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EURUSD Forecast and Technical Analysis Week of Nov 27th

FX:EURUSD   Euro / U.S. Dollar
EURUSD             Forecast and Technical Analysis Week of Nov 27th

Triggered by the FOMC Minutes, promising Eurozone Data and finally U.S. Markit Service and Manufacturing PMI which were below the market’s expectations; EURUSD             ended week 1.19290.

Thursday’s minutes from the latest ECB policy meeting have prolonged this lead, revealing that policymakers broadly agree on the extension of the bank’s quantitative easing ( QE ) scheme.There was, however, some debate over the decision to keep asset purchases open-ended.

The upcoming week will be very busy in means of fundamentals of both economies with US Core PCE inflation outstanding ahead of December FED’s monetary policy meetings.

Short-term trend is bullish but we need to keep in my mind that FED rate hike is set to announce in December, and more importantly, will or how long ECB’s Draghi let the EURO             gain more strength.

EURUSD             Forecast and Technicals:

On the weekly chart; EURUSD             is above EMA 50,100 and 200. RSI is in the bullish territory but not overbought.

On the daily chart ; 1.19600 ( Fibo Retracement 127.20% ) is the resistance. Above 1.19600, 1.20250 and 1.20900 will be the next possible targets.

Stochastic gives overbought signals. 1.19000 and 1.18800 possible pullback levels on Monday.

1.18800 – 1.18600 regions is the support.Three factors can cause a breakout this week. An incredibly positive US Data, Draghi and a political chaos in Europe.
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