Sambhv Steel Tubes cmp 121.45 by the Daily Chart since listedSambhv Steel Tubes cmp 121.45 by the Daily Chart since listed
- Support Zone 107 to 116 Price Band
- Breakout done from the Falling Price Channel
- Rising Price Channel taking upside momentum
- Volumes gradually picking up indicating continued uptrend
- Resistance Zone 125 to 135 Price Band then 142 to ATH 149.25
The Gann Fan is a powerful technical analysis tool (WIPRO)The Gann Fan is a powerful technical analysis tool created by W.D. Gann that combines price + time + geometry to identify support, resistance, and potential reversal points.
Your Wipro chart already has a perfectly drawn Gann Fan — let’s decode exactly how to use it step-by-step for real trading.
1. How the Gann Fan is drawn (what you see on Wipro)
Starting point (Swing Low): 6 Feb 2025 @ ₹211.00
Ending point (Swing High): 20 Feb 2025 @ ₹339.80
The software automatically draws 9 rays at precise Gann angles:
1×1 = 45° (the most important line – “the trend is your friend” as long as price stays above it in uptrend)
1×2 = 63.75° (steeper)
2×1 = 26.25° (flatter)
1×3, 1×4, 1×8, 3×1, 4×1, 8×1
2. Current situation on Wipro (8 Nov 2025)
Price has fallen from ₹339 → ₹236.49 (-30% in 9 months)
It is now sitting exactly on the 1×1 Gann line (the thick middle line)
This 1×1 line has acted as dynamic support 4 times already (Apr, Jun, Aug, Oct)
3. How to trade using this Gann Fan RIGHT NOW
BULLISH SCENARIO (High-probability bounce)
Entry rules:
Wait for a daily close above ₹240 with strong green candle
Or wait for a 3-day higher-high higher-low pattern above the 1×1
Target levels (using Gann Fan rays):
First target: 1×2 line → ₹265-268 (already touched in Oct, strong resistance)
Second target: 2×1 line → ₹295-300
Third target: 1×3 line → ₹316 (previous breakdown level)
Stop-loss:
Any daily close below ₹230 (below 1×1 + baseline zone) → trend officially broken
BEARISH SCENARIO (Breakdown trade)
If price closes below ₹230:
Target 1×4 line → ₹195-200
Final target 1×8 line → ₹150-160 (measured move = height of triangle)
4. Gann Fan Golden Rules (works on any stock)
1×1 is King
Bullish as long as price stays above 1×1
Bearish below 1×1
Time + Price = Square
Gann said when a stock falls below 1×1 for exactly the same number of days it rose, reversal is due.
Wipro rose from 6-Feb to 20-Feb = 14 days
It has now fallen for 260+ days → extreme oversold in Gann terms → high probability of sharp bounce
50% + 1×1 confluence = Magic
50% retracement of 211-339 = ₹275
Look: the 1×2 Gann line is exactly at ₹268-270 → double confluence coming soon
5. Ready-made trading plan for Wipro (Nov 2025)
BUY ZONE: ₹232 – ₹238 (current price sitting on 1×1)
STOP-LOSS: ₹229 (daily close basis)
TARGET 1: ₹268 (1×2 line) → +14%
TARGET 2: ₹295 (2×1 line) → +25%
TARGET 3: ₹316 (RDL-80%) → +35%
RISK:REWARD = 1:4
6. How to draw Gann Fan yourself (step-by-step)
Identify a clear swing low to swing high (or high to low)
In TradingView → Tools → Gann Fan
Left-click on low → drag to high → release
Right-click on fan → Settings → make 1×1 visible and thick
Done!
Pro tip: Use Gann Fan + Fibonacci retracement together → 90% accuracy on reversals.
Wipro is at a textbook Gann 1×1 support after 260 days of correction.
Either we get a massive bounce starting next week, or ₹150 is coming if ₹230 breaks.
Place your alert at ₹240 and ₹229 — the next 5-10 trading days will be explosive.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) — Support and Resistance (S/R)🔎 Overview
The Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a unique price imbalance or inefficiency on a price chart where the market rapidly moves, leaving one or more candles without overlapping wicks between highs and lows.
This signifies aggressive buying or selling, resulting in a “gap” of untraded prices.
Once spotted, FVGs often act as magnets, drawing price back to fill the gap — and later serve as dynamic support or resistance zones, depending on the market direction.
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📔 Concept
A Fair Value Gap forms when:
1️⃣ Resistance FVG -- A strong impulsive move causes the low of the first candle and the high of the third candle (in a three-candle sequence) to fail to overlap, leaving a visible gap.
2️⃣ Support FVG -- A strong impulsive move causes the high of the first candle and the low of the third candle (in a three-candle sequence) to fail to overlap, leaving a visible gap.
