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Technical Analysis DOESN'T WORK anymore?"Does this really predict the market, or are we reading too much into it?" Technical Analysis is useless – Here's Why You Shouldn't Buy Into the Hype I've been in the trading world long enough to know one thing: technical analysis isn’t the holy grail that many claim it to be. Sure, charts, patterns, and indicators look fancy, and they give the illusion of certainty. But here’s the harsh reality: Markets don’t care about your patterns. If technical analysis worked the way it’s advertised, wouldn’t everyone be making easy money? The truth is, the market moves based on emotions, macroeconomic factors, and real-world events—not lines drawn on a chart. Successful traders don't rely on perfect predictions, they rely on managing their risk, adapting to market conditions, and learning from their losses. Don’t get me wrong, it’s great for understanding market sentiment to some extent, but if you’re betting your portfolio on head-and-shoulders patterns or the RSI alone, you’re in for a rude awakening. In the end, trading is about experience, discipline, and understanding human psychology. That’s where the real edge is. #stockmarket
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by keshevdugar
10
TRADING IS A SCAM?“Trading is worse than gambling, isn’t it?” You’ve probably heard this thrown around by skeptics, or maybe even thought it yourself. Combine that with the SEBI data that says 99% of traders lose money and it seems like a closed case, right? Wrong. This statistic has been thrown around like a blanket warning: “Don’t trade. It’s not worth it!” But have you ever wondered why 99% lose? The truth is, very few of these critics know why. The problem isn't that trading is rigged or impossible—it’s that people don’t treat it the way they should. Trading is both a Sport and a Business Let me explain. First, trading is a sport—one that requires immense skill, discipline, and practice. Just like an athlete trains for years to perfect their craft, successful traders spend time mastering the game. They analyze patterns, study the markets, and hone their strategies. Unfortunately, many people jump into trading without realizing this. They expect instant results, treating the market like a slot machine rather than a skill-based competition. And when they lose, they blame the system instead of their lack of preparation. Now, trading is also a business. Every trade is a decision backed by data, analysis, and risk management—just like every business decision. No successful entrepreneur opens a business without a plan, a market understanding, and a strategy for scaling. Yet, most people approach trading with no blueprint. They don’t track their performance, learn from mistakes, or adjust their strategy when necessary. The market punishes them, just like it punishes any business that lacks a clear plan. The Missing Ingredients: Preparation and Discipline Imagine a football player who never trains or a business owner who never reviews their books—failure is inevitable. Similarly, most traders lose because they don’t have a proper process. They ignore risk management, avoid learning from their mistakes, and treat the market like a get-rich-quick scheme. The ones who succeed? They embrace the sport, the discipline, and the business side of trading. They take small losses like athletes take defeats—learning experiences that sharpen their edge. They treat each trade like a calculated business risk, knowing that long-term consistency is what leads to success. Conclusion: Change Your Mindset The next time you hear someone say, “99% of traders lose money,” remember this: the real reason people lose is because they don’t approach trading the way it should be—like a sport to be mastered and a business to be managed. Trading is not gambling. It’s a test of discipline, skill, and strategy. The 1% who succeed know this—and that’s why they win. #stockmarkets
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by keshevdugar
12
Beginner to Advanced Trading Every successful investor has one thing in common, they read as many investment books as they can. Trading in the share market requires a basic knowledge of all the aspects that can influence the prices of shares, and it can be gathered by reading books regularly. Skills #1 and #2 – Research and Analysis. ... Skill #3 – Adapting Your Market Analysis to Changing Market Conditions. ... Skill #4 – Staying in the Game. ... Skills #5 and #6 – Discipline and Patience. ... Bonus Skill #7 – Record Keeping. ... In the End.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
3
Let's Kill The Bad Trading HabitsHello friends, hope you all are well, so today first of all I would like to wish you all a very happy Dussehra festival so as we all know that this festival is celebrated as a symbol of the victory of good over bad because on this day Lord Rama had conquered Lanka by killing Ravana, so similarly there are some bad habits in trading and only by overcoming those bad habits we can become a successful trader, so let's talk about some such habits and their solutions. Bad Habits in Trading: A Detailed Guide to Avoiding Common Pitfalls-: Trading financial instruments such as stocks, forex, and cryptocurrencies can offer lucrative returns, but it’s also full of risks. While external factors like market volatility are unavoidable, bad habits developed by traders can amplify losses and limit long-term success. This publication will explore these bad habits and how to avoid them to become a more disciplined and successful trader. 