Advanced Option Trading With Professionals The 3 5 7 rule is a risk management strategy in trading that emphasizes limiting risk on each individual trade to 3% of the trading capital, keeping overall exposure to 5% across all trades, and ensuring that winning trades yield at least 7% more profit than losing trades.
Why do 90% option traders lose money?
This is because option traders often find themselves directionless, making it difficult to predict market movements accurately. The complex nature of options, combined with the high volatility, leads to significant losses for most traders. It's time to stop option trading.
BANKNIFTY
Support and Resistance Part 1A support and resistance level is simply a level in a market at which traders find a price to be overvalued or undervalued depending on current market dynamics. This creates a level in the market that can act as support or resistance depending on various factors surrounding each currency.
When it comes to charting support and resistance levels, keep it tidy and focus on the levels closest to your current price action. If you start scribbling levels all over the place, your chart will look like a toddler’s doodle, and you’ll lose track of which levels to keep an eye on and which ones carry more weight.
Support Zones: Rather than a precise price point, support is usually identified as a price zone. Within this zone, numerous market participants often place their buy orders. And a resistance level is a point where it’s likely to stop rising and start falling – these are always located ABOVE the current price.
What is option chain pcr ?The Put-Call Ratio (PCR) is a popular technical indicator used by investors to assess market sentiment. It is calculated by dividing the volume or open interest of put options by call options over a specific time period. A higher PCR suggests bearish sentiment, while a lower PCR indicates bullish sentiment.
The Put Call Ratio (PCR) is a popular metric traders use to gauge market sentiment. It is calculated by dividing the number of put options by the number of call options. A high PCR indicates a bearish sentiment, as more traders buy puts, expecting the market to decline
An options chain displays all available option contracts for a security, organized by expiration date and strike price. Options chains typically show each contract's bid price, ask price, volume, open interest, and implied volatility.
Database trading part 2Trading data is a sub-category of financial market data. It provides real-time information about stock and market prices as well as historical trends for assets such as equities, fixed-income products, currencies and derivatives.
The United Nations Comtrade database aggregates detailed global annual and monthly trade statistics by product and trading partner for use by governments, academia, research institutes, and enterprises
Licensee may not share the IBM Research DiF Dataset with any other party and is responsible for any unauthorized access or use of its copy of the DiF Dataset.” data is by trade secrets. misuse of private information depending on your country. a legal framework that protects trade secrets.
What is the use of RSI in trading ?Successful trades often occur when the RSI crosses above 30 (indicating a buy signal) or below 70 (indicating a sell signal). Adjusting the RSI period to 9 can make it more sensitive to price changes and be suitable for more active trading strategies.
The RSI is helpful for market participants in identifying trends. In a strong uptrend, the RSI typically stays between 40 and 90, with the 40-50 range acting as support. In a strong downtrend, the RSI ranges from 10 to 60, with the 50-60 range serving as resistance.
The relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis. RSI measures the speed and magnitude of a security's recent price changes to detect overbought or oversold conditions in the price of that security.
How to make a diverse portfolio in the stock market?How to create a diversified stock portfolio?
A diversified portfolio starts with the understanding that you'll have a variety of asset classes. The percentage you invest in each asset class depends on your risk tolerance, time horizon, and goals. A common guideline is a 60/40 split between stocks and bonds, but other model allocations include: Aggressive.The 5% rule of diversification states that one stock should not make up more than 5% of the investor's overall portfolio. Every investor's financial goals will differ as well as their analysis, so this rule may not matter to certain investors and in fact, some investors may want a large concentration in one stock.
what is the use of candlestick patterns in trading ?What is a candlestick? A candlestick is a way of displaying information about an asset's price movement. Candlestick charts are one of the most popular components of technical analysis, enabling traders to interpret price information quickly and from just a few price bars.
Traders use candlestick charts to determine possible price movement based on past patterns. Candlesticks are useful when trading as they show four price points - open, close, high, and low - throughout the period the trader specifies. Many algorithms are based on the price information shown in candlestick charts.
What is the role of timeframes in trading?A general rule is that the longer the time frame, the more reliable the signals being given. As you drill down in time frames, the charts become more polluted with false moves and noise. Ideally, traders should use a longer time frame to define the primary trend of whatever they are trading
The 5-3-1 strategy is especially helpful for new traders who may be overwhelmed by the dozens of currency pairs available and the 24-7 nature of the market. The numbers five, three, and one stand for: Five currency pairs to learn and trade. Three strategies to become an expert on and use with your trades.
Best Statergies to do Database trading ?9 data-driven strategies for improved trading decisions
Volatility graphs. Volatility surface mapping is one method that helps decide the best approach in any given market. ...
