METALIETF 1 Week Time Frame 📊 Current Context (Latest Price)
• The ETF is trading around ₹11.6–₹11.8 (mid‑Jan 2026 data).
📈 Weekly Technical Levels (Pivot‑Based Support / Resistance)
From the weekly pivot point analysis:
Weekly Pivot Point (Center): ~ ₹11.38
This is a key level — above it suggests bullish bias on weekly charts.
Weekly Resistance Levels:
R1: ~ ₹11.71 — first upside target/resistance
R2: ~ ₹12.28 — secondary resistance zone
R3: ~ ₹12.61 — further supply zone if momentum continues
Weekly Support Levels:
S1: ~ ₹11.05 — initial support on pullbacks
S2: ~ ₹10.81 — next support below
S3: ~ ₹10.48 — deeper weekly support
Central Pivot Range (CPR):
Top CPR ~ 11.51
Bottom CPR ~ 11.26
This band often acts as a weekly equilibrium zone — trading above it keeps bulls in control.
📌 Summary – Weekly Key Levels
Level Type Price (₹)
Weekly Resistance 3 (R3) ~11.52
Weekly Resistance 2 (R2) ~11.28
Weekly Resistance 1 (R1) ~11.06
Weekly Pivot ~10.82
Weekly Support 1 (S1) ~10.60
Weekly Support 2 (S2) ~10.36
Weekly Support 3 (S3) ~10.14
Chart Patterns
TEJASNET 1 Month Time Frame 📊 Current Price Context (as of mid‑January 2026)
Tejas Networks is trading around ₹370‑₹375 on NSE/BSE.
The stock recently hit a 52‑week low near ₹364 after weak quarterly earnings and sales decline.
📉 Short‑Term Technical Levels (1‑Month View)
🔻 Immediate Support Zones
These are levels where the stock could find buyers or stall further declines:
₹366‑₹370 — current short‑term support (intraday pivot & recent low).
₹362‑₹366 — lower pivot/secondary intraday support.
~₹356‑₹362 — deeper support if momentum remains weak.
📈 Resistance Levels (Upside Hurdles)
For any bounce or recovery attempt:
₹377‑₹380 — near current pivot/resistance range.
~₹390‑₹395 — next resistance zone (prior price congestion).
₹405‑₹410+ — stronger resistance (short‑term target for recovery).
🧠 Trading/Price Action Tips (1‑month)
Bullish Scenario (countertrend bounce):
A break above ₹380‑₹390 with good volume could shift short‑term sentiment and target ₹405‑₹410+.
Bearish/Continued downtrend:
If support at ₹366‑₹370 breaks convincingly, the next zone near ₹362 then ₹356–₹360 becomes focus.
HINDZINC 1 Week Time Frame 📌 Current Context (mid‑Jan 2026)
• The stock is trading around ~₹640‑₹654 on NSE.
📊 1‑Week Key Levels (Support & Resistance)
🔄 Weekly Pivot (Standard)
Pivot (weekly baseline): ~₹615‑₹642 (varies slightly by method)
📈 Resistance Levels
R1: ~₹642‑₹677 (immediate weekly resistance)
R2: ~₹677‑₹688 (secondary supply zone)
R3: ~₹704‑₹706+ (higher hurdle)
📉 Support Levels
S1: ~₹579‑₹614 (first weekly support band)
S2: ~₹552‑₹580 (next downside cushion)
S3: ~₹516‑₹553 (deeper support zone)
📉 Weekly Swing Range (Indicative)
Likely weekly range for HINDZINC over next 4–5 sessions:
➡️ Upside: ~₹675‑₹705+ (on strong bullish momentum)
➡️ Downside: ~₹550‑₹580 (if markets soften)
This range assumes standard weekly pivot behavior and typical momentum — actual moves may vary with broader market catalysts like metals index moves or commodity price shifts.
TMCV 1 Day Time Frame 📊 Current Price (approx): ₹430-440 range on 15-16 Jan 2026 trading sessions.
📈 Key Daily Levels
These levels are often used by traders for intraday and short-term setups:
Pivot & Nearby Levels (Daily):
Daily Pivot: ~₹435
Immediate Support 1 (S1): ~₹424
Support 2 (S2): ~₹417
Support 3 (S3): ~₹407
Resistance 1 (R1): ~₹442
Resistance 2 (R2): ~₹453
Resistance 3 (R3): ~₹460
(Pivot and S/R levels typically act as intraday reaction zones — price often oscillates around these levels before deciding direction.)