1. Overtrading Overtrading happens when traders place too many trades, often driven by impatience or a desire to recover losses quickly. It can lead to poor decision-making and excessive transaction costs. 🚩Why It’s Harmful-: Increases fees and commissions. Leads to emotional exhaustion. Reduces the quality of analysis on individual trades. 🚩How to Avoid-: Create a trading plan and follow it strictly. Set limits on the number of trades per day or week. Take breaks between trades to regain mental clarity. 2. Ignoring a Trading Plan A trading plan defines strategies for entering and exiting trades, risk limits, and goals. However, many traders abandon their plans in favor of impulsive decisions, often leading to losses. 🚩Why It’s Harmful-: Leads to emotional trading based on fear or greed. Increases the chances of making random, poorly thought-out trades. 🚩How to Avoid-: Write a detailed trading plan and stick to it. Regularly review and refine your plan based on market experience. Avoid deviating from the strategy just to chase profits. 3. Failing to Manage Risk Risk management is essential in trading. Traders often make the mistake of not setting stop-losses or risking too much of their capital on a single trade. 🚩Why It’s Harmful-: One bad trade can wipe out a significant portion of your capital. Creates emotional stress when trades go against you. 🚩How to Avoid-: Use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses. Only risk a small percentage (e.g., 1-2%) of your trading capital on each trade. Diversify your portfolio to spread risk. 4. Chasing the Market Chasing the market involves entering trades based on recent price movements without proper analysis. This behavior is usually driven by fear of missing out (FOMO). 🚩Why It’s Harmful-: Leads to poorly timed trades. Often results in buying at the peak or selling at the bottom. 🚩How to Avoid-: Stick to your technical or fundamental analysis before entering a trade. Be patient and wait for the right setup instead of reacting to every price movement. 5. Emotional Trading (Fear and Greed) Emotions like fear and greed are powerful forces in trading. Greed can make traders hold onto winning positions for too long, hoping for larger profits, while fear can lead to premature exits from trades. 🚩Why It’s Harmful-: Causes traders to hold losing positions too long out of hope. Leads to poor decision-making when markets turn volatile. 🚩How to Avoid-: Practice mindfulness and maintain emotional control. Set realistic profit targets and stick to them. Use a trading journal to analyze emotional triggers and improve decision-making. 6. Averaging Down on Losing Positions Averaging down refers to adding more capital to a losing trade in the hope that the market will eventually turn in your favor. While it may work occasionally, it can also deepen losses. 🚩Why It’s Harmful-: Increases exposure to a trade that may never recover. Ties up capital that could be used for better opportunities. 🚩How to Avoid-: Set predefined exit points for both profits and losses. Avoid emotional attachment to trades—be willing to cut losses. 7. Neglecting to Keep a Trading Journal Many traders fail to maintain a record of their trades and the reasons behind them. A journal helps in identifying patterns, mistakes, and areas for improvement. 🚩Why It’s Harmful-: Traders repeat mistakes without realizing it. Misses out on learning opportunities from past trades. 🚩How to Avoid-: Keep a trading journal with details of each trade (entry, exit, rationale, outcome). Review the journal regularly to spot trends and improve your strategy. 8. Not Staying Updated with Market News Financial markets are heavily influenced by news events, including economic reports, geopolitical developments, and corporate earnings. Ignoring these updates can result in unexpected losses. 🚩Why It’s Harmful-: Traders may be blindsided by sudden market changes. Missed opportunities from news-driven price movements. 🚩How to Avoid-: Stay updated with reliable news sources and economic calendars. Develop a habit of checking market trends before opening trades. 9. Using Excessive Leverage Leverage allows traders to control larger positions with a smaller amount of capital, but it can magnify both profits and losses. Misusing leverage is a common reason many traders lose money. 🚩Why It’s Harmful-: Amplifies losses, sometimes leading to margin calls. Increases emotional pressure due to the higher stakes. 🚩How to Avoid-: Use leverage cautiously and understand its risks. Limit leverage to a comfortable level, especially as a beginner. 10. Lack of Patience and Discipline Trading requires patience and discipline, yet many traders become restless and trade impulsively. This behavior can erode profits over time. 🚩Why It’s Harmful-: Leads to entering trades without proper setups. Increases the risk of emotional decision-making. 🚩How to Avoid-: Cultivate patien-ce by focusing on long-term goals rather than short-term profits. Set daily or weekly performance goals based on discipline, not just profits. Conclusion Trading successfully requires more than just market knowledge—it demands emotional control, discipline, and a well-defined strategy. Bad habits like overtrading, ignoring risk management, and emotional decision-making can quickly erode profits. To become a consistent and profitable trader, it is crucial to recognize these habits, avoid them, and continuously refine your trading strategy. By building good habits—such as sticking to a trading plan, managing risk, and journaling your trades—you can navigate the markets more effectively and increase your chances of long-term success. Hope you like my writeup Best regards- Amit
