McLeod Russel (D) - A Decade-Long Downtrend Reversal?After being in a severe downtrend for over ten years since its all-time high in February 2013, McLeod Russel is now showing compelling signs of a major trend reversal. A multi-year consolidation phase appears to have ended with a powerful, momentum-driven breakout.
The Breakout: A Shift in Momentum
The stock was locked in a sideways consolidation range since August 2020. However, recent price action signals a decisive shift in control from sellers to buyers:
- Building Strength: Over the past few weeks, the stock began forming a pattern of Higher Lows , an early indication that selling pressure was diminishing and buyers were stepping in at higher prices.
- Resistance Breach: On Friday, October 6th, the stock decisively broke out of a major, multi-year resistance level.
- Explosive Follow-Through: The breakout was followed by extremely bullish action this week, with the stock gapping up at the open and immediately hitting the upper circuit limit each day. This indicates intense buying interest with a complete absence of sellers.
This powerful move is confirmed by key technical indicators. The short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are in a positive crossover, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is firmly in bullish territory across the Monthly, Weekly, and Daily timeframes.
Outlook and Key Levels
The current momentum suggests a significant new uptrend is underway.
- Bullish Target: If this strong momentum continues, the next logical resistance and potential target for the stock is the ₹85 level.
- Support Level: Should the momentum pause or a pullback occur, the breakout level around ₹35 is expected to act as a strong support zone.
Given the rapid, vertical ascent, traders should watch the price action closely in the coming days for signs of either continuation or short-term exhaustion.
McLeod Russel India Limited
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In-depth trading ideas
Stock for TEA lovers like ME :)Mcleod Russel India Ltd - CMP - 38.70
About
Incorporated in 1998, McLeod Russel
India Ltd is in the business of cultivation
and manufacturing of tea
Key Points
Business Overview:
MLRL is a tea plantation company of Kolkata-based B.M. Khaitan Group and was formed
after the demerger of the bulk tea business from Eveready Industries India Ltd. It is in the business of cultivation, manufacture, and sale
of tea and is managed as a single-unit organization.
Tea Estates & Factories:
Company is part of the Williamson Magor. The group is the largest tea-producing company in the world. Its estates produce 80+ million kilograms of quality black tea. Company has total land under tea cultivation being 33,723 hectares including:
a) 31 in the Assam Valley
b) 2 in the Dooars region of West Bengal
c) 3 tea estates & 7 factories in Vietnam, 6 tea estates & 5 factories in Uganda
d) Management control of the world-renowned Gisovu estate in Rwanda, which has 2 tea estates and 2 factories.
International Presence:
a) Tea Estates: India, Africa, Vietnam
b) Blending Units: Dubai, Guwahati
c) Offices:India, UK, Dubai, Kenya
Certifications:
Company has internationally recognized certifications including Rainforest Alliance, Trustea and ISO 22000
Sale of Assets:
MRIL has sold one tea estate in the Dooars,
and twenty more, of which 18 are in Assam
and 2 in Dooars. Post conclusion of the sale, company has 32 tea estates. On August 4th, 2023, company approved the execution of a binding Term Sheet with Carbon Resources Private Limited to formalize the terms for
sale of certain identified tea estates to
Carbon under a debt resolution process to be undertaken by the Lenders, for a one-time settlement of the debt owed by the Company
to its identified lenders
Production Capacity:
Company has an installed capacity
to manufacture around 42 million kg
of tea from its own leaves. It is primarily
a producer of CTC tea, which accounts
for around 96% of the total tea production
Revenue Breakup - FY23:
Sale of Products - Tea ~97%,
Other Operating Revenue ~3%
Geographical Revenue Split - FY23:
Exports ~42%,
Domestic ~58%
Country wise Revenue - FY23:
India ~80%,
Vietnam ~2%,
Uganda ~15%,
Other Countries ~3%
Major Issues:
Company has been reporting recurring losses
for the past many years and is unable
to meet the terms of facilities /loans availed
from various Lenders. It is in discussion
with lenders for debt resolution and lenders have also requested for submission of the proposal for One Time Settlement of their dues. Further, Aditya Birla Finance Limited,
State Bank of India, Shah Brothers and
IndusInd Bank Limited (not registered)
have filed applications before the NCLT Kolkata bench for initiating the Corporate Insolvency Resolution Process. This is contested by
the company
Capital Contribution Agreement:
On October 25th 2023, a Capital Contribution Agreement was executed between:
a) Borelli Tea Holdings Limited(BTHL), a wholly owned subsidiary of McLeod Russel India Limited
b) Phu Ben Tea Company Limited (PBTCL), a Step down subsidiary of the Company, in Vietnam
c) TLK Agriculture (TLK), a joint stock company incorporated in Vietnam
Consequently, BTHL will sell 100%
of its Capital Contribution in PBTCL
to TLK at a net consideration of USD 2.150 million. PBTCL will cease to be the subsidiary of BTHL and step-down subsidiary of the company
Source: Screener.in
This is just to boost my confidence. No Suggestions for buying. I will keep checking and updating my mistake if last post gone wrong...