📊 Interpretation of Levels
📍 Support Levels
✔ ₹424–₹417 range — initial demand zone; a break below this could open the way to ₹407 or lower.
✔ ₹407 support — stronger base below which further short-term weakness might accelerate.
Usage:
If price approaches these zones and shows bullish candlesticks or volume pickup → possible intraday bounce.
A decisive break below these suggests short-term bearish continuation.
📍 Resistance Levels
🚩 ₹442–₹453 zone is the first upside hurdle — a breakout and close above this can invite short-term buyers.
🚩 ₹460+ — additional resistance for aggressive upside targets.
Usage:
Price held below these levels indicates sellers remain in control.
Sustained breakout above these with volume could signal short-term bullish momentum.
🧠 Trading Tips (1-day frame)
Bullish (Upside) bias if:
Price breaks above ₹442–₹453 with good volume.
Holds above daily pivot ~₹435 throughout the session.
Bearish (Downside) bias if:
Price closes below ₹424 on a daily basis.
Momentum accelerates below ₹407 (next support).
GMR Airports Ltd – Consolidation After Breakout | Bullish BiasGMR Airports is currently consolidating after a strong upside move, indicating digestion of recent gains rather than trend weakness. Price structure remains constructive as the stock is holding above its key support zone, suggesting buyers are still in control.
Price Structure & Technical View
The stock earlier showed a strong impulsive rally, confirming bullish intent.
Current price action reflects a range-bound consolidation, forming a healthy base above prior breakout levels.
No major breakdown is visible; instead, price is stabilizing above support, which keeps the bullish structure intact.
Key Levels (as per chart)
Current Price Zone: ~101.5
Support / Stop Zone: 96.90
Target 1 / Resistance: 105.67
Resistance / Initial Target 2: 110.25
Full Positional Target: 122.76
Trade Idea (Bullish Continuation)
Buy on dips near the 96.90–100.00 zone, provided price holds above support.
Aggressive entry can be considered on a break and hold above 105.67, which confirms continuation.
Stop Loss: Below 96.90.
Upside Targets:
First objective near 105.67
Further extension toward 110.25
Positional move possible toward 122.76 if momentum sustains.
Disclaimer: aliceblueonline.com/legal-documentation/disclaimer/
Geopolitical Tensions Keep Gold Bid Macro & Fundamental Context
Escalating geopolitical risks, ongoing regional conflicts, and rising political uncertainty continue to drive risk-off sentiment across global markets.
In this environment:
The USD shows mixed reactions as demand for safety competes with expectations of policy flexibility.
Gold remains structurally supported as capital rotates into safe-haven assets amid uncertainty.
As long as global tensions remain unresolved, downside moves in Gold are likely to be corrective rather than trend-breaking.
Technical Structure (H1)
Gold remains in a bullish market structure, confirmed by multiple BOS (Break of Structure).
The current pullback is unfolding into stacked Fair Value Gaps (FVG) — a typical rebalancing phase in an uptrend.
No confirmed bearish structure break at this stage.
Key Price Zones
Intraday Resistance: 4,581
Upper FVG: 4,569.369
Mid FVG: 4,545.716 – 4,535.432
Deep FVG / Structure Support: 4,512.551
Scenarios (If – Then)
Scenario 1 – Bullish Rebalance
If price holds above 4,535.432 – 4,512.551, expect buyers to step in.
A recovery above 4,581 would reopen the path toward 4,620+.
Scenario 2 – Deeper Liquidity Sweep
A deeper pullback into 4,512.551 is still acceptable within the bullish structure.
Only a clear H1 close below 4,512.551 would weaken the bullish bias.
Summary
Gold is reacting to global uncertainty, not just technicals.
As long as geopolitical risks persist, buy-the-dip remains the dominant mindset.
Risk-off flows favor Gold.
Structure defines the bias.
AUBANK 1 Month Time Frame 📌 Latest Price & Trend Context
AUBANK price ~₹995 – ₹1,002 (latest weekly/closing data) with price above key moving averages — indicating bullish to neutral momentum in the short term.
Short-term RSI is around 60–62 — neutral/bullish, not overbought yet.
📊 1-Month Time Frame Levels (Daily Pivot-based)
🔹 Major Resistance Levels
Higher price zones where selling pressure can slow or reverse upside moves:
₹1,006 – ₹1,008 – Immediate resistance cluster (R1 area).
₹1,014 – ₹1,020 – Next upside barrier (R2/upper pivot).
