An Uptrending stock gives many opportunities to enter in it.
But...we miss many of them assuming it as a reversal or before we enter the stock moves much higher again and Risk/Reward ratio is unfavourable for our trade.
Here I am with another tried and tested strategy to find whether it's a pullback or trend reversal and the most IMPORTANT...enter before the stock moves much higher.
So let's discuss Step by Step from STOCK SELECTION to ENTRY,STOPLOSS,EXIT.
I will also be discussing about the candlestick patterns and indicators for better accuracy.
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1.STOCK SELECTION:
.Broader market has to be in a uptrend (BULL MARKET)
.The stock should be from an uptrending sector
.The stock has to be in a STAGE 2 uptrending structure to QUALIFY as a stock for pullback.
For detail explanation of STAGES I have linked a post below:
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2.MOMENTUM INDICATORS
.RSI-- It has to be above 50 to increase the accuracy of the trade
.EMA 50--Slope of EMA 50 has to be positive
.MOMENTUM--If it is positive then it's icing on the cake
.ADX--While the stock is falling ADX should also fall to give a shade better trade.
.VOLUME--Should be low when the stock is falling as compared to Going up
Keeping things simple : IF THE STOCK QUALIFIES ALL THE ABOVE CRITERIA OF SELECTION AND INDICATORS THEN IT IS NOT A TREND REVERSAL
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3.CANDLESTICK PATTERNS
.Low body red candles are a very good sign
.Long wick rejection from the bottom
.Very less big body red candle (NOT MORE THAN 2)
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4.ENTRY
The most important part of pullback trading is to enter before the stock moves very high and also not wait for months for it to move.
STEP-1: Mark the candle of previous high as '0' in daily time frame.
STEP-2:Keep counting the candles from 1-20 as shown in the below figure: (MIN 8 has to be there)
STEP-3: Now when the count is completed mark the lowest price of the stock within the pullback range as 'PIVOT'
STEP-4:Now switch the chart to 1hr time frame as shown on the chart of HDFC Ltd.
NOTE: Candle 0's high has to be the high within these candles (MIN 8)...if not then this strategy might not work well.
STEP 5:Draw a stage structure (BASE) and our entry will be the breakout of this range (50%) and pullback to this STAGE (50%)
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5.STOPLOSS AND EXIT
STOPLOSS: The pivot point will be our stoploss
EXIT: After the stock has broken out of the stage EXIT after 20 counts (It sounds theoritical and funny...but it do works most of the time
Look at the EXAMPLE OF RELIANCE with the concepts mentioned above:
You can also see the EXAMPLE OF AIRTEL's previous pullback
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NOTE: Like all other strategies even this strategy is not 100% accurate.
I hope you liked this strategy of pullback trading and it might increase your chances to make profits in the market.If you have any doubts do let me know in the comment section below.
I will be posting a lot more strategies for trading/risk management in this channel ahead.
FOLLOW this channel to stay updated as soon as I upload it.
Till then,
HAPPY TRADING :)
But...we miss many of them assuming it as a reversal or before we enter the stock moves much higher again and Risk/Reward ratio is unfavourable for our trade.
Here I am with another tried and tested strategy to find whether it's a pullback or trend reversal and the most IMPORTANT...enter before the stock moves much higher.
So let's discuss Step by Step from STOCK SELECTION to ENTRY,STOPLOSS,EXIT.
I will also be discussing about the candlestick patterns and indicators for better accuracy.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1.STOCK SELECTION:
.Broader market has to be in a uptrend (BULL MARKET)
.The stock should be from an uptrending sector
.The stock has to be in a STAGE 2 uptrending structure to QUALIFY as a stock for pullback.
For detail explanation of STAGES I have linked a post below:
2.MOMENTUM INDICATORS
.RSI-- It has to be above 50 to increase the accuracy of the trade
.EMA 50--Slope of EMA 50 has to be positive
.MOMENTUM--If it is positive then it's icing on the cake
.ADX--While the stock is falling ADX should also fall to give a shade better trade.
.VOLUME--Should be low when the stock is falling as compared to Going up
Keeping things simple : IF THE STOCK QUALIFIES ALL THE ABOVE CRITERIA OF SELECTION AND INDICATORS THEN IT IS NOT A TREND REVERSAL
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3.CANDLESTICK PATTERNS
.Low body red candles are a very good sign
.Long wick rejection from the bottom
.Very less big body red candle (NOT MORE THAN 2)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
4.ENTRY
The most important part of pullback trading is to enter before the stock moves very high and also not wait for months for it to move.
STEP-1: Mark the candle of previous high as '0' in daily time frame.
STEP-2:Keep counting the candles from 1-20 as shown in the below figure: (MIN 8 has to be there)
STEP-4:Now switch the chart to 1hr time frame as shown on the chart of HDFC Ltd.
STEP 5:Draw a stage structure (BASE) and our entry will be the breakout of this range (50%) and pullback to this STAGE (50%)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
5.STOPLOSS AND EXIT
STOPLOSS: The pivot point will be our stoploss
EXIT: After the stock has broken out of the stage EXIT after 20 counts (It sounds theoritical and funny...but it do works most of the time
Look at the EXAMPLE OF RELIANCE with the concepts mentioned above:
You can also see the EXAMPLE OF AIRTEL's previous pullback
NOTE: Like all other strategies even this strategy is not 100% accurate.
I hope you liked this strategy of pullback trading and it might increase your chances to make profits in the market.If you have any doubts do let me know in the comment section below.
I will be posting a lot more strategies for trading/risk management in this channel ahead.
FOLLOW this channel to stay updated as soon as I upload it.
Till then,
HAPPY TRADING :)