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by AMIT-RAJAN
13
Navigating the Bullish Surge: A Cautious Approach to InvestingThe Indian markets are experiencing an extraordinary rally, with major indices soaring to unprecedented heights. This surge is undoubtedly enticing for retail traders and investors eager to capitalize on the momentum. However, the pressing question remains: Are these elevated levels truly the right time to enter the market? Perhaps not. To gain insight, we can turn to a diagram by Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue that illustrates the typical stages of a market bubble. When we overlay this framework onto the current landscape of Indian indices, it becomes apparent that we may be on the brink of significant market movement—potentially in the coming weeks. History has shown us that markets can swing from euphoric bullishness to sharp corrections. Notable examples include the catastrophic crash of 2008 and the rapid declines during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. While we may not face declines as drastic as those events, it’s essential for retail traders to be proactive in safeguarding their investments. One effective strategy to mitigate downside risk is to consider purchasing long dated put option. A put option provides the holder with the right to sell the underlying asset without the obligation to do so. This means that if the market experiences a downturn—whether in the immediate future or after a few weeks or months—the put option can yield significant profits during a substantial decline. On the flip side, if the market continues its upward trajectory, the put option will gradually lose value and may eventually become worthless as indices continue to set new records. The key takeaway here is to keep your investment strategy straightforward and avoid unnecessary complexity. This is merely one of many strategies available for investors looking to protect their portfolios. Final Thoughts: As we navigate these exciting yet unpredictable market conditions, it’s crucial to remain vigilant and informed. While the allure of all-time highs is compelling, prudent risk management is essential for long-term success in investing. Disclaimer: All investments carry inherent market risks. This article is not a recommendation; please conduct your own analysis before making any trading or investment decisions.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by VishalSubandh
Advanced MACD with Professionals The moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) indicator is a technical tool that helps traders identify entry and exit points for buying or selling securities. It's made up of three time series calculated from historical price data, and the metrics are highly adaptable: MACD series: The main series Signal or average series: The second series Divergence series: The difference between the first two series Momentum Trading Otimize your MACD strategies with ... The MACD indicator is often displayed with a histogram that shows the distance between the MACD and its signal line. The histogram is positive when the faster EMA line is on top, and negative when it's on the bottom. Here are some tips for using the MACD indicator: Buy or sell: Traders may buy when the MACD line crosses above the signal line, and sell when it crosses below. Understand moving averages: Moving averages tend to trail behind price movements, but the MACD can transform this into a trading strategy. Look at the difference between two moving averages: This shows how fast a trend is moving.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by EmpireCrown
Top 1% Trader SecretDetermine your risk capital, i.e., the total amount of money you're willing to risk in your trading. This should be money that you can afford to lose without it affecting your lifestyle. Calculate 1% of your risk capital. This is the maximum amount you're allowed to risk on any single trade. For day traders and swing traders, the 1% risk rule means you use as much capital as required to initiate a trade, but your stop loss placement protects you from losing more than 1% of your account if the trade goes against you.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
2
Option chain and Database Trading Nature of analysis. Option chain: An option chain primarily focuses on options contracts associated with an underlying asset, such as stocks, commodities, or indices. It provides information about the available options, their strike prices, expiration dates, bid-ask prices, and other contract-specific data. An option chain, also known as option matrix, is a list of all the option contracts available for a given security. It shows all listed puts, calls, expiry dates, strike prices, and volume and pricing information for a single underlying asset and within a given maturity period.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
1
What is Rsi Indicator What Is the Relative Strength Index (RSI)? The relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis. RSI measures the speed and magnitude of a security's recent price changes to detect overvalued or undervalued conditions in the price of that security. The RSI is displayed as an oscillator (a line graph) on a scale of zero to 100. The indicator was developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr. and introduced in his seminal 1978 book, New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems. In addition to identifying overbought and oversold securities, the RSI can also indicate securities that may be primed for a trend reversal or a corrective pullback in price. It can signal when to buy and sell. Traditionally, an RSI reading of 70 or above indicates an overbought condition. A reading of 30 or below indicates an oversold condition.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by EmpireCrown
