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A-trend

MINDTREE, TRENDLINE BREAKOUT, PRICE-ACTION VOLUME-PROFILE,Disclaimer -: 1. FOR WHOM VOLUME PROFILE AND MY METHOD IS A LITTLE NEW OR BLURRY . I WILL SOON PUT UP AN EDUCATIONAL POST WITH DETAILS AND EXAMPLES. WE CAN HAVE A SERIES OF DISCUSSIONS THERE TOO. DO FOLLOW MY ACCOUNT TO GET NOTIFIED. 2. Do ask your questions in the comments if any. Volume Profile -: Using Volume Profile one can identify probable accumulation or distribution regions by comparing the historical Volume at Price and current Volume at Price. 2. If the current volume is low, its mostly a pause before the trend resumes 3. If the current volume is higher or equivalent to historical levels then either the trend will resume or it may reverse. If it resumes then we have more strength in trend due to more accumulation. So a breakout/breakdown will confirm in this case Firstly Mindtree has been rallying nicely with 1-2 nice accumulation regions in between. Recently there was a pause with up-sloping trend lines i:e higher highs and lows. It has just given breakout with nice volume. OBSERVATIONS 1. Recent volume as per volume profile is less compared to previous accumulation and rally which means this was not a distribution region but a small pause. Breakout of which will continue the trend nicely. 2. Since the pause was in up-sloping price action and the buying(green) volume is more than the selling(red) volume , it makes sense to assume current region was a brief accumulation i:e buying took place. Which gives us more conviction that the up-trend will continue and risk is less. TARGET WITH LOGIC 1-2 accumulations have happened since the uptrend started. Regions marked in violet. So since the current volume is comparable to previous accumulation so it makes sense to consider the expected uptrend to be of equivalent magnitude. That is more the accumulation, greater the strength, so the more the move. So I used a Fib Extension from that level till now and chose a 168% as target. But this target is above all-time-high so its a provisional target level. Entry Confirmatory breakout has happened but price is still there giving us space and favourable RR ratio to enter. So entry at CMP. MY APOLOGIES I was supposed to post this earlier but was unable to. There is still space to enter it now. STOP-LOSS Since we are expecting a nice uptrend to continue with target high enough and again as it is swing trade, a conservative stop-loss will be better Since 1950 is a nice support levels and just above the previous accumulation during 18Dec 2020- 5Mar 2021, so i would prefer the stop-loss around that level. Keep trailing stop-loss as per you strategy. Using Moving Averages with ATR(Average True Range) as buffer is one the ways. EXIT Since the target is above all time high. Its a provisional target level. So it doesn't make sense to exit at target rather hold on to it as much as possible and keep conservatively trailing stop-loss. Following can be used as exit signals or bearishness signals. 1. If there is bearish candlestick pattern in 1D timeframe, stop-loss can be trailed to a nearby support level .(Like Candle Low) 2. If there is RSI Divergence in 1D timeframe, better to exit at close of 1D since afterwards there can be long consolidation or reversal. 3. If the trailing stop-loss is hit, please exit **IF YOU LIKE MY ANALYSIS, KINDLY GIVE A THUMPS-UP AND SHARE IT IF POSSIBLE, HELPS A LOT :) **I WILL POST NECESSARY , SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THIS THREAD LIKE ADDITION TO POSITION, EXIT SIGNALS, BREAKOUT ETC. TO AVOID MISSING OUT ON UPDATES PLEASE REMEMBER TO FOLLOW THE POST AND MY ACCOUNT. **YOU CAN TURN ON NOTIFICATION TO BE UPDATED OF CHANGES **ANY COMMENT ON THE ANALYSIS WILL BE HIGHLY APPRECIATED. NSE:MINDTREE
MLong
by VPA_TRADER
2
PENNANT-BREAKOUT-UPTREND-PRICE-ACTION-VOLUME-PROFILEDisclaimer-: 1. FOR WHOM VOLUME PROFILE AND MY METHOD IS A LITTLE NEW OR BLURRY . I WILL SOON PUT UP AN EDUCATIONAL POST WITH DETAILS AND EXAMPLES. WE CAN HAVE A SERIES OF DISCUSSIONS THERE TOO. DO FOLLOW MY ACCOUNT TO GET NOTIFIED. 2. Do ask your questions in the comments if any. Volume Profile-: Using Volume Profile one can identify probable accumulation or distribution regions by comparing the historical Volume at Price and current Volume at Price. 2. If the current volume is low, its mostly a pause before the trend resumes 3. If the current volume is higher or equivalent to historical levels then either the trend will resume or it may reverse. If it resumes then we have more strength in trend due to more accumulation. So a breakout/breakdown will confirm in this case POC-: The red line in volume profile is called Point of Control. This is the level where max volume of transactions have taken place. IMPORTANT OBSERVATIONS-: 1. Stock formed a big triangular pattern, gave breakout and then rallied. 2. Recent it formed a flag-pennant-like pattern i:e a brief pause. 3. That can be confirmed by the volume in that region. Mark the low volume as compared to the high volume when it started rising.This confirms that the current pennant pattern was just a pause. And thus when breakout happens the uptrend will resume. TARGET WITH LOGIC-: Since its a brief pause. and within that pause buying ( green,blue) volume is more than selling (red )volume. There is a high chance the current expected up-move should be kind of equivalent to previous move (could be more too). So a Fib Extension 100% target seems feasible. ENTRY-: Entry at CMP since it has just given a breakout out of the small triangular pattern with trend-lines tested at least 3 times gives us a nice conviction. STOP_LOSS 1450 and 1165 are good support levels. But since 1450 is too close to CMP , it will be a narrow stop-loss. Thus a conservative stop-loss is better for a swing trade in 1W. So 1165 could be a good spot. Its necessary to trail stop-loss as per your strategy. You may use Moving Average with ATR(14) as buffer. EXIT Since the target is above all time high. Its a provisional target level. So it doesn't make sense to exit at target rather hold on to it as much as possible and keep conservatively trailing stop-loss. Following can be used as exit signals or bearishness signals. 