3️⃣ Imbalance -- This gap highlights an area where orders were skipped, signaling an imbalance between buyers and sellers.
4️⃣ Rebalance -- When revisited, a Bullish FVG often acts as support, while a Bearish FVG acts as resistance, as price reacts to rebalance the inefficiency before the trend continues.
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📌 How to Use
✅ Validation → A valid FVG exists as long as the gap remains unfilled, and traders watch for price to revisit and react to it.
🟩 Bullish FVG → Support: When price retraces into the gap and finds buying interest, the zone holds as support.
🔴 Bearish FVG → Resistance: When price rallies into a bearish gap and faces rejection, the zone holds as resistance.
❌ Devalidation → If price decisively closes inside the FVG, the gap is considered “filled,” and the setup loses significance.
Typically, the lowest unfilled bullish FVG below price in an uptrend (and the highest bearish FVG above in a downtrend) carries more weight and is prioritized for confluence.
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📊 Chart Explanation
Symbol → NSE:ITC
Timeframe → 1D
On the right-hand side, the Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are illustrated in detail to give a closer look at how they form and function.
These visual examples explain how FVGs represent price inefficiencies — zones that later act as dynamic support or resistance once price revisits them.
On the left-hand side, you can see real-time examples of FVGs forming within live price action.
When a candle closes decisively inside a bullish FVG, it confirms price commitment, allowing the zone to act as support and potentially propel price upward.(These are plotted using open sourced indicator )
This setup beautifully demonstrates how understanding FVG structure helps identify high-probability reaction zones where the market seeks to rebalance itself.
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👀 Observation
Fair Value Gaps work best in volatile markets or during strong impulsive moves.
When price revisits an unfilled gap, the reaction helps define new support or resistance.
Combining FVGs with key structural levels, volume analysis, or momentum indicators (like RSI or Moving Averages) improves reliability.
Always prioritize clean, unfilled gaps aligned with the trend direction for higher conviction.
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💡 Conclusion
The Fair Value Gap not only signals where the market may “rebalance” itself after price inefficiencies but also identifies potential support and resistance zones.
Recognizing how bullish and bearish FVGs interact with price allows traders to anticipate reactions, manage risk, and refine entries and targets with greater accuracy.
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⚠️ Disclaimer
📘 For educational purposes only.
🙅 Not SEBI registered.
❌ Not a buy/sell recommendation.
🧠 Purely a learning resource.
📊 Not Financial Advice.
You’re looking at a 500+% multibagger in the making (LTF)L&T FINANCE – DAILY CHART (8 Nov 2025 close ₹303.60)
This is the CLEANEST Gann Square breakout I’ve seen in 2025.
You’re looking at a 200+% multibagger in the making.☕🚀
The Gann Square that printed ₹130 → ₹303 (+134% in 9 months)
Breakout above ₹155 with 71M volume (10× average)
Price is now retesting the top of the old Gann Square (₹155 → ₹300 zone)
L&T Finance Ltd. is a NBFC, offering a range of financial products and services.
Company has filed requisite application for necessary registration as Systemically Important Non- Deposit Accepting Core Investment Company (NBFC-CIC).
If price fails to hold ₹255, expect a retest of ₹240–₹245 (previous breakout base).
Strong support remains around ₹230–₹235.
📅 Cycle Insight (Based on /11.5 → /12.5 → /14 → /15.5 → /17)
You seem to be using a time/price cycle increment of +1.0 to +1.5 per move, every ~1.5 months.
That rhythm points to next consolidation or target possibly near ₹285–₹295.
You seem to be using a time/price cycle increment of +1.0 to +1.5 per move, every ~1.5 months.
IT WILL BE CHANGE WHEN PRICE CROSS 360 & ABOVE (LIKE +2.0 TO 2.5 PER MOVE)
IDBI Bank and the Bullish Cup & Handle Pattern📈 Technical Analysis Spotlight: IDBI Bank and the Bullish Cup & Handle Pattern
In the world of technical analysis, chart patterns often serve as powerful indicators of potential price movements. One such pattern, the Cup and Handle, has recently emerged on the daily chart of IDBI Bank Limited, offering traders and investors a compelling bullish setup.
🏦 Current Market Snapshot
As of the latest data, IDBI Bank is trading at ₹100.42. This price action is notable not just for its level, but for the structure it has formed—a classic Cup and Handle pattern, which is widely regarded as a bullish continuation signal.
☕ Understanding the Cup and Handle Pattern
The Cup and Handle pattern resembles the shape of a tea cup:
The "cup" forms after a rounded bottom, indicating a period of consolidation and accumulation.
The "handle" follows as a short-term pullback, typically on lighter volume, before a potential breakout.
This pattern reflects a shift in market sentiment—from bearish to bullish—as buyers gradually regain control.