Above ₹1,020 – Stronger resistance if trend extends further.
👉 Break above ₹1,014-₹1,020 with volume could signal continuation upward trend for the month.
🔻 Key Support Levels
Zones where buying pressure may appear if price dips:
₹990 – ₹992 – First support near current price and 20-day MA.
₹980 – ₹983 – Next layer of support (short-term demand zone).
₹974 – ₹975 – Lower base support area (important short-term floor).
👉 A drop below ₹975 on sustained volume could open deeper pullbacks.
📈 Technical Indicator Summary (1-Month View)
Indicator Current Reading Bias
20-day MA Around ₹987-₹990 Bullish/Neutral
50-day MA ~₹945 Bullish trend
RSI (14) ~60 Neutral/Bullish
MACD Positive Uptrend bias
Summary: Price is trading above key short-term moving averages with momentum fairly positive, suggesting range-to-mildly-bullish behavior in the 1-month window. Resistance around ₹1,006–₹1,020 is crucial, while supports around ₹990 → ₹975 will be key to watch for downside defense.
INDIANB 1 Day View 📌 Indian Bank – Daily Levels (Current / Accurate)Price Reference (Recent): ~₹832–₹835 area (last updated Jan 9-Jan 12, 2026)
🔹 Daily Pivot Point
Pivot: ~₹839.3 – ₹825.6 (multiple pivot sources)
📈 Resistance Levels
R1: ~₹850.6 – ₹838 area
R2: ~₹868.3
R3: ~₹879.6
(These are the daily upside barriers where selling pressure may emerge)
📉 Support Levels
S1: ~₹821.6 – ₹814 area
S2: ~₹810.3
S3: ~₹792.6 – ₹777 area
(These are key downside floors where buyers often step in)
🧠 How To Use These Levels (Daily Trading)
Bullish view (if price holds above pivot ~₹825–839 area):
✔ Above S1 (~₹821–822) — short-term bullish continuation likely
✔ Break above R1 (~₹850) — targets R2 (~₹868) then R3 (~₹880)
Bearish view (if price breaks below daily pivot / S1):
❌ Below S1 (~₹821) — weakness could push price toward S2 (~₹810)
❌ Sustained below S3 (~₹792–₹777) — could signal deeper correction
⚠️ Quick Reminder
These technical levels are based on latest publicly available pivot analysis and may differ slightly from live real-time data on your trading platform. Always verify live quotes on your charting tool before entering trades.
ABLBL: Falling Channel Study — Reversal Base + Swing Opportunity1️⃣ Primary Trend: Falling Channel (Bearish to Neutral)
Price has been moving inside a well-defined descending channel (lower highs & lower lows).
This indicates controlled selling, not panic — which is important for future reversals.
The stock is currently near the lower band of the channel, a typical area where:
Short covering starts
Value buyers enter
2️⃣ Support Zone & Reversal Signs
Strong demand zone: ₹114 – ₹118
Multiple rejections from this area
Long lower wicks indicate buying interest
This zone has acted as a base, increasing probability of a pullback move.
Breakout Levels to Watch (Very Important)
Immediate resistance: ₹133 – ₹134
Horizontal resistance + mid-channel zone
First sign of strength if crossed with volume
Major trend change confirmation: ₹150 – ₹152
Break & sustain above this = channel breakout
Can shift structure from downtrend → trend reversal
Swing Trading Perspective
Inside-channel swing opportunity:
Bounce from lower channel → mid / upper channel
Upside swing zones:
Target 1: ₹133–135
Target 2: ₹145
Target 3 (only if breakout): ₹150–155
🧠 What This Chart Is Saying (Simple Words)
Selling pressure is slowing down.
The stock is building a base near support.
A short swing bounce is likely first.
A trend reversal only happens above ₹150.
⚠️ Important Note
This analysis is for educational & learning purposes only.
Not a buy or sell recommendation.
Market Reform FalloutUnderstanding the Ripple Effects on the Economy and Investors:
Market reforms are often introduced with the intention of improving efficiency, transparency, and long-term economic growth. Governments and regulators implement reforms to correct structural weaknesses, modernize outdated systems, attract investment, and align domestic markets with global standards. However, while the long-term objectives of market reforms are usually positive, their immediate and medium-term consequences—commonly referred to as * market reform fallout—can be complex, disruptive, and unevenly distributed across sectors and stakeholders. Understanding this fallout is critical for policymakers, businesses, investors, and traders who must navigate periods of uncertainty and transition.
