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Rounding Top patternHey everyone! 👋 Last week, we wrote about the "Rounding bottom" pattern. If you missed last week’s post, you can catch up here: Today we are going to cover the "Rounding top" pattern along with a few examples. Please remember this is an educational post to help all of our members better understand concepts used in trading or investing. This in no way promotes a particular style of trading! The post will shed some light on the following topics: ➡ Basics and identification of the pattern ➡ Components ➡ Important aspects What is a Rounding top pattern? • A rounding bottom is a bearish reversal pattern that resembles the shape of the inverted "U". • Rounding top pattern occur at the end of long uptrends and indicate a potential reversal. • The pattern is also referred to as an inverted saucer due to its resemblance to an inverted saucer. • Although, the volume and price move in sync but in practice, this can vary widely. • When the price moves down from the neckline, it indicates weakness and suggests that the stock may begin a new downtrend. Components of a Cup and Handle pattern: A rounding bottom pattern can be divided into three main parts. • Advance • Formation of the base • Decline Important aspects: 1. Prior Trend: Since it is a bearish reversal pattern, the prior trend must be an uptrend. The top of a rounding bottom should ideally mark a new high or reaction high. The stock may trade sideways or flat for a long duration before the formation of the pattern. 2. Advance: The advance that leads to the formation of the high, can take a variety of forms. Sometimes, the up move has many whipsaws while other times, the stock may just trade flat. 3. High: In general, the pattern resembles an inverted "U" shaped top. However, it can also resemble an inverted "V" or an "M," but the high should not be too sharp. In addition to this, there is always a possibility of a new high due to a buying climax. 4. Decline: In general, the formation of the right half of the pattern should take about the same amount of time as the left half. This means that the down move of the highs should take about the same time as the up move. Moreover, the decline shouldn't be too sharp, or else there is a possibility of a bear trap. 5. Breakdown: The pattern is confirmed once the price breaks and sustains below the neckline. The price may return to the neckline to test for the supply before continuing downwards. 6. Volume: In general, the volume levels should be - High during the up move - Low during the formation of the base - Rising during the down move However, these are only guidelines and should not necessarily be taken at face value. 7. Target: Using the measurement objective, the target comes out to be equal to the depth of the base. It can be measured by calculating the distance between the bottom of the base and the neckline. 8. Stop-loss: Ideally, the stop loss is placed at the highest point of the base. But if the price oscillated up and down a number of times near the neckline, the stop-loss can also be placed above the most recent swing high. Exhibit: Rounding top pattern with a failed breakout Thanks for reading! As we mentioned before, this isn't trading advice, but rather information about a tool that many traders use. Hope this was helpful! See you all next week. 🙂 – Team TradingView Feel free to check us out on Instagram and YouTube for more awesome content! 💘
NSE:SBINEducation
by TradingView
15
TFCILTD near breakout?????????NSE:TFCILTD BSE:TFCILTD Time Frame – Weekly Note – Sharing chart before weekly closed. So, wait for weekly closing. Observations :- * Trendline breakout and weekly 200 SMA breakout done with huge volume candle * Price trading inside the high-volume mother candle (Range 76.70 – 60.05) * Trading in symmetrical Triangle pattern breakout above 77 * Price may show some quick upside to break the multiple resistance Resistance – 77 / 83.85 / 100 / 115 / 134.35 / 154.40 / 182.25 Support – Weekly 200 SMA & 60 (mother candle low) & 67-60 zone DISCLAIMER : NCFM Certified Technical Analyst. I am not SEBI registered analyst. All posts are for educational purpose only. I am not responsible for your any loss or profit. Consult your adviser before taking any trade. I help people to learn technical analysis & charts reading.
NSE:TFCILTDLong
by Chart_World
11
NSE Bajaj Finserv - Can buyers face falling knives? Timeframe: 8h Price started to form impulsive wave C after Bajaj Finserv completed correction wave B. There is also the possibility of altering the count with W-X-Y. Wave (b) retraced 50% of wave (a), which signals intense supply pressure. If the price breaks wave (a) at 1621, traders can sell for the following targets: 1594 – 1569 – 1549 . Calculations are based on Fibonacci extensions. Price has completed 100% Fibonacci extension in wave A so that wave C could extend by 161.8% . Currently, the price has broken down to 50 EMA , and a negative closing will result in further price declines. Parallel channel throw-over is one of Elliott wave principle’s best target measurement tools. Targets will be extended in case of an extension of the trend. I will update further information soon.
