Nifty 50 – Textbook Correction vs Triangle SetupNifty’s recent move can be read in two ways:
Scenario 1: Textbook W–X–Y correction
Price already topped at 25,153 (wave X) and is now heading lower in wave Y. The downside focus is on the 24,337 support.
Scenario 2: Triangle setup in X
Instead of a direct fall, price is forming a contracting triangle. After completing ABCDE inside X, the market can still break lower toward 24,337. This path is slower, with more sideways chop.
Invalidation and Bullish Alternative
If Nifty breaks above 25,153, both the textbook and triangle counts are invalid. In that case, the bullish alternative takes over—where the rally from 24,337 was wave 1, the dip to 24,404 was wave 2, and the current move is wave 3 higher.
Key levels to watch:
Support: 24,337
Resistance / Invalidation: 25,153
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Elliott Wave
IRCTC rising to fall back again?What appears to be a corrective pullback to complete wave iv, IRCTC may witness a fall in the coming days to complete wave v.
**This is an educational market outlook, not investment advice. Please consult a SEBI-registered advisor before taking any investment decisions.**
Titan Company Limited – Fundamentals Meet Elliott WavesTitan Company, a jewel in the Tata Group crown, is best known for its dominant jewellery business , contributing nearly 90% of its revenue through brands like Tanishq, Mia, Caratlane, and Zoya. Watches and eyewear remain smaller segments, though they strengthen Titan’s brand presence. The company remains India-centric, with ~96% of revenues generated domestically.
On the numbers side, Titan continues to deliver steady revenue growth — ₹637B (TTM) with net income at ₹37B and EPS near ₹42. Margins, however, are modest: net margin hovers around 6–7% , while returns on equity stay robust at ~30%. Despite these positives, Titan trades at premium valuations — P/E ~88×, P/S ~5×, and EV/EBITDA above 50×, levels that price in a lot of growth. Dividends are token (~0.3% yield, ₹11/share), as the company reinvests heavily to fuel expansion.
The Elliott Wave Picture
On the weekly chart, Titan appears to have completed a W–X–Y corrective Wave 4 near ₹2,925. From there, Wave 5 has started unfolding:
Subwave 1: ₹2,925 → ₹3,665
Subwave 2: pullback to ₹3,307
Price is now pressing against resistance around ₹3,665–₹3,886.
A clear breakout above this zone would likely confirm the onset of a powerful Wave 3 of 5 rally , projecting targets between ₹4,047 (1.0× extension) and ₹4,504 (1.618× extension) .
Stop-loss / Invalidation: Below ₹3,307.
Momentum indicators back the case: RSI shows a rising trendline, hinting at strengthening bullish energy.
Putting It Together
Fundamentals: Strong brand, steady growth, high ROE — but expensive and reliant on Indian jewellery demand.
Technicals: Structure supports the case for a Wave 3 rally, provided price breaks out convincingly.
Balance: Titan remains a growth stock priced at perfection . If the breakout sustains, technicals could offer near-term upside, but stretched valuations mean risks shouldn’t be ignored.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Sun Pharma – Double Bottom and Trendline Test AheadChart Summary
Sun Pharma’s weekly chart shows a completed W–X–Y corrective structure. Wave W bottomed near ₹1,553.05, followed by a corrective X at ₹1,851.20, and Wave Y terminating at ₹1,556.20. This final Y-leg has unfolded as an abc zigzag, respecting the larger corrective framework.
Price Action Highlights
A potential structural double bottom has formed around the ₹1,553–₹1,556 zone, hinting at possible exhaustion of the correction.
The latest candle is a hammer-like bar, suggesting demand stepped in around support levels.
Overhead, a major downtrend resistance line connecting the highs (₹1,960.35) to the swing X (₹1,851.20) remains the decisive breakout level.
A clear stop-loss line sits near ₹1,520.40, aligned with the 100% extension of Wave A inside Y. A break below this level invalidates the bullish case.
Volume Perspective
Recent selling has come with a volume spike, often seen during exhausation selling phases. If volume eases on follow-up candles while price holds above the support zone, it strengthens the case for a reversal.
Outlook
If price can sustain above the ₹1,553–₹1,556 support cluster and eventually break the trendline resistance, it may confirm the end of the corrective phase and open the door for a new impulsive sequence higher. Failure to hold the stop-loss zone, however, would negate this view and suggest further downside.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
SBI Life Insurance – Rising Channel Breakdown with RSI WeaknessThe stock completed a clear 5-wave impulse from ₹1,382.65 to ₹1,833.90 .
Since then, the structure has turned corrective, unfolding as a possible W–X–Y pattern.