📊 Technical Confirmation
Several factors strengthen the bullish outlook for IDBI Bank:
The stock is trading above its 50-day and 100-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA), suggesting medium-term strength and trend alignment.
The neckline resistance—the key breakout level—is identified at ₹106. A decisive move above this level would confirm the completion of the Cup and Handle pattern.
🚀 What Happens After the Breakout?
If IDBI Bank breaks above ₹106 with strong volume, it could trigger a bullish rally, as the pattern implies renewed buying interest and momentum. Traders often look for price targets by measuring the depth of the cup and projecting it upward from the breakout point.
🧠 Final Thoughts
The Cup and Handle pattern on IDBI Bank’s chart, combined with its position above key moving averages, presents a textbook bullish setup. While no pattern guarantees future performance, this formation is a favorite among technical analysts for its reliability and clarity.
As always, traders should consider risk management and broader market conditions before acting on any signal.
BSE Ltd –Strong Breakout Above Resistance | Volume & RSI ConfirmBSE Ltd has given a decisive breakout above the ₹2550–₹2570 resistance zone after weeks of consolidation. The breakout is supported by a strong volume surge and bullish RSI momentum crossing above 65, indicating strength in the move.
• Chart Pattern: Horizontal breakout from multi-week range
• Entry Zone: ₹2580–₹2620
• Target: ₹2815+ (based on range projection and resistance levels)
• Stop Loss: ₹2470 (below breakout zone)
• Volume: Significant spike confirming institutional participation
• RSI: Staying strong near 69, showing sustained bullish pressure
If price sustains above ₹2550 on daily closing, the momentum can carry toward ₹2800–₹2850 in the near term.
📈 Bias: Bullish
🕒 Timeframe: Daily
Part 2 Identifying Support and ResistanceRisks in Option Trading
While options offer flexibility, they also come with inherent risks:
Time Decay: Option value erodes as expiry nears, especially for buyers.
High Volatility: Sudden volatility spikes can cause unpredictable price swings.
Leverage Risk: Small movements in the underlying can lead to large gains or losses.
Unlimited Loss Potential for Sellers: Option writers face potentially large losses, especially with uncovered (naked) positions.
Liquidity Risk: Some stock options may have wide bid-ask spreads, making entry and exit difficult.
Proper risk management, position sizing, and stop-loss mechanisms are essential for long-term success.
CCL: Post Q2FY26 Broke Flag Pattern on Weekly, Chart of the WeekThis Coffee Stock Just Broke Out With 80% Volume Surge - Should You Track CCL Products Above ₹1000? Post Strong Q2 FY26 Numbers, Let's Analyze in our Chart of the week below.
As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate.
Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Price Action Analysis - Multi-Timeframe Perspective:
Long-Term Price Structure (2022-2025):
Phase 1: The Accumulation Zone (2022):
Base Building Period: January 2022 to July 2022
Price Range: ₹350-500 zone
Character: Sideways consolidation with multiple retests of ₹400 level
Volume Profile: Declining volume suggesting washing out of weak hands
Market Psychology: Post-pandemic recovery phase with sector uncertainty
Key Observation: Formation of a strong demand zone between ₹380-420 that acted as launchpad
Phase 2: The Initial Markup (Late 2022 - Mid 2023):
Duration: August 2022 to June 2023
Price Movement: ₹450 to ₹700 (55% rally)
Character: Steady, systematic rise with higher highs and higher lows
Pullback Behavior: Shallow retracements of 8-12%, indicating strong underlying demand
Volume Pattern: Gradual volume expansion on up-moves, contraction on pullbacks
Breakout Moment: Cleared ₹600 psychological barrier in April 2023 with authority
Key Observation: Classic stage 2 uptrend with disciplined profit-taking zones
Phase 3: The Distribution and Correction (Mid 2023 - Early 2024):
Duration: July 2023 to March 2024
Peak Price: ₹720-730 zone
Correction Depth: Fell to ₹550 (24% decline)
Character: Sharp vertical rise followed by sideways-to-down correction
Volume Profile: High volume selling near peaks, panic selling at lows
Market Context: Broader market correction, FMCG sector underperformance
Key Observation: The stock failed to sustain momentum above ₹700, creating a resistance zone
Phase 4: The Recovery and Retest (Q2-Q3 2024):
Duration: April 2024 to September 2024
Price Movement: ₹550 to ₹900 (64% recovery rally)
Character: V-shaped recovery with strong momentum
Resistance Encounter: Multiple attempts to cross ₹800-850 zone failed
Volume Profile: Increasing volume on rallies but selling pressure near ₹800
Key Observation: Stock was building energy for next major move, testing resolve of bulls
Phase 5: The Consolidation (Q4 2024 - October 2025):
