Continued Bullishness in Ascending Channel PatternThe USD/JPY chart is currently tracking a clear bullish channel, with repeated bounces after each minor correction. Having just touched the lower boundary of the channel, the pair has shown signs of recovery, breaking above the nearest resistance level. This makes me confident in the possibility of a continuation of the bullish momentum, especially since the EMAs (34 and 89) are also starting to show an upward crossover, supporting the uptrend.
Buy-sell
The Growing Attraction in a Volatile WorldThe gold price chart shows a clear upward trend since the beginning of September, with the EMA 34 and EMA 89 both signaling a strong upward momentum. The weakening of the USD, along with global economic stimulus measures and political tensions, have pushed gold prices higher.
Especially in the context of major central banks around the world - from the US to Europe, and the People's Bank of China - all spreading monetary support packages like spring rain, further fueling the desire to invest in gold. Gold remains a safe haven and attractive asset in the current unstable context. Investors need to closely monitor market developments to seize opportunities and adjust strategies promptly.
EMAs Support Bullish MomentumEUR/USD is showing signs of recovery, with the price trading near the resistance at 1.1200. The 34 EMA and 89 EMA have both undergone a crossover phase, which is usually a positive signal, suggesting that the bullish momentum could continue. The current chart shows the pair breaking out from lower levels, heading towards the resistance levels above.
Based on the current EUR/USD chart and the bounce from recent support levels, the prediction is that the pair could continue to rise in the short term. The crossover of the 34 EMA and 89 EMA, coupled with the price currently testing the resistance zone around 1.1200, suggests that the bullish momentum could continue. If the price successfully breaks above 1.1200, the next target could be the 1.1250 area.
Catching the Uptrend Amid Expectations of Interest Rate CutsIn the context of the global economy witnessing major adjustments from central banks, gold prices continued to experience a spectacular week of price increases, reaching a new record high. The main reasons were the weak dollar and the continuous decline in US Treasury bond yields, combined with the tense geopolitical situation between Israel and Hezbollah.
At the end of the trading session on September 23 at Kitco, gold recorded a price of 2,625.00 USD/ounce, slightly up 3.60 USD. The market is waiting for new signals from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this week, especially the upcoming speech of Chairman Jerome Powell, along with the announcement of PCE price index data, an inflation measure that the Fed is particularly interested in.
Technical analysis from the current chart shows that gold is trading right at a key resistance level, with a strong upside momentum supported by the 34 EMA and 89 EMA, which are acting as key support levels. Given the current economic and geopolitical factors, gold could continue its upward momentum if the upcoming monetary policy meetings of the Fed and other central banks yield further monetary easing decisions. Further rate cuts could further strengthen the buying interest in gold as a safe-haven asset.
If gold breaks the current resistance level, the next target could be around $2,700/oz. In case the price falls below the supporting EMAs, one needs to keep a close eye on the support level at $2,560/oz, which could provide an ideal entry point for long positions.
Historic Turning Point: Gold Takes New HighGold has continued to rally, hitting new highs on the back of the Fed’s rate cut, which has weakened the US dollar and lowered bond yields. Gold is currently trading at $2,625.00, up slightly by 0.14%. Markets are expecting another rate cut by the Fed later this year, which continues to support gold prices.
Technically, gold is currently above both the 34-EMA and 89-EMA, indicating a clear bullish bias. Traders should keep an eye on the next resistance level at $2,630. A successful break above this level could pave the way for further gains.
However, if a correction occurs, the key support level to watch is $2,590. A pullback could be an opportunity for investors to buy, especially if the fundamentals remain bullish.
Canara Bank 113.86 - Best Swing Trade 5 to 10%Stock will trade between 106.50 to 122.
By looking at recent data stock has split and has given dividend.
looking at volumes and deliverable quantity is around 40-50% stock might trade between 106 to 122.
once stock breaks 124 we might see stock move up to RS.141
South India Bank 26.90 - 30%-40% return in short term South India bank is fundamentally strong stock.
Revenue has increased over the period and also the profits.
Institutional investors are eyeing on this stock and coming days might witness sudden move
in price.
if any big institution or securities broker recommends the stock than i would wait for 15days
and buy it later.
