HEDGEUSD trade ideas
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Bitcoin going to complete this head and shoulder pattern in Bitcoin at a Critical Juncture: Support or Head and Shoulders Formation?
Bitcoin is currently at a pivotal level, testing the neckline of a potential head and shoulders pattern. Here’s what traders should watch for:
Scenario 1: Bounce from the Neckline (Bullish Case)
If Bitcoin holds support at the neckline, we could see a strong rebound.
A successful bounce might lead BTC to retest resistance levels, potentially paving the way for a rally.
Key levels to watch:
Support: $96800 (neckline)
Resistance: $98100
Scenario 2: Breakdown and Completion of the Head and Shoulders Pattern (Bearish to Bullish Case)
If Bitcoin breaks below the neckline with strong volume, the head and shoulders pattern will likely play out.
This could trigger a further decline to the measured move target, offering a possible buy-the-dip opportunity at lower levels.
After completing the pattern, Bitcoin may regain momentum and resume its uptrend.
Key levels to watch:
Support : 94800
BTC on the move? ... Seems soIt seems like BTC will move this time for 100k. A small lot can be bought with a long term view. Even if it falls again there should not be a big loss.
In my opinion, keeping in view the coming election and happenings all around people will find safe heaven and opportunities...
Be humble be patient and be happy 😊
Real Success Rates of the "Rising Wedge" in TradingReal Success Rates of the Rising Wedge in Trading
Introduction
The rising wedge, also known as the "rising wedge" in English, is a chart pattern that has a remarkable success rate in trading. This analysis details its performance, reliability and complementary indicators to optimize its use.
Success Rate and Performance
-Key Statistics
Overall success rate: 81% in bull markets
Average potential profit: 38% in an existing uptrend
-Breakout Direction
Bearish: 60% of cases
Bullish: 40% of cases
Contextual Reliability
Bull market: 81% success, average gain of 38%
After a downtrend: 51% success, average decline of 9%
Important Considerations
The rising wedge is generally a bearish pattern, indicating a potential reversal.
Reliability increases with the duration of the pattern formation.
Confirmation of the breakout by other indicators, especially volume, is crucial.
Complementary Indicators
-Volume
Gradual decrease during formation
Significant increase during breakout
-Oscillators
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Identifies overbought/oversold conditions
Stochastics: Detects price/indicator divergences
-Moving Averages
Crossovers: Signal trend changes
-Dynamic Support/Resistance: Confirm the validity of the wedge
-Momentum Indicators
MACD: Identifies price/indicator divergences
Momentum: Assesses the exhaustion of the trend
-Other Elements
Fibonacci Levels: Identify potential support/resistance
Japanese Candlestick Analysis: Provides indications of reversals
Conclusion
The rising wedge is a powerful tool for traders, offering a high success rate and significant profit potential. The combined use of complementary indicators increases the reliability of the signal and improves the accuracy of trading decisions. It is essential to look for a convergence of signals from multiple sources to minimize false signals and optimize trading performance.
_______________________________________________
Here are the best times to enter a trade after a rising wedge, in a professional manner:
-The confirmed breakout
Wait for the candle to close below the support line of the wedge.
Look for a significant increase in volume during the breakout to confirm its validity.
-The retest
Look for a pullback on the broken support line, which has become resistance.
Enter when the price rebounds downward on this new resistance, confirming the downtrend.
-The post-breakout consolidation
Identify the formation of a flag or pennant after the initial breakout.
Enter when this mini-formation breaks in the direction of the main downtrend.
-The confirmed divergences
Spot bearish divergences on oscillators such as the RSI or the MACD.
Enter when price confirms divergence by breaking a nearby support.
-Timing with Japanese Candlesticks
Identify bearish formations such as the Evening Star, Bearish Harami, or Dark Cloud.
Enter as soon as the next candle confirms the bearish pattern.
-Important Considerations
Always place a stop-loss to manage risk effectively.
Be patient and wait for the setup to be confirmed before entering the trade
Check the trend on higher timeframes to ensure the consistency of the trade.
Integrate the analysis of the rising wedge with other technical indicators to improve the quality of decisions.
By following these recommendations, traders can optimize their entries on rising wedges while minimizing the risk of false signals.
