21 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on BankNifty | Stance is still bearish
Looking at the way Nifty performed in the morning session, I was quite worried that the stance on BankNifty might also have to be changed. The level that we were looking for was 44068 which is the first resistance zone.
At 13.15 we broke that in the 5mts candle, and then we broke it again at 13.55 - but the momentum was not strong enough. There was a strong fall of 159pts in the last 30mts which would have given some respite for the bears. Basically it was this move that helped me decide to not change the stance.
The moves today were as bullish as Nifty, the only reason was the failure of resistance breach. The foundation of my tech analysis is based on support and resistance - so if we do not get a clear break, then I still consider it as a continuation pattern. This is the case even if the price action is strongly opposing it.
On the 1hr TF, the pattern is quite similar to Nifty - the only difference is that the price is below the SR line whereas its above for Nifty. As long as we are below the resistance in a falling wedge pattern - its still a bearish signal. Meanwhile the convergence is coming up real soon and an upward thrust could shift the momentum in bullish favor. The reason for faster convergence is because the slope is steeper for banknifty. For tomorrow I would prefer to retain my bearish stance until we have an hourly closing above the 44068 zone.
At 13.15 we broke that in the 5mts candle, and then we broke it again at 13.55 - but the momentum was not strong enough. There was a strong fall of 159pts in the last 30mts which would have given some respite for the bears. Basically it was this move that helped me decide to not change the stance.
The moves today were as bullish as Nifty, the only reason was the failure of resistance breach. The foundation of my tech analysis is based on support and resistance - so if we do not get a clear break, then I still consider it as a continuation pattern. This is the case even if the price action is strongly opposing it.
On the 1hr TF, the pattern is quite similar to Nifty - the only difference is that the price is below the SR line whereas its above for Nifty. As long as we are below the resistance in a falling wedge pattern - its still a bearish signal. Meanwhile the convergence is coming up real soon and an upward thrust could shift the momentum in bullish favor. The reason for faster convergence is because the slope is steeper for banknifty. For tomorrow I would prefer to retain my bearish stance until we have an hourly closing above the 44068 zone.