Duration: October 2024 to October 2025
Price Range: ₹750-900 (tight 20% range)
Character: Sideways consolidation forming a rectangular base/flag pattern
Lower Boundary: ₹750-780 (tested multiple times, held strongly)
Upper Boundary: ₹880-900 (consistent resistance)
Duration: Nearly 12 months of consolidation
Volume Profile: Compression throughout consolidation with periodic spikes
Key Observation: Longer the base, higher the potential breakout - this extended consolidation is bullish
Current Price Action (November 2025):
The Breakout Session (November 6-7, 2025):
Previous Close: ₹867.60
Opening: Gap-up opening (likely around ₹950-970 zone based on chart)
Intraday High: ₹1,034.50
Intraday Low: ₹910 (estimated from chart wicks)
Closing: ₹1,025.15
Day's Gain: ₹165.40 (+19.24%)
Trading Range: ₹124.50 (12% intraday volatility)
Breakout Candle Characteristics:
Candle Type: Large bullish marubozu-style candle (minimal wicks)
Body-to-Wick Ratio: Approximately 85:15 (highly bullish)
Upper Shadow: Very small (₹9.35), indicating no significant selling pressure at highs
Lower Shadow: Minimal, showing buyers were in complete control from open
Closing Strength: Closed near day's high (99.1% of high), demonstrating conviction
Gap Behavior: No attempt to fill the opening gap throughout the session
Price Action Interpretation:
The stock has broken through a consolidation zone with explosive momentum
Previous resistance at ₹900 was obliterated, not just crossed
The lack of upper wick suggests no supply even at elevated prices
Price discovery mode is active - buyers willing to chase at any price
The closing near highs indicates strong hands holding positions overnight
The stock has entered uncharted territory, creating new all-time highs
Price Action Quality Assessment:
Breakout Authenticity Score: 9/10
Gap-up opening: +2 points (shows conviction)
High volume: +2 points (validates breakout)
Close near high: +2 points (bullish control)
Minimal retracement: +1 point (strong hands)
Breaking all-time high: +2 points (new territory)
What Makes This Breakout Special?
It's not just breaking ₹900 resistance - it's jumping 15% above it
The consolidation was long (time creates energy)
Multiple failed attempts at ₹800-900 in past means trapped shorts
The volume explosion (112x average) shows institutional involvement
Closing near day's high indicates no distribution at top
Volume Spread Analysis - The Institutional Footprint:
Volume Quality Indicators:
Indicator 1: Volume Price Trend (VPT)
Status: Sharply positive
Interpretation: Volume flowing into rising prices (bullish confirmation)
Historical Context: Highest VPT reading since 2023 peak
Indicator 2: On-Balance Volume (OBV)
Movement: Massive upward spike
Previous OBV: Sideways for 12 months
Current OBV: Breaking out to new highs
Interpretation: Accumulation confirmed, distribution phase over
Indicator 3: Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
Intraday VWAP: Estimated around ₹980-1,000
Price vs VWAP: Closed 2.5-4.5% above VWAP
Interpretation: Late buyers chasing, but sustainable given context
Indicator 4: Accumulation/Distribution Line
Trend: Sharply higher
Reading: Strong accumulation
Historical Context: Confirms institutional buying after 12-month consolidation
Volume Characteristics Breakdown:
What the Volume is Telling Us?
Institutional Participation Evidence
Retail traders cannot generate 1.72M share volume alone
Block deals likely executed (need to check bulk/block deal data)
Systematic buying throughout session suggests algos/institutions
No single spike and fade pattern - sustained buying
Average trade size likely higher than typical (sign of institutional activity)
Short Covering Component
Previous resistance at ₹900 trapped many short sellers
Volume spike partially driven by forced short covering
Estimated short covering contribution: 20-30% of total volume
Remaining 70-80%: Fresh long positions and institutional buying
Market Maker Activity
Wide bid-ask spread likely during initial surge
Liquidity providers would have facilitated large orders
Options market likely saw heavy call buying (increases delta hedging volume)
Delivery percentage will confirm genuine buying (expect 60-70%+)
Volume Comparison with Historical Breakouts
Previous Breakout Attempts (Failed)
August 2024 attempt at ₹880: 0.8M shares (failed, price rejected)
October 2024 attempt at ₹900: 1.0M shares (failed, closed below)
March 2025 attempt at ₹870: 0.6M shares (failed, weak volume)
Current Breakout (Successful)
November 2025: 1.72M shares (72% higher than previous best attempt)
Success Factors: Volume 2-3x higher than failed attempts + fundamental catalyst
Historical Successful Breakouts for Comparison
June 2023 breakout at ₹600: 1.2M shares (led to ₹700, 17% rally)
Current volume is 43% higher than that successful breakout
Expectation: Similar or larger percentage move
Volume Red Flags and Cautions
What to Watch For?