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis November 28Hello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
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This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
Today and tomorrow, Nasdaq is closed for Thanksgiving.
It is a day when Bitcoin gains freedom,
and since there is no Nasdaq analysis, I can leave work early.
There is a section where I can bet on the candlestick,
so I cut my loss and proceeded boldly.
The purple finger on the left, $95,021.5,
is the re-entry point of the long position I took in the morning,
and I made a strategy with the same strategy as today,
cutting my loss and
with the will to die together.
*When the blue finger moves,
Two-way neutral
Long->Short->Long switching strategy
1. Pursuit purchase at $95,502 / Stop loss when the purple support line breaks and the 3rd section is touched
2. Long position 1st target at $98,379.5 -> Gdap 99,415 2nd target
If the trend dies at $98,379.5,
It would be good to use the long position re-entry point in the middle.
(Blue finger at $97,396.5)
If it reaches the gap section right away,
Short position switching and long position waiting.
(Those who have been reading the analysis diligently can see the switching point roughly, right?)
Because it proceeded with a pursuit purchase,
It can be pushed from the current position to the 2nd section,
but the short-term pattern can be broken from the 2nd touch,
so it is better to raise it right from the current position.
Also, because the candle shape can shoot strongly up or down or deviate,
You should proceed with the loss cut boldly,
and the movement within the 1st section at the top and the 3rd section at the bottom is a sideways movement.
Until the bottom, it is a downward sideways movement.
The 4th section is a single touch of the center line of the Bollinger Band daily chart.
The lowest 89,985.5 dollars is a 12+ daily section.
Up to this point, I ask that you simply refer to and use my analysis,
and I hope that you focus on the current position,
with the principle trading and the loss cut price essential.
If the strategy is successful today,
from now or the 2nd section touch,
and as long as it does not deviate from the 3rd section,
it will be the best altcoin entry timing, right?
I raised the quality to the maximum because the participation rate was good today,
and burned my soul.
Thank you for reading.
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis November 27 Hello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
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This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
Nasdaq will release its indicators at 10:30.
I was very worried because the Bollinger Band 30-minute chart resistance line
was touched and then moved sideways.
First of all, the worst situation today is likely to be a crash with the 4+6+12 MACD dead cross in Nasdaq,
so you must be careful.
At the bottom left,
I connected today's strategy from the entry point of the long position at $91,816 yesterday.
* When the blue finger moves,
it is a two-way neutral
long->short switching strategy.
1. 93,123.5 dollars long position entry section / stop loss price when green support line is broken
2. 95,021.5 dollars long position 1st target -> Top section 2nd target
When reaching the top section,
After liquidating the long position, switch to a short position shortly
If only the 1st target price is reached,
It would be good to try to re-enter the long position at the daily closing by liquidating the long or modifying the stop loss price.
In fact, today's 2nd section is the most likely long position entry section,
but we proceeded aggressively based on the short-term pattern because we could miss the entry point.
The movement within the 1st and 3rd section convergence sections shown above is a sideways movement,
and you should be careful because it can be dangerous from the 3rd section breakout. It can fall strongly from the 3rd touch or the 3rd section, so
The green support line is the stop loss price
I didn't mark the double bottom in the middle to the bottom because it's a gamble.
The bottom section is the center line of the Bollinger band daily chart
(the mid-term pattern is broken)
88,248 dollars is the 12+ daily section
Since it is the place where the mid-term pattern is restored
The rebound should be strong.
Even if only the final sky blue support line is maintained today
It seems that altcoins will continue to pump in a cycle.
Since the breakthrough will be instantaneous after today,
I think it would be good to operate altcoins at the same time.
Please use my analysis article so far for reference and use only
I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you.
BITCUSDENTRY TARGET SL Mention in the chart.
ALWAYS TAKE TRADE WITH CONFIRMATION
Note : Trading in any financial market is very risky. I post ideas for educational purpose only. It is not financial advice. Do not hold us responsible for any potential loss you may incur. Please consult your financial adviser before trading.
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis November 26Hello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
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This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
In a little while, at 12 o'clock, there will be a Nasdaq indicator announcement at 4 a.m.
Fortunately, Nasdaq has reached a safe zone,
but Bitcoin is the problem.
