Gold broke major support for more sell side direction

FX_IDC:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
XAUUSD Technical Overview:

Pivot: 1188.20

Key Resistance: 1184.55 - 1188.20 - 1192.89 - 1196.48

Key Support: 1180.23 - 1176.45 - 1174.88 - 1171.43

Technical Indicator:

RSI: The indicator having bullish divergence but moving under 50 level near to oversold condition.

Moving Average: CMP 1182 Price moving under Simple moving average 100 & 55, sign for more down trend ahead.

Technical Trade Idea:

Most Likely Scenario: short positions below 1188.20 with targets at 1182.55 & 1176.45 in extension.

Alternative scenario: above 1188.20 look for further upside with 1191.89 & 1194.66 as targets.

Overall, Gold markets broke down rather significantly during the day on Thursday, slicing through the $1200 level like it wasn’t even there. Furthermore, we broke below the hammer at the $1195 level, which is a further sign of weakness.

the US economy is running at full steam ahead, it was appropriate that the Fed removed that sentence from the statement - But what markets traded was the forward outlook - As the policy rate moves closer to estimates of neutral, members of the FOMC and observers, market participants, now forecast a modestly restrictive terminal FFTR while other Central Banks embark on their own normalization of policy, thus stripping some of the yield advantages out of the long end of the curve for the dollar.

However, in the near term, the dollar remains on top and following today's set of economic data,"Between Chairman Powell's comment yesterday the that the U.S. economy is in a particularly good spot and today's robust durable good orders and excellent business spending, despite the August pause the six months to July saw the strongest investment spending in five years, the dollar has room to run on the American economy alone."

US economic data
US: Pending home sales decline by 1.8% in August vs 0.4% expected.
US: Durable goods orders increased by 4.5% in August following July's 1.2% contraction.
US: Real GDP expanded at an annual rate of 4.2% in Q2 to match expectations.

FOMC outcome notes
As expected, the FOMC raised the FFTR and the IOER by 25bps at its September meeting.
‘Dot-plot’ distribution around three hikes in 2019 narrowed; FOMC still sees strong growth as cyclical.
2021 projections indicate a ‘soft landing’ through lower real growth and slightly higher unemployment.
The only significant change to the statement was the removal of the description of monetary policy stance as “accommodate”.



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