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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD Eyes Short Structure Break📌 EURUSD 15-min — Structure Breakdown After Consolidation Near Resistance Technical Chart Breakdown (15m): 🔴 SELL Signal triggered after price rejected upper boundary of a tight consolidation box. 🟠 Multiple rejections formed just below 1.158 — suggesting local supply absorption. 🔻 Price broke below the red moving average and consolidation low, confirming momentum shift. 🟡 Leola Lens caution structure (box cluster) marked a potential pause before breakdown. 📉 Downside focus remains valid as long as price stays below 1.158. 🔍 Structural target zone extends toward 1.15, with intermediate reaction levels visible. Disclaimer: This chart is shared for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Always conduct your own analysis and manage risk appropriately.
Short
by LEOLALENS-OFFICIAL
EURUSD – Euro tumbles under strong dollar pressureAfter a brief uptick following the US–EU trade agreement, EUR/USD quickly sank under a wave of strong US economic data. While import tariffs on EU goods were reduced to 15%, the US dollar gained more as capital kept flowing into the US thanks to a Q2 GDP growth above 3%, steady PCE, and a strong ADP report. On the H4 chart, the bearish structure is clear: EUR/USD broke below key support and formed a series of unfilled FVGs, signaling sellers are still in control. The current pullback towards the 1.14300 resistance zone could act as a bull trap, with the next target eyed near 1.12300 — a likely liquidity zone. If this area breaks, the 1.1200 mark may be triggered next. Meanwhile, USD strength shows no signs of fading — especially as the Fed maintains a cautious stance with no easing in sight. The euro is no longer seen as a safe haven, and investors are gradually pulling out.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
2
EUR/USD Elliott Wave Count Signals Downside TargetsThe EUR/USD chart is displaying a completed 5-wave Elliott impulse structure, suggesting the potential start of a larger corrective move to the downside. Wave 5 appears to have finished after a classic ending diagonal pattern, with price now breaking below the wave 4 support trendline — a strong confirmation of trend exhaustion. Currently, price is retracing upward towards the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone of the last impulsive leg, around 1.15912–1.16383, which may serve as the final rejection zone for bears to re-enter. This area aligns perfectly with prior support-turned-resistance and is considered the potential reversal pocket. If price holds below the 1.17869 invalidation level, the structure supports the beginning of an ABC correction or a larger bearish impulse. Target 1 (T1): 1.14800 Target 2 (T2): 1.13915 Stop Loss (SL): 1.17869 This scenario remains valid as long as the price does not break above 1.17869. A clean break and close above this level would invalidate the bearish setup and suggest a possible wave extension.
by Money_Dictators
EUR/USD - 1H Bearish Scenario ! Sell Zone Identification🔍 Market Context On the 1H timeframe, EUR/USD continues to show a bearish market structure. Price is expected to bounce back into a premium area before resuming its downward trend. This creates a fresh Sell Zone between 1.15350 – 1.15800, aligning with supply and retracement levels. ✅ Trade Plan Sell Zone: 1.15400 – 1.15800 Execution: Wait for confirmation on 5m or 15m timeframe before entry: Break of Structure (BOS) Strong bearish displacement candle Stop Loss (SL): Above 1.1600 Targets (TP): TP1: 1.14700 TP2: 1.14400 After Than Trail ⚠️ Risk Note Do not enter blindly — always wait for lower timeframe confirmation. Manage risk carefully, as bounce-backs can trap early sellers.
by ExoFx-Subhash
EURUSD at risk of reversal: will sellers take control?Hello everyone! What are your thoughts on EURUSD? Lately, the euro has been under pressure due to growing weakness in the Eurozone economy. The European Central Bank (ECB) has sent out more cautious signals in response to rising recession risks and cooling inflation. This increases the likelihood that the ECB may wrap up its tightening cycle earlier than the Fed – a shift that could weigh heavily on EURUSD. From a technical standpoint, EURUSD recently hit a peak around 1.1766 after several attempts, and a CHOCH (Change of Character) reversal pattern may be forming. If the pair fails to reclaim the 1.1766 zone, a deeper downside scenario is likely to unfold. As for me, I’m currently favoring short setups, especially around supply zones or after failed retests. Discipline and solid risk management remain my top priorities. How about you? What’s your take on this pair?
Short
by Kevinn_Nguyen
1
EURUSD: Short-term rebound signals after sharp dropEURUSD has just reacted to a key demand zone and is showing signs of a technical rebound. A small double bottom pattern is forming on the 3H chart, indicating that buyers are starting to return. If the price holds above this recent low, the short-term bullish scenario could continue. On the news front, the US JOLTS data came in lower than expected, reflecting a cooling labor market. This reduces the likelihood of further Fed tightening, creating room for the euro to recover slightly. Strategy: Favor buying if price remains above the support zone, with a potential move to retest the upper FVG area before the market makes its next decision.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSDIn my previous post, I mentioned being in EUR/USD longs; however, I exited the position after the price action failed to align with my expectations. I anticipated a sweep of the recent low before a continuation to the upside. Let’s now examine the EUR/USD on the 4H timeframe. As expected, the price took out the previous low, dropped into a key Demand Zone, and reacted with a strong bullish move. My targets remain the previous High, followed by the swing high marked by the red line. Let's wait and see what Monday brings. With the DXY losing value, I expect the euro to appreciate—assuming no significant fundamental shifts occur. That said, if the price struggles to form a new high or a higher high (HH), I will reassess my bias accordingly.