How to Draw Support and Resistance Like a Pro! Support and Resistance are one of the most important aspects of technical analysis but often I see traders doing it wrongly. How to Draw Support and Resistance: Imagine you have a chart filled with SR like the one below. Do you know which levels to pay attention to? When you’re about to start, how to plot support and resistance lines? It’s filled with nothing but lines and it doesn’t seem to make much meaning of the chart at all. nah My approach to drawing Support and Resistance uses either 1 line or 2 lines. It is much cleaner and immediately tells you which area of the chart to pay attention to. I use a single line when price respect a level almost to the pip and i use 2 lines when price bounces off an area. I highlight only the key Support and Resistance of a chart meaning the obvious swing highs and lows. The intermediate SR i will not draw any lines so as to maintain my focus on the key areas. Besides, with enough screen time you can easily identify those intermediate Support and Resistance without any lines. real world… You must keep in mind of the R.S.M. formula. These three things stands for: Reaction Setup Management Now take notes because this is important… Reaction Here’s the truth: Drawing support and resistance lines aren’t the holy grail.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by EmpireCrown
Part 1: Option Selling: A Simple Way to Earn Consistent PremiumsWe’ll explore the top 7 option-selling strategies on the NSE (National Stock Exchange) that could help traders target up to 10% monthly returns per Month on their capital. Option selling is an advanced strategy that can generate consistent income, but it’s important to balance high rewards with the right risk management. Whether you are new to options or an experienced trader, this guide will provide an overview of each strategy, rated based on its risk, reward, and suitability for achieving your financial goals. Option Selling on NSE: A Simple Way to Earn Consistent Premiums Introduction Option selling is a great way to make steady income on the NSE. Instead of waiting for big market moves, you can sell options and collect premium upfront. It’s a strategy that benefits from time decay, meaning the longer the option sits without action, the more money you can make. Let’s break down why it works and why traders love it on the NSE. What is Option Selling? When you sell an option, you’re giving someone the right to buy or sell an asset at a specific price. In return, you get paid a premium upfront. As long as the market stays within a certain range, you keep that money. Selling a Call: You profit if the price stays below a certain level. Selling a Put: You profit if the price stays above a certain level. It’s simple – the less the market moves, the more you earn. Why Traders Choose Option Selling 1. Immediate Income You get paid right away when you sell an option. No waiting for market moves, just steady income. 2. Time is Your Friend As time passes, options lose value due to time decay. This works in your favor as a seller, since the option becomes less likely to be exercised. 3. High Win Rate You don’t need big price moves. As long as the market stays within a range, you win. 4. Control Risk with Spreads You can limit your risk by using spreads, where you buy another option to protect yourself if the market moves too much. Why the NSE is Ideal for Option Selling: High Liquidity: Options like Nifty and Bank Nifty have a lot of buyers and sellers, so trades are easy to make.Low Capital Requirement: You need less money to sell options on the NSE compared to other strategies.Risk Control: With the wide variety of options, you can set up trades that limit your risk.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by Trade-Technique
3
Banknifty , Crude oil and Copper Divergence Divergence is a technical analysis concept that occurs when the price of an asset and a technical indicator move in opposite directions. It's a sign that the price of an asset may be reversing, and it can help traders recognize and react to price changes. Here are some things to know about divergence: #Types of divergence There are two types of divergence: negative and positive. Negative divergence happens when the price of a security is rising, but an indicator is falling. Positive divergence happens when the price of a security is falling, but an indicator is rising. #When to use divergence Divergence can help traders make decisions like tightening stop-loss or taking a profit. #How to confirm reversals Divergence can occur over a long period of time, so traders can use other tools like trendlines and support and resistance levels to confirm reversals. #When to use convergence Convergence is when the price of an asset, indicator, or index moves in the same direction as a related asset, indicator, or index
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
3