Short-Term Volatility and Market Uncertainty
One of the most visible consequences of market reforms is short-term volatility. Any major change in regulations, taxation, trade policy, labor laws, or financial market structure introduces uncertainty. Markets are driven not only by fundamentals but also by expectations. When reforms are announced, participants reassess risks, profitability, and future cash flows. This reassessment often leads to sharp price movements, increased volatility, and temporary dislocations in asset prices.
For example, reforms aimed at tightening financial regulations may initially hurt banking and financial stocks due to higher compliance costs or reduced leverage. Similarly, subsidy removal or tax reforms can negatively impact sectors that previously relied on government support. In the short run, this volatility can shake investor confidence, reduce liquidity, and trigger risk-off behavior, especially among foreign institutional investors who are sensitive to policy stability.
Sectoral Winners and Losers
Market reform fallout rarely affects all sectors equally. Reforms tend to create clear winners and losers. Industries that benefit from deregulation, privatization, or increased competition often see long-term gains, while those facing stricter rules, reduced protection, or higher costs may struggle.
For instance, labor market reforms may improve productivity and competitiveness over time but can initially create unrest in labor-intensive industries. Trade liberalization can boost export-oriented sectors while exposing domestic industries to intense global competition. Energy or environmental reforms may hurt traditional fossil-fuel-based businesses while accelerating growth in renewable energy and green technology sectors. This uneven impact often leads to capital rotation across sectors, as investors reallocate funds toward perceived beneficiaries of reform.
Impact on Businesses and Corporate Strategy
From a corporate perspective, market reforms force businesses to adapt their strategies. Companies may need to restructure operations, invest in new technologies, alter supply chains, or revise pricing models. While large corporations with strong balance sheets can absorb these changes, small and medium enterprises (SMEs) often face greater stress due to limited resources.
Compliance costs, changes in licensing norms, or new reporting requirements can increase operational expenses in the short term. Some firms may experience margin pressure or declining profitability before they can adjust. However, reforms can also push businesses toward greater efficiency, innovation, and global competitiveness. Over time, companies that successfully adapt often emerge stronger, while inefficient players exit the market, leading to consolidation.
Investor Sentiment and Capital Flows
Investor reaction plays a central role in shaping the fallout of market reforms. Domestic investors may initially adopt a cautious stance, waiting for clarity on implementation and outcomes. Foreign investors, in particular, closely monitor reform credibility, political stability, and consistency of policy execution. Sudden or poorly communicated reforms can trigger capital outflows, currency depreciation, and pressure on financial markets.
On the other hand, credible and well-structured reforms can attract long-term capital. While short-term investors may exit due to volatility, long-term institutional investors often view reforms as a signal of commitment to economic modernization. This divergence in investor behavior explains why markets sometimes fall sharply immediately after reform announcements but recover strongly once confidence is restored.
Social and Employment Implications
Beyond markets and balance sheets, reform fallout has significant social dimensions. Changes in labor laws, privatization of public sector enterprises, or reduction in subsidies can lead to job losses or wage pressures in the short term. These outcomes may spark public opposition, protests, or political pushback, which in turn adds another layer of uncertainty to markets.
However, if reforms succeed in boosting productivity, attracting investment, and fostering entrepreneurship, they can generate employment opportunities over the long run. The challenge lies in managing the transition—providing safety nets, reskilling programs, and clear communication to minimize social disruption while maintaining reform momentum.
Policy Execution and Credibility Risks
The severity of market reform fallout largely depends on how reforms are implemented. Gradual, well-communicated reforms with clear timelines tend to reduce shock and allow markets to adjust smoothly. In contrast, abrupt changes without adequate consultation or clarity can amplify negative reactions.
Policy credibility is equally important. If investors believe reforms may be rolled back due to political pressure or lack of consensus, uncertainty persists, prolonging market instability. Consistent execution, transparency, and alignment between fiscal, monetary, and regulatory policies help contain fallout and accelerate recovery.
Long-Term Structural Benefits
Despite short-term pain, market reforms are often essential for long-term economic health. They can improve resource allocation, enhance productivity, reduce inefficiencies, and increase global competitiveness. Over time, markets typically reward economies that undertake difficult but necessary reforms.
For investors and traders, understanding reform-driven cycles is crucial. Periods of reform fallout can present opportunities to accumulate quality assets at attractive valuations. Long-term investors who focus on fundamentals rather than short-term noise often benefit as reforms translate into sustainable growth.