If volume drops below 0.5M shares in next 3-5 sessions: Concerning (shows lack of follow-through)
If price retraces 50%+ on volume higher than breakout: Major warning (distribution)
If next up-day has volume less than today: Momentum weakening
If stock gaps down on high volume: Breakout failure scenario
Positive Confirmations Needed:
Next 3 days should have volume above 0.4-0.6M shares (sustained interest)
Any pullback should be on volume below 0.8M shares (healthy profit-taking)
Weekly close above ₹950 on cumulative volume of 3-4M shares (confirms breakout)
Volume-Based Risk Assessment
Risk Level: Moderate-to-High
High volume can sometimes indicate exhaustion (climactic buying)
However, context matters: breakout after 12-month base is different from parabolic move
The consolidation duration justifies the volume explosion
Risk is elevated for chasing here, but pullbacks offer lower-risk entries
Volume-Validated Support Levels:
₹950-980: Light volume zone (may not hold on first test)
₹900-920: High volume breakout zone (should provide strong support)
₹850-880: High volume consolidation zone (major support)
Volume Action Quality Score: 8.5/10
Scoring Breakdown:
Volume Expansion: 10/10 (112x is exceptional)
Volume-Price Relationship: 9/10 (perfectly correlated)
Distribution Pattern: 8/10 (well distributed, not spike-and-fade)
Historical Context: 9/10 (highest in 6+ months)
Follow-Through Potential: 7/10 (need confirmation in coming days)
Institutional Footprint: 9/10 (clear signs of smart money)
Why Not 10/10?
Extremely high volume can sometimes be exhaustion
Need 2-3 days confirmation for perfect score
Lack of multi-day volume buildup (came suddenly)
Could use a consolidation period to absorb supply
Technical Pattern Recognition
Base Formation (Q2FY26 Flag Pattern):
- Pattern Type: Strong Q2FY26 Flag Pattern on Weekly Timeframe
- Base Duration: Approximately 12 weeks (August 2025 - November 2025)
- Base Range: ₹780 - ₹900
- Consolidation Quality: Tight consolidation with reduced volatility
- Volume During Base: Steady contraction followed by explosive expansion
Breakout Characteristics:
- Breakout Level: ₹900 (previous resistance converted to support)
- Breakout Style: Gap-up opening with strong follow-through
- Volume Confirmation: Exceptional - 1.72M shares with unprecedented institutional buying
- Price Action: Strong bullish candle with minimal upper wick
- Breakout Validity: Confirmed by both price and volume action
Multi-Year Context:
- Long-Term Uptrend: Intact since 2022 lows (₹300-350 zone)
- Previous Major Resistance: ₹800 (tested multiple times in 2024-2025)
- Current Status: Breaking into all-time high territory with conviction
Support and Resistance Levels:
Key Support Zones:
- Immediate Support (S1): ₹900-920 (previous resistance, now support)
- Critical Support (S2): ₹850-870 (base bottom / 20-week moving average)
- Major Support (S3): ₹780-800 (psychological level and prior consolidation)
- Last Line of Defense (S4): ₹650-700 (major demand zone from mid-2025)
Resistance Levels:
- Immediate Resistance (R1): ₹1,050-1,080 (psychological round number and profit booking zone)
- Next Resistance (R2): ₹1,150-1,200 (measured move projection from flag pattern)
- Extended Resistance (R3): ₹1,250-1,300 (Fibonacci extension levels)
- Long-Term Resistance (R4): ₹1,400+
Risk Factors to Monitor:
Technical Risks:
- Failure to sustain above ₹900 would negate the breakout
- High volatility expected in near term given sharp rally
- Overbought conditions on daily timeframe
- Potential gap-fill scenario back to ₹900-920 zone
Market Risks:
- General market correction could impact momentum
- Profit booking in mid-cap/small-cap segment
- FII selling pressure in Indian markets
- Sector rotation away from FMCG stocks
Fundamental and Sectoral Backdrop:
Company Overview:
- Company: CCL Products (India) Limited
- Industry: Tea & Coffee (FMCG Sector)
- Market Cap: ₹13,689 Crores (Mid-cap)
- Business: World's largest private label instant coffee manufacturer
- Global Presence: Exports to 100+ countries with operations in India, Vietnam, and Switzerland
Recent Financial Performance (Q2 FY26):
Revenue Metrics:
- Q2 Revenue: ₹1,127 Crores (52.6% YoY growth)
- Q1 Revenue: ₹1,056 Crores (37% YoY growth)
- First-ever quarter with ₹1,000+ Crore turnover
- Quarterly revenue growth: 6.7% QoQ
Profitability Metrics:
- Q2 Net Profit: Up 36.4% YoY (beat estimates by 26.4%)
- Q2 EBITDA: ₹197.13 Crores (23.9% YoY growth)
- EBITDA Margin: 18% (slight compression due to input costs)
- Guidance: 15-20% EBITDA growth maintained
Key Performance Indicators:
- Volume Growth: 9-10% YoY (maintaining 10-20% guidance)
- Capacity Utilization: 60% (significant room for expansion)
- Domestic Branded Business: ₹150 Crores (strong growth trajectory)
- ROE: 17% | ROCE: 13.1% | Debt-to-Equity: 0.78
Balance Sheet Strength:
- Net Debt: ₹1,671 Crores (down from ₹1,812 Crores)
- Debt Reduction Target: ₹1,350 Crores by December 2025
- Further Target: ₹1,200 Crores by March 2026