Life of a Trader / Option's // StocksEmotional reactions Overcoming your emotions is another hurdle you may encounter as a new trader. You may make impulsive decisions out of greed, fear, anger, frustration, or excessive optimism. This can lead to losses, which in turn can reduce your confidence. To ensure you don't fall into the trap of your emotions, chalk out a detailed and rule-based strategy and try to follow it strictly. Review your trades regularly to learn from your mistakes and build stable trading behaviour. You can keep a trading journal and implement stop-loss orders to reduce emotional influence on your trading decisions. Overtrading Another common challenge that can come your way is the temptation to overtrade. You may feel tempted to overtrade to earn higher earnings or overcome losses quickly. However, more trades don’t necessarily translate into more money. Overtrading can increase your risk exposure and increase transaction costs. To overcome the temptation to overtrading, you can set predefined limits on daily or weekly trades and take a break when you reach the limit. You must also ensure that you engage in trades that align with your strategy and do not prioritise quantity over quality. Impatience As a new trader, you may lack the patience to stick to your trading strategy, especially during market fluctuations. You may opt for premature exits if gains don't materialise as quickly as expected. However, success in trading does not come overnight. You must wait for the right opportunities and patiently endure losses and phases of stagnation. A solution to this problem is to have a solid trading strategy with clear entry and exit criteria. Have faith in your plan and give it the time to work. Avoid changing your strategy too often. Once you have a solid strategy, be patient, wait for the right time and grab your opportunity. Poor risk management The stock market is highly volatile and unpredictable. One day, a stock can rise by 20% and plummet suddenly the following day. Such frequent changes in the price of an asset can overwhelm you. It also makes it challenging to plan your strategy and manage risks. You may feel tempted to chase high returns and take excessive risks. However, this can wipe out your capital in no time. This is why risk management is important in trading. Make sure your trades align not only with your strategy but also your risk profile. Before placing a trade, analyse your risk-per-trade and reward-to-risk ratio. Diversify investments to spread risks across different sectors and assets to protect your capital. Include clear entry and exit points and an emergency way in your strategy. Using stop-loss orders can also help tackle risks and minimise losses. Conclusion The stock market is both alluring and daunting. Without proper knowledge and skills, you may incur losses and even quit prematurely if things don't go as expected. However, understanding the challenges beginners often face and learning to overcome them can illuminate your path to success.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by EmpireCrown
Understanding Intrinsic Value and Its Impact on Options Trading What is Intrinsic Value? Intrinsic value is a key concept in options trading that reflects the real, inherent worth of an option. It is the difference between the underlying asset's current price and the option's strike price. For options, intrinsic value can be classified as follows: Call Options: Intrinsic value = Current Price of Underlying Asset - Strike Price. A call option has intrinsic value when the underlying asset's price is above the strike price. Put Options: Intrinsic value = Strike Price - Current Price of Underlying Asset. A put option has intrinsic value when the underlying asset's price is below the strike price. Effects on Option Buying and Selling Intrinsic Value and Option Premium: The intrinsic value contributes to the option’s premium (price). An option with intrinsic value will typically trade at a higher premium than an out-of-the-money option (which has no intrinsic value). When buying options, higher intrinsic value indicates that the option is more likely to be profitable. Decision Making: Buyers: When considering purchasing options, traders often look for options with significant intrinsic value, especially if they believe the underlying asset will continue moving in a favorable direction. Sellers (Writers): Option sellers may prefer to sell options with little or no intrinsic value, aiming to profit from time decay (the reduction in the option's premium as it approaches expiration). Risk Assessment: Options with high intrinsic value are typically less risky for buyers because they already have built-in profit potential. However, they also come at a higher cost. Sellers of high intrinsic value options face a greater risk if the underlying asset continues to move in their unfavorable direction. Market Sentiment: Intrinsic value can also reflect market sentiment. A significant intrinsic value in a call option may suggest bullish sentiment, while high intrinsic value in a put option may indicate bearish sentiment. Traders can gauge market psychology and make informed trading decisions based on how intrinsic values shift. Expiration Considerations: As options near expiration, intrinsic value becomes increasingly important. An option that is in-the-money (ITM) will have intrinsic value, while an out-of-the-money (OTM) option will not. Understanding this can help traders decide whether to exercise, sell, or let an option expire worthless. Conclusion:- Intrinsic value is a fundamental component of options trading that directly influences buying and selling strategies. By understanding how intrinsic value works and its implications on option premiums, traders can make more informed decisions. Whether you're a seasoned trader or a beginner, grasping this concept will enhance your ability to navigate the options market effectively.