Target of Rs 32 - 33
LIFE INSURANCE (LICI ) for 5 to 10 % potentialLICI is ready for bullish rally now, We do see a range breakout in LICI and now we are expecting 10 % move in share of LICI and LICI is biggest Domestic investor in india and as per the news LICI get 40% increase in their investment from Adani group, So it will clearly impact on their profitability.
LICI : CMP : 972
TARGET 1020
STOP LOSS : 940
NIFTY MARCH MONTH EXPIRY ANALYSISThe market (NIFTY50) is Trading at 22150.
Do not blindly go with the buy or call side. First Market will re-test with the S4 area (21950) and then it will move towards our Target which is 22300.
It's a clear Reverse Head and Shoulder Pattern but don't go blindly in any direction. Let's wait for a retest and then enter the rally.
Another 2 Conditions:
1. If it breaks 22215 then 22300 will be scalping in Intraday.
2. If 21800 Break then more selling expected
RELIANCEWait And Watch ??
Look for Low risk, High reward, and High Probability setups-
Things to Remember while Trading with the Trend
1. Know what the trend is.
2. The best trades are made in the direction of the trend.
3. Assume that the main trendline or moving average will hold.
4. The longer the moving average is, the better it defines the trend.
5. Wait for the pullback.
6. Don’t chase the market.
7. Don’t fight the market.
8. Even in the strongest trends there should be some retracement.
9. The closer the market is to the trendline, the better the risk/reward ratio is.
10. Use ADX to determine the strength of the trend.
11. Higher the level of ADX , the stronger the trend, below 20 consider the market to be choppy
12. Hold trades longer in a strong trend.
13. Wait for confirmation of a trendline breaking before reversing position.
14. Know where the Support levels are.
15. Place stops outside the Support levels.
Thank You..
SBIN: 560-580 Make or Break zone SBIN
- The stock has seen a nice recovery over the last couple of days rising from the Budget day low of 499.35 to 567.9 today
Observations
- The zone o 560-580 is very important for SBIN
- Black Line of Resistance coincides with Yellow Downtrend Line at around 580 odd levels
- 61.8 Fib retracement level is also at 579.80
Making the current zone all more important.
Bulls need a sustainable price movement above 580 levels for further rally.
If gets resisted then SBIN may resume it's down trend again
On the lower side the Blue Line may be looked at first Line of Support.
My trading strategy
Bear Call Spread strategy.
Exit if SBIN closing above 585 on daily charts.
Take care and Plan your trade accordingly...!!!
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Selling on Top and Buying on Bottom : IntradayIn the world of trading, there is a common phrase that is often used when discussing market trends: "selling on top" and "buying on the bottom" on intraday .
This strategy is based on the idea of entering in a position in a market trend in order to maximize profits while minimizing losses while market is in trend. By the way, make sure you know the trend .
When the market is in an uptrend, traders who missed out on buying at the bottom can enter when existing traders book profits.
So the question is, when did the existing traders book their profits?
We assumed that when the price approached resistance, retail traders decided to take profits. Prices fell slightly as a result . If we are confident that the price will break through the resistance, we should enter at this point.
Similarly, in a downtrend, traders who missed out on selling (a short position or put option) at the top can enter when existing traders book profits.In the same way, when retail traders decided to take profits. Prices rose slightly as a result . If we are confident that the price will break through the support, we should enter at this point.
To understand this concept better, let us consider an example. Suppose the resistance level of a particular asset is at 200 and the support level is at 100. In this case, an aggressive trader might consider averaging or entering a fresh position at around 150. This means that the trader would buy in smaller amounts as the price of the asset increases, ultimately averaging their purchase price to around 150. The idea behind this strategy is to minimize risk while still participating in the uptrend of the asset.
On the other hand, a safe trader might consider averaging or entering a fresh position in at a lower price point, such as 120-130. The goal is to purchase the asset at a lower price point in case the price falls further than expected.
It is important to note that there is always a risk involved when trading, and market trends can be unpredictable. Therefore, it is essential for traders to conduct thorough research, analyze market trends, and use risk management techniques such as stop-loss orders to minimize their exposure to risk. Additionally, traders should consider their own risk tolerance and investment goals when deciding whether to adopt an aggressive or safe approach to averaging in or buying fresh position.
