NIFTY Pattern (POLE and Flag Pattern) 24900/243501. If Nifty successfully crosses the 24680/690 level then the coming targets will be 24855 and 24980 as per Pole and Flag pattern
2. But if it fails (POLE and Flag pattern Failed) and the Nifty breaks below 24590/570, then the coming targets will be 24370 and 24280.
Advice:
1. If you are doing future then take the option as hedge.
2. If you are doing Option selling, take option buying as hedge.
3. Naked option buyers please take both CALL and PUT for safer side.(So, your total will be more then buying price)
Imp. Note: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute a direct recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial advisors before making any investment decisions, as market conditions and individual circumstances may vary.
Market Risk: However, it's important to acknowledge the inherent risks associated with investing in the stock market, including but not limited to volatility, economic downturns, regulatory changes, and unforeseen events that can impact stock prices. It's crucial for investors to remain vigilant and diversify their portfolios to mitigate potential losses
Bearish Trend Line
Nifty.23300 on the cards??Nifty closed right at an important support.
Now the likelihood of Nifty pulling back to 200 DMA( around 23550 range) and 23300 level is high. 23300 region have a trendline support as well, if we did not get any reversal from there and the trendline is broken then possibility of Nifty going to 21800 will increase.
As of now, no point in attempting to find reversal. No point in assuming levels. We could very well get a reversal from current level or a pull back to 200 DMA. No telling right now. Wait and watch market. Take it day by day, bits by bits Do not assume it will hit 21800-21k 20k 18K.
-Stocks trading below 200 DMA is roughly 50 %
-Stocks trading below 50 DMA is close to 80%
-Most of the stocks exhibiting LH-LL
-Majority sectors forming LH-LL.
We need a solid confirmation before attempting any reversal trades.
This is just my view, please do not make a decision without consulting your financial advisor.
Diverse Trading Strategies for UGRO Capital LtdUGRO Capital Ltd is currently exhibiting a symmetrical triangle pattern, characterized by converging trend lines drawn in black. This technical formation is indicative of a potential continuation or reversal pattern, often signaling an impending breakout, either upward or downward.
Within this chart pattern, the upper trend line serves as a short-term resistance zone, while the price action has encountered difficulties in surpassing this level. A counter-trendline, represented by a dotted black line, suggests an attempt to break free from the prevailing downtrend; however, the stock continues to face resistance from the upper trend line.
The stock has demonstrated notable resilience, establishing multiple support points, clearly identified by the blue line on the chart. These instances of price bounces indicate a consistent level of buying interest and present evidence of the stock's strength. The formation of higher lows during this period signifies a bullish sentiment, suggesting the potential for upward price movement. MACD & RSI values also denotes strong buying pressure and suggests a significant potential for price reversal.
Recent trading activity shows a significant surge in volume over the past two days, substantially exceeding the average trading volumes. This spike is a critical sign of accumulating buying pressure, further supporting the bullish outlook for UGRO Capital Ltd . Increased volume during price ascents often serves as confirmation of the strength of the momentum.
While the current technical indicators present a constructive outlook, a definitive breakout can only be confirmed when the stock price successfully clears the upper trend line resistance. Upon achieving this milestone, the next target of interest will likely be the established resistance level at 299, which could be revisited in the foreseeable future if bullish momentum continues.
Disclaimer: The information provided in this analysis is purely for informational and educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice. Investors are strongly encouraged to consult with a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research prior to making any investment decisions.
Silver (XAGUSD) : M-Pattern completion On a weekly chart, we can see a beautiful M-Structure. Now to complete the M-structure, the price needs to rebound to the neck line and possibly get rejection from the neckline as a resistance and start it move downward.
Keep an eyes on the price action.
Do your own research before taking any trade.
Bitcoin Bullish Projection with Bearish RidesAs Per 2-hr. chart Analysis,
#Bitcoin here moving Perfectly #Bullish but after taking some #Bearish Bumpy Rides of $4-5k to $8-9k bumpy divergence rides, that were creating a major liquidations into market in every 2-3 days with majority of both positionings of Long & Short.
as per Bullish signal trend, next movements of Uptrend starts soon in coming week towards $75k-77k, while at $74k , their will be majority of CRYPTOCAP:BTC trading funds liquidations again....
Anyways,
#DYOR and Trade wisely by using of #Stoploss
and
FOLLOW SHARE COMMENTS on every Predictions...!!
Nifty SmallCap under selling pressure1) Nifty SmallCap Index is under strong selling pressure.
2) Index may fall further 3.25% in the upcoming days.
3) 14900 will act as a good support area.
4) Time to cut positions from SmallCap stocks and move to cash.
5) If the Index breaks 14900 again, This will lead to another 4% fall.
GIFT NIFTY : A Big Fall is on the way ??Alert! Bearish Pattern Spotted! 🐻
📊 Pattern: Possible Broadening Pattern
📌 Symbol/Asset: GIFT NIFTY
🔍 Description: Gift Nifty is might be making Broadening Pattern and we can see support around 21100-21200 range
Then Index can bounce upto 22300-22500 levels.
