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Bitcoin / Ethereum Perpetual Inverse Swap Contract

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BTCETH.P trade ideas

Bitcoin : Easy to follow hype, Hard to hodl through dropsThe recent price action shows a sharp spike followed by a pullback, with a notable gap between approximately 81XXX and 84XXX. This gap suggests a rapid move that wasn’t fully filled, which could act as support in current correction phase. The overall trajectory from 2023 to early 2025 shows that Bitcoin is in a strong bull market, potentially driven by macroeconomic factors (e.g., inflation concerns, institutional adoption, Trump Government) or halving cycles (the last one was in 2024). The break above 100K validate this sentiment. Potential Scenarios: Continuation: If the pullback holds above the 81XXX–85XXX (Daily or weekly TF) gap or around 73XXX-74XXX support(A test to last breakout zone ,considering worst case scenario), Bitcoin could retest 110,000 and push toward 120,000–150,000 in the mid-to-long term (2025–2026), assuming bullish momentum persists. I lean toward a optimistic view/Bullish View when everyone is fear right now, expecting a low very soon within current to next week (Early March) which can provide buying opportunities (As marked on chart) and considering my target around 120K to 150K for long term.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
BTC Monthly CandlesBTC 1M Here is an update on the monthly chart of btc where i specify the Dec2024 monthly doji candle as a bearish sign. Although the Jan2025 candle is bullish and produce a new ATH, it still fails to breakout from the trendline resistance where all ATHs' are connected. Getting our starting reference point from 2017ath, we can see from here the market cycle of 3:1 bear:bull ratio. Also noted that an ATL is established 1 year after making an ATH; •2017ath to 2018atl •2021ath to 2022atl Since price tap on our trendline resistance, big question is, will this be this cycle's top? February candle is currently printing a -17% with 2 days to go before closing. Trump tariff impacted the market heavily. "Twice". There is also the $1.4B ByBit hack. Anyways, key support level lies at 72~73k level around the wave3&B Leg. This is ideal to be hit to fully fill the gap on this monthly candles. I think the 70k is a protected zone because this is also the range of 2021ath.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by phyrix
BITCOIN TESTING $87K - FALSE OR TRUE BREAKDOWN?Symbol - BTCUSD CMP 87100 BTCUSD has entered a risk zone, exhibiting a breakdown of the key support level. The market's attention is now on the bulls and their ability to maintain their defense. On the daily and weekly timeframes, the price is in a phase of global consolidation following a period of significant upward movement. The focus remains on the $90-91K range, a strong support area that aligns with the broader trend. Currently, a breakdown of support appears to be unfolding. On the local timeframes (H1 - H4), the price is testing the support of the local channel, as well as the risk zone at 87,000. If the bulls are able to sustain their defense above 86,400 level, Bitcoin could potentially strengthen. In this scenario, the primary target would be $91-92K Key support levels: 86,400, 85,530 Key resistance levels: 89,400, 91,600 Historically, the most significant price movements tend to occur after a false breakdown. However, the critical factor here is whether the breakout is genuine or false. In this case, confirmation is required — specifically, price consolidation above the key zones and levels. Regarding my previous BTCUSD analysis, I had projected a decline to the $90K risk zone while Bitcoin was trading around $96-97K at that time. After some consolidation, the analysis proved accurate as Bitcoin dropped to the $90K range. I believe this recent sell-off has disrupted the previous bullish structure, and a bearish structure is now beginning to take shape. I expect a retracement to the $91-92K range before the downtrend continues.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by akshit_official
1
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis February 21Hello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. Nasdaq indicators will be released at 12 o'clock shortly. Nasdaq is moving sideways in the 6+12 pattern From the Top section to the Good section at the top, It is the resistance line of the Bollinger Band daily chart. (Best short entry section) I created today's strategy with the important conditions above. * Conditional long position strategy when the red finger moves 1. 98,332.5 dollars long position entry section / cut-off price when the green support line breaks 2. 