In conclusion, "selling on top" and "buying on the bottom" are common strategies used by investors/traders in market trends. These strategies aim to maximize profits while minimizing losses, but they require careful analysis and risk management to be successful. By adopting a well-informed approach to trading, investors can increase their chances of success and achieve their investment goals.
TVS MOTORSAfter the completion of the rounding pattern or bowl pattern from the level of 800 its continuously in the bullish form making higher highs pattern.
Now it's showing the exhaustion so we can see some profit booking here either it can move for buying if it crosses the channel right now it just breakdown the major trendline followed by it from the level of 800 once it crossed below 1080 and 1060(majorly) we can see fall and also on the monthly chart time frame we can observe that it can make the inside candle thus making it in your list is gonna be a jackpot.
On the way we are having the support of 50 MA which can be a good sign for buyers and sellers if it closed below it can fall easily.
Selling opportunity in Niftylets see if we can secure this trade with at least 1:1 RR. SL of just 40 points .
Candle close above 18020 will change every thing Until then its a good risk reward .
Closing below 17940 will be considered as proper weakness then one can plan for positional trades.
As of now not that much weakness but in smaller TF i have observed market breaking the structure and it is afternoon also lets see if any selling pressure comes.
I am posting this for Live testing purpose.
Managing the trade:
If the trade goes in our way
*Exit half Quantity @1:1 Risk/Reward Target and Shift to SL to cost
*Exit Half of the remaining with 1:1.5 or 1:2 Risk/Reward (by looking at momentum) and trail the SL.
*Exit remaining with trailing Stop loss.
*SECURING THE TRADE AND PROTECTING THE CAPITAL SHOULD BE YOUR FIRST PRIORITY.
*NOT A SUGGESTION VIEWS ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES
***If you like my analysis let me know by giving boost or a comment.
I will be updating
HINDALCOHINDALCO failed to complete the BOWL pattern now it is trying to make a CUP with Handle pattern
Buying levels above 415 with the SL of 4 to 5 rs and we can look for 1:1 to 1:2 target or more depending upon the volume.
selling is preferred below the 400 level and risky traders can have sold below 408 with the target of 404 up to 400 can continue further below 400 level
Disclaimer: These are not any recommendations for any funds or stocks and are meant only for educational purposes.
Grasim - IntradayGrasim formed an inverted " HEAD AND SHOULDER PATTERN " and the first target of 1700 is achieved.
Now it's trying to cross the zone 1650 - 1700.
Thus the Volume in Grasim looks good near the resistance level of 1700.
BUYING - 1704 or above we can look for buying and a morning 5min candle should close above 1700 will give a good rise.
- we can look for an inside candle and then take a trade.
- if it opened FLAT then we have to wait for the breakout.
Selling - If the 1700 level is taken as resistance then we can sell below 1690 which can lead it to the target of 1680 to 1660.
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Disclaimer: These are not any recommendations for any funds or stocks and are meant only for educational purposes.
how to buy/sel gold, stocks or cryptocurrencies at a good price?How to buy gold, stocks or cryptocurrencies at a good price in a bear market?
There are usually two trading strategies, it depends on whether the market is in a bullish or bearish phase.
The common sentiment of many people in an uptrend, they think that the market will continue to increase so they can buy at any price, leading to fomo psychology and many people losing heavily.
Conversely, in a bear market, many people are afraid that the market will continue to go down and will not buy a good price, or when the price drops to a certain level, they will buy because it is a low but realistic price. the market continues to go down
How to avoid the above mistakes?
These are 2 reliable technical indicators for everyone. it is not bollinger bands or rsi indicator.
What is its effect?
"AromB Market Index""
One is to help you know if the market is near a bottom or near a top.
The second is the market going down or going up.
"AromB PL"
three is the price at which you can best buy in a bear market or the price at which you can best sell in a bull market
The combination of the two indicators above is probably a perfect match.
Do not use elliot or wyckoff waves to predict prices, which will lead to subjective errors.
BankNIfty Tomm(24-06-2022) .Plan your Trade & Trade your planBANKNIFTY Taking SUPPORT in Higher Time frame 1 HR You can see clearly
In a 15 MINS It is forming SYmmetrical Triangle ...If it break up you can take buy or wait for the market the symmetrical triangle to retest and take buy
or
If it is breaking down take sell or wait for the market to retest the symmetrical triangle resistance and fall lower low for sell entry