1. If there is bearish candlestick pattern in 1W timeframe, stop-loss can be trailed to a nearby support level .(Like Candle Low) 2. If there is RSI Divergence in 1W timeframe, better to exit at close of 1W since afterwards there can be long consolidation or reversal. 3. If the trailing stop-loss is hit, please exit **IF YOU LIKE MY ANALYSIS, KINDLY GIVE A THUMBS-UP AND SHARE IT IF POSSIBLE, HELPS A LOT :) **I WILL POST NECESSARY , SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THIS THREAD LIKE ADDITION TO POSITION, EXIT SIGNALS, BREAKOUT ETC. TO AVOID MISSING OUT ON UPDATES PLEASE REMEMBER TO FOLLOW THE POST AND MY ACCOUNT. **YOU CAN TURN ON NOTIFICATION TO BE UPDATED OF CHANGES **ANY COMMENT ON THE ANALYSIS WILL BE HIGHLY APPRECIATED.
NSE:MCXLong
by VPA_TRADER
2
Multiple Breakouts in UptrendIn this Birla Corp. stock we have witnessed multiple breakouts in bullish trend for almost now a year. This trend line is now a major support. These are the multiple points where an investor or trader can take entry and can efficiently plan a strategy and do money management. And price action makes analysis simple and easy to understand and is least complicated. The more simplistic the analysis is for yourself and more effectively and efficiently one can take actions in entry point for investment decision or trading position. And the money flow index helps me to understand the strength in breakouts and breakdowns and volumes too. This post is for to show you how without making things complicated you can analyze and earn money. But remember just seeing breakouts/breakdowns one should not enter. Multiple confirmation are must, like candlestick patterns, fibo retracement, price action patterns, etc. This post is for information purpose only.
NSE:BIRLACORPN
by AkshayAdak
NIFTY 50 13-07-2021 AnalysisSo Nifty 50 is looking very bullish and it can also give a gap up opening because of some factors that I will tell you. these are; 1. There is a perfect green hammer in the weekly chart and the daily chart as well. 2. After analyzing the option chain we saw that the call writers exited their shorts in huge and amount and their is a short buildup heavily on the bullish side. 3. The PCR is 0.8 which is also indicating a slight oversold market. 4. The nifty has gave a great closing of above the dangerous level of 15800 which is a very bullish sign. Now there is no major support or resistance levels in the market and the view is highly bullish. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . *Disclaimer*- This is just an analysis of the data on the basis of technical factors such as chart patterns, candlestick patterns, trend line , option chain data, etc,. Stock Market or Trading in any type of market is subject to high financial risk. You should see this idea as just an analysis. You are not obliged to follow my instructions. You will be responsible for all types gains or loses in the market.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by vashishthviraaj
Bank Nifty 12-7-2021Bank Nifty can be a little bearish which may have an impact on Nifty also but same as nifty it will consolidate between the specified regions. There will be no more particular breakouts. So you can have a short strangle or you can sell a call or buy a put near the specified resistance zone. Or you can buy a call and sell a put near the support zone. Overall as I analyzed before that the Bank Nifty is forming an ascending triangle chart pattern. So overall momentum is still bullish and you can also buy a future of Bank Nifty in this dip. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . *Disclaimer*- This is just an analysis of the data on the basis of technical factors such as chart patterns, candlestick patterns, trend line , option chain data, etc,. Stock Market or Trading in any type of market is subject to high financial risk. You should see this idea as just an analysis. You are not obliged to follow my instructions. You will be responsible for all types gains or loses in the market.
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by vashishthviraaj
NIFTY 50 12-07-2021Today the chart of Nifty 50 is showing a neutral sign and the market can give both upside and downside move between the specified ranges. So, you must take trade responsibly after observing today's global markets and fundamentals. Also you can consider this day as a consolidation period for Nifty for a good breakout and trade in the options of some stocks. As tomorrow's day will be considered as a resulting day for concluding whether the nifty will give a break out or not. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . *Disclaimer*- This is just an analysis of the data on the basis of technical factors such as chart patterns, candlestick patterns, trend line , option chain data, etc,. Stock Market or Trading in any type of market is subject to high financial risk. You should see this idea as just an analysis. You are not obliged to follow my instructions. You will be responsible for all types gains or loses in the market.
NSE:NIFTY
by vashishthviraaj