US fed rare hike cycle is near about to end in next 6-9 months or it has already reached to the peak. Reversal in inversion from above 0% level had given signals of stoppages of rate hike cycle in last 3 incidents. 1-2 more hike may come but that's end of upmove in interest rate. Time to lock 10 year bond yield.
Disc : It's not an investment advise to buy or sell
US10Y could be in at its peak in current wave cycle to stary a ABC correction.
RSI on daily is also showing divergence indicating topping out sign. The correction in US10 will be good for equities.
View will be invalid if the high 4.123 is broken and wave 5 might get extended.
Charts show breakout of rounding bottom formation on Weekly/Monthly charts of US 10year yields. Already got monthly closing above the breakout line.
If sustains above the breakout line minimum target for 10y yield will be around 5.5/6.5 pc. If so, there will bloodbath across all asset classes. Only below 3.4/3.3 negates the idea.
Brace! Brace! Brace! If true,...
US Treasury long-term bond yields have risen significantly and sharply over the last few weeks. This is apparent in the steep fall of TLT, the long-term US Treasury bond ETF, from 145 to its two year support of 135. In fact the price touched 136 on 26 Feb'21. The price has now begun to stabilize with RSI giving bullish divergence at this long term support level of...
10 year yield broken 2 year resistance.
It is currently in the middle of the upward channel.
2 year resistance line could possibly act as a support which is at 7.50%-7.52%.
Yields could possibly retest support and then spike towards 8%.
Bond traders should ideally look to go short in price (long in yields at 7.50%) with stop at yield equivalent of...