Conclusion
Market reform fallout is an inevitable part of economic transformation. While reforms aim to strengthen markets and economies, their immediate consequences often include volatility, uncertainty, and uneven sectoral impact. Short-term disruptions can test investor confidence, corporate resilience, and social stability. However, when reforms are well-designed, credibly implemented, and supported by complementary policies, the long-term benefits tend to outweigh the initial costs.
For market participants, the key lies in understanding the nature of reforms, identifying structural winners and losers, and maintaining a balanced perspective. Rather than viewing reform fallout purely as a risk, it can be seen as a phase of adjustment—one that reshapes markets, creates new opportunities, and lays the foundation for more robust and efficient economic systems in the future.
Trendline breakout at support level in GAEL1. Gujrat ambuja export lt- showing consolidation at 100 to 115 levels
2. Candle close above 115 can trigger consolidation breakout at strong support zone
3. Trendline breakout has already happend but above 115 close will be safe and logical
4. Good Risk:Reward one can watch for upside movement with strict sl level
Buying idea in PNBPNB is going to break almost Oct 2010 trendline in Monthly chart which is almost 16 years. RSI on D+W+M is above 60 which indicating that the momentum is also in favour. Moreover the PSU bank sector is also very strong. If we see the chart from 2017 to till date, it is like a cup and handle pattern. The stock has crossed its 200 DMA on monthly chart and sustained above it.
Understanding the Cup & Handle Pattern in 360 One Wam Limited🔍 Introduction
360 One Wam Limited is currently trading around ₹1230.00 on its weekly chart. The stock has recently completed the edge of a Cup & Handle pattern, a classic bullish continuation formation. Traders and investors often view this as a powerful signal of potential upside momentum once the neckline is crossed. Let’s break down what this pattern means, why it matters on a weekly chart, and how to approach it with proper risk management.
☕ What is the Cup & Handle Pattern?
Cup Formation:
The “cup” resembles a rounded bottom, showing a period of consolidation after a prior uptrend.
It reflects a gradual shift from selling pressure to accumulation.
Handle Formation:
The “handle” is a smaller consolidation or pullback that occurs after the cup.
It typically slopes downward slightly, shaking out weak hands before the breakout.
Neckline Breakout:
The neckline is the resistance level formed at the top of the cup.
A breakout above this neckline signals renewed bullish strength and often leads to a strong upward move.
📊 Importance of the Weekly Chart
Long-Term Reliability: Patterns on weekly charts carry more weight than daily charts because they represent broader investor sentiment.
Reduced Noise: Weekly candles filter out short-term volatility, making the breakout more meaningful.
Institutional Interest: Larger players often act on weekly chart signals, adding credibility to the move.
🎯 Proper Entry Strategy
Entry Point:
The ideal entry is on a confirmed breakout above the neckline with strong volume.
Traders should wait for a weekly close above the neckline to avoid false breakouts.
Confirmation Tools:
Volume expansion during breakout.
Momentum indicators (RSI crossing above 60, MACD bullish crossover).
⚖️ Risk Management Criteria
Stop Loss Placement:
Place stop loss just below the handle’s low or slightly under the neckline after breakout.
This limits downside risk if the breakout fails.
Position Sizing:
Risk only a small percentage of capital (1–2%) per trade.
Adjust position size based on volatility and stop-loss distance.
Target Projection:
Measure the depth of the cup and project it upward from the neckline to estimate potential upside.
Example: If the cup depth is ₹200, breakout target could be ₹1410 (₹1210 + ₹200).
📌 Key Takeaways for Traders & Investors
The Cup & Handle is a bullish continuation pattern, signaling strength after consolidation.
Weekly chart patterns are more reliable than daily ones, reducing noise and false signals.
Entry should be on neckline breakout with volume confirmation.
Risk management is critical: use stop losses and proper position sizing.
Potential upside can be projected by measuring the cup’s depth, but patience is key—weekly breakouts take time to unfold.
📝 Final Thoughts
For 360 One Wam Limited, the completion of the Cup & Handle pattern around ₹1210 sets the stage for a potential bullish rally once the neckline is crossed. Traders should remain disciplined, waiting for confirmation and managing risk carefully. Investors can view this as a sign of long-term strength, but must align entries with their risk tolerance and investment horizon.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 16.01.2026NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 16.01.2026
Timeframe: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
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📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
NIFTY Sell on Rise | Options Trade with Defined RiskNIFTY continues to respect the upper trendline resistance, indicating a bearish bias in the near term. Price action suggests a sell-on-rise opportunity as long as the index trades below this resistance zone.
