 resistance level has become a significant barrier, repeatedly pushing the price back. Even with recovery attempts, the pair is quickly pulled down by the previous support level, which has now turned into a new resistance. Investors should exercise caution with the EUR/USD pair during this period. The ECB's rate cuts and the gloomy economic outlook for the Eurozone may trigger unexpected volatility in the market.
by Alisa_Rokosz
USDJPY crosses 200-SMA to refresh 12-week high, focus on 152.00USDJPY has reached its highest point since July 31, rising for the third straight day after breaking the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) early Wednesday. However, a seven-month-old resistance zone around 151.85-152.00 limits further gains of the Yen pair. Bulls need a strong push The US Dollar’s strength and bullish MACD signals keep buyers hopeful. Yet, overbought RSI conditions and tough resistance mean a significant boost is necessary for further upward movement. Without this, the pair could quickly drop below the 200-SMA, leading to short-term selling. Key technical levels to watch In addition to the 200-SMA support at 151.35 and the resistance zone around 151.85-152.00, several important technical levels are crucial for USDJPY traders. The 50% Fibonacci level near 150.80 will attract sellers if the price drops below the 200-SMA, along with the key threshold at 150.00. A drop to around 149.40 is possible if sellers gain control, and if the price falls past this level, September’s high of 147.20 and the 23.6% Fibonacci level at 144.85 will come into focus. On the upside, a close above 152.00 could encourage buyers to target the 61.8% Fibonacci level, or Golden Ratio, near 153.40. If momentum continues, potential targets may include June’s low of 154.55 and the 78.6% level at 157.20. Decisive move ahead… While buyers seem in control, the struggle to surpass key resistance amid overbought conditions and upcoming PMI data could lead to a necessary pullback. Traders should proceed with caution as the next moves in USDJPY will be crucial.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD potetial BUY opportunityClosing price currently trade at 1.07978 a buy opportunity is envisaged from the current market price as we may continue to see price go up. Our Buy target TP1 is 1.08971 , TP2 is 1.09947. stop loss at 1.07714. we can see a 50% retracement may come in upcoming days and now again after touching a long waited order block as mention in chart. It's a good 1:72 RR trade. I hope you will like my explanation. it's just my analysis and you guys trade after your analysis.
Long
by gaurgovindsingh_
EUR/USD Weakens: The U.S. Dollar Rises, ECB CautiousHello everyone, Alisa here! What’s the trend for the EUR/USD pair? Let’s discuss together! EUR/USD continues to slide, reaching its lowest level in 11 weeks, trading around the support level of 1.0828. The selling pressure has increased due to expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) will further ease monetary policy, potentially cutting interest rates once again in December. Meanwhile, the strengthening U.S. dollar is also putting pressure on the pair. Looking at the technical chart, a bearish trend is currently unfolding for EUR/USD. Despite the 1.081 support level providing some momentum, with the current factors, any upward movement is unlikely to be sustained, and the pair is expected to face resistance at the key 1.085 level and then continue to decline. Traders should be cautious with long positions and consider opening short positions when there is confirmation of a break below the 1.081 support level. Profit targets could be set around the 1.075 - 1.070 zone. That’s my take. What do you think?
by Alisa_Rokosz
GBPUSD: Bears face limited downside ahead of BoE's Bailey speechOn Tuesday morning, GBPUSD is testing the 100-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) support, pulling back from last week's bounce. Traders are on alert as they await comments from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey. Sellers keep the reins but have limited downside room available While GBPUSD’s failure to stay above the 100-EMA and bearish MACD signals encourage sellers, a declining RSI (14) and a six-month-old ascending support line suggest only limited room for further decline. Key technical levels to watch The GBPUSD pair is currently supported by the 100-EMA around 1.2985 and an upward trend line near 1.2950, limiting immediate downside potential. If these levels break, the 50% Fibonacci retracement from April to September at 1.2865 could attract sellers, followed by the 61.8% retracement and August low at 1.2730 and 1.2665. On the upside, the 50-EMA and the 23.6% Fibonacci level around 1.3085 and 1.3165 will be crucial barriers. However, the key focus will be the horizontal resistance zone near 1.3230-40. If GBPUSD can hold above 1.3040, the next target could be around 1.3315-20, with the previous monthly high at 1.3435 acting as a potential stopping point. Bears approach key support zone GBPUSD is nearing important support levels as traders wait for comments from BoE’s Bailey, along with this week’s UK and US PMIs and Durable Goods Orders. With a more hawkish stance from the Fed compared to the BoE and concerns about the UK’s economic strength relative to the US, the pair is likely to maintain its downward trend, even if the downside potential seems limited.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. 🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair . 💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Long
by okako_trading