Price has a habit of repeating historical pattern, as patterns are nothing but psychology of thousands of traders watching same charts. Nifty currently is showing very similar price pattern on daily timeframe which it developed in 2015-16, where previously it made a top and then was facing a resistance on falling trendline and sort of made triple/multiple tops. It finally broke out of it by making a double bottom on daily charts and then started another upmove.
This upmove got fizzled out and made a rounding top pattern, and potentially those who were active that time would have faced similar dilemma which traders are currently facing that if this rounding top sort of formation breakdown then what are downside target.
That didn't happened and Nifty made another double bottom around Dec 2016 and post which it rallied and rest is history where dream run of Nifty started and it went on to make a new high until 2020, when Covid crash came.
Similarly, in current chart of 2021-23 session (as of today), Nifty has shown similar price pattern of facing resistance at a falling trendline then breaking out of it via a double bottom formation and making a new high. Post which it has now corrected and is sort of making another rounding top.
Will Nifty survive the swing lows around 16750 or will it break and invite fresh aggressive shorts to trap them and then run away - only time will tell that, but these are just observations with an anticipations that potentially this correction will also get over very soon and we are may be near to bottom formation and then start a fresh up move.
There is no trade recommendation here and these are just observations for learning purpose
Nifty 2015-16
Nifty 2021-23
This upmove got fizzled out and made a rounding top pattern, and potentially those who were active that time would have faced similar dilemma which traders are currently facing that if this rounding top sort of formation breakdown then what are downside target.
That didn't happened and Nifty made another double bottom around Dec 2016 and post which it rallied and rest is history where dream run of Nifty started and it went on to make a new high until 2020, when Covid crash came.
Similarly, in current chart of 2021-23 session (as of today), Nifty has shown similar price pattern of facing resistance at a falling trendline then breaking out of it via a double bottom formation and making a new high. Post which it has now corrected and is sort of making another rounding top.
Will Nifty survive the swing lows around 16750 or will it break and invite fresh aggressive shorts to trap them and then run away - only time will tell that, but these are just observations with an anticipations that potentially this correction will also get over very soon and we are may be near to bottom formation and then start a fresh up move.
There is no trade recommendation here and these are just observations for learning purpose
Nifty 2015-16
Nifty 2021-23
Comment:
Comment:
Trade closed: target reached:
This analysis will remain very close to my heart, Good Bye 2023!