I have analyzed DOW market based on the previous price range. It was a very fast and furious fall and reached the target(Apple). Taken Wave and chart patter and all time high in consideration.
I have analyzed Dow market based on it previous waves price. And i have considered the time also. It has formed a double bottom and bounce back during FED meeting. But i am expecting it to go down touch that point again(i:e Red small apple)
Dji recently given all time high ATH.
Its obvious that some traders book some profit.
Now question arise untill where it can retrace?
As per Dow jones retracement seen last 2 days I've identified this buying zone with two methods. Soon Dji comes to 38900 and we can see bounce up.
So keep this saved for coming weeks.
On Our Harmonic pattern indicator based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
Early trades Buy or sell below/ above 23.6 %, safe trades buy or sell above / below 41% , after taking trade next upside or downside levels will be target ,
When reverse buy or sell signal appear then book profit on Target or trail SL to 23.6 % If trailing SL hit then early...
As per limited study April and May should reward bears.
Inittial signs of DJIA topping out is seen with my Time and Price study.
Rest market is supreme.
SL above 39889 (Weekly closing basis)
Downside 3000+ points positionally.
The current market cycle looks eerily similar to the 2005 - 2010 era.
Dow started going up after the last rate hike in expectation of a rate cut and eventually peaked around the time the cut started i.e. Sep 2007.
Very similar behaviour is evident in current cycle where market has been rising since the last rate hike. If the Fed cut is expected in June 2024, then...
a clear fvg and oderflow or instutation level is seen in us30 .
if it retraces back and valid our setup by rejecting the block the short can be plan.
targeting the daily low.
note : setup will be invalid if it first wipes out the daily liquidity (below line) or selll side liquidity.
the us30 must retrace back from here toget a valid sell.
A very bearish pattern Head and Shoulder. A trend reversal pattern which appears after a long uptrend. It shows that profit booking / distribution / shorts are creating. 38700-38600 is the trendline / neckine. Break of this line will ensure a strong downtrend.
DJIA will halt it's uptrend and make First Lower High Lower Low after 38740 level breaks.
Then 38438, 37919 will be seen.
If level 37550 broken then whole uptrend will be upside down.
watch carefully A profit booking by Trend Investor may close all/max. long positions.
- Dow has been moving impulsively for the past months
- The important outlook here is that the trend is slowing down and one rebalancing is needed
- You can keep longing as long as Dow doesn't invalidate 38,900 post that you still need a confirmation
- Calling the TOP out here is stupidity
- follow the trend and long whenever you see deep retracements
Seems like Dow Jones has been finding resistance at the consolidation breakout target zone. If it fails to move above the recent high in the next few days chances are there it might correct over the short term.