Nasdaq and Bitcoin have reached similar major candles,
but both have broken mid-term patterns.
In the case of Tether dominance,
since there is no proper resistance line after the upward trend,
it is impossible to draw.
(There must be a sweep or gradual adjustment to fall)
I proceeded with the most conservative strategy at the current location.
* In the case of the blue finger movement path,
it is a two-way neutral
short->long switching strategy.
1. 94,037 dollars short position entry section / stop loss price when orange resistance line is broken
2. 91,816 dollars long position switching / stop loss price when purple support line is broken
or when section 2 is touched
3. 95,024.5 dollars long position 1st target -> Top section 2nd target
After short position switching when reaching the top section
Autonomous long position re-entry section at daily closing price
After vertical decline around 3 PM
Still falling stepwise without any wave or entry point.
Section 1 at the top is the best short vertical decline section.
(Be careful as it can be a 5-minute trend reversal point and a plunge point)
You have to break through this section to succeed in the strategy
and it becomes a somewhat safe section. Also, a downward or strangely shaped upward wave can come out from the current position,
but it seems okay until the purple support line is damaged,
and it can fall downward from the second section touch,
so it would be better to maintain the current position without touching it if possible.
The bottom is the single touch point of the center line of the Bollinger Band daily chart.
The lowest 87,675 dollars is
where the 12 + daily pattern is restored.
It seems advantageous to operate altcoins according to the rebound today.
It may flow downward,
so rather than entering right away,
it seems advantageous to operate from the long position entry after the successful rebound (5-minute trend change).
I ask that you simply refer to and use my analysis so far,
and do not forget the principle trading and stop loss price,
and operate safely.
It was completely burned from Monday.
Thank you for reading.
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis November 25Hello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
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Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There is no Nasdaq indicator announcement today.
At the bottom left is the bottom section where the last rebound occurred in the analysis article on the 22nd.
*Red finger movement path
Long position strategy
1. $98,238 long position entry section / stop loss price when the purple support line is broken
2. $100,284.5 long position 1st target -> Good 2nd target
After long position profit cut in the middle, it is the autonomous re-entry section.
Today, there is a gap section at the top and it is in an upward trend,
so I ignored the daily chart MACD dead cross.
The movement is sideways within the gap section at the top / section 1 at the bottom.
Up to this point,
I ask that you simply use my analysis article for reference and
and operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you.
BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARDBTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD
UP MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
$BTC Bearish Divergence Signals Potential Correction to $77K GAP#Bitcoin is showing clear bearish divergence, suggesting a potential correction ahead.
The price may drop to the $77,000 level to fill the CME gap, with major support around $74,000.
Traders should monitor these key levels for potential opportunities and confirmation of a reversal.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $100,000
Potential Gap Fill: $77,000
Major Support Zone: $74,000
📉 Plan: Look for bearish confirmation and assess risk at key support areas.
If CRYPTOCAP:BTC reclaims support, it could trigger a rebound.
The flag pattern The flag pattern is used to identify the possible continuation of a previous trend from a point at which price has drifted against that same trend. Should the trend resume, the price increase could be rapid, making the timing of a trade advantageous by noticing the flag pattern.
Key Takeaways
A flag pattern, in technical analysis, is a price chart characterized by a sharp countertrend (the flag) succeeding a short-lived trend (the flag pole).
Flag patterns are accompanied by representative volume indicators as well as price action.
Flag patterns signify trend reversals or breakouts after a period of consolidation.
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis November 22Hello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
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This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
Nasdaq indicators will be released at 10:45 in a little while.
Today's Nasdaq crash is the key,
but based on analysis, there is a possibility that there will be an upward wave from below rather than a crash.
Even if I miss the entry point today,
I continued to worry about whether I should go stable,
and concluded that it is the safest way.
Please read the analysis in detail.
The bottom left is yesterday's bottom section,
and I created today's strategy with the condition of maintaining a long position.
*Red finger movement path
Long position strategy
1. $98,245 long position entry section / cut-off price when green support line is broken
2. Top section $100,284.5 1st target -> Good 2nd target -> Great 3rd target
(If you drag to the top, you will see the Great price.)
Orange resistance line 1st at the top / green support line 2nd at the bottom
Sideways until the convergence section.