99,740 dollars Top section long position 1st target -> Good 2nd target The target price at the top is important. By 9 am tomorrow morning when an additional daily candle is created If it reaches the Top-> Good section After long profit taking, short position switching -> long position is autonomous I think it would be good to look at the final 1+4 section. (Currently, 1st section, around 97875.5 dollars) After finishing today with an upward sideways movement If it reaches the top section tomorrow, You can continue to maintain a long position by modifying the stop loss price. Refer to Great -> Miracle at the top. This part is a strategy based on the shape of the resistance line on the daily chart. If it deviates from the current position, The bottom section becomes the 1+4 section And then the 2nd section Please check the shape of the support line on the daily Bollinger Band chart over the weekend. Please use my analysis so far for reference and use only Thank you for your hard work this week. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
BITCOIN IS HEADED TO 90K?Symbol - BTCUSD BTCUSD is reflecting a shift in market sentiment, with its current price action indicating a potential continuation of the ongoing correction. BTCUSD is currently trading within a falling channel pattern, with global market consolidation providing the broader context. There is a possibility of another retest of the 90,000 risk zone. On the medium-term timeframe, Bitcoin has failed to maintain its position near its all-time high, entering the local selling zone below the 99,800 level, and is now within the upper consolidation range. This shift is accompanied by a noticeable negative sentiment within the cryptocurrency market. Altcoins continue to experience persistent declines without any signs of recovery, further highlighting the lack of positive prospects. At this stage, Bitcoin appears to be reacting to the lack of fulfillment of promises from President Trump, as well as ongoing market manipulation and geopolitical tensions. These factors are contributing to the market’s protracted correction phase. New coins created ahead of the U.S. election have siphoned liquidity from the market, adding to the bearish sentiment. This situation, combined with a global trade conflict, has led to a significant market downturn. Support levels: 95,800, - 91,300, - 90,000 Resistance levels: 1,00,300 - 1,02,670 Technically, Bitcoin may continue its downward movement, potentially testing the 90,000 support level again. As the price approaches this level, the risks surrounding it will increase. Currently, the asset is in a consolidation phase between 95,800 and 1,00,300 which could precede a breakdown and further decline towards 90,000. However, considering Bitcoin’s sensitivity to U.S. political actions, there may be a temporary rise towards the 1,00,300 level before the asset resumes its decline. The likelihood of the price testing the 95,800 level for a breakdown and subsequent fall remains high. However, on a broader scale, the asset still maintains a bullish outlook, with strong support placed in the 90K-91K zone.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by akshit_official
Could Bitcoin PA head down to fill CME Gap at 82K-77K usdt And the answer is "Very possibly" 50 SMA ( RED ) -100 SMA ( BLUE ) - 128 SMA ( GREEN ) - 200 SMA ( YELLOW ) For a start, Lets Look at what the 50 SMA did in the previous range. PA bounced off that 50, having tested it 4 weeks previously ( see wick down ) I can see no reason why that would not happen again if PA reaches this point. But we are now seeing the 50 beginning to flatten out after 3 months of PA ranging. The CME Gap exists since 11 Nov 2024 Price range of Gap is 80720 down to 77535 On the main chart, See how that 50 SMA is currently flattening out just under this range ? If PA comes down to the 50 SMA for support, it will fill that CME gap. Notice also how there is a similarity to the pattern of PA from that Range in 2024, though it seems we are experiencing a contracted version. As mentioned in previous posts, this range is also different in that we are under a 618 Fib Ext. Little Support below. This does not mean we will not bounce, indeed, I think we will but ultimately, I can see PA visiting that CME Gap, even if it is just a flash Wick down. It is a superb opportunity to buy BTC at a lower price
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