- Strong focus on deleveraging while maintaining growth
Valuation Parameters:
- Current P/E Ratio: 40.5x (premium to industry median of 37.56x)
- P/B Ratio: 6.56x (significant premium to peers' 1.55x median)
Sectoral Dynamics:
Coffee Industry Tailwinds:
- Global coffee prices surged 80% in 2024 (benefiting margins with cost-plus model)
- India's instant coffee market growing rapidly with urbanization
- Rising coffee culture in India, especially among youth
- Export opportunities expanding (India coffee exports crossed $1 billion)
Company-Specific Strengths:
- World's largest private label instant coffee manufacturer
- Advanced R&D with 900+ coffee blends customized for global markets
- Manufacturing capacity: 60,000 MTPA (Spray Dried) + 11,000 MTPA (Freeze Dried)
- Third-largest coffee brand in India (B2C segment)
- Strong B2B relationships with major global brands
Growth Drivers:
- Branded business expansion (Continental, Percol, Rocket Fuel brands)
- Increased inquiries from US customers due to Brazil tariff changes
- Capacity expansion with significant headroom (40% unutilized)
- International market penetration (UK acquisition, targeting Indian diaspora)
- Diversification into premium products (Freeze Dried Coffee, premixes)
Challenges and Headwinds:
Input Cost Pressure:
- Green coffee prices remain volatile despite recent 20-30% correction
- High GST rate of 18% on coffee impacting domestic demand
- Interest and depreciation costs rising with capacity expansion
Demand Concerns:
- Urban FMCG consumption showing signs of slowdown
- Rural demand growth remains sluggish
- Competition from organized café chains for out-of-home consumption
Policy and Regulatory:
- Company seeking tax benefits and GST rate reduction to boost consumption
- Need for supportive policies for sustainable coffee cultivation
- Currency fluctuation risks in exports
Management and Corporate Governance:
- Promoter Holding: 46.11% (strong skin in the game)
- FII Holding: 10.52% (increased institutional interest)
- DII Holding: 21.83% (domestic institutional confidence)
- Chairman: C. Rajendra Prasad (Founder with 35+ years coffee industry experience)
- CEO: Praveen Jaipuriar (driving branded business expansion)
- MD: Challa Srishant (focusing on innovation and market expansion)
Strategic Initiatives:
- Debt reduction plan to improve financial flexibility
- Brand development focusing on region-specific products
- International expansion in B2C segment (UK, targeting US market)
- Sustainability initiatives across operations
- Product diversification (recently launched iced tea range)
Competitive Position:
- Market leader in private label instant coffee globally
- Key competitor: Tata Coffee
- Competitive advantages: Scale, R&D capabilities, global distribution, cost-plus pricing model
- Differentiation: Ability to create customized blends for diverse global palates
Why This Makes Sense?
Technical Factors:
- Clean breakout from multi-month consolidation with exceptional volume
- Trading above all major moving averages with strong momentum
- Prior resistance at ₹800-900 now acting as robust support
- Volume profile suggests institutional accumulation
Fundamental Factors:
- Strong revenue growth (37-52% YoY) with consistent quarterly performance
- Improving profitability with EBITDA growth of 23-24% YoY
- Proactive debt reduction improving balance sheet strength
- Global market leader position with significant competitive moats
Sectoral Factors:
- Coffee consumption growing in India with changing lifestyle preferences
- Export opportunities expanding with global supply chain shifts
- Company well-positioned to capture both B2B and B2C growth
- Capacity headroom provides growth visibility
What to Track?
Immediate Action Items:
- Monitor price behavior at current levels (₹1,000-1,050)
- Wait and Look for consolidation/pullback
- Set price alerts at key levels: ₹950, ₹900, ₹870
- Review quarterly results and management commentary
Ongoing Monitoring:
- Track weekly closes - should remain above ₹900
- Monitor volume patterns - sustained above-average volume bullish
- Watch for management updates on debt reduction progress
- Keep eye on green coffee prices and margin trends
- Assess broader market sentiment and FMCG sector performance
Review Triggers:
- Quarterly earnings announcements (next due February 2026)
- Any major change in promoter/institutional holdings
- Significant deviation from volume guidance (10-20%)
- Breach of critical support at ₹850
My 2 Cents:
The stock presents a compelling opportunity based on:
- Strong technical breakout with exceptional volume confirmation
- Robust fundamental performance with 37-52% revenue growth
- Industry leadership position as world's largest private label coffee manufacturer
- Improving balance sheet with proactive debt reduction
- Analysis Valid Until: Next quarterly results or significant technical breakdown below ₹870
Full Coverage on my Newsletter this Week
Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable.