In today's analysis,
the most important part is that it can be pushed to the 2nd section of the green support line.
I was worried because there is a certain price range,
but I think it would be good for beginners to use split purchases according to real-time Nasdaq movements or prepare for the final lower tail rebound.
If there is a rebound within the purple support line as planned,
the pattern is clean and not broken,
but since the 2-hour chart MACD dead cross is imprinted,
even if it goes up, I focused on a strong rise rather than a surge.
It is still a safe zone in terms of the pattern,
and if it doesn't deviate to the final sky blue support line,
it can continue to hold on because the upward trend is strong.
The 100K that seemed like a dream is finally in sight.
In the case of sideways movement, there may continue to be good movements in altcoins over the weekend,
so I hope you harvest well as much as you have worked hard.
If the one that originally went up goes up well,
and Ripple loses strength,
in the majors,
anyone can see that Ethereum is in order, right?
Up to this point, please just refer to and use my analysis,
and I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
You worked hard this week too.
Thank you.
BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARDBTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Bitcoin Bull Run Setup Commentary and Technical Analysis - Bitcoin is currently trading at 97,481 down 2.3% from its recent high
- Bitcoin has huge imbalances printed and the mitigation has not yet happened
- Inefficiencies and Fair Value Gaps left to be tapped: 81,000$ & 77,000$
- Spot Bidding at these zones presents a very conservative entry and one impulsive move can yield 30-40% in a quarter.
- Swinging at these zones from a Risk:Reward perspective is also going to be highly favourable
- This business is all about speculation and condensing macros along, DXY is breaking out huge, moreover, BTC might print 100k or above that's a psychological target for many but don't forget the risk involved in entering here if BTC falls by 20% straight due to a negative catalyst.
- Chicago Mercantile EX gap lays at 77,000$ that can soon get filled
- Ethereum is a better play when compared to BTC.
BTCUSD/BITCOIN 1H BUY PROJECTION 23.11.24Reason for Bitcoin Bullish
One big reason Bitcoin's price has gone up is because institutional demand continues to rise.. They're putting a lot of money into Bitcoin, which makes it more trustworthy. For example, MicroStrategy has bought a lot of Bitcoin and made a good profit as its value has increased. The way the market works also help
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis November 21Hello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
Shortly later at 10:30 and 12:00, the Nasdaq indicators will be released.
The Tether Dominance chart has been ruined due to the steep rise of Bitcoin.
There is no proper resistance line other than the orange resistance line at the current location,
and it is not easy to draw a support line or see how far it will rise.
*In the current location,
there are two movements that need to occur for Bitcoin to adjust.
After breaking through the all-time high, a double top or sweep
Slowly falling from the current location
On the contrary, Bitcoin absorption method that does not give an entry point and rises may occur.
It is difficult even though it is on the rise, right?
The strategy was carried out with the purple finger at the bottom left
20-day long position entry section 93,353 dollars long position maintenance condition
.
*When the red finger moves,
it is a one-way long position strategy.
1. 97217 long position entry section / stop loss price when the sky blue support line is broken
2. Top section 1st target -> Good, Great next target price.
The entry position seems to change before and after the touch of the purple finger 1st section indicated at the top.
You can see that 1->2 is connected,
and if there is no touch 1,
it normally becomes the long position waiting section from 97.2K.
First, it would be convenient to watch if it touches section 1.
The long position entry position can be pushed up to section 3,
but since the upward trend is strong,
the rebound can continue even if only the sky blue support line in section 3 is maintained.
If the strategy is successful while touching the top,
the returning section 1 becomes the long position re-entry operating section.
Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use only. I hope that you will operate safely with the principle of trading and stop loss. Thank you.
BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARDBTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD D
UP MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Btc sentimental targets I mean bull run market sentiment targets,
Target mentioned this chart
#elonTrump crypto time
Note: analysis is not new, its still old.(Already analysis from November session)
Analysis coming from smc and price action both analysis in collaboration.
Happy trade and good luck.
Take idea only for reference
Be not serious¡!!!!!!!!
Tools used : smc, price actioning, and custom Fibonacci formula with 1.618 find for supply reacting of trading method.(Reference) 😁
