AUDCADClean price action and structure. One of my favorite setups for the next week as well. Price formed it's new Independent Trading range, came up to the supply zone 3 times already, made a fake move to the upside, now waiting for 15min flip to the downside for this setup to become valid. Tp first low and MM ( measured move )
CADAUD trade ideas
AUDCADHello traders, let's look at AUDCAD - a beautiful trade that has taken place. Simply explained - on 4H we are still in an uptrend and that means that a pullback from the high that has been made, should follow. Knowing that we can look for sell to buy set ups, with a lower risk of course. If we drop on the lower time frame, we can see the structure flip on 15 min, very high in the market. As I know my HTF bias is bullish - looking at a price, I expect, or better said - my task for a price is to come down to the first buy zone at least, while already being in a sell position. And down there, either the demand for a price will bring buyers back into the market, or the price will drop lower. What I would ideally like to see next is break of 0.91850 .
A side note: As this is a counter trend trade, or reversal trade, risk is lower.
Trade well, T
AUDCADThe provided chart displays the price action for the Australian Dollar / Canadian Dollar (AUD/CAD) on the 4-hour timeframe from the FXCM platform, dated June 14, 2024. Here’s a detailed analysis based on the chart:
**Chart Analysis**
1. **Trend and Price Structure:**
- The chart shows a general uptrend characterized by a series of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL).
- The most recent price action indicates a potential reversal or a pullback from the latest Higher High (HH).
2. **Demand Zone:**
- There is a marked demand zone around the 0.9080 - 0.9095 range. This zone has acted as a support level previously and is expected to provide buying pressure.
- The price is currently hovering around this demand zone, suggesting it might act as a support again.
3. **Key Levels:**
- **Higher Highs (HH):** Marked around the 0.9160 level, indicating the recent peaks.
- **Higher Lows (HL):** Indicated at different points, showing the levels where the price has retraced before continuing the uptrend.
4. **Potential Price Movement:**
- The price is testing the demand zone, and there are two potential scenarios:
1. **Rebound:** If the demand zone holds, the price might rebound, creating another HL before attempting to reach new HH.
2. **Breakdown:** If the demand zone fails to hold, the price might drop further, indicating a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
5. **Candlestick Patterns:**
- The current candlesticks near the demand zone should be watched closely. Bullish reversal patterns (like a bullish engulfing or hammer) might indicate a strong rebound.
**Conclusion and Trading Plan:**
- **Bullish Bias:** Given the overall uptrend and the presence of the demand zone, there is a bullish bias if the price respects the demand zone.
- **Buy Signal:** Traders might look for buying opportunities around the current price level (0.9090), especially if there are bullish reversal candlestick patterns.
- **Target Levels:**
- **First Target:** Near the recent HH at 0.9160.
- **Second Target:** Beyond 0.9160, aiming for new highs if the uptrend continues.
- **Stop Loss:** A prudent stop loss would be just below the demand zone, around 0.9070, to manage risk in case of a breakdown.
**Risk Management:**
- **Entry Point:** Around the current price level (0.9090) or after confirmation of a rebound from the demand zone.
- **Target:** The recent HH (0.9160) and potentially higher.
- **Stop Loss:** Below 0.9070 to manage risk effectively.
This analysis is based on the visual information provided by the chart. For a more comprehensive trading strategy, consider integrating other technical indicators (like RSI, MACD) and keeping an eye on fundamental factors affecting AUD and CAD.
Retracment Trade for AUDCADHere we can see a high time frame resisting trendline . It is inviting sellers to go up side . But as it has travelled a lot it needs a retracment to move again . We should wait for breakout and be sideways to make sure a retracment. It would be a great 1:4 risk reward trade . I hope you guys would my analysis. Thank you
AUD/CADIMO my overall bias in this pair remains bearish
- It is currently getting rejected from a valued-based supply which shows more bearish behaviour and reaction
- Retracement is all I expect, however the market can always prove me and my analysis wrong no denial
- Longs can wait for the value zone to be tapped wait for the price on a HTF to build a bigger base and wait for a huge reaction post the consolidation base