And Finally if Resistance is not broken then we can see huge fall of 2000-2500 points !!
Keep Tracking so we can see other possibilities and patterns which are in making
👉 Disclosure: We are not SEBI registered analysts, this is not a buy or sell recommendation.
18 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty - 19309 support breached 🐻🐻🐻There was only 1 goal for the bears today, to close the markets below 19309. Somehow they got it done today which means we are in for a bear ride next week. Let me try to explain.
We opened right at the 19309 level and then fell to 19258 levels by 10.45 in a show of strength by the bears. From there there was a reversal till 12.00 where we re-touched the 19309 SR zone.
Leg 2 of fall was from 12.00 to 13.40 where we managed to re-test the 19258 levels. I was monitoring very closely to see if we will break this swing low and fall towards the 19186 levels. Instead we had a surprise rally of 111pts ~ 0.58% between 13.45 to 14.15. The news about RELIANCE-JIO shares getting listed on 21 Aug would have led to short covering. A move of +2.5% in RELIANCE is more than enough to spoil the technical analysis patterns & levels.
Nifty ended up making a double bottom today at the 19258 levels and the surge of 111pts to go green would have worried many bears. I sure got rattled, I even thought a close below 19309 may not be possible. However the bears finally got their act together and ensured to push down the prices below 19309 levels.
The fall below 19309 has just managed to negate a falling wedge or a descending triangle pattern. This is good for the bears as the mainline support is breached, which will open up the downside possibilities. The next goal is to take out the break-away gap that was created on 30th June. I wish to maintain my bearish stance for 21 Aug 2023, If we have a gap-up opening or a strong rally to take out the 19309 resistance - I might be forced to change the stance from bearish to neutral.
Breaking Through Boundaries: Is Bitcoin Set to Soar to $29K?Prepare yourself for the storm that looms on the horizon! Bitcoin, the enigmatic cryptocurrency that has enthralled investors, appears to be on the brink of a momentous bearish breakthrough. In this gripping analysis, we delve into the eerie calm before the storm, exploring the signs that foretell an imminent downturn. Get ready to have your beliefs shaken as we reveal why Bitcoin's price could be on the verge of a jaw-dropping descent.
owntrend Despite SEC Approval
The SEC's decision to approve XRP as a non-security was a major victory for Ripple, the company that created the cryptocurrency. However, it's not clear that this will translate into a significant uptrend in XRP's price.
There are a few reasons why XRP's price could still decline in the near future. First, the SEC's decision is still being appealed by the agency. If the appeal is successful, it could mean that XRP is reclassified as a security, which would have a negative impact on its price.
Second, the broader cryptocurrency market is currently in a downtrend. This means that even if XRP is approved as a non-security, it's possible that its price could still decline if the overall market continues to fall.
Finally, there are some concerns about the long-term sustainability of XRP. The cryptocurrency is heavily centralized, with Ripple owning a large percentage of the total supply. This could make it vulnerable to manipulation by Ripple, which could also lead to a decline in its price.
Overall, it's too early to say whether XRP's price will go up or down in the long term. However, the SEC's decision to approve XRP as a non-security is not a guarantee that its price will go up in the short term. There are a number of factors that could still contribute to a decline in XRP's price, including the appeal of the SEC's decision, the overall state of the cryptocurrency market, and the long-term sustainability of XRP.
Here are some additional factors that could contribute to a downtrend in XRP's price:
The continued development of other cryptocurrencies, such as Ethereum and Cardano, which could offer better functionality and security than XRP.
The increasing regulation of the cryptocurrency market, which could make it more difficult for XRP to be used for payments and other financial transactions.
The lack of adoption by major financial institutions, which could limit the demand for XRP.
Of course, there are also some factors that could contribute to an uptrend in XRP's price:
The successful launch of RippleNet, Ripple's cross-border payment network.
The increasing adoption of XRP by businesses and consumers.
The development of new use cases for XRP, such as decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs).
Ultimately, the future price of XRP is uncertain. However, the factors listed above suggest that there is a greater chance of a downtrend than an uptrend in the near future.
What we see by analyzing the pharma index with 2 theories.Hey.. What do we get if we analyse one chart with two different theories ?
Is it a good idea ?
We use different techniques and methods to analyse a chart.
Some traders use chart patterns, some use moving averages and others use any other technique.
We all did the analysis to determine the trend of that instrument.
What if we use two different theories for the analysis ?
It will give us a more accurate view for that instrument.
Lets check the analysis Nifty Pharma Index Daily Chart by 2 different theories of Chart Patterns and Exponential Moving Averages.
Chart Pattern
A symmetrical triangle pattern appears on the chart.
And today we see the Breakdown of the pattern.
The breakdown of the pattern shows the weakness of the index.
Exponential Moving Averages
For this we use four exponential moving averages of 20, 50, 100 and 200 periods.
