The gold price was under the influence of two major events last week, the FOMC meeting and the non-farm payrolls report, which resulted in significant daily fluctuations; however, the closing price for the entire week resumed its position below 2040, without any clear structural breakthrough. The post-FOMC statement kept the probability of a rate cut in March to a mere 15% (according to CME's FedWatch Tools). Adding the non-farm payroll data on Fri., once again exceeded the market's expectation for the second consecutive month and pulled the gold price back below the 2040 range before the week ended.
Although the range trading strategy we've been suggesting in recent weeks aligned perfectly with the overall trend in the gold market, and the resistance and support levels performed as expected, last week's market involved too many uncertain factors. I would say the trading difficulty reached the "Black Diamond" level, with rapid and wide swings in the price movements.
1-Hour Chart - The difficulty of trading should ease down this week as no major economic data is being released, and with the approaching of the CNY holiday. The gold market is expected to resume the range-bound pattern & vibe we saw two weeks ago. After the gold price drops below 2040, we can continue to take advantage of the 2020-40(2)range. The S-T resistance zone remains in 2035-2040(1), nothing new 😂😂😂. However, I believe that in the next 48 hours, we should see the price reaching the bottom of the S-T near 2020.
Daily Chart - The range structure we've been highlighting in the past few weeks, between 2002-65(3), is still valid. At the moment, the price is trapped within a consolidating triangle pattern(5). For the price to return to the bottom of the range, it needs to break out of the triangle formation. In S-T, keep an eye on the 20-day moving average as a support level.
S-T resistances:
2055
2048-50
2040
Market price: 2034
S-T supports:
2030
2027
2020
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Feel free to leave a comment; share your thoughts 🤟.
P. To
Although the range trading strategy we've been suggesting in recent weeks aligned perfectly with the overall trend in the gold market, and the resistance and support levels performed as expected, last week's market involved too many uncertain factors. I would say the trading difficulty reached the "Black Diamond" level, with rapid and wide swings in the price movements.
1-Hour Chart - The difficulty of trading should ease down this week as no major economic data is being released, and with the approaching of the CNY holiday. The gold market is expected to resume the range-bound pattern & vibe we saw two weeks ago. After the gold price drops below 2040, we can continue to take advantage of the 2020-40(2)range. The S-T resistance zone remains in 2035-2040(1), nothing new 😂😂😂. However, I believe that in the next 48 hours, we should see the price reaching the bottom of the S-T near 2020.
Daily Chart - The range structure we've been highlighting in the past few weeks, between 2002-65(3), is still valid. At the moment, the price is trapped within a consolidating triangle pattern(5). For the price to return to the bottom of the range, it needs to break out of the triangle formation. In S-T, keep an eye on the 20-day moving average as a support level.
S-T resistances:
2055
2048-50
2040
Market price: 2034
S-T supports:
2030
2027
2020
If you like my work, please give me a thumbs up 👍.
Feel free to leave a comment; share your thoughts 🤟.
P. To
Comment:
The supporting trendline is still good on the daily chart!
👍🏾👍🏾👍🏾
The supporting trendline is still good on the daily chart!
👍🏾👍🏾👍🏾
P. To
Super nice range-bound!
🎉🎉🎉