11/21 Trading Plan - Monday Recap and Day Ahead

๐Ÿ”„ Recap

Todays price action highlighted the power of technical analysis, with ES breaking out of a 4-month downtrend post-CPI, rallying 120 points. The market formed a bullish triangle pattern last week, which led to a breakout and an upward trajectory today, aligning perfectly with our analysis from the last newsletter.

๐Ÿ“ˆ The Markets Overnight

๐ŸŒ Asia: Mixed
๐ŸŒ Europe: Down a bit
๐ŸŒŽ US Index Futures: Down
๐Ÿ›ข Crude Oil: Down
๐Ÿ’ต Dollar: Down slightly
๐Ÿง Yields: Down slightly
๐Ÿ”ฎ Crypto: Down

๐ŸŒ Major Global Catalysts

FOMC meeting minutes and NVDA earnings later today.

๐Ÿ” Key Structures

  • 4622: Core trendline connecting the January 2022 COVID bull market high with the August 2022 high.
  • 4577-80: A major resistance level observed in late August.
  • 4543-35: A critical resistance level, now the most important zone to hold.
  • 4521-18: A vital support level that has been crucial in the recent rally.
  • 4488: An important zone for back-testing as the first major support down.
  • 4445-47: A key back-test support level post-CPI day breakout.


๐Ÿ“‰ Support Levels

Major Supports: 4556-58, 4542, 4536-38, 4521, 4488, 4446-48, 4400-4405.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Resistance Levels

Major Resistances: 4577-80, 4607-09, 4623, 4658.


๐Ÿ“ Trading Plan

  • Short-Term Focus: Watch 4536-38 for potential bearish indications.
  • Long-Term Strategy: Bulls remain in control; maintain focus on key supports for signs of sustained upward movement.


๐Ÿ”š Wrap Up

As we approach Thanksgiving, typically strong for the market, we need to stay vigilant for potential shifts. The market's resilience with only one red day this month suggests strong bullish control, but caution is advised due to the holiday trading week and potential overhead supply.

Disclosure: This is not financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decision.
ESes_ffuturesnovember2023SPX (S&P 500 Index)SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Support and ResistancetradingviewTrend AnalysisTrend Lines

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