We start from the 20th of Jun 2022 when the price is below the all exponential moving averages.
From that day the price started its upward move and it crosses all ema's one by one
and finally it reached at 200ema on 5th of Aug 2022.
During the period of 3 months the all 4 ema's come close to each other.
But the price has failed to cross the 200 ema and it starts its downward move.
From 22nd of Aug 2022 the price tested its 20 ema and 50 ema but has failed to hold them.
Finally on the 16th of Sep 2022 the price closed with a big red candle.
The price traded below to all 4 ema's shows the weakness and start of a downtrend.
Conclusion:
From both theories we see the weakness in the pharma index.
So, the stocks of the sector show the bearish move in the coming days.
This explanation is for educational purposes.
My only intention is to share my style and techniques of analysis.
Thanks
How to Draw Trendlines and Their ImportanceHi,
In this idea I will try to throw some light upon the traders' favorite tool, that is trendlines (also known as dynamic support and resistance). Trendlines represent the direction of trend- up or down. They also indicate the strength of the trend. Steeper trendlines means more momentum than a less steeper trendline.
The following discussion would focus mainly upon:
✅How to draw trendlines &
✅Importance of trendlines
Let us discuss these topics one by one.
✅How to draw a trendline?
For drawing a trendline, we need at least two touch points. Join the two points and extend the line forward.
These two touch points could be:
1. A low made by the stock in a correction and a swing low/trough/valley made due to a pullback
2. Two troughs/valleys on the chart, made during pullbacks/consolidation
see chart 👇
There are higher chances that the price will hold the trendline during subsequent touches.
✅The steeper ones will need adjustments
A sharp price wave on a chart may have shallow pullbacks. This leads to a steeper trendline. This is because more traders sitting on the sidelines wanted to get in quickly, so as not to miss out the move.
These sharper trendlines are less likely to hold and may soon need to be adjusted as the price progresses.
See chart 👇
✅Breakout of a down-trendline
During corrections you might have the urge to connect swing lows without including the lowest point. There is nothing wrong in it. Price often takes support from these lines too but we need to trade with caution in such cases.
When the price breaks an up-trendline (yellow), we need to wait as the price may change behavior and starts forming lower peaks/highs. This offers us an opportunity to draw a down-trendline (red). We don't need to buy before the price breaks out of this down-trendline.
See 👇
As the price makes new highs, we again join the lowest low (base) and the most recent larger swing low to make a new trendline.
See 👇
✅What is meant by a valid trendline?
Many users might have different verdicts for the validity of a trendline but I am sure they would all agree upon one thing, that is touch points. The more the touch points available to draw a trendline, the better. More touch points offer validity and solidarity to the trendline. And hence more chances for traders to take high probability trades near the trendline. See the chart above 👆
✅Invalidation and Breakdown
As I said before, the steeper trendlines are less likely to hold for long. They may lead to a correction or a pullback. At one point the major trendline would also be invalidated. This would happen when the price manages to break the most recent attempt (swing low at the trendline) to hold the trendline. This often leads to a steep fall or a long term correction.
✅Up-trendline as resistance
We all know that horizontal support and resistance levels once taken out, reverse their role. Resistance once broken turns out to be support and vice versa. The same is true for dynamic support and resistance levels (trendlines) As the price breaks an up-trendline and then approaches it again, it tends to react. The same is true for down-trendline.
Also notice that we have a major down-trendline (red) which is in action and it had a nice confluence with the up-trendline (yellow). The price hit that confluence and reacted.
I just hope that this information would be useful for some traders.
Thanks for reading.
TCS: Rising wedge breakdown?A decently medium term upward trendline originating from November 2020 has recently been broken by TCS. In fact, it seems to have started respecting recently formed downward trendline. After the recent pullback to the trendline and the averages, it is seeing the beginning of another bearish leg downwards.
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The pattern which has formed resembles a rising wedge and price seems to be breaking down from it. The bearish volume on the latest bar is also above average. It is possible that the downward momentum may continue further for some time.
The 20 and the 50 EMA which act as support during an uptrend also seem to be reversing their roles. They are exactly from where price is reacting to the downside, so they may be turning into resistance.
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Price could see a correction to the round figure level of about 3000. A positional short could be initiated if price sustains below the "SHORT BELOW" level for 15 minutes.
SHORT BELOW: 3162
STOP LOSS: 3223
TARGET 1: 3106
TARGET 2: 3045
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Plan your trade and manage risk properly.
Like and follow for more. :)
#Banknifty Trade Setup For Monday (19th April)As you see in the chart there is the downtrend line and Banknifty still below the breakout.
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For tomorrow we follow simple Strategy.
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We will buy CE once Banknifty breaks 32682, before that we can follow sell on rise strategy.
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We will buy PE once Banknifty go down below 31690.
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So on tomorrow banknifty can go in upward because yesterday hdfc Bank declare the Quarter 4 Results.
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In gap up and gap down Opening, we will wait for the right time.
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You can give your suggestions in comment box.
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