Disclosure: I am not SEBI registered. The information provided here is for educational purposes only. I will not be responsible for any of your profit/loss with these suggestions. Consult your financial Adviser before making any decisions.
MCLEODRUSS Breakout Done... Can Be #MultibaggerMCLEODRUSS (MCLEOD RUSSEL INDI)
About The Company
McLeod Russel India Ltd. engages in the business of cultivation, manufacturing and sale of tea. It operates through the following geographical segments: India, Vietnam, Uganda, Rwanda, UK and Others. The company was founded on May 5, 1998 and is headquartered in Kolkata, India.
Trade Setup
Cmp 28
Any Dip Upto 20 can be bought
For Targets🎯
33 / 41 / 49 / 55 / 60 / 64 / 70 / 77++
WCBSL will be 15
Note: 33 is a crucial zone for breakout confirmation. Hence, stock should close above 33 for quick momentum targets.
Fresh Breakout Above 77 (Weekly closing)
For Targets🎯 79 / 84 / 89 / 92 / 96 / 99 / 101++
Chart Setup For Reference:
Tecnical Analysis...
1) Formation Of Flag pattern in Weekly Charts
2) Volume addition
3) At good and strong numbers
4) Breakout Done
5) Potential to be a #Multibagger
Regards...
Harm⭕️nics4Life
13/01/2024
Disclaimer & Risk Warning
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies shared here are for educational purposes .. Do Consult Your Financial advisor Before Taking any Trade.....Good Luck!
Mutliyear BO in McLeod RusselThe stock was able to give highest ever weekly closes after June 2019 , highest volume after Nov 2018 were registered. What's interesting is that the volume from last 3 weeks has been on rise. It is currently the world's largest tea growing company and rise in commodity prices will definitely propel a northward move.
Mcleod Russell - bullish breakout after long consolidationMcleod Russel peaked at around 250 levels in December 2017. Post the 2018 peak, Mcleod's stock price collapsed and made a low of only 1.85 in march 2020. Since then, the stock saw a clear trend reversal and has moved up with the rest of the market peaking at 27.5 in late August 2020.
for the last 8 months, the Mcleod Russel stock has largely been range bound and the stock has consolidated for a very long time between 17-25. This Friday, the stock managed to break out of its 8 month long consolidation/sideways move (represented by the red TL on the chart) with reasonably high volumes.
Mcleod Russel has closed at its post crash high this week and as the chart shows, the stock should keep moving higher for the medium to long term.
Since the stock has seen a huge move in the last few years 250-2 and back to 28...pinpointing targets is a bit of a challenge. The nearest resistance for this stock is the 34-35 level which was a temporary support back in 2019. For further targets, we can utilize Fibonacci retracement levels with the 0.23 fib level coming in at 59.8 which makes an excellent medium to long term target for Mcleod Russel.
Once can go long in Mcleod Russel with a WCB SL of 25.5.
Larry Williams OOPS Trading SystemOOPS BUY
a) If you are watching daily charts, the first condition is that there has to be a SUSTAINED downtrend for a few trading sessions.I mean few Red Candles on daily Charts
b)On the last day of downtrend when the Oops buy occurs, there is a gap down, which opens well below the previous day’s low.
c)During the course of trading the stock rises and goes above the previous day’s low, and also the previous day’s close.
The above 3 steps if occurs generates an OOPS buy, with a stop loss of that day’s low.
Does this stock qualify for OOPS buy?
For more information you may refer
www.brameshtechanalysis.com






















