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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE🔵 EUR/USD | 10 June 2025 | ICT Intraday Outlook Market Open: 1.13893 Previous Day High: 1.14577 Previous Day Low: 1.13715 Key Structure Level (PDH BOS Point): 1.14312 Sentimental Range for Sell Target: 1.13420 --- 🧠 Market Context: The market opened today below the previous day’s midrange, suggesting a neutral to bearish tone in early sessions. We are currently within a consolidation between PDH and PDL, and watching for a liquidity sweep + BOS setup in either direction. 📌 Buy Scenario (Bullish Bias): If price breaks above 1.14312 (previous structure) and sweeps buy-side liquidity, then: Expect a retracement back into the FVG or OTE zone between 1.14100–1.14200 Confirmation of displacement + bullish order block around this zone could signal a long opportunity. 🎯 Buy Target : Retest of PDH 1.14577, extended target toward 1.14780 and above. 📌 Sell Scenario (Bearish Bias): If price breaks below 1.13715 (PDL), expect: Sell-side liquidity sweep, leading to a displacement candle Wait for price to retest 1.13700–1.13820 area (M15 OB/FVG) If lower high confirms, watch for short setups 🎯 Sell Target: Drop into the sentimental level of 1.13420 🔑 Summary: Direction Trigger Break Level Entry Zone Target Buy Break & sweep 1.14312 1.14100 – 1.14200 (OTE) 1.14577 → 1.14780 Sell Break 1.13715 1.13700 – 1.13820 retest 1.13420 (sentiment) 📊 Market Model: ICT Liquidity Sweep + Displacement + Entry Model (FVG or OB) 📅 Session: London to NY overlap
Long
by FX_MONSTER_EURUSD
EURUSD – Strong uptrend, Non-farm could trigger breakoutEURUSD continues to maintain a steady uptrend within a well-defined ascending channel. Each pullback has been well absorbed around the EMA 34–89 and the dynamic support zone near 1.13650, signaling that buyers remain in control. Currently, price is approaching the key resistance area around 1.14840 – a level that previously triggered a rejection. If it fails to break through again, a minor pullback toward the support zone followed by a bounce, as shown in the chart, is a likely scenario. What’s worth noting is that the Non-Farm Payroll report is due later today – a potential catalyst that could either fuel a breakout or break the current channel. If U.S. job data comes in weaker than expected, the USD may face selling pressure, providing a strong boost for the euro.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD – Lower highs emerging, bearish signal in sight?Although the lower-than-expected jobless claims forecast could support a mild USD recovery, EURUSD is still holding above the EMAs in the short term. However, signs of weakness have begun to appear as price continues to get rejected around the 1.14800 zone – which aligns with a descending trendline that has been tested multiple times. Currently, EURUSD is forming a lower high pattern on the H4 chart, indicating growing selling pressure. If this pattern continues and price breaks below the 1.13800 area, a deeper correction toward the 1.13600 support zone could be triggered. This level has repeatedly supported price in the past and coincides with the confluence of the 34 and 89 EMAs.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD – Strong push but might run out of steamEURUSD has just bounced nicely off the 1.13400 support zone. Price is now climbing back toward the previous high around 1.14500 – which looks promising, but also comes with some risk. This is a level that previously triggered a strong reversal, so if price fails to break through again, a pullback toward the lower EMA region is quite possible. On the chart, I can see price approaching the upper boundary of the ascending channel, while buying momentum seems to be fading. If we see a reversal candlestick pattern or long upper wicks forming in this area, it might be an early sign of a short-term drop. What about the news? The latest JOLTS report shows job openings in the US are slowing down, raising concerns about the labor market. At the same time, US–China trade tensions are flaring up again, and President Trump's unclear remarks on tariffs are making investors more cautious with the USD.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD – In a tough spot as USD regains momentumThe sharp rise in ADP and ISM PMI forecasts is shifting market expectations: the Fed is now less likely to cut interest rates soon. This immediately supports the USD recovery and puts pressure on major currency pairs – EURUSD included. Looking at the H4 chart, we can see price being rejected around the 1.14480 resistance zone, right when the EMA 34 and 89 lines are starting to tighten – a sign that the bullish momentum is fading. At this point, price appears to be heading back toward the 1.13300 support zone, which has held several times before. If this level breaks, the bearish move could extend toward 1.12890.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD - FALSE BREAKOUT MAY TRIGGER CORRECTIONSymbol - EURUSD CMP - 1.1431 EURUSD is appreciating amid a weakening US dollar. However, the pair is facing significant resistance and exhibiting signs of a false breakout, which may precede a corrective movement. EURUSD is currently testing a key resistance zone within a distribution phase and displaying characteristics of a potential false breakout. While the broader market structure remains bullish - evidenced by the pair breaching local resistance and establishing new highs. The failure to sustain upward momentum and the price consolidating below the 1.1418 level may act as a catalyst for a correction. Concurrently, the US dollar is approaching a support level and may initiate a rebound, exerting downward pressure on EURUSD. Resistance levels: 1.1440, 1.1424, 1.1418 Support levels: 1.1384, 1.1343 Should the currency pair fail to establish a firm position above 1.1424 during the ongoing resistance retest, the likelihood of a downward consolidation increases, potentially presenting an opportunity for short positioning. The anticipated correction could extend toward the identified support zones before the broader uptrend resumes.