Long
by Tilen_FX
EUR/USD Under Pressure : Sell or Buy ? The EUR/USD pair remains under mild bearish pressure, hovering around the 1.1700 mark and extending its Thursday downtrend. Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) stays firm despite growing optimism over improving US-China relations. However, the ongoing tension between Trump and Powell continues to capture market attention. In response to these developments, EUR/USD has stalled its previous rally. On the chart, the pair is forming a series of lower highs, moving within a narrowing wedge pattern. The 1.1600 level now emerges as the critical battleground between bulls and bears. Do you think EUR/USD can successfully defend this support zone? Let us know your thoughts!
by Kevinn_Nguyen
EURUSD – Bullish momentum fades, signs of a reversal emergeEURUSD is approaching the key resistance zone at 1.1780, a level that has been rejected multiple times in the past. On the H4 chart, the pair remains firmly within a descending channel since early July, with several FVG zones stacked above—indicating growing selling pressure. The recent upside momentum is clearly weakening, raising the risk of a deeper pullback. Market context: – The US dollar continues to gain support from strong economic data, while the Eurozone lacks clear signs of recovery. – Traders are holding their breath ahead of upcoming Eurozone inflation data and the US PCE report—events that could trigger significant moves. Trade setup: If EURUSD fails to break above 1.1780, a drop toward the 1.1610 support zone becomes increasingly likely.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD: Will the monthly candle flip bullish or stay bearish?Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. 🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair . 💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Long
by okako_trading
EURUSD: The Rally Was Just a Trap – Bears Are Ready to Strike!After a strong rebound toward the 1.18400 zone driven by short-term optimism, EURUSD is now facing a potential reversal as price stalls within multiple Fair Value Gap zones. The chart reveals weakening bullish momentum, with lower highs forming inside a key resistance area. Fresh U.S. data: Jobless claims dropped more than expected, giving the USD a solid boost. Meanwhile, the ECB remains hesitant, showing little conviction as Eurozone inflation cools. A bearish scenario is unfolding: price forms a flag pattern → breaks the ascending channel → targets 1.17300. A break below this level could send EURUSD toward 1.16500 or even lower. Bulls, beware! This could be a bull trap — and the bears are gearing up for a counterattack. SELL setup: Look for bearish reversal signals around 1.18300–1.18400. Stop-loss above the high, first target at 1.17300.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
Integration of SWAP charges and Leverage for Strategy backtest.Backtesting in Pine Script often gives idealized results, but real trading involves financing costs like SWAP charges and the impact of leverage. Ignoring these can lead to a misleading strategy performance. ✅ Use-case: Forex swing trading Overnight Index strategies Leveraged day-trading 📌 Key Features: Adjustable leverage (e.g., 5x, 10x) Customizable SWAP cost (as % or fixed amount) P&L adjusted after each trade entry/exit Performance metrics reflect net of financing costs 💬 Question for the community: How to integrate SWAP charges and Leverage (for Forex trading) into Pine Script to backtest a strategy? Have you found a more precise or automated method (perhaps broker feed integration)? Let's improve Pine-based backtesting together. Drop your ideas, techniques, or improvements below. 👇
Education
by accountsbnlew
LONG OPPORTUNITY ON EURUSDThere is a buying opportunity available on eurusd as the market structure is bullish for now but there is two probability available for long which I have mark the levels with black zone if Market comes to the second black zone then that would be a good buy as there is also the fib 61.8% level note only trade on zone when the trendline is break+retest here retest is imp while retesting ensure that market must failed to break the previous low and enter on a buying green healthy candle.
Long
by tradingcity28
EUR/USD Elliott Wave Update –Classic Wave 5 Breakout Opportunity This chart of the EUR/USD pair shows a well-structured Elliott Wave impulse pattern unfolding on the 4-hour timeframe. The price action is currently progressing in the final Wave (5) of the impulse cycle, which typically represents the last bullish leg before a larger correction begins. Wave (1): The initial move up from the bottom (early May), showing a clean 5-wave internal structure. Wave (2): A healthy retracement after Wave 1, forming a base for further upside. Wave (3): The strongest and steepest rally, as expected in Elliott theory. It broke past previous highs and extended sharply. Wave (4): A corrective phase that formed a falling wedge pattern — typically a bullish continuation pattern. Wave (5): Currently in progress. The wedge has broken to the upside, confirming the potential start of Wave 5. Target 1 (T1): 1.18306 Target 2 (T2): 1.19012 Stop Loss (SL): 1.16600 After a strong uptrend, the market went sideways in a wedge pattern (a typical wave 4 behavior). It has now broken out, signaling the start of the final wave 5 move. This is often a strong and sharp push. Since the breakout is clean and the Elliott wave count aligns well, this creates a favorable long opportunity.
by Money_Dictators
EUR/USD Trading Towards Previous Weekly High?Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. 🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair . 💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Long
by okako_trading