XAUUSD / Gold FOMC Interest Rate Update – 18.09.25

Fundamental Reason for Bullish:

The Federal Reserve cut rates from 4.25% → 4.00%.

This supports gold’s bullish momentum since lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold.

Technical Structure:

Potential Reversal Zone: Highlighted in yellow. Price is currently testing this area around 3645–3655.

A bounce from this zone aligns with the 3-month uptrend line (black trendline).

If price respects this support, bullish continuation is expected.

Bullish Projection Path:

First, a rebound from the reversal zone.

Then, a push towards 3700–3720 with a possible retest.

Final Target Price Zone: ~3750–3780.

Risk Area (Stop Loss Zone):

If price breaks below the reversal zone and trendline (~3640–3635), bullish outlook weakens and downside risk opens.

🎯 Summary

Bias: Bullish (Fundamental + Technical confluence).

Reason: Rate cut + uptrend line support.

Targets: 3700 → 3750 → 3780.

Invalidation: Break below 3640.