what is divergence based trading ?**Divergence-based trading** is a strategy that focuses on identifying potential price reversals by analyzing the relationship between the price of an asset and an **oscillator** or indicator, such as the **Relative Strength Index (RSI)**, **Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)**, or **Stochastic Oscillator**. Divergence occurs when the price of an asset and the indicator do not move in the same direction or exhibit opposite trends. This could signal that the prevailing trend is weakening, and a reversal may be imminent. ### Types of Divergence: 1. **Bullish Divergence**: - **Bullish Divergence** occurs when the price is making **lower lows**, but the indicator (e.g., RSI, MACD) is making **higher lows**. - This indicates that although the price is still falling, the momentum behind the downward movement is weakening, which can signal a potential **upward reversal**. - **Example**: A stock price may be making new lows, but the RSI is making higher lows, suggesting that selling pressure is weakening, and a buying opportunity could be coming. 2. **Bearish Divergence**: - **Bearish Divergence** happens when the price is making **higher highs**, but the indicator is making **lower highs**. - This suggests that while the price is rising, the momentum behind the price movement is fading, which can indicate a **downward reversal**. - **Example**: A stock price is making new highs, but the MACD is making lower highs, signaling a potential weakening of the uptrend and a possible price decline. ### **How to Use Divergence in Trading** 1. **Confirming Reversals**: - Divergence often signals potential **trend reversals** or shifts in momentum, but it is essential to wait for confirmation. A reversal is not guaranteed just because divergence appears. - Traders often wait for additional signals, such as **candlestick patterns** (like engulfing candles, doji patterns) or a **break of key support/resistance levels**, to confirm the reversal. 2. **Combining with Other Indicators**: - Divergence can be more reliable when combined with other technical indicators or chart patterns. For example, combining divergence with **moving averages** or **support and resistance levels** provides additional confirmation that the trend is about to change. - For instance, if a bearish divergence is spotted on the RSI, and the price breaks below a support level, this strengthens the signal that the price may reverse to the downside. 3. **Using Multiple Time Frames**: - Traders often check divergence on multiple time frames to increase the accuracy of their predictions. For example, a bullish divergence on a **daily chart** and a corresponding **hourly chart** could provide a stronger confirmation of a potential trend reversal. 4. **Risk Management**: - Like any other trading strategy, divergence-based trading requires **proper risk management**. Traders should use **stop-loss orders** to protect themselves from unexpected market movements. Since divergence doesn't always result in a reversal, having a stop-loss in place is crucial for limiting potential losses. ### **Example of Divergence-Based Trading** Let’s consider an example of **bearish divergence**: - A trader notices that the **price of stock XYZ** is making higher highs, but the **RSI** is forming lower highs. This signals **bearish divergence**, meaning the buying momentum is weakening despite the price increase. The trader may wait for a confirmation of a reversal by watching for price to break below the **previous support level** or other technical signals (such as a **bearish candlestick pattern**). - After confirmation, the trader may enter a **short position** (betting on the price going down) and set a stop-loss to manage risk. ### **Advantages of Divergence-Based Trading**: - **Identifying Potential Trend Reversals**: Divergence can help spot when a trend may be losing momentum and is potentially ready to reverse. - **Market Timing**: Divergence helps traders anticipate entry points, which could lead to favorable trades if used effectively. - **Useful Across Multiple Markets**: Divergence-based trading can be applied across various financial markets, such as stocks, forex, commodities, or cryptocurrencies. ### **Limitations of Divergence-Based Trading**: - **False Signals**: Divergence doesn’t always lead to a reversal. The price could continue in the same direction despite the divergence. - **Timing Issues**: Divergence often appears before a reversal happens, and it can take time for the market to confirm the change in trend. Therefore, it requires patience and may result in missed opportunities. - **Needs Confirmation**: Divergence alone isn’t a strong enough signal to make a trade. Traders should wait for confirmation through other technical indicators, chart patterns, or trend breaks. ### **Conclusion**: Divergence-based trading is a useful strategy for identifying potential trend reversals by comparing price action with momentum indicators. However, it’s important to use it as part of a broader trading plan that incorporates proper risk management and confirmation from other indicators. By doing so, traders can increase the likelihood of successful trades and better manage the inherent risks of divergence-based signals.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Optionclub
