NIFTY50 - A RETRACEMENT IS EXPECTED BEFORE FURTHER FALL
Symbol - Nifty50
CMP - 23772
The Nifty50 continues to trade within a falling channel pattern, indicating a bearish technical structure. Currently, the index is testing key support levels near 22800-22700, which were identified as critical support zones in the previous analysis. Given the strong & key support area at these levels, there is a high likelihood of a short-term bounce before the continuation of the downtrend.
As of now, Nifty is encountering support around the 22800-22700 region, and I expect a potential retracement towards the 23170-23200 and 23420 levels before the downtrend continues. These levels are supported by the retracement nature of the fall, providing a good opportunity to enter long positions with favorable risk-reward at current price.
When Nifty was around 23720, I shared my short trade plan on Nifty, anticipating a 700-1000 point fall, with expectations for Nifty to test the 23000 and 22800 areas again. That fall has now played out, and we successfully captured a strong down move. As Nifty is trading at key support levels once again, I am anticipating a bounce from here before the downtrend resumes.
Given the current technical setup, long positions can be initiated around current prices, with additional positions being added towards the 22680-22650 area. A stop-loss should be placed below 22600. I expect a retracement of this fall, which could push Nifty to the 23170-23200 range and then 23420 levels.
The risk-reward at these levels is favorable for long positions. However, my overall outlook remains bearish, and I expect the downtrend to continue after Nifty touches the 23400 zone.
Key resistance levels remain around 23700-23850. Any sustained move above this range could signal a shift from a downtrend to a sideways or even bullish trend. Until then, the preferred strategy will be to sell at resistance zones and buy at key support levels for a retracement.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
CMP - 23772
The Nifty50 continues to trade within a falling channel pattern, indicating a bearish technical structure. Currently, the index is testing key support levels near 22800-22700, which were identified as critical support zones in the previous analysis. Given the strong & key support area at these levels, there is a high likelihood of a short-term bounce before the continuation of the downtrend.
As of now, Nifty is encountering support around the 22800-22700 region, and I expect a potential retracement towards the 23170-23200 and 23420 levels before the downtrend continues. These levels are supported by the retracement nature of the fall, providing a good opportunity to enter long positions with favorable risk-reward at current price.
When Nifty was around 23720, I shared my short trade plan on Nifty, anticipating a 700-1000 point fall, with expectations for Nifty to test the 23000 and 22800 areas again. That fall has now played out, and we successfully captured a strong down move. As Nifty is trading at key support levels once again, I am anticipating a bounce from here before the downtrend resumes.
Given the current technical setup, long positions can be initiated around current prices, with additional positions being added towards the 22680-22650 area. A stop-loss should be placed below 22600. I expect a retracement of this fall, which could push Nifty to the 23170-23200 range and then 23420 levels.
The risk-reward at these levels is favorable for long positions. However, my overall outlook remains bearish, and I expect the downtrend to continue after Nifty touches the 23400 zone.
Key resistance levels remain around 23700-23850. Any sustained move above this range could signal a shift from a downtrend to a sideways or even bullish trend. Until then, the preferred strategy will be to sell at resistance zones and buy at key support levels for a retracement.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Trade active
CMP 22950
Futures long position +178 points in profit.
Note
Nifty is currently consolidating within the 22900 - 23000 range and is not exhibiting any significant upward momentum. The bullish sentiment appears to be weakening. Should this consolidation persist without a clear bullish breakout, there is a substantial probability of a breakdown below the key support levels of 22800 - 22700, potentially leading to further downward movement and the exploration of lower levels.
Holding long position with CTC SL now.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.