Economic Cycles
Jubliant Industry LONGNSE:JUBLINDS Has Shown shome Bullish interest on the Daily and Weekly Timeframe .
Currently is back into a discounted Bullish OB looking strong for some higher price levels of over 460 + levels ,
Simple Execution, Strict entry with the SL below the LTF structural low, and possible re-entry on confirmation.
Ready to trendIt is forming a flag pattern along with the head and shoulder pattern formation. Patterns work better on higher time frames. Hence these consolidations and patterns indicate that a new trend can start.
Doing cycle analysis. It moves in a 20 month cycle. But cycle analysis works best when done on a group of stocks and on multiple timeframes. Hence it is just an indication and timing factor not a deciding factor. Therefore it is the time to study business and the sector fundamentally also.
2x PotentialOn a Monthly log chart, it is near a 9 year old trendline. Looking at the chart it seems the price closes near the trendline every 3 years. Starting from 2014, 2017, 2020 and now 2023. Every time it has given a run up of 100-150%. But this does not guarantee. Hence as price keeps giving breakouts positions can be built.
Nifty and Nifty Midcap Divergence turns more blatantAs Nifty broke the Dec low of 17774 intraday the inter-market divergence between Nifty and the Nifty Midcap 100 index became more blatant. The divergence is a bullish divergence when one index makes a new low unconfirmed by the other. It remains to see how this will unfold.
Bitcoin TimeCycles1. Bitcoin is currently exhibiting a text example of Time Cycles in Play.
2. Staring from the All Time high Bitcoin is following a Cycle of 73-days which can rounded off to 75.
3. Cycles can be difficult to identify because they get lost in TREND.
4. Long Term Trend is bearish until price breaks the pivot high of previous cycle.
There should be a 15% correction in UNFIAccording to my analysis, UNFI has shown a 15% correction in the current uptrend. I opened my short at 6.67 and have a target of 6.3 and stoploss of 6.8. I am not a pro trader this is just my idea of the trade. Happy trading.
Federal Bank Analysis This is more like looking at charts and trying to find out patterns
whom can this help
Investors - what should be there SL in Federal Bank - exit at 66 and re-enter at 41
Technical Analyst - one more analysis - always good to see perspectives :) isn't it
Traders - Not exactly - but they may want to set an Alert for Monthly closing below 66 or above 87 for major moves
Hypothesis
Looking at charts, it seems there is a strong magnetic support/resistance at 40.5 price. It acted like resistance for months, acted like a consolidation zone, acted like a price rotation zone where weak buyers were taken off, After a breakout re-testing of this zone...and again in this pandemic, it came in to play as a strong support zone.
You name it- this price point have gone through all that we could think. So its an important price point for federal bank
Before the pandemic started - the Bank was in a nice slow bullish run forming HH and LH's. Pandemic stuck - it fell like others and now in an interesting zone
Here the price can consolidate for a while or breakout or break-down - Depending on other factors that no one knows. What we can safely infer is - if its breakout of this zone this will test the previous HL and if it breakdowns will test our magnetic price point of 40.5
at the end - this is a hypothesis, and in certain conditions becomes true and in certain conditions becomes false. So watch out for conditions
Happy Trading
MSK