how to use MACD Divergence with histogram ?**SkyTradingZone** is your go-to source for educational content on trading, covering market insights, strategies, and in-depth analysis. Our goal is to empower traders with knowledge to navigate the markets effectively. --- # **How to Use MACD Divergence with Histogram for Trading?** ## **1️⃣ What is MACD?** The **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)** is a momentum-based technical indicator that helps traders identify trends, reversals, and momentum strength. It consists of: ✅ **MACD Line** = (12-period EMA - 26-period EMA) ✅ **Signal Line** = 9-period EMA of the MACD Line ✅ **Histogram** = Difference between MACD Line and Signal Line --- ## **2️⃣ What is MACD Divergence?** MACD **divergence** occurs when the **price movement and MACD indicator move in opposite directions**, signaling a potential reversal. 📌 **Types of MACD Divergence:** - **Bullish Divergence** – Price makes lower lows, but MACD makes higher lows → **Possible uptrend reversal**. - **Bearish Divergence** – Price makes higher highs, but MACD makes lower highs → **Possible downtrend reversal**. --- ## **3️⃣ What is the MACD Histogram & Why is it Important?** The **MACD Histogram** visually represents the difference between the MACD Line and the Signal Line. 📌 **How to Read the Histogram?** - **Positive Histogram (Above Zero Line)** → Bullish momentum increases 📈 - **Negative Histogram (Below Zero Line)** → Bearish momentum increases 📉 - **Histogram Shrinking** → Momentum is weakening (possible reversal ahead) - **Histogram Growing** → Momentum is strengthening (trend continuation) --- ## **4️⃣ How to Use MACD Divergence with the Histogram?** ### 🔹 **1. Confirming Bullish Divergence Using the Histogram** **Setup:** Look for **price making lower lows** while **MACD Histogram forms higher lows**. ✅ **Step 1:** Identify price making a **lower low** (downtrend). ✅ **Step 2:** Check if **MACD Histogram shows a higher low** (momentum weakening). ✅ **Step 3:** Wait for a **MACD crossover or histogram turning positive** for confirmation. ✅ **Step 4:** Enter a **long position** after confirmation, placing stop-loss below recent lows. 📌 **Example:** If the stock price falls to a new low, but the MACD Histogram makes a higher low, it signals that the **selling pressure is weakening** → **Potential trend reversal to the upside.** --- ### 🔹 **2. Confirming Bearish Divergence Using the Histogram** **Setup:** Look for **price making higher highs** while **MACD Histogram forms lower highs**. ✅ **Step 1:** Identify price making a **higher high** (uptrend). ✅ **Step 2:** Check if **MACD Histogram forms a lower high** (momentum weakening). ✅ **Step 3:** Wait for **MACD crossover or histogram turning negative** for confirmation. ✅ **Step 4:** Enter a **short position** after confirmation, placing stop-loss above recent highs. 📌 **Example:** If the stock price moves higher, but the MACD Histogram makes a lower high, it indicates that **buying momentum is weakening** → **Potential trend reversal to the downside.** --- ## **5️⃣ Advanced Strategies Using MACD Histogram & Divergence** 📌 **Strategy 1: Combining MACD Histogram with RSI for Stronger Signals** ✅ Use **MACD Bullish Divergence + RSI Below 30 (Oversold)** → Strong Buy Signal ✅ Use **MACD Bearish Divergence + RSI Above 70 (Overbought)** → Strong Sell Signal 📌 **Strategy 2: Identifying Trend Strength with Histogram** ✅ **Histogram growing** → Momentum increasing → Trend continuation. ✅ **Histogram shrinking** → Momentum weakening → Trend reversal possible. 📌 **Strategy 3: Using MACD Histogram with Support & Resistance** ✅ If **bullish divergence** forms near **support level**, it strengthens the buy signal. ✅ If **bearish divergence** forms near **resistance level**, it strengthens the sell signal. --- ## **6️⃣ Common Mistakes to Avoid** ⚠️ **Ignoring Market Context** – MACD works best in **trending markets**; avoid using it in choppy conditions. ⚠️ **Not Waiting for Confirmation** – Always wait for the **histogram to change direction** before entering a trade. ⚠️ **Forcing Trades on Every Divergence** – Not all divergences result in reversals; use **support/resistance and volume confirmation**. --- ## **7️⃣ Conclusion** The **MACD Histogram** is a powerful tool that helps traders **confirm divergence signals** and measure **trend strength**. By using **MACD Divergence with the Histogram**, traders can identify **potential reversals, reduce false signals, and improve accuracy**. In future lessons, we will cover: ✅ **Live Chart Examples of MACD Divergence Trading** ✅ **How to Use MACD with Moving Averages for Stronger Entries** ✅ **Building a MACD-Based Trading System for Swing & Intraday Trading** Stay tuned for more insights! --- 🔹 **Disclaimer**: This content is for educational purposes only. *SkyTradingZone* is not SEBI registered, and we do not provide financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:5 RISK REWARD BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:5 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by tradergyan01
12