📉 Index View (Spot):
Resistance Zone: 25,750
Downside Targets: 25,650 – 25,600
Rejection from this zone could trigger another leg lower toward the mentioned targets.
📌 Trade Setup (Options Strategy)
Instrument: NIFTY 25,800 CE (20th Jan Expiry)
Buy Zone: ₹125 – ₹115
Target: ₹190
Invalidation / Risk: ₹95 (closing basis)
💡 Trade Logic:
As long as ₹125 holds, momentum remains favorable for an upside move in the option premium. A pullback into the buy zone may offer a low-risk, high-reward setup, aligned with volatility expansion near resistance.
⚠️ Risk Management is Key
Use strict stop-loss discipline
Adjust position size according to your risk appetite
Avoid overtrading in volatile conditions
📌 Disclaimer
This analysis is strictly for educational purposes and not financial advice. Please consult your financial advisor and follow your own trading plan before taking any trades.
If you find this idea useful, hit the like button and share your views—your feedback helps us create better trading insights for the community.
🚀 Trade smart. Trade disciplined.
Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team
SBI Life: Double Top Signals Short-Term Downside RiskSBI Life Insurance is showing signs of a short-term trend reversal after forming a well-defined double top near the ₹2,105–2,110 zone on the hourly chart. The stock has slipped below its neckline support around ₹2,065, confirming bearish structure and indicating distribution at higher levels.
Momentum indicators reinforce the downside bias, with the RSI trending near 39 and MACD remaining in negative territory, suggesting selling pressure is still dominant. As long as prices remain below ₹2,085–2,100, the stock is vulnerable to further downside toward ₹2,040, followed by ₹2,020 and 2,000.
HDFCBANK - Extended Retracement Phase
📊 HDFC Bank – Daily Chart Update | Extended Retracement Phase
Timeframe: 1D
Trend Context: Medium-term correction within a broader structure
Current Price: ~₹925
🔍 What Changed from Previous Analysis? (Important Update)
Earlier, we discussed an ABC correction nearing completion around the ₹960–965 zone.
📉 Price failed to hold that zone, leading to a deeper, extended retracement.
Now the structure has evolved into an extended Fibonacci retracement, where buyers may re-emerge, but with higher risk.
📐 Fibonacci-Based Structure (Educational)
From the prior swing low → swing high:
113% Retracement: ~₹928
127% Retracement: ~₹916
➡️ This ₹916–928 zone is now marked as a “Best Buying Try” area, not blind buying.
📘 Extended retracements often invite short-covering + value buying, but confirmation is mandatory.
📌 Key Levels to Watch (Updated)
🟢 Support / Demand Zones
Primary Demand: ₹916–928
Major Breakdown Level: ₹857
🔴 Resistance / Recovery Zones
First Swing Target: ₹971 (50% retracement)
Second Swing Target: ₹999 (78.6% retracement)
Major Supply: ₹1,018–1,020
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Conditional Recovery)
If price:
Holds ₹916–928
Forms a base / reversal structure (daily close improvement, higher low)
Then:
First bounce toward ₹960–971
Sustained strength can extend toward ₹995–1,000
📈 This would be a relief rally, not trend reversal yet.
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Risk Case)
If price:
Breaks below ₹916 with daily close
Then:
Extended correction likely
Downside opens toward ₹880 → ₹857
📉 Below ₹916, buyers lose positional control.
🎓 Educational Insights
Extended retracements = high reward but high patience trades
Buying zones ≠ buying signals
Daily timeframe requires confirmation, not anticipation
Strong trends correct deeper before resuming
🧠 Options Trading View (Educational Only)
🟢 Near ₹916–928 (Only After Confirmation)
Bull Call Spread (ATM + OTM)
Put Credit Spread for range-bound recovery
🔴 If ₹916 Breaks
Bear Put Spread
Call Credit Spread near ₹960–980
⚠️ Avoid naked option selling in falling markets.
✅ DOs
✔ Wait for daily confirmation
✔ Trade zones, not emotions
✔ Use defined risk strategies
✔ Reduce position size during deep corrections
❌ DON’Ts
❌ Don’t average blindly
❌ Don’t assume every dip is the bottom
❌ Don’t ignore Fibonacci extensions
❌ Don’t overtrade volatility
🧾 Conclusion
HDFC Bank is now in an extended corrective phase.