Short
by akshit_official
EUR/USD4H Bearish Trade Setup Supply Zone Rejection with 3:1 RRR🔷 Trend Overview 📈 Price was in a rising channel (trend line + support line). ❌ Channel broken on downside → potential trend reversal. 🟧 🔼 Supply Zone (Sell Area) 📍 Zone: 1.13707 – 1.14432 🟠 Price faced rejection here. 💡 Institutional selling likely in this zone. 🔥 This is the ideal short-entry area. 🟦 🔽 Entry Point 🎯 Entry: Around 1.13694 🧩 Sits just below supply zone = safer trigger. ✅ Wait for a bearish confirmation candle before entering. 🟨 Support Level 📉 Support Zone: ~1.13100 – 1.13400 📊 Recently broken with a strong bearish candle. 🧱 Used to act as a floor, now may act as resistance. 🟩 🎯 Target Point ✅ Take Profit: 1.10970 📎 Matches previous structure support. 💰 Lock in profits before the psychological level at 1.1100. 🟥 ⛔ Stop Loss ❌ Stop: 1.14419 📏 Placed above the supply zone for protection. 🛡️ Shields from false breakouts or spikes. ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) 💡 Approx. 3:1 ✅ 📉 Risk: ~70 pips 📈 Reward: ~270 pips 🔥 High-probability setup 📌 EMA (Exponential Moving Average – 70) 📍 EMA 70 at 1.13102 🔻 Price is below the EMA → favors bearish momentum 🧠 Pro Tips: 🔍 Watch for bearish engulfing or rejection candles at the entry zone. 🗓️ Be aware of major news events (ECB, Fed). 🧮 Adjust lot size for risk management (based on SL size). ✅ Summary: 🧩 Element 📊 Value Trade Type 🔻 Short (Sell) Entry Point 📌 1.13694 Stop Loss ⛔ 1.14419 Take Profit 🎯 1.10970 RRR ⚖️ ~3:1 Sentiment 📉 Bearish
Short
by Jameshead007
EUR/USD 4H Chart Analysis – May 29, 2025🔍 Market Structure Overview Current Price: 1.12753 Key Zone: Price is hovering at a critical resistance-turned-support area. 🧱 Key Levels Resistance Zone: 1.15639 (🔝 Main Target) Support Zone: 1.10736 (🔻 Main Target) Intermediate Zones: Target One (Bullish): 1.14139 📈 Target One (Bearish): 1.11687 📉 🔄 Scenario Outlook 📈 Bullish Scenario: If price holds above the 1.1275 zone, we could see a climb towards: 1.14139 (minor target) 1.15639 (major resistance & final target) 🚀 Breakout above could indicate continuation of higher highs. 📉 Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold above 1.1275 could push price lower: First support at 1.11687 Final drop towards 1.10736 support zone 🪓 Breakdown could confirm lower low structure. 🧠 Conclusion This is a decision point zone. Wait for confirmation before jumping in. A strong bullish or bearish candle at this level will dictate the next move. Risk management is key here! 🎯
by VikingFx-Community
EUR/USD – Potential Short-Term TradeTime Frame: 1H Bias: Long (Bullish Reversal Expected) Setup Type: Reversal from Flip Zone Date: May 27, 2025 🔍 Market Context: The price is currently retracing after forming a short-term lower high. It has entered a prior demand zone (highlighted box) that acted as resistance-turned-support — a classic flip zone. The market has shown responsiveness to this zone in the past (bounces seen on May 22–23 and again on May 24), suggesting strong buyer interest remains here. 📌 Key Levels: Interest Zone for Longs: 1.1300 – 1.1320 This is where buyers are expected to step in again. Look for bullish price action confirmation in this zone before entry. Entry Trigger: Bullish engulfing, strong wick rejection, or bullish divergence within the demand zone. Target Zone: 1.1424 A clean 90-pip move (approx. 0.90%) from the entry zone — aligns with the previous high and liquidity pool. Stop Loss: Below 1.1300 (e.g., 1.1288) To protect against deeper sweeps of the zone. Risk-Reward: ~1:5 Excellent R:R if price reacts cleanly from the flip zone. 📈 Trade Idea Summary: Buy EUR/USD around 1.130–1.132 Stop Loss: 1.1288 Take Profit: 1.1424 R:R Ratio: ~1:4.8 Confirmation Needed: Bullish candlestick pattern or rejection wick in the zone. ⚠️ Notes: If price slices cleanly through 1.1300 without wicks or slowing down, invalidate the setup — wait for a deeper retest or a fresh demand zone to form. ⚠️ Disclaimer This post is purely for educational purposes. I am not a financial advisor, and nothing here should be taken as financial advice. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. Or at the very least, consult your cat. 🐱
Long
by johntradingwick