WTI1! trade ideas
Is Crude Oil rallying its way to hit $140?Commodity Samachar, Pune – On Monday, we saw a drop in the crude oil rate just in the afternoon, but the reason behind it is something truly exciting.
On Monday, the price of oil fell $2 just 2 days ahead of the US. FED meet. This was coupled with the concern about China’s fuel demand growth and Russian crude supply weighted on the market.
As per several indications from market sources, they expect that the US central bank will leave interest rates unchanged when it concludes its 2-day monetary policy meeting happening this Wednesday.
In other news, Goldman Sachs has lowered its price estimate for Brent crude to under $90 per barrel by the end of 2023 after 2 previous reductions. This has been done due to the weak data arrived from China, one of the world’s biggest oil importers.
The final blow to crude oil came from news arriving from Iran. Oil prices fell in the Asian trade after Iran’s supreme leader said that the country was open to a deal with the West over its nuclear programme.
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the Supreme leader mentioned that a deal was a possibility if Iran’s nuclear infrastructure was kept intact. The comment by Khamenei paved the way for fear pertaining to a nuclear deal among oil traders given that it could flood the market.
Monthly Chart Outlook – Crude Oil:
On Monday, technical analysts at Commodity Samachar witnessed a rally going on up to a higher level from a lower level.
From that point onward, it hit a high of 123.66 points. After consecutive highs, there was a significant fall in crude oil prices. Currently, it is trading at a rate of $68.
However, we expect that it shall remain in between the $65 – $61 range and there will be a buying opportunity with a positional stop loss of $40.
Traders can initially see an upside target of $110 and it will stretch to $125. Finally, crude oil will rally and reach a magnificent high of $140. Traders will be able to see such a high level in the market.
All traders should anticipate something big on the way. A Fibonacci extension is being seen in the current crude oil chart.
The Fibonacci extension that’s forming will hit its first target of 0.38%, then it will follow the trend and hit 0.50% and the final target would be 0.61%.
For crude oil to reach its target, it shall be completing 24-36 months. We are expecting crude oil to reach a target of $140.
Crude oil’s Initial resistance at $75
many questions remain to be answered. We’ll be back with updates on this sensational news.
Commodity Samachar
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MCX Crude Oil: Will it Drop Below 5000 Before the Weekend?MCX Crude Oil: Will it Drop Below 5000 Before the Weekend?
In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, crude oil prices experienced significant volatility, hitting a low of 795 and reaching a peak of 9996 on March 8, 2022 . Currently, the price is undergoing a retracement, approaching the key level of 50% .
Following the peak, crude oil prices began to decline, forming a parallel channel pattern. The price has been trading below this channel for over a year. Based on moving averages data, crude oil is expected to reach the support level of 5396, which is currently acting as a strong support zone. A potential reversal may occur around the "control price line" from the 0.5 level of the Fibonacci retracement.
If crude oil breaks the key retracement level and consistently closes below it, the following target levels may come into play: 5200 - 5000 - 4700.
Past and Present
as my old teacher used to say :
"We come from the past to search for the future.. but we stuck in the present looking on what lie ahead"
So this indicator based on non security MTF (HTF) set to daily
there are two type of bands
first is the present ones (color gray and red)
next is past one (based on 100 candle)
as we can that the price of the past bands and present band try to get equilibrium
once the bands depart from each other -present cross up the past then it will be bullish signal and vice versa when price depart from present band it will tend to fall to the level of our past band
since it based on EMA 100 and organised to detect resistance and support
then it easy to see when price collapse or price rise
so this is theory behind this indicator
you can try different length or different TF for better results
same 4 hour chart with week MTF
Bullish Butterfly In Crude OilBullish Butterfly In Making In Crude Oil
Read Carefully. This Is A Complex & 2 Way Trade.
The Most Important Number is 5540, If 5540 Breaks Then Crude May Fall To 4868.
As Per The Harmonics Buy Will Come Only At 4868 Level.
Buying PRZ - 4868/4900
SL - 4645
Target - 5370/5530