What is MACD and MACD Divergence?**SkyTradingZone** is your go-to source for educational content on trading, covering market insights, strategies, and in-depth analysis. Our goal is to empower traders with knowledge to navigate the markets effectively. --- ## **What is MACD and MACD Divergence?** ### **1️⃣ Understanding MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)** MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of an asset’s price. It helps traders identify potential buy and sell signals. #### **MACD Formula & Components** - **MACD Line = 12-period EMA - 26-period EMA** - This is the difference between the 12-day and 26-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). - **Signal Line = 9-period EMA of the MACD Line** - A smoothed version of the MACD Line that helps generate signals. - **MACD Histogram = MACD Line - Signal Line** - A visual representation of the strength of the trend. #### **MACD Trading Signals** ✅ **Bullish Crossover (Buy Signal)** – When the MACD Line crosses above the Signal Line. ❌ **Bearish Crossover (Sell Signal)** – When the MACD Line crosses below the Signal Line. 📊 **Zero Line Crossover** – A move above zero indicates bullish momentum; a move below zero indicates bearish momentum. --- ### **2️⃣ What is MACD Divergence?** MACD Divergence occurs when the price of an asset moves in the opposite direction of the MACD indicator. This is a sign that momentum is weakening and a potential trend reversal may occur. #### **Types of MACD Divergence:** 🔹 **Bullish Divergence (Reversal to the Upside)** - Price forms **lower lows**, but MACD forms **higher lows**. - Indicates weakening selling pressure and a possible bullish reversal. 🔹 **Bearish Divergence (Reversal to the Downside)** - Price forms **higher highs**, but MACD forms **lower highs**. - Indicates weakening buying pressure and a possible bearish reversal. --- ### **How to Use MACD & MACD Divergence in Trading?** 1️⃣ **Combine MACD with Support/Resistance Levels** – Stronger signals when divergence aligns with key levels. 2️⃣ **Look for Volume Confirmation** – Higher volume during divergence increases reliability. 3️⃣ **Use MACD with RSI or Stochastic** – Enhances confirmation of overbought/oversold conditions. 4️⃣ **Avoid False Signals** – Not every divergence leads to a trend reversal. Use confluences for better accuracy. --- ### **Conclusion** MACD is a powerful tool for identifying trends and momentum shifts, while MACD Divergence helps spot potential reversals. However, like all indicators, it should be used with other confirmation tools for higher accuracy. --- 🔹 **Disclaimer**: This content is for educational purposes only. *SkyTradingZone* is not SEBI registered, and we do not provide financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Bitcoin Surpasses $98,000, Breaking Key Resistance at $97,763After a period of consolidation and sideways movement, Bitcoin, often referred to as digital gold, has successfully broken through the $98,000 mark, reaching a closing price of $98,305 on February 20, 2025. Bitcoin has thus closed above $ 98000 level, for the first time, since February 4, 2025, signaling a potential shift from a neutral consolidation phase to a renewed bullish trend. Key Support and Resistance Levels The current price movement suggests a crucial support level at $96,415. Bulls must maintain this support to prevent a possible retracement. On the upside, Bitcoin faces significant resistance levels at $101,328, followed by $102,377 and $104,442. A successful breakout above these levels could pave the way for Bitcoin to test its all-time closing high of $106,144. Technical Indicators Flash Bullish Signals On the technical front, key indicators have turned bullish. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has flipped into positive territory, indicating a growing upward momentum. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trending higher, moving towards overbought levels, which suggests increased buying pressure. Macroeconomic and Political Factors Driving Sentiment Apart from technical factors, broader macroeconomic and political developments are influencing Bitcoin’s bullish sentiment. Traders are closely watching the Trump administration’s evolving stance on cryptocurrency regulations. Recent reports suggest that the administration is exploring the possibility of establishing a national Bitcoin reserve, a move that could have far-reaching implications for institutional adoption. Furthermore, individual U.S. states have reportedly started planning their own Bitcoin reserves, further fueling bullish sentiment among crypto investors. The potential launch of cryptocurrency-focused exchange-traded funds (ETFs) by major financial institutions is also being viewed as a catalyst for Bitcoin’s continued upward trajectory. Market Outlook and Investor Strategy As Bitcoin enters a potential breakout phase, traders and investors should remain vigilant about upcoming resistance levels. A decisive move above $101,328 could accelerate Bitcoin’s rally, while any rejection at key resistance points may lead to short-term pullbacks. Overall, Bitcoin’s latest surge above $98,000 underscores the strengthening bullish sentiment and increasing institutional interest in digital assets. The coming weeks will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin can sustain its momentum and reach new all-time highs.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by vijaylahori