The ₹916–928 zone is a potential demand area, but only confirmation will decide whether this becomes a base or a breakdown.
📌 Patience here is more profitable than prediction.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI registered analyst. Markets are risky, and I may be wrong. Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 16th January 2026📊 NIFTY 15-Minute Intraday Trade Setup
🔼 BUY SETUP
📌 Condition:
➡️ Buy only if NIFTY breaks and CLOSES above 25718 on a 15-minute candle
🎯 Buy Targets:
🥅 Target 1: 25735
🥅 Target 2: 25769
🥅 Target 3: 25800
🛑 Risk Management:
Use strict 15-min candle-based stop loss
Trail SL after Target 1 is achieved
🔽 SELL SETUP
📌 Condition:
➡️ Sell only if NIFTY breaks and CLOSES below 25581 on a 15-minute candle
🎯 Sell Targets:
🥅 Target 1: 25550
🥅 Target 2: 25525
🥅 Target 3: 25490
🛑 Risk Management:
Maintain strict stop loss
Trail SL after Target 1
⚠️ Important Trading Rules
✔️ Trade only after candle close
✔️ Avoid over-trading
✔️ Follow proper position sizing
✔️ Market volatility can change levels quickly
📢 DISCLAIMER
🚨 This is for educational purposes only
🚨 I am NOT a SEBI Registered Advisor
🚨 Stock market investments are subject to market risk
🚨 Please consult your financial advisor before trading
🚨 I am not responsible for any profit or loss
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 16/01/2026Based on the current price structure and the levels marked on the chart, the market is expected to open flat with no major deviation from the previous session’s range. Nifty is currently trading near a well-defined demand–supply zone, indicating indecision and consolidation rather than a strong directional bias. As long as the index holds above the 25,750–25,800 support area, there is a possibility of a technical pullback or reversal on the upside. A sustained move above this zone can attract fresh buying interest, with upside targets placed around 25,850, followed by 25,900 and 25,950 levels. This zone will act as an important intraday trigger, and confirmation should ideally come with strong price acceptance and volume.
On the downside, the 25,700 level remains a critical breakdown point. If Nifty fails to sustain above this level and slips below 25,700, selling pressure may intensify, opening the path for a decline towards 25,650, 25,550, and potentially 25,500. This makes the lower support band extremely important for intraday traders, as a breakdown below it can quickly change the market sentiment to bearish. Until a clear breakout or breakdown is seen, the overall structure suggests range-bound movement, and traders are advised to be patient and wait for confirmation near key levels rather than taking aggressive positions at market open.
Overall, the market context remains neutral to mildly cautious, with flat opening expectations and stock-specific or level-based opportunities likely to dominate the session. Strict risk management is recommended, along with partial profit booking near targets, as volatility may increase once the index moves decisively out of the current consolidation range.
DO OR DIE ZONE – BANDHAN BANK
Timeframe: Weekly
Current Price: ~₹145
Primary Trend: Long-term downtrend transitioning into a potential base formation
🔍 Chart Pattern & Market Structure
Bandhan Bank has been trading inside a long-term falling channel, respecting both upper and lower trendline boundaries.
The price structure reflects a 5-wave Elliott decline (Wave 1–5), with Wave 5 likely completed near the lower channel support.
Post Wave 5, the stock is attempting a trendline resistance breakout, followed by a pullback into a Golden Retracement Zone (50%–78.6%), which is technically healthy.
📌 Key Technical Observations:
Golden Retracement Zone:
50% retracement: ~₹160
78.6% retracement: ~₹141
Price is currently holding above 78.6% retracement, suggesting buyers are still defending structure.
₹133–135 zone is marked as a “Do or Die” level, where a weekly close below would invalidate the bullish recovery thesis.
🟢 Swing Trading Strategy (Medium-Term)
✅ Swing Buy Zone:
₹142 – ₹150 (on pullbacks with price stabilization)
🎯 Swing Targets:
Target 1: ₹175
Target 2: ₹200
Extended Swing Target: ₹225–₹240 (only if momentum sustains)
🛑 Swing Stop Loss (Strict):
₹133 (Weekly close basis)
📐 Risk–Reward (Approx.):
Risk: ~₹12
Reward: ₹30–₹90
Risk–Reward Ratio: 1:2.5 to 1:7 (favorable if SL respected)
🔵 Investment Strategy (Positional / Long-Term)
📌 Investment Thesis:
Completion of a multi-year corrective cycle improves the probability of a structural mean reversion.