Moving averages and regression analysis. ...
Machine learning. ...
Computer simulations. ...
The Bollinger Bands. ...
AI investing. ...
Unconventional data. ...
Using new data.
A trader needs to collect three types of market data for algo trading; real-time data, delayed data, and historical data. Real-time data is used while a trader executes an order, it is taken into account at the time of the trade.
How to become a profitable trader ?8 Trading Tips to Help You Increase Your Net Profitability
Avoid Overtrading. Traders are ambitious, sometimes too much so. ...
Avoid Under-trading. ...
Take Control of Your Losses. ...
Simplify Your Approach. ...
Trade Robotically. ...
Learn Your Strengths and Weaknesses. ...
Double Down on What's Working. ...
Don't be Afraid to Go Back to Square One.
How to trade profitabily in stock markets???Use strategies like scalping or momentum trading, aiming for small, consistent gains across several trades. Set realistic profit targets and strict stop-losses to limit risk. Always start with a small capital, trade with proper risk management, and avoid over-leveraging to protect your investments.
Scalping is one of the most popular strategies. It involves selling almost immediately after a trade becomes profitable. The price target is whatever figure means that you'll make money on the trade. Fading involves shorting stocks after rapid moves upward.
How to use RSI in technical analysis ???To use the RSI indicator, check if the value is above 70 to show an asset is overbought, or below 30 to show it is oversold. Traders can use these signals to find possible trading opportunities.
Low RSI levels, typically below 30 (red line), indicate oversold conditions—generating a potential buy signal. Conversely, high RSI levels, typically above 70 (green line), indicate overbought conditions—generating a potential sell signal
Successful trades often occur when the RSI crosses above 30 (indicating a buy signal) or below 70 (indicating a sell signal). Adjusting the RSI period to 9 can make it more sensitive to price changes and be suitable for more active trading strategies
Option TradingWhen you trade options, you're essentially placing a bet on if a stock will decrease, increase or remain the same in value; how much it will deviate from its current price; and in what time those changes will occur. Based on those parameters, you can choose to enter into a contract to buy or sell a company's stock.
Options are highly sensitive to market volatility. Significant price swings can lead to substantial gains or losses. A trader might buy a put option expecting a stock to drop. If the stock instead surges in price due to unforeseen events, the value of the put option plummets.
How to draw support and resistance?Drawing **support and resistance** levels is a key aspect of technical analysis. These levels represent areas where the price tends to reverse or stall, providing key insights into market behavior. Here's how to draw them in brief:
### 1. **Support**
- **Definition**: A price level where a downtrend is expected to pause or reverse as demand increases. It's the floor of the price action.
- **How to Draw**:
- Look for areas where the price has bounced higher multiple times in the past. These are points where buyers have stepped in.
- Draw a horizontal line at the lowest price points in these areas.
- Strong support is confirmed when the price touches the same level multiple times without breaking it.
### 2. **Resistance**
- **Definition**: A price level where an uptrend is expected to pause or reverse as selling pressure increases. It's the ceiling of the price action.
- **How to Draw**:
- Identify areas where the price has consistently faced downward pressure or reversed. This is where sellers have entered the market.
- Draw a horizontal line at the highest price points in these areas.
- Strong resistance is confirmed when the price fails to break above it multiple times.
### 3. **Key Points to Remember**
- **Multiple Touches**: The more times the price touches a level without breaking through, the stronger the support or resistance.
- **Broken Levels**: Once a support level is broken, it often becomes resistance (and vice versa).
- **Use Trendlines**: In addition to horizontal levels, you can also draw diagonal trendlines to connect higher lows (support) or lower highs (resistance) in trending markets.
These levels help traders anticipate potential price reversals or continuations, making them essential for developing trading strategies.
How to do Database Trading Part 5 ?Database trading, often referred to as *algorithmic trading* or *quantitative trading*, involves using computer algorithms to make automated trading decisions based on a large amount of data. This type of trading is heavily reliant on databases to store, analyze, and retrieve historical data, trading signals, market conditions, and other relevant information for decision-making. Here's a step-by-step breakdown of how to get started:
### 1. **Understand the Basics of Trading**
Before diving into database trading, you should have a good understanding of:
- **Financial Markets:** Understanding how different markets (stocks, forex, crypto, etc.) work.
- **Trading Strategies:** Familiarize yourself with common strategies like trend following, mean reversion, or arbitrage.
- **Technical Indicators:** Learn how technical analysis indicators (moving averages, RSI, MACD) can be used to generate trading signals.