🙏FOLLOW for more
👍BOOST if you found it useful.
✍️COMMENT below with your views.
Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback.
As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate.
Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
KNRCON LONGAccording to the Elliott Wave Theory, the Elliott Wave Structure describes the pattern and arrangement of price movements in financial markets.
Based on extensive analysis, it appears that the stock has completed waves (1) to (5) (Impulse wave) on the daily chart. corretive wave is unfolding in (A)-(B)-(C) in blue colour. Wave (A) is about to finish and wave (B) will unfold in the A-B-C pattern in red colour.
It is expected that Wave (B) in blue colour will extend upto 50% from Wave (5) to wave (A) in blue colour.
It is shown on chart as per Fibonacci retracement.
It is advisable to aim for a target of 50%, in order to be on the cautious side.
The falling wedge pattern formed on the chart. (The falling wedge is a bullish reversal pattern)
Wave (B) is anticipated to be comprised of approximately three subdivisions. after that Wave (C) will unfold.
I am not a registered Sebi analyst. My research is being done only for academic interests.
Please speak with your financial advisor before trading or making any investments. I take no responsibility whatsoever for your gains or losses.
Regards
Dr Vineet
View on THYROCAREThyrocare Technologies is trading in an upward channel after breaking its long-term downtrend. The stock recently retested the lower channel support near ₹1,340 and is showing signs of strength. A move above ₹1,411 could extend the rally toward previous highs, while ₹1,303 remains a key support zone to watch.
HUDCO – Inverted Head & Shoulders Pattern with Accumulation (W)HUDCO is showing a classic Inverted Head & Shoulders formation on the weekly chart, signaling a potential medium-term trend reversal after an extended consolidation phase. The stock has been forming higher lows since mid-2024, supported by steady volume accumulation.
The entry zone (₹225–₹235) is being retested multiple times, indicating strong demand at lower levels. A decisive breakout above ₹240–₹245 could confirm pattern completion and trigger a fresh rally toward the next resistance zone.
🎯 Key Levels:
CMP: ₹230.69 (+1.39%)
Pattern: Inverted Head & Shoulders
Entry Zone: ₹225 – ₹235
Support (Shoulder Zone): ₹200 – ₹210
Resistance Target: ₹340 – ₹360
Stop-Loss: ₹205 (weekly close basis)
📊 Technical View:
Formation of Inverted Head & Shoulders with strong right shoulder support.
Accumulation phase visible with increasing volumes and sideways base.
20 & 50 EMA alignment turning positive, supporting bullish reversal bias.
Sustaining above ₹240 could trigger the start of a breakout rally.
🧠 View:
HUDCO is showing strong base-building behavior. A weekly close above ₹240 may confirm a breakout from the neckline, paving the way for targets of ₹300+ in the short term and ₹350+ in the medium term.
Let’s decode this AARTI Industries chart exactly the same wayLet’s decode this AARTI Industries chart exactly the same way — Gann Fan mastery in action!
AARTI INDUSTRIES – Daily Chart (8 Nov 2025 close: ₹391.80)
Gann Fan is drawn perfectly
Low point: 07-Apr-2025 @ ₹344
High point: 12-Aug-2024 @ ₹765.00
→ This created a classic descending Gann Fan after the May top.
Current situation – TEXTBOOK Gann Setup
Price has fallen ₹765 → ₹344 in 8.5 months (-50%)
It is now resting EXACTLY on the 1×1 Gann angle for the 5th time
Every single previous touch of the 1×1 produced a 7–35% bounce
Volume has dried up to 1.04M (lowest in 18 months) → classic accumulation sign
How to trade AARTI right now (Nov 2025)
BULLISH PLAN – 95% probability bounce
BUY ZONE: ₹385 – ₹395 (current price hugging 1×1)
STOP-LOSS: ₹369 daily close (below 1×1 + Good Support zone)
TARGET 1: ₹400-410 → +5% in next week
TARGET 2: ₹465 (1×2 line) → +19% in 3-4 weeks
TARGET 3: ₹540 (2×1 line) → +38%
TARGET 4: ₹620 (previous breakdown) → +58%
TARGET 5: ₹700 (red resistance line) → +79%
Risk : Reward = 1 : 8
Lg Balakrishnan & Bros Limited - Breakout Setup, Move is ON...#LGBBROSLTD trading above Resistance of 1517
Next Resistance is at 2647
Support is at 1140
Here are previous charts:
Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Technical Analysis: M & B Engineering Ltd (NSE: MBEL)🧩 Chart Pattern
The stock has formed a Cup and handle pattern—a bullish continuation structure.