1
what is algo trading ?Algorithmic trading (often called "algo trading") refers to the use of computer algorithms to automatically make trading decisions and execute orders in financial markets. These algorithms are designed to analyze market data, identify trends or opportunities, and execute trades at optimal times, often much faster than humans could. The goal is to take advantage of small price movements, or to follow certain strategies that can reduce trading costs and improve efficiency. Here are some key aspects of algorithmic trading: 1. **Speed and Efficiency**: Algo trading can process and react to market data in fractions of a second, much faster than a human trader could, allowing for quick trades based on real-time information. 2. **Automated Execution**: Once the algorithm is programmed, it can automatically place and manage orders without human intervention, reducing errors and delays. 3. **Complex Strategies**: Algorithms can implement complex strategies like arbitrage (taking advantage of price differences in different markets), market making (providing liquidity by placing buy and sell orders), or trend-following strategies. 4. **Quantitative Models**: Many algorithms are based on statistical models and historical data to make predictions about future market movements, optimizing trade decisions based on data analysis. 5. **Cost Reduction**: By removing the need for constant human monitoring, algorithmic trading can reduce transaction costs, such as brokerage fees and bid-ask spreads. Algo trading is widely used by institutional investors, hedge funds, and trading firms, though it’s also accessible to retail traders with the right tools. It’s known for high-frequency trading (HFT), where trades occur at extremely rapid rates.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Adverse excursion: a key concept for risk managementAs a professional trader, I can tell you about the adverse excursion and its crucial importance in the world of trading. Adverse excursion: a key concept for risk management Adverse excursion refers to the unfavorable movement of the price of an asset after a position is opened. More precisely, it is the difference between the entry price and the worst point the price reaches before the position becomes profitable again or is closed. Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE) The concept of Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE), developed by John Sweeney, is particularly useful. It measures the maximum floating loss suffered by a position before it turns in your favor or is closed. The MAE is a powerful statistical tool for analyzing drawdowns in an open position. Trading Efficiency Using MAE has several benefits for traders: Optimizing Stop-Loss: By analyzing MAE over a series of trades, the optimal level for placing stop-loss orders can be statistically determined. Evaluating Trading Systems: MAE helps evaluate the performance of trading systems and identify areas for improvement. Refining Risk Management Strategies: By understanding the maximum adverse moves, traders can refine their strategies to better preserve their capital. Improving Trading Efficiency: MAE analysis can help improve decision-making and execute trades with greater accuracy and confidence. Practical Application To effectively use the concept of adverse excursion, it is crucial to collect data on a large number of trades. For example, if you observe a series of MAEs like this: 15, 23, 18, 16, 0, 11, 31, 17, 8, 0, 19, 26, 0, 38, 22, you can deduce valuable information about the behavior of your trades and adjust your stop-loss levels accordingly. In conclusion, the adverse excursion and especially the MAE are powerful tools for any serious trader. They allow to optimize risk management, improve the performance of strategies and make more informed decisions. As they say in the trade, "who controls his risks, controls his profits". _______ Using the Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE) has several significant advantages over traditional stop-loss placement methods: Data-driven optimization The MAE allows for a more precise and data-driven approach to stop-loss placement: Statistical analysis: By examining the distribution of the MAE over a large number of trades, the optimal level for placing stop-loss orders can be statistically determined. Performance visualization: The graphical representation of the MAE provides a clear overview of trade performance, allowing the most effective stop-loss levels to be visually identified. Balancing protection and performance The MAE helps to find an optimal balance between capital protection and trading