-first of all sorry members for not posting the update last week SUMMARY
IMPORTANT OBSERVATION -coming to data over the weekend let me share you something important -whenever in the past usa market has given a bear rally retracement of 50% from bottom -market have ended up creating the bottom -that figure ended was crossed near 4230 -only hurdle will be on friday where 30% of s&p options will expire -recently that action has created tops so will watch out for them -again us mkt participants are all expecting markets to go down -so i am more bullish that smart money will make the move -i had told everyone from past few weeks this rally will be a disbelief -fii turned net buyers -we called that play with the indication that ruppee has topped off -we called the play where indian market will decouple from the rest of the world
LOOKING FORWARD -i am seen twitter timeline calling the bear market rally -if true it would have ended near 16400 -16400 was the swing high and trendline break from there we are sitting long in the position -in the channel i had discussed last week one minor hurdle remains which is the only thing stopping us from "all-time high" -we need a close above 17800-17820 on daily basis and a weekly close above it will end all matters -if a close above 17800 is achieved *we will close above major bearish trendline in nifty *a elliot wave 3 will see extension on weekly chart *we will start to extend higher *then all time high is probability increases *bold prediction will be to safe we might hit 19500-20000 by diwali
FII ACTION PROVIDES MORE INCENTIVE IN HOLDING LONGS *there might be some day a knee jerk sell-off to through weak hands of the market *but observe that fii have just started buying *the amount the fii sold in 2022 if they buy back just 30% of that positions *20000 will be here in no time *crude price falling is added incentive
note *the above observation are based on pure market sentiment and data driven *many traders are still in disbelief and waiting for that fall *as i have advised in my telegram channel you have missed the majority *but wait for the market to close above 17800-17820 we can start creating positional longs for diwali *special thanks to to major twitter hands and novice twitter hands for keeping them out of this rally *then advising them they are bullish now and are expecting new all-time high
TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR NIFTY "need a close above 17820" RESISTANCE 17820-17955-18040 SUPPORT 17730-17600-17540
THOSE INTERESTED FOR MORE MARKET UPDATES PLESE CHECK THE LINK IN THE SIGNATURE BOX BE A PART OF THE COMMUNITY
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