NSE:BAJAJFINSV
by forextidings
5
#NIFTY heading down in Wave C to complete correctionNifty's rally from Mar '20 topped out on 18/Oct/21 at 18594 (near month futures contract) - almost a year ago. Since then we can clearly see a sideways move that has gone within the earlier range for almost a year. One can see the subdivisions tracing out a complex W-X-Y correction. The upmove from 15676 starting early Mar this year topped out last month at 18123 completing the intervening X wave. The down-up move since 12/Sep/22 subdivides as 5 waves down followed by a 3 wave upside correction. This is now setup for a resumption of the down move in Wave 3 - should be surprisingly fast and deep when it comes , heading to the 13300 - 15100 region. The view stands as long as the the recent high of 18123 is not broken on the upside
NSE:NIFTY1!Short
by SolomonsView
22
BANKINDIA - Huge Volume Breakout- Bullish H&S pattern - Swing The analysis is done on daily TF hence price may take few days to few weeks in order to reach the targets. Trade setup is explained in image itself. The above analysis is purely for educational purpose. Traders must do their own study & follow risk management before entering into any trade Checkout my other ideas to understand how one can earn from stock markets with simple trade setups. Feel Free to comment below this or connect with me for any query or suggestion regarding this stock or Price Action Analysis.
NSE:BANKINDIALong
by TradewithAditya
3
Is Bitcoin ready for a 24K$ Pump?Is Bitcoin ready for a 24K$ Pump? The above chart of Bitcoin ( BTCUSDT ) laid out the descending triangle pattern. This pattern is often regarded as a characteristic of a bearish trend . It is formed by the upper trend line that connects the highs and a horizontal trend line connecting lows converges to form a triangle. If the price action breaches the lower support level , the bearish trend would be sustained. Currently, Bitcoin ( BTCUSDT ) is in the range of $ 20250. If the pattern continues, the price of Bitcoin ( BTCUSDT ) might reach the support levels of $24700, If the trend reverses, then the price of Bitcoin ( BTCUSDT ) may rise to $17700 BTC has recently seen an increase in volume in the trend, which may indicate that the bottom has been reached. Price is currently consolidating between 20,000$ and 20,400$, which is another good sign at the bottom phase for a trend reversal. According to the current structure of BTC, if it breaks the trend line resistance, the price of BTC may rise to 24.7K$. Happy Trading
Long
by TheNewsCrypto
10
Rounding Bottom patternHey everyone! 👋 Today we are going to share a quick write-up about the “Rounding bottom” formation, along with a few examples that may help you solidify your understanding of this chart pattern. Please remember this is an educational post to help all of our members better understand concepts used in trading or investing. This in no way promotes a particular style of trading! The post will shed some light on the following topics: ➡ Basics and identification of the pattern ➡ Components ➡ Important aspects What is a Rounding bottom pattern? • A rounding bottom is a bullish reversal pattern that resembles the shape of the "U". • Rounding bottom pattern occur at the end of long downtrends and indicate a potential reversal. • The pattern is also referred to as a saucer bottom due to its resemblance to a saucer. • Although, the volume and price move in sync but in practice, this can vary widely. • When the price moves above the neckline, it indicates strength and suggests that the stock may begin a new uptrend. Components of a Cup and Handle pattern: A rounding bottom pattern can be divided into three main parts. • Decline • Formation of the base • Advance Important aspects: 1. Prior Trend: Since it is a bullish reversal pattern, the prior trend must be a downtrend. The low of a rounding bottom should ideally mark a new low or reaction low. The stock may trade sideways or flat for a long duration before the formation of the pattern. 2. Decline: The sell-off or decline that leads to the formation of the low, can take a variety of forms. Sometimes, the down move has many whipsaws while other times, the stock may just trade flat. 3. Low: In general, the pattern resembles a "U" shaped bottom. However, it can also resemble a "V" or a "W," but the low should not be too sharp. In addition to this, there is always a possibility of a new low due to a selling climax. 4. Advance: In general, the formation of the right half of the pattern should take about the same amount of time as the left half. This means that the up move off the lows should take about the same time as the down move. Moreover, the advance shouldn't be too sharp, or else there is a possibility of breakout failure. 5. Breakout: The pattern is confirmed once the price breaks and sustains above the neckline. The price may return to the neckline to test for the demand before continuing upwards. 6. Volume: In general, the volume levels should be ➡ High during the down move ➡ Low during the formation of the base ➡ Rising during the up move However, these are only guidelines and should not necessarily be taken at face value. 7. Target: Using the measurement objective, the target comes out to be equal to the depth of the base. It can be measured by calculating the distance between the bottom of the base and the neckline. 8. Stop-loss: Ideally, the stop loss is placed at the lowest point of the base. But if the price oscillated up and down a number of times near the neckline, the stop-loss can also be placed below the most recent swing low. Exhibit: Rounding bottom pattern with a failed breakout Thanks for reading! As we mentioned before, this isn't trading advice, but rather information about a tool that many traders use. Hope this was helpful! See you all next week. 🙂 – Team TradingView Feel free to check us out on Instagram and YouTube for more awesome content! 💘
Education
by TradingView
9
CHOOSING OPTIONS STRIKEChoosing wrong strike prices can lead to big losses even when our analysis is right. It's due to Theta decay. So Lets understand some basics of options strike price. There are three types of strike prices based on their moneyness. 1)ATM (At the Money) 2)OTM (Out of the Money) 3)ITM (In the Money) FOR CALL OPTIONS : Lets assume Stock ABC is trading at 150 (spot price). Then, Spot price = 150 ATM Strike = 150 Any strike above spot price is OTM for call option. Ex : 160 ,170,180 etc., Any strike below spot price is ITM for call option. Ex : 140, 130, 120 etc., FOR PUT OPTIONS : Stock ABC is trading at 150 (spot price). Spot price = 150 ATM Strike = 150 Any strike above spot price is ITM for put option. Ex : 160 ,170,180 etc., Any strike below spot price is OTM for put option. Ex : 140, 130, 120 etc., HOW TO CHOOSE THE STRIKE AMONG THE ABOVE THREE MONEYNESS 1)Follow a simple rule, Buy a strike price which is closer to the spot price. "OTM STRIKES ARE BIG NO" . 2) Remember! when we are buying an option, the stock / index needs to move up / down with a good momentum. So that our option will gain some value & we will be in profit. So it doesn't make sense to buy a OTM call / put. Because if a strike price is far away from spot price, it won't give us much movement due to time decay. I have even shared my option strike rules as follow. Friday, Monday & Tuesday = ATM strikes Wednesday & Thursday = ITM strikes This is how I used to pick strikes for intraday. The reason is simple because, if we are closer to the expiry (Thursday) the effect of theta decay is very high. Due to which our premiums will not move much even if the stock / index has moved pretty well. By following these rules, our chances of losing money will drop drastically. Happy Learning & Earning :) - DivyaaPugal
NSE:RELIANCEEducation
by Divyaapugal
25
Different Methods to Identify Perfect Entries with ConfluenceBasics of Trading and the areas of interest of every trader to have minimum knowledge to understand the market and its movement. Volume Based Entries Basics of Volume When the price is trending volume will be above volume moving average that will be considered as trend, when volume is too high in a session thats higher than 3x to volume moving average that will be considered as climax which means maximum orders are filled in the exsisting trend. Apart from stocks if such Climax pattern in volume in any format is seen then consider there might be a reversal soon. If one is trading in the stocks you get to see this ultra high volumes in gap ups and gap downs, now you will have to know what sort of gap it is to take entries which we will discuss in the Gaps later. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gaps Gaps theory needs to be understood properly, over 4 kinds of Gaps are found in charts. Simple understanding follows : Common Gaps : Normal gaps that happen every day with in a ranging market Break Away Gaps : If a range/pattern/Support or Resistance is broken with a gap that is called break away gap. This sort of gap happens in the early stages of trend. Running Gaps : After breakaway gaps rest of the gaps if happened towards the trend is called running gaps. as long as there is an exhaustion gap. Exhaustion Gaps : This Exhaustion Gap happens either up or down after an up trend or the same in a down trend. These gaps gets filled giving an idea that the trend has ended. Consolidation Areas Consolidation areas or the trading ranges are to be considered as Support & Resistance areas to identify for patterns like Triangle, wedge, flag, pennant, or rectangle patterns. good areas to look for gap up or down and volume to identify breakout for the next move or plan for the next session. Fib Extension & Retracements Fibonacci extention and retracements is the basic knowledge that any trader who is willing to learn about technical analysis should be considering learning in depth, its a basic tool that gives you a lot of info, Basic knowledge to know is Fibbonacci Retracement is used to identify the entry and Extension is used to identify the exit. levels of interest are called the golden ratio i;e: 38%, 50%, 62% this is where majority of the reversals happen, these can be considered as Support & Resistance zones to look for breakout entries Support & Resistance Every traders nightmare is to understand or identify S&R in the initial days of your trading is not because you cannot ... it is because you are too curious, anxious, exited to enter into a trade, once you calm down and try to understand the market its not that hard to identify them ... S&R areas are the reversal zones or breakout zones it is going to be a big topic if tried to explain the whole concept so lets just stick to basics and use pivot high and low and FIB levels as your support and resistance zones for now. Trendline Breakout These are first thing that any trader learns try to master them, a perfect trendline is considered a strong support in uptrend or resistance in downtrend when it has respected this line for least 2 times from its start point. A breakout gives you and opportunity to enter in to a trade. Elliott Wave This is not considered as entry point in the initial stages of learning but one should know the basics of elliott wave to identify the trend we are in by looking at the leg we are in and you can calculate the trend by given wave length through fibonacci ratios. Only thing that you need to know is that market doesnt move in a straight line like you see in elliott wave picture above there will be waves with in waves. Try to bring all these together as confluence to understand the market move and take entries. Note : Train the eye to identify the structure, then comes the logic and explanation.
NSE:YESBANKEducation
by TeamTaurus
14
Gap up / gap down intraday strategy with simple entry / exitI get queries from a lot of people who don't want to study technical analysis much. They're just focused on getting a predefined trading strategy, which they can use effectively in the market without looking much at the charts . So, in this video, I share a strategy which has been given really good results and it works a lot of times and I believe the probability of this particular strategy is close to around 65 to 70%. It has simple entry and exit rules, and you can only apply this particular strategy when the market opens gap up or gap down. See, whenever the market opens gap up or gap down, there is high volatile period of the market during the beginning half an hour or an hour. And in that period of time,if you place a trade, then you have a good probability if market moves as per expectation. As you can see these days, nifty and back nifty have been creating gap up and gap down opening almost on a daily basis. In this case, the first rule is that if the market opens gap up by more than half a percent. So for example, if bank nifty opens gap up by more then 200 points. , then only you can apply this strategy. And on the other hand, if nifty opens gap up or gap down by more than 50 or 60 points, then only you should think of applying this particular strategy. Small gaps do not count in this strategy. So if bank nifty gaps down or gaps up by only 50- 60 points, then avoid this strategy altogether. See, whenever the market is opening gap up or gap down, there are two possibilities. The market might continue the current trend. For example, if the market opens gap up, the chances are that the market might move higher, or the other possibility is that the market might go sideways the whole day. So ,in this case, whenever you see the market opening gap up or gap down by more than half a percent, just have to follow this simple procedure. Just plot the 15 minute chart with a 20 exponential moving average. Why 20 exponential moving average because the market usually gets good support and resistance around the 20 moving average. You can expect the market to stall around the moving average for a lot of times if you take a trade. So ,you just have to plot the 15 minute chart, and if the market gaps up or gaps down, you just have to watch the first 15 minute candle. So if the market opens gap up and it forms a bullish candle. Then , what you can do is you can sell puts if price breaks the first 15M candle high. You can sell puts with the stop loss at the low of the candle. If the market comes below the low of the candlestick the first 15 minute bar, then you exit your position and book the loss. Why sell puts? The idea behind selling puts is that during the first 15-30 minutes, the volatility is on a very higher side during that period. And if at that point of time you start to sell options, then with the passage of time, as the market starts to move sideways, the volatility reduces. And, what occurs is a concept called IV Crush. The volatility starts to reduce very quickly and that will give you a benefit if you sell a put, even if the market goes sideways. So for example, the market formed a very big bullish candle, and the criteria is if it crosses the high of the candle ,sell puts . So, the whole day, if the market is moving sideways/upwards , the volatility crush will start to happen. And with the passage of time, you'll start to see the benefit of the IV Crush and the time decay. So this is a very handy strategy which you can apply. Always remember, keep the stop loss below of the first 15M candle. It's a very effective technique, and it's based upon gap openings. And ,the first 15 minutes usually tell us who is on the stronger side, who's winning , buyers or sellers. So make sure the gap is big and whatever bar is being formed in the first 15 minutes. If the bar is bullish, you sell a put If the price crosses the high of that candle stick, and stop plus below the low of that candlestick. It's an effective rule based strategy and you can back test it on nifty and bank nifty. And you can also check its reliability, its effectiveness, you can also add this particular strategy in your tool kit. So I hope this strategy will provide some sort of value to you in your trading. And if you find the video helpful, don't forget to like this and share it and also comment your thoughts. Thank you very much and take care.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by piyushrawtani
24
GOLD BREAK OF BULLISH MARKET STRUCTUREXAUUSD just broke bullish market structure. It failed to break Higher high and created a double top which will be confirmed as it breaks below 1705. Will be entering short as it breaks below 1705 and confirms it on hourly chart TP 1 will be 0.5 Fib which is 1672.05 and TP 2- 1658.42. will go for TP 3 1617 if it breaks below golden pocket of 0.618. My SL will be 2% I'll be entering short only if it actually confirms the double top by breaking below 1705. that will confirm market has actually flipped to bearish
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by itwasblue
18
UPL - Multi time frame AnalysisPlan A : Price is still below the trend line resistance and sustaining 688 - 692 will make the price to move towards 696,702. Plan B : Near by resistance 700 - 704. Price should sustain this zone to move to 710, 716 and 722. Plan C : If price shows bearish strength below 686 - 690, then price will move to 682,677, 672 and 666. Note : Understand the trend strength before taking any trade. If you are bullish look for bullish strengh and if you are bearish look for bearish strength. Dont change your view with each candle.
NSE:UPL
by vanathi
10