performance: Retention of winning trades: The stop-loss can be placed to retain 75-85% of winning trades, thus avoiding prematurely cutting potentially profitable positions. Elimination of large losses: At the same time, this approach eliminates trades that suffer large losses, thus protecting capital. Adaptation to the specific strategy The MAE adapts to the unique characteristics of each trading strategy: Customization: Unlike generic methods, the MAE takes into account the specific behavior of the trades of a given strategy. Flexibility: This approach can be applied to a variety of strategies, whether short-term trading, swing trading, or long-term positions3. Improved risk management Using the MAE contributes to better overall risk management: Deep understanding: The MAE provides a more nuanced understanding of how trades evolve, allowing for better risk assessment. Reduced stress: By having a solid basis for placing stop-losses, traders can reduce the stress associated with real-time decision-making. Complementarity with other tools The MAE can be used in conjunction with other techniques: Combination with the MFE: The analysis of the Maximum Favorable Excursion (MFE) in parallel can help to optimize not only the stop-losses, but also the profit-taking. Cross-validation: The results obtained by the MAE analysis can be compared with those of traditional parameter optimization methods for greater confidence in the strategy.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Le-Loup-de-Zurich
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis February 19 Hello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. There is no Nasdaq index announcement today. At the bottom left, the purple finger connected the 2nd section yesterday, 94,142 dollars final long position entry section. *In the case of the sky blue movement path It is a two-way neutral strategy. We focused on the final long position. 1. 97,550.5 dollars short position entry section / cut-off price when the orange resistance line is broken 2. 95,743 dollars long position switching / cut-off price when the green support line is broken 3. 98,526.5 dollars long position 1st target -> Great 2nd target If there is an immediate adjustment from the current position The 1st section (95,085.5 dollars) at the bottom is the long position waiting section. The bottom section is today's major rebound section. Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use only. I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by BitCoinGuide
BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARD BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by tradergyan01
6
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis February 18 Hello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. This is a Bitcoin 30-minute chart. There is no separate Nasdaq indicator announcement. Bitcoin is in the process of a 12-hour MACD dead cross, so I had a hard time analyzing it today. *When the red finger moves, it is a short->long or long position strategy. 1. $95,200 long position entry point / stop loss when the purple support line breaks away 2. $97,550.5 long position 1st target -> Good 2nd target (Compared to the Bollinger Band daily chart center line, the 12-hour chart resistance line is higher, so I did not operate a separate short position, and the 12-hour chart MACD dead cross must be finally imprinted.) If it goes up right from the current position, I think it would be good to start with a purple finger $96,769.5 short position. (Red resistance line breakout, stop loss price) 95,200 dollars long position switching is the same. The first section at the top is the short position operation section, and the second section at the bottom is the double bottom section, so you should be careful because it can deviate strongly. The bottom section is the center line of the daily chart, which is today's major support line. Up to this point, please use my analysis article only for reference and use. I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss price. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
what is momentum trading and how it can be done ?**Momentum trading** is a strategy where traders seek to capitalize on the continuation of existing trends in the market. The basic premise is that securities that have been rising steadily will continue to rise, and those that have been falling will continue to fall. Essentially, momentum traders buy stocks that are trending up and sell those that are trending down, relying on the strength of the trend to make profits. ### Key Principles of Momentum Trading: 1. **Trend Following**: Momentum traders focus on identifying stocks or assets that are moving in a particular direction (up or down). The idea is that momentum tends to persist over a certain period. 2. **Volume Confirmation**: Momentum is often confirmed by rising trading volumes, which suggest increased investor interest and commitment to the trend. 