If price sustains above the broken trendline and holds the golden retracement zone, Bandhan Bank may enter a larger corrective Wave 4 (3-to-4 retracement).
🎯 Investment Upside Zones (Based on Fibonacci Extension):
113% Extension: ~₹282
127% Extension: ~₹302
These levels are long-term objectives, achievable only if the stock builds higher highs and higher lows above ₹200.
🛑 Investment Stop Loss:
₹133 (Weekly close below)
Conservative investors may use ₹125 as a hard capital protection level.
⚠️ Caution & Concerns
The broader trend is still technically bearish until the stock:
Sustains above ₹175–₹180
Breaks and holds above the falling channel decisively
Banking stocks remain sensitive to:
Asset quality concerns
Credit cycle shifts
Macro interest rate dynamics
Failure to hold ₹133 on a weekly closing basis would signal:
Loss of buyer interest
Possible continuation of the long-term downtrend
🚀 Opportunities & Positive Triggers
Successful defense of the Golden Retracement Zone indicates:
Strong hands accumulating
Reduced downside risk
A weekly close above ₹175 can act as a trend reversal confirmation.
The current price structure offers:
Defined risk
Asymmetric upside
Clear invalidation point
📌 Conclusion
Bandhan Bank is at a critical inflection point. While the long-term trend remains cautious, the completion of Wave 5 and support at the golden retracement zone present a high-quality risk-defined opportunity for swing traders and patient investors. Discipline around stop loss will be key.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Please consult your financial advisor and manage risk responsibly.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(16/01/2026)A flat opening is expected in Bank Nifty, with the index trading near the 59,550–59,600 zone, which continues to act as a key intraday balance area. Price action shows consolidation within yesterday’s range, indicating that the market is still indecisive and waiting for a directional trigger. No major changes are observed in the overall structure compared to the previous session.
On the upside, a sustained move above 59,550–59,600 will be important for bullish continuation. If Bank Nifty holds above this zone, long trades (CE positions) can be considered with upside targets at 59,750, 59,850, and 59,950+. A breakout above 59,950 may further strengthen bullish momentum toward higher resistance levels.
On the downside, failure to hold the 59,450–59,400 support zone may invite fresh selling pressure. In such a scenario, short trades (PE positions) can be considered with downside targets at 59,250, 59,150, and 59,050, where strong demand is expected. Until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs, traders should continue with range-based strategies, maintain strict stop-loss discipline, and avoid aggressive positions in the early part of the session.
Gold Before CPI: Top or Trap?Catching Gold’s Top Before CPI: A Good Trade or a Psychological Trap?
🧭 1. STRATEGIC CONTEXT
Primary trend: GOLD remains in an uptrend; the higher-timeframe structure is still intact.
Macro backdrop:
CPI tonight may cause short-term volatility.
However, geopolitics is currently a stronger driver than CPI.
Key geopolitical risks:
Greenland tensions → escalating global strategic rivalry.
Protests in Iran, power and internet cuts → rising Middle East risks.
👉 Strategic implication:
Gold continues to be supported as a safe-haven asset → pullbacks are for buying, not for chasing shorts.
📊 2. CURRENT MARKET STRUCTURE
Price is:
Holding the ascending trendline
Consolidating in a box, compressing ahead of CPI
Market condition:
High probability of false breakouts
Top-catching traps are very likely before the news
📍 3. KEY PRICE LEVELS
🔴 RESISTANCE
4,680 – 4,700
→ Previous high / ATH zone
→ Reactive sells only if clear rejection appears
4,655 – 4,660
→ Intermediate resistance, easily swept pre-CPI
🟣 CONSOLIDATION BOX
4,595 – 4,630
→ Sideways range ahead of CPI
→ No FOMO inside the box
🟢 SUPPORT
4,545 – 4,550 → Major confluence support
4,480 → Medium-term support, trendline retest
4,420 → Deep support, last bullish structure zone
📝 4. IMPORTANT NOTES
Higher CPI:
May trigger a technical pullback
❌ Does NOT automatically mean a top
Lower / in-line CPI:
Gold may consolidate above highs and break ATH
Selling before CPI:
→ Reactive scalps only, no holding
Buying:
→ Only when price reaches key zones with clear reaction
🎯 5. STRATEGIC MINDSET
❌ Don’t force top-catching while geopolitics supports gold
✅ Focus on risk management – wait for zones – wait for confirmation
🧠 Before CPI: survival > profit






