NSE:NIFTY1!Education
by rakeshreddym
6
Histogram(MACD) Divergence Trading Let us discuss the MACD indicator strategy and histogram. I know being a chartist you are familiar with this tool. Hence I hope this will be a revision for you. Assuming you already know this topic, you should know that MACD Histogram is derived from MACD. To me, it is the effect of MACD (cause), without which MACD Histogram would not have been born. I hope you can relate it to the previous paragraph. If not, no problem. Carry on reading. But before proceeding further I would request you to recapitulate MACD (moving average convergence divergence). Thanks for converging your thoughts with that of mine. I am glad. It will help me to explain this article without taking the additional burden. MACD Histogram Peak-Trough Divergence By now you must have understood how the histogram dances to the tunes of prices. If one looks at it closely then one can easily identify the divergences. You will notice that a peak and trough divergence is formed with two peaks or two troughs in the MACD Histogram. Usually, it can be segregated into two parts, i.e. bullish peak and trough divergence and bearish peak and trough divergence. Alright, I will explain you in short. Bullish Peak-Trough Divergence It is formed when MACD makes a lower low and on the contrary, MACD-Histogram makes a higher low. One thing you should keep in mind, i.e., well-defined troughs define the health of a bullish peak-trough divergence. bullish peak trough divergence Bearish Peak-Trough Divergence It is formed when MACD makes a higher high and on the contrary MACD Histogram makes a lower high. One thing you should keep in mind, i.e., well-defined peaks define the health of a bearish peak-trough divergence.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
2
Advanced Divergence Trading"Welcome to SkyTradingZone " Hello Everyone 👋 Video Information - Hello , Everyone lets start the Journey of Advanced Divergence Trading In this video, we are going to look at divergence. What is divergence? Divergence is basically when the market is creating higher highs and higher lows, and the RSI is creating the opposite. (Divergence can happen in both downtrends and uptrends.) ---------------------------------------------------------------- Q What divergence does, it's basically telling you that the trend is weakening. This is in a downtrend, and the RSI, the divergence, is basically telling you that this downtrend is weakening and there could be a possible reversal soon. So normally when divergence is happening, you normally see The market creates basically a curve. ---------------------------------------------------------------- Structure is always key It doesn't matter the strategy you use, structure is always key. So what you want to see is that breaker structure to say that the trend is changing because structure changed. Note- Normal Tip From our side try to learn Liquidity and order block
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
2
Bitcoin Crash Incoming? | Elliott Wave Theory Market ForecastGreetings, fellow traders, In this post, I employ "Elliott Wave Theory" to analyze and predict Bitcoin's price movements. The decision to utilize this theory stems from its robust framework for interpreting market cycles, which is essential for precise forecasting in the volatile cryptocurrency market. 1️⃣ The value of an asset directly reflects the sentiment of investors participating in the market. 2️⃣ When investors are optimistic, increased demand naturally drives prices up, while fear among investors leads to price declines. 3️⃣ Prices are a direct representation of investor sentiment, and the "Elliott Wave Theory" is a framework that patterns these price movements. ✅ Conclusion By applying the "Elliott Wave Theory," it is possible to anticipate Bitcoin's next move. Therefore, let's now dive deep into the "Elliott Wave Theory" to both predict Bitcoin's next movements and gain a thorough understanding of this theory. — ✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 8H This chart review covers the period from January 24, 2024, to March 14, 2024. During this timeframe, a rare "Double Extended Impulse Wave" pattern appeared, characterized by an extended 5th wave. The supporting evidence for this pattern is as follows: 1️⃣ A breakout from the 1-3 trendline. 2️⃣ The 3rd wave extended beyond 1.618 times the length of the 1st wave. 3️⃣ The 5th wave extended beyond 1.618 times the length of the 3rd wave. 4️⃣ The 4th wave took longer to develop compared to the 2nd wave. I will explore these points in greater detail with the accompanying chart analysis below. — ✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 8H This chart includes the evidence discussed earlier, specifically the first point mentioned. (Reference: 1️⃣) In wave analysis, trendlines play a crucial role. A break in the trendline often signifies the end of a wave or highlights the unique characteristics of that wave. In this post, we'll focus on the waves marked on the chart, so please pay close attention to the attached chart. The extension of the 5th wave is significantly influenced by the trendline connecting the peaks of the 1st and 3rd waves. This trendline is especially important in the context of a "Double Extended Impulse Wave." A "Double Extended Impulse Wave" indicates a strong buying momentum in a bull market or a strong selling momentum in a bear market. Therefore, it is expected that the upper trendline (the 1-3 trendline) would be breached as the wave progresses. (leading to a sharp rise in a bull market or a steep fall in a bear market). Please refer to the chart provided above. There are five instances of "Over shooting" , indicating a strong bullish market. This example shows how a single trendline can help identify the market's strength, weakness, and the type of wave pattern in play. Now, let's move on to the next chart. — ✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 8H This chart includes the evidence discussed earlier, specifically the second and third points mentioned. (Reference: 2️⃣3️⃣) Additionally, this chart illustrates the internal Fibonacci ratios of the extended impulse wave. The characteristics of the internal Fibonacci ratios for an extended 5th wave in an impulse wave are as follows: (Satisfied: ✔️ / Not Satisfied: ✖️) ✔️ The 3rd wave rises between 100% and 261.8% of the length of the 1st wave. ✔️ The 5th wave rises 161.8% of the (0-3) length, measured from the end of the 4th wave. (It should be shorter than 261.8%.) ✔️ The 5th wave is longer than the shorter of 100% of the (0-3) length and 161.8% of the 3rd wave. Since this wave satisfies all the above conditions, it is highly likely to be a Double Extended Impulse Wave with an extended 5th wave. — ✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 8H This chart represents the external Fibonacci ratios of the extended impulse wave. (For an impulse wave with an extended 5th wave, the external ratios are considered more reliable than the internal ratios.) The characteristics of the external Fibonacci ratios for an extended 5th wave in an impulse wave are as follows: (Satisfied: ✔️ / Not Satisfied: ✖️) ✔️ The length of the 5th wave, measured from the end of the 3rd wave, forms at 100%, 161.8%, or 261.8% of the (0-3) length. Since this wave satisfies all the conditions, it is highly likely to be a "Double Extended Impulse Wave" with an extended 5th wave. (The author also considers the external ratios to be highly reliable.) — ✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 8H This chart includes the fourth piece of evidence mentioned earlier (Reference: 4️⃣). One of the most essential concepts in "Elliott Wave Theory" is "The Rule of Alternation." This principle is foundational to understanding market movements and is critical to the rules governing wave progression. Without it, Elliott Wave Theory would lose much of its practical value. "The Rule of Alternation" is most clearly demonstrated in the period of corrective waves. In the chart provided above, you’ll notice a comparison between the length of the 2nd wave and the 4th wave. Typically, before an extended wave appears, the market tends to undergo a longer or deeper correction. In this case, the 4th wave is noticeably longer than the 2nd wave, which satisfies this condition. This observation significantly increases the reliability of the wave pattern. — ✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 1D Now, let's discuss the potential future direction. If the low point of the 5th wave within the extended impulse wave breaks, it is likely that this impulse wave marks the final wave of a larger wave pattern. In simpler terms, the 5-wave extended impulse wave we've discussed so far may represent the last wave of the current upward trend. To put it even more clearly, if the price falls below the $50,922.5 level, there is a high probability that the market has transitioned into a downtrend. Please refer to the following chart for further details. — ✔️BTCUSDT.P / BINANCE / 1D Based on the assumption that the market has transitioned into a downtrend, I’ve constructed the following scenario. It appears that a Corrective Wave (Flat) has already occurred, and the market is currently experiencing a correction in response to this wave (indicated by the red dotted line). According to this scenario, even if the price experiences an upward movement, it is likely to be a technical rebound within the broader context of a continuing downtrend. — Conclusion Today, we applied the Elliott Wave Theory to the actual Bitcoin chart to analyze the market. I made every effort to maintain an objective perspective. I am aware that many traders and investors are anticipating a continued upward trend. However, my intent in presenting a bearish scenario was not to gain attention, but rather to analyze the market as objectively as possible. It’s important to approach the market rationally, rather than simply calling for a rise without substantial evidence. I encourage you all to remain wise traders and investors who do not succumb to 'FOMO' (Fear of Missing Out) and always maintain an objective view of the market. Thank you for taking the time to read this post. If you found this analysis helpful, I would greatly appreciate it if you could give it a "boost." Should there be significant interest in this post, I'll consider creating follow-up analyses.
Education
by Killer_Whales
2
How To Draw Support and ResistanceHorizontal Support and Resistance Levels: These are drawn using horizontal lines based on price points. Support Levels: Identify areas where the market had difficulty breaking below. These levels often have a cluster of buy orders. Resistance Levels: Represent price points where the market struggled to break above. Sellers tend to enter around these levels. Round-Number Levels (Psychological Levels): These occur around round exchange rates (e.g., 1.00, 1.10, 1.50). Traders pay attention to these levels due to their psychological significance. Trendline Support and Resistance: Draw upward or downward sloping trendlines using at least two price points. Trendlines help identify dynamic support and resistance.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by Optionclub
ADVANCED PCR TRADING #NSE #BSE #Option'sWhat is the PCR Ratio? The PCR measures the relative trading volume of put options (bearish bets) to call options (bullish bets) in the market. It’s calculated as:PCR=Open Interest of Call Options / Open Interest of Put Options​ Interpretation: PCR > 1: Indicates bearish sentiment. More put options are being traded, suggesting traders are hedging against potential declines or speculating on downward moves. PCR < 1: Signals bullish sentiment. More call options are traded, indicating traders expect price increases or are hedging short positions. PCR = 1: Suggests a neutral sentiment where buying and selling pressures are balanced. Why PCR Matters: Sentiment Gauge: The PCR reflects market sentiment. Tracking changes helps you gauge optimism or pessimism. Contrarian Indicator: Extremely high PCR may signal excessive pessimism, potentially leading to reversals.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by Optionclub
Advanced Trading With DataBase #Nse #BseOptions Data APIs and Tools: Investopedia: Provides insights on using options data for market direction. IVolatility: Offers a deep database of options and futures prices, volatility, and analytical tools for traders and investors. Polygon: Real-time options prices, historical data, and news for major options markets. Optionistics: Offers free analysis tools, including price and volatility history, option calculators, and more. Barchart: Provides an overview of today’s options market activity and unusual options activity5.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by Optionclub
1
Trading Management and Psychology #NSE #SMCTrading psychology is different for each trader, and it is influenced by the trader's emotions and biases. The two main emotions that are likely to impact the success or failure of a trade are greed or fear. Greed is defined as the excessive desire for profits that could affect the rationality and judgment of a trader. Trading psychology is the emotional component of an investor's decision-making process, which may help explain why some decisions appear more rational than others. Trading psychology is characterized primarily by the influence of both greed and fear. Greed drives decisions that might be too risky. Here are five ways to feel more in control of your emotions while trading. Create Personal Rules. Setting your own rules to follow when you trade can help you control your emotions. ... Trade the Right Market Conditions. ... Lower Your Trade Size. ... Establish a Trading Plan and Trading Journal. ... Relax!
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by Optionclub
India Independence Day To all who have protected Bharat, we say our first salute Indian independence freedom fighters from Tamil Nadu" V. V. S. Aiyar Ambujammal K. P. Janaki Ammal Sivagami Ammayar Chinna Annamalai Vedaratnam Appakutti Asalambikai S. P. Ayyaswamy Mudaliar M. Bhaktavatsalam Mayandi Bharathi Subramania Bharati Vengal Chakkarai C. S. Chellappa Karumuttu Thiagarajan Chettiar T. S. Avinashilingam Sami Venkatachalam Chetty T. S. Chockalingam Immanuvel Devendrar M. Ethirajulu (politician) S. Srinivasa Iyengar A. Vaidyanatha Iyer F. G. Natesa Iyer G. S. Lakshman Iyer G. Subramania Iyer K. R. Guruswami Iyer Krishnammal Jagannathan P. Kakkan Periya Kaladi V. Kalyanam Thiru. V. Kalyanasundaram K. Kamaraj Maveeran Alagumuthu Kone K. T. Kosalram Kovai Khadar Ayyamuthu E. Krishna Iyer T. T. Krishnamachari Kalki Krishnamurthy Tiruppur Kumaran J. C. Kumarappa Rukmini Lakshmipathi C. N. Muthuranga Mudaliar C. S. Ratnasabhapathy Mudaliar Salem Ramaswami Mudaliar Pasumpon Muthuramalinga Thevar Muthuranga Mudaliar Velu Nachiyar P. Rangaiah Naidu P. Varadarajulu Naidu C. R. Narasimhan G. A. Natesan Nagappan Padayatchi Peter Paul Pillai V. O. Chidambaram Pillai V. I. Munuswamy Pillai Venkatarama Ramalingam Pillai C. Rajagopalachari T. S. S. Rajan G. Ramachandran (social reformer) T. A. Ramalingam W. V. V. B. Ramalingam P. Ramamurthi O. P. Ramaswamy Reddiyar T. Rangachari S. Rangaswami Iyengar R. Balaji Rao S. P. Y. Surendranath Arya Kalki Sadasivam Lakshmi Sahgal Sankaralinganar A. M. Saravanam S. Satyamurti J. Shivashanmugam Pillai M. P. Sivagnanam Subramaniya Siva Rettamalai Srinivasan Stalin Srinivasan P. Subbarayan Chidambaram Subramaniam Kovai Subri Veeran Sundaralingam V. A. Sundaram K. B. Sundarambal S.N. Sundarambal S. A. Saminatha Iyer Puli Thevar Periyasaamy Thooran G. A. Vadivelu Arthanareesa Varma Sardar Vedaratnam M. C. Veerabahu Pillai Ramaswamy Venkataraman... And best Salute for All Indian freedom fighters....
NSE:NIFTY1!Education
by BUY_TODAY_Tamil
1