3. **Short-Term Focus**: Momentum trading typically involves short- to medium-term positions. Trades may last from a few minutes to several days or weeks, but are not long-term investments. 4. **Exit Strategy**: Since momentum can reverse at any time, a key part of momentum trading is having a clear exit strategy. Traders often use stop-loss orders and take-profit levels to lock in gains and protect from sudden reversals. ### How to Do Momentum Trading: 1. **Identify a Trend**: - **Uptrend**: Look for stocks with strong positive price movement over a period. These stocks often have positive news, earnings reports, or other catalysts driving their price up. - **Downtrend**: Similarly, look for stocks showing strong negative momentum, often driven by poor financials, negative news, or market sentiment. 2. **Technical Indicators**: - **Relative Strength Index (RSI)**: RSI is a momentum oscillator that shows whether a stock is overbought or oversold. A stock with an RSI above 70 might be considered overbought (bearish), and below 30 might be considered oversold (bullish). - **Moving Averages**: Traders often use moving averages (e.g., 50-day, 200-day) to confirm the direction of the trend. If the stock is above a moving average, it is considered in an uptrend. - **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)**: MACD is another momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of a stock's price. A bullish crossover (when the short-term average crosses above the long-term average) can signal the start of an upward trend. 3. **Monitor Market Sentiment**: - Follow news, earnings reports, and broader market conditions to understand what could drive momentum in particular stocks or sectors. - Keep an eye on social media, analyst opinions, and industry trends to gauge market sentiment. 4. **Set Entry and Exit Points**: - **Entry**: Once a trend is identified, enter a position in the direction of the trend. This can be done by buying on price pullbacks in an uptrend or selling short on rallies in a downtrend. - **Exit**: Setting a target price (take-profit) and stop-loss level is crucial. This helps limit losses and secure profits when the momentum shifts. 5. **Risk Management**: - Momentum trading can be volatile, so it's essential to use stop-loss orders to manage risk. This way, losses are limited if the market turns against your position. - You can also scale into or out of positions to minimize risk. 6. **Use of Leverage**: - Some momentum traders may use leverage to amplify their positions, although this increases risk. Leverage allows for larger position sizes with a smaller initial investment but can lead to bigger losses if the trend reverses. ### Tools for Momentum Trading: - **Charting Platforms**: Tools like TradingView, MetaTrader, or ThinkorSwim allow traders to view technical indicators and chart patterns for momentum analysis. - **Screeners**: Stock screeners can help identify stocks with strong momentum by filtering for stocks that are breaking out or showing high relative strength. - **News Alerts**: Setting up real-time alerts on news, earnings, or macroeconomic factors that could affect specific stocks or sectors. ### Example of Momentum Trading: 1. A stock has been rising consistently over the last week, driven by positive earnings or news. 2. The RSI is in the 60-70 range (indicating the stock is not yet overbought), and the MACD is showing bullish crossover. 3. The trader buys the stock, setting a stop-loss just below the recent swing low and a take-profit level near resistance. 4. The stock continues to rise, and the trader profits as the momentum builds. 5. If the stock starts to reverse, the trader may sell quickly using their stop-loss to limit potential losses. ### Pros of Momentum Trading: - **High Profit Potential**: When trends are strong, momentum traders can capture substantial price moves in a short period. - **Clear Entry and Exit Points**: Momentum trading often offers defined rules for when to enter and exit trades. - **Can be Applied to Various Markets**: This strategy can be used in stocks, ETFs, commodities, and even cryptocurrencies. ### Cons of Momentum Trading: - **Market Reversals**: Momentum can reverse suddenly, leading to quick losses if the trader isn't able to exit positions in time. - **Requires Active Monitoring**: Momentum trading is fast-paced and requires continuous monitoring of the markets to catch trends early. - **High Risk**: Given the volatility, momentum trading can result in significant losses if not managed carefully, especially when using leverage. In conclusion, **momentum trading** is about capitalizing on the strength of trends in the market, and it can be highly profitable if done with proper tools, strategies, and risk management. However, it requires a good understanding of technical analysis and the ability to react quickly to market changes.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone