no_aha

Nifty wave counts from 15183

Short
NSEIX:NIFTY1!   GIFT NIFTY 50 INDEX FUTURES
This is one of the rare case where a 3 wave move up has a C wave extension greater than the regular 1.382/1.618.
In super-extended moves, we have seen C Waves extend to 2.0 and even 2.618 of wave A.

What determines the future move is the speed of reversal post completion of Wave C/3.

Another supporting evidence for it being a wave C and not wave 3 is that the initial moves prior to wave C was a clean Wave A i.e. a 3 wave move contained withing parallel lines, whose subwaves tended to equality.

A bull case could be made that - no it was a 1-2-i-ii and not an a-b-c within Wave A, but generally in 1-2-i-ii, the lower degree 1 is shorter than the length of the higher degree 1. Here, both waves tended to equality. Hence an argument for it being a wave A is stronger.

Now we will have to see how price behaves at prior wave 4s of lower degree. Immediate supports are offered in the range of 17150-17450, which is the range of the Wave 4 of lower degree. A corrective rise from there will confirm that we are going further lower.

Will revisit this developing idea once we are at 17150-200.

-ansible/entropy

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.