### 2. **Learn About Algorithmic Trading**
- **Quantitative Analysis:** Database trading relies on quantitative analysis, where you analyze large amounts of historical data to find patterns, trends, and correlations that can guide decision-making.
- **Programming Skills:** Most algorithmic trading is done using programming languages such as Python, C++, or Java. Python is especially popular because of its data science libraries (like Pandas, NumPy, and Scikit-learn) and ease of use.
- **Backtesting:** Backtesting is a crucial part of database trading, where you test your algorithm on historical data to see how it would have performed in the past.
### 3. **Setting Up a Database**
- **Data Collection:** You'll need access to a database of historical market data (price, volume, order book, etc.). Common sources include Yahoo Finance, Alpha Vantage, Quandl, or APIs from brokers like Interactive Brokers or Alpaca.
- **Database Management Systems (DBMS):** You can store your data in relational databases like MySQL, PostgreSQL, or use NoSQL databases like MongoDB. It's essential that your database can handle large volumes of data quickly, especially if you're processing real-time data.
- **Data Types:** Store various data types like:
- **Historical Market Data:** This includes open, high, low, close prices, and volume for the assets you wish to trade.
- **Economic Indicators:** Things like interest rates, GDP growth, unemployment rate, etc.
- **Alternative Data:** News sentiment, social media analysis, etc.
### 4. **Data Processing and Analysis**
- **Preprocessing Data:** Clean and organize your data. This step might involve dealing with missing values, outliers, and adjusting for corporate actions (like stock splits).
- **Feature Engineering:** Extract useful features from the raw data that will be used in your trading model. For example, moving averages, RSI, or volatility can be used as features to generate signals.
- **Modeling:** Use statistical or machine learning models to analyze the data and predict future price movements or trends. Common techniques include:
- **Time Series Analysis:** ARIMA, GARCH, etc.
- **Machine Learning:** Linear regression, decision trees, neural networks, etc.
### 5. **Developing the Trading Algorithm**
- **Algorithm Design:** Based on your data and models, design an algorithm that automatically generates trading signals. This might be a simple rule-based system (e.g., buy if the price crosses above the moving average) or a more complex machine learning model.
- **Execution Logic:** Design how your algorithm will execute trades. Some systems are direct market access (DMA), while others might use broker APIs to place orders on the market.
- **Risk Management:** Incorporate risk management techniques like stop-loss, take-profit, and position sizing to protect your portfolio.
### 6. **Backtesting**
- **Simulate Trades:** Before you go live, run your algorithm against historical data to evaluate its performance. Backtesting should be done on out-of-sample data to get a more realistic picture of how the strategy might perform.
- **Metrics:** Use performance metrics such as Sharpe Ratio, Maximum Drawdown, and Win Rate to evaluate the quality of your strategy.
### 7. **Paper Trading**
- **Paper Trading:** This involves running your algorithm on live data, but without real money. It's a crucial step to ensure the algorithm works correctly in a real-time environment and that it can handle market slippage, transaction costs, etc.
### 8. **Deploying to Live Trading**
- **Execution Platform:** Once you're confident your algorithm works, deploy it to a trading platform that supports algorithmic trading. Popular platforms include Interactive Brokers, MetaTrader, QuantConnect, and Alpaca.
- **Monitoring:** Even though the algorithm trades automatically, you must still monitor its performance and intervene in case of unexpected market conditions or errors in the system.
### 9. **Optimization and Maintenance**
- **Continuous Improvement:** Constantly optimize your trading algorithm by refining your model, adjusting risk management rules, and adapting to market changes.
- **Real-time Data:** Stay on top of real-time data and news. For instance, changes in interest rates or earnings reports can heavily impact financial markets.
- **System Maintenance:** Ensure that your database and trading systems are running smoothly, handling failures, and scaling with large amounts of data.
### Tools and Resources:
- **Trading Platforms:** Interactive Brokers, MetaTrader, Alpaca, Tradestation.
- **Data Providers:** Alpha Vantage, Quandl, Yahoo Finance, FRED.
- **Programming Languages:** Python (Pandas, NumPy, scikit-learn, TensorFlow), C++, Java.
- **Databases:** MySQL, PostgreSQL, MongoDB.
- **Backtesting Tools:** Backtrader, Zipline, QuantConnect.
### Key Considerations:
- **Market Risk:** Even the best algorithms can’t predict every market movement. There’s always inherent risk.
- **Data Quality:** Bad data can lead to poor trading outcomes. Ensure your data is clean and accurate.
- **Latency:** In high-frequency trading, speed matters. Having low-latency systems and database access is crucial.