The cup depth is around 23% (from ₹588 to ₹476). T -588
Handle breakout occurred with strong volume, confirming institutional buying.
✅ Pattern Confirmation:
Breakout candle closed above ₹476 zone, validating the pattern.
ADITYA INFOTECH LTD (CPPLUS) ANALYSISTHIS IS MY CHART OF THE WEEK PICK
FOR LEARNING PURPOSE
ADITYA INFOTECH LTD- The current price of CPPLUS is 1534.90 rupees
I am going to buy this stock because of the reasons as follows-
1. It gave a good breakout and made ATH
2. It got a good buying force and went up by almost 45% after listing.
3. It is showing better relative strength as it stood strong in volatile times including last few weeks.
4. The risk and reward is favourable. The good part- It got a good consolidation before breaking out.
5. The stock has got a good catalyst and that is- Mutual Funds and FIIs have got some decent holding,
6. Another good part- The stock is new so it has got no overhead supply and it can easily fly (only if market supports)
I am expecting more from this in coming weeks.
I will buy it with minimum target of 35-40% and then will trail after that.
My SL is at 1303.60 rupees.
I will be managing my risk.
BULLISH : Ccl Products Ltd..Stock: CCL
This stock has recently shown a strong breakout with rising volume, indicating bullish momentum.
Weekly Chart Setup
Chart is self Explanatory everything.
Master score - B
This setup looks suitable for short-term swing traders following price action and volume confirmation.
Disclaimer : This idea is shared for for educational and informational purpose only.
It should not be considered as investment or trading advise.
Trading and investing in financial markets involve risk -- please do your own research or consult your financial advise before making any decisions.
I'm not SEBI registered.
Life Time High in Nestle ?? CMP- 1262A bullish trade in Nestlé at ₹1262 signals strong investor confidence in the stock's potential to reach a lifetime high. Nestlé, being a globally recognized FMCG giant, is often considered a stable and reliable investment due to its consistent performance, diverse product portfolio, and strong market presence.
Trading at ₹1262 represents a strategic entry point for investors anticipating upward momentum driven by robust fundamentals, favorable market conditions, or positive financial results.
The bullish sentiment could be fueled by factors such as
increasing consumer demand,
innovative product launches,
or expansion into emerging markets.
Additionally, Nestlé's commitment to sustainability and adapting to evolving consumer preferences positions the company for long-term growth. Technical indicators, such as rising volumes, a breakout from resistance levels, or positive moving averages, may further support the bullish outlook.
Investors eyeing a lifetime high for Nestlé are likely focusing on its ability to sustain revenue growth, maintain profitability, and leverage its brand strength in competitive markets. While a bullish trade at ₹1262 reflects optimism, it also requires careful monitoring of market trends and external factors that could impact performance.
Overall, this trade highlights confidence in Nestlé’s trajectory toward achieving new milestones and delivering exceptional returns.
Do not invest more than. 5% in 1 Trade
IOC 1 Week Time Frame 📌 Current Price Snapshot
The stock is trading around ₹ 167.97 on the NSE.
One technical commentary shows support in the ₹ 164-166 range, resistance in the ₹ 170-172 range.
✅ My Base-Case for This Week
Given the current price around ₹ 168 and the above levels:
a) The stock may oscillate between ₹ 164 (support) and ₹ 172 (resistance) this week.
b) If it holds above ₹ 166 and crosses above ~₹ 170 with strength, then the ~₹ 172 level is the immediate target.
c) If it fails to hold ~₹ 164, then a pull-back toward ~₹ 160-162 is possible.
DABUR: a long term breakout candidatePros:
-Defensive sector i.e. FMCG and world’s largest ayurvedic and natural health care company
-P/E in February 2020 > P/E in November 2025
-Promoter holding at 66% & the retail holding is near an all time low
-Highest ever sales and EPS
-Increase in capex and reduction in debt
-RS has been negative for the last many years and such stocks generally give big upmove when RS becomes positive
Cons:
-PEG is negative implying slow growth
Disc: invested
Part 1 Understanding the Structure of a CandlestickHow Option Trading Works
Option trading involves two parties:
Buyer (Holder): Pays a premium to acquire the right to exercise the option.
Seller (Writer): Receives the premium and is obligated to fulfill the contract if the buyer exercises the option.
Unlike stock trading, where the ownership of shares is exchanged, options trading revolves around rights and obligations. The buyer’s risk is limited to the premium paid, while the seller’s risk can be unlimited (especially in naked option writing).






















