AUD/USD: Implications of JOLTS Job Openings Data

Jun 4

The Australian Dollar experienced a marginal decline amidst concerns surrounding an unexpected current account deficit totaling A$4.9 billion in the first quarter. Concurrently, the growth forecast for Australia's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has been revised downward to 1.2% year-over-year, a decrease from the previous rate of 1.5%.

Conversely, the US Dollar maintained stability, supported by an upward correction in US Treasury yields, highlighting a contrasting trend.

In terms of technical analysis, recent market movements nearly reached our predefined profit-taking level before retracing to a region of interest. We are now poised to consider long positions, particularly in light of the forthcoming release of US JOLTS Job Openings data later today, which could potentially fall short of optimistic expectations.

Key market drivers include the unexpected Australian Current Account Deficit, indicative of underlying economic challenges, and the anticipated slowdown in GDP growth, both of which could exert further pressure on the Australian Dollar. Conversely, the USD remains fortified by the resilience of US Treasury Yields.

The impending release of the JOLTS Job Openings Data assumes critical importance, with the potential to significantly influence the trajectory of the AUD against the USD. Should the data fail to meet optimistic forecasts, we stand prepared to capitalize on renewed AUD strength, leveraging any disparity in US economic indicators.