Use of exponentional Moving Averages in TradingExponential Moving Average (EMA full form in stock market) is a kind of moving average that places a greater weight and importance on the most current data points. It is used for evaluating the bullish and bearish trends in securities over a certain span of duration.
ow Does the 5-8-13 EMA Crossover Work? The crossover detects momentum shifts, which can hint at significant price moves in the near term. When the 5-EMA crosses above the 8 and 13 EMAs, it suggests a rising bullish momentum. When the opposite happens, it indicates bearish momentum
Experts suggest that using 15-minute EMA is most effective for intraday trades that are carried out during periods of high market volatility. To interpret the 20 EMA, you need to compare it with the prevailing stock price. If the stock price is below the 20 EMA, it signals a possible downtrend.
Use of RSI in Advance TradingRSI values are typically used to identify overbought and oversold conditions. A reading above 70 suggests that the asset may be overbought and could be due for a downward correction. On the other hand, a reading below 30 indicates that the asset may be oversold, signalling a potential upward reversal.
The best RSI settings are typically a 14-period timeframe with 70 as the overbought level and 30 as the oversold level. These settings can be adjusted based on specific trading strategies.
The RSI provides technical traders with signals about bullish and bearish price momentum, and is often plotted below the graph of an asset's price. An asset is usually considered overbought when the RSI is above 70 and oversold when it is below 30.
Option Chain AnalysisOption chain analysis is the process of evaluating the information provided in the option chain to identify potential trading opportunities. Traders use option chain analysis to evaluate the market's expectations of an asset's future price movements and make informed decisions about their investments.
OI stands for Open Interest, which is the total number of outstanding option contracts that have not yet been settled. OI helps to gauge market trends and shows how many options contracts are still open. Higher open interest generally indicates higher liquidity and market activity for that contract.
Use Graphs and Charts: You can plot the option chain data on graphs and charts. It will help understand the trends associated with different components of the option chain. Technical and Fundamental Analysis: Investors must analyse technical factors (associated with price) to make informed decisions.
Option Chain AnalysisUnderstanding Option Chain Analysis
An option chain is a matrix consisting of all available contracts for investors. Option chains are available for individual stocks and market indices like NIFTY 50 and NIFTY 500. You can select a stock or a market index and find all available options through an option chain.
The 9.20 short straddle strategy involves selling a call and a put option at the same strike price at 9:20 AM in Indian markets, aiming to capitalize on time decay and volatility.
Database trading Part 5Database trading is a method of using data to make better decisions in the market. It involves using data analysis to improve profits and avoid costly mistakes
Algo trading, also known as algorithmic trading, is a method of executing orders by providing a predefined set of rules to a computer program. When the predefined conditions are met, orders are placed at a speed and frequency that is impossible for a human trader.
Line charts are one of the most commonly used charts in intraday trading. The line charts only display the closing price.
Advanced Level Pcr tradingThe Put-Call Ratio (PCR) is a popular technical indicator used by investors to assess market sentiment. It is calculated by dividing the volume or open interest of put options by call options over a specific time period. A higher PCR suggests bearish sentiment, while a lower PCR indicates bullish sentiment.
However, no PCR can be considered ideal, but usually, a PCR below 0.7 is typically viewed as a strong bullish sentiment while a PCR more than 1 is usually considered as a strong bearish sentiment.
If PCR is above 1, it would mean that more puts are being traded and since more puts are being traded by the retail traders (option buyers) this could mean that markets might do the opposite which is go up. Higher than 1 the PCR is, higher the chances of the market going up.
Why RSI is Important in Trading???The relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator that measures recent price changes as it moves between 0 and 100. The RSI provides short-term buy and sell signals and is used to track the overbought and oversold levels of an asset.
To use the RSI indicator, check if the value is above 70 to show an asset is overbought, or below 30 to show it is oversold. Traders can use these signals to find possible trading opportunities.
Successful trades often occur when the RSI crosses above 30 (indicating a buy signal) or below 70 (indicating a sell signal). Adjusting the RSI period to 9 can make it more sensitive to price changes and be suitable for more active trading strategies
Divergence Based TradingDivergence is when the asset price moves in the direction opposite to what a technical indicator indicates. When a stock is diverging, it signals weaker price trends and the beginning of a reversal. The two types of divergence are: Positive: A positive divergence is a sign of higher price movement in the asset.
Divergence signals tend to be more accurate on the longer time frames. You get fewer false signals. This means fewer trades but if you structure your trade well, then your profit potential can be huge. Divergences on shorter time frames will occur more frequently but are less reliable.
Divergences are a powerful trading concept and the trader who understands how to trade divergences in the right market context with the correct signals can create a robust method and effective way of looking at price.