Euro / U.S. Dollar
Long
Updated

EURUSD - PRE BREAKOUT CONSOLIDATION - ASCENDING TRIANGLE

190
Symbol - EURUSD

CMP - 1.0485

The EURUSD pair continues to display bullish signals, suggesting the potential for sustained upward movement. However, significant resistance lies ahead, and the market is currently undergoing a pre-breakout consolidation phase. The U.S. dollar is experiencing a corrective phase, influenced by economic data, domestic political developments, and indications from both President Trump and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell regarding the possibility of an imminent interest rate cut.

The euro is benefiting from the weakening dollar, though the duration of this trend remains uncertain, particularly in the context of the ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and Europe.

From a technical perspective, the current chart suggests a bullish outlook. An ascending triangle is forming within the prevailing uptrend, generally indicative of market optimism. Key focus is placed on the pattern’s base, with resistance located at the 1.0530 level.

Support levels: 1.0450, 1.0400
Resistance levels: 1.0530

Should the dollar continue its downward trajectory, the pair is poised for potential growth. A retest of the trend support level, possibly marked by a false breakout, could occur before a decisive breakout. A successful breakout and sustained consolidation above the 1.0530 resistance level may trigger further upward movement.
Trade active
CMP 0.477

The price has once again touched 0.530 resistance zone, where selling pressure is visible. I have an active long position at 0.480 I will add more position towards 0.450 and hold with SL 0.435
Trade closed: stop reached
The long position was closed with a stoploss of -30 pips.

I had anticipated that the US GDP release would fall below the forecast. However, the GDP came in precisely as forecasted, which proved to be a positive scenario for the US dollar and negative for the Euro and Gold. As a result, We are witnessing selling pressure in EURUSD.
Although the alternative scenario anticipating the breakdown of the ascending triangle unfolded as expected, I chose not to take short positions.

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