viswaram

viswaram

Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “For tomorrow, I wish to maintain my neutral stance but wish to go short if 19310 gets broken. Somehow I feel the chances of a fall have a higher probability than a rise. If we are breaking 19446 tomorrow, then I would like to wait till 19562 gets broken to change my stance to bullish.” If you watched the opening 45 minutes...

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis BankNifty traded totally differently from Nifty50 today. Nifty opened higher and was trading lower, whereas BankNifty took support in the first candle (43566) and was trading higher. We even took out the last swing high to hit an intraday high of 43876 by 11.55. The afternoon session perfectly matched Nifty’s price action. A gradual but...

viswaram

Nifty Weekly Analysis Between the last expiry and today, Nifty has risen 260pts ~ 1.36% and has crossed 2 important resistance levels. The bullish momentum has stalled a little bit from 6th of Nov. If further trades happen toward the downside, then the current level will act as a lower high. Nifty Today Analysis Recap from yesterday: “In line with yesterday’s...

viswaram

BankNifty Weekly Expiry Analysis Between the last expiry and today, BankNifty gained an impressive 909pts ~ 2.13%. It broke through 3 resistance lines to give some hope to the bulls. If we talk about the expiry day today, the OTM premiums were horrible today. Due to the collapse of implied volatility - the market participants were not anticipating any movements....

viswaram

Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “For tomorrow, I wish to change my stance to neutral if 19446 is not getting broken in the opening 2 hours. I would love to go bearish if 19310 support is broken” The encircled areas on the chart represent the period when 19446 resistance was in play. The open was right at that zone, then we spent 09.55 to 10.25 around those...

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis The price action on BankNifty was more than exciting. The opening minutes would have given the impression of going bearish and it would have played out well till 11.50 wherein we fell 322pts ~ 0.74%. The 11.40 candle just went through the 43404 support as simple as that, reinforcing the bearish intent. What happened next would have surprised...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “For tomorrow, I wish to maintain the bullish stance with the first target of 19446 and then 19576. If we are going down, the first level to watch will be 19310.” 19446 level never came into the picture today, but 19310 looked quite vulnerable for a breach today. The open was in line and then we had a strong RED candle. From...

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis The only inspiration BankNifty required today was to open above the resistance zone of 43404. Gap-up open solved that problem. Since that level became the new support, we had a retest at 11.05 - but it was rejected. The beauty of the trade today was that BankNifty retested the 1st candle high at 15.10 only. And even the final closing was near...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “On the 1hr TF, Nifty has made an odd-looking W pattern, technically its a bullish sign but we need confirmation of the same by taking out the 19310 resistance soon.” A look at the chart will make you a believer in technical analysis. We required a gap-up to go past the 19310 because bulls could not win over the bears during...

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis We had a gap-up open of 291pts ~ 0.68% followed by a range bound trade till close. It was a support/resistance play all along. See the blue encircled regions. BankNifty took support from the 43253 regions between 09.15 to 09.50 and was rejected at the resistance of 43404 at 10.55. We made another attempt at 14.25 to take out the 43404 level,...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “The levels have not changed from yesterday, the first resistance is at 19226 and the 2nd one is at 19310. I am staying neutral till 19226 is not taken out, seems like it could be even done in the forenoon session.” The gap-up took out my resistance of 19226 and was forced to go long. I was eagerly waiting for the 19310 to get...

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis BankNifty had a unique day today, firstly a gap up open and a total swing of +536pts ~ 1.25% with respect to yesterday’s close. We were not able to take out the 43253 resistance and its rejection resulted in a deep fall of 475pts ~ 1.1%. Cant believe we even had a falling window candle stick pattern between 11.40 & 11.45. Seeing the fall, I...

viswaram

Nifty Weekly Expiry Analysis Between the last expiry and today, Nifty has accumulated 299pts ~ 1.59% points. Most importantly it has broken away from the crucial support of 18880. As it stands Nifty is below the resistance of 19310 - but with the momentum it has gathered, seems like it will get tested this weekly series. Nifty Today’s Analysis Recap from...

viswaram

USD is making some serious inroads. INR trailing behind unable to maintain the equilibrium. 83.4210 is the current ATH. Today we went up to 83.3010. TVC:DXY at 107. Continued FII selling will only add fuel to the fire. When the Indian media houses are gung-ho about the decadal that belongs to India & its growth story - the people outside are not that...

viswaram

BankNifty Weekly Expiry Analysis Between the last expiry and today, BankNifty has managed to climb 432pts ~ 1.02%. It has also managed to trade above the support/resistance of 42576. This retracement could be seen as a lower-high formation for continued selling pressure. For proof, we would need to see the 42576 getting knocked out in the upcoming sessions. ...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “Since we retraced the 38.2% level of 19226 today and the reluctance to go up might be confidence-building for the bears. Also the 23.6% level forms a base for further movements. The issue is that we cannot go outright bearish now, we need further proof of that. Ideally, the 18880 support has to be taken out and that too pretty...

viswaram

This year, SPX is up 8.84% compared to Nifty50 up 4%. Nifty50 is plotted in USD currency so that the comparison makes more sense. If you also look at the price actions, both the charts are showing good correlation. It will be interesting to find out how Nifty50 will close the 4.84% gap. USDINR is up 0.59% year to date.

viswaram

BankNifty Analysis Further clues for Nifty50’s movement might be hidden in BankNifty’s price action. Unlike Nifty, BankNifty has crowded support & resistance lines nearby that may impact the trend movement. The only way out is to come up with a big RED or GREEN candle break the support/resistance and ensure the momentum picks up. The open (43264) was around the...