Price action:
Price broke below the rising channel , signaling fading momentum.
Immediate support lies at ₹1,783 , followed by ₹1,720 , and a deeper level near ₹1,640 .
RSI observation:
RSI has been sliding inside a falling channel since May, confirming weakening strength.
Current reading is ~43.7, suggesting momentum is fading further.
Trade bias:
As long as price remains below ₹1,890 (stop-loss / invalidation), the structure favors further downside.
Breakdown continuation could lead toward the ₹1,640 zone, which aligns with the projected end of Wave Y.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Indian Railway Finance Corporation – Complex Correction in PlayDisclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Technical Picture
Indian Railway Finance Corporation (IRFC) stock rallied from the swing low of 65.75 to an all-time high of 229 in a strong impulsive move. Since then, the stock has entered a corrective phase.
The decline from 229 to 108.04 unfolded as a clear three-wave ABC zigzag.
From 108.04 to 148.95, the rise was overlapping and choppy, best counted as an X wave triangle rather than a fresh impulsive sequence.
The fall from 148.95 to 117.33 looks impulsive and is labelled as Wave A of the Y leg.
The ongoing bounce can be labelled as Wave B, with retracement levels around 124–129 acting as possible resistance.
Once Wave B completes, a Wave C decline is expected to finish Wave Y. This Y leg can either:
terminate near 108.04, forming a double bottom structure, or extend toward the 0.786 retracement of the 65.75–229 rally, around 100.70.
Momentum and Indicators
On the D,2D and Weekly charts, RSI is below the 50 mark, showing weak momentum.
Price remains under the 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages, which are acting as resistances (not plotted here to keep the chart uncluttered).
The invalidation level for this corrective view is 148.95. A break above this level would challenge the corrective structure and point to a new impulsive rally.
Fundamentals
Growth : FY25 sales at Rs 27,152 crore vs Rs 26,645 crore in FY24. Net profit at Rs 6,502 crore vs Rs 6,412 crore. Quarterly profits continue steady.
Cash flows : Operating cash flow improved to Rs 8,229 crore. Net cash flow turned positive at Rs 5,657 crore from negative last year.
Leverage : Debt-to-equity is high at 7.83, with interest coverage at just 1.3x, leaving little buffer.
Returns and margins : Return on equity stands at 12.3%, but margins have narrowed from earlier highs.
Valuation : P/E around 25 and P/B at 3.1 suggest the stock is not cheap given its nature as a financing PSU.
in.tradingview.com
Summary
IRFC appears to be in the final stages of a complex W–X–Y correction. Wave Y is unfolding, and price can either find support near 108.04 to form a double bottom or stretch further toward the 100.70 zone. The 129 area is key resistance for the current B wave bounce, and 148.95 remains the invalidation level.
While the company’s fundamentals are stable with steady sales and profits, the balance sheet remains heavily leveraged, and valuations are not inexpensive. Investors should watch for price action around 108–100 for signs of a structural bottom and confirmation before positioning for the next major trend.
Varun Beverages Ltd – Wave 2 Setup at Trendline SupportVarun Beverages Ltd. (VBL), PepsiCo’s second-largest global bottling partner, has been through a long and exhausting corrective phase. On the Elliott Wave chart, this stretched out as a W–X–Y–X–Z sequence, finally bottoming out at ₹449.3 .
On the current chart you may not clearly see the entire W–X–Y–X–Z sequence, as it plays out on a slightly smaller scale — but it has been marked.
From that final low of ₹449.3, price started a fresh impulse :
Wave 1 up, then a tiny Wave 2 ending at ₹450 (just above the start of Wave 1).
A smooth, non-overlapping Wave 3, 4, and 5 followed, with Wave 5 topping at ₹534.20.
This whole structure completes a higher-degree Wave 1 .
The current decline from ₹534.20 is unfolding as a classic ABC zigzag , which fits perfectly as a Wave 2 correction .
Why this zone matters
Fibonacci retracement: Price is now testing the 0.786 retrace of the entire rally (449.3 → 534.2).
Trendline support: Aligns with a long-term rising trendline.
Invalidation: As per Elliott rules, Wave 2 cannot break below 449.3 (start of Wave 1). That level is the final stop-loss.
Trading roadmap
Entry Zone: Around 467–470 (Fib + trendline confluence).
Stop-loss: 449.3 (Wave 1 origin).
Targets: A move above 534.20 would confirm Wave 3 is in progress, with further Wave 4 and Wave 5 projections to be plotted as price action evolves.
This makes the setup very attractive from a risk–reward perspective : a tight stop vs. potentially large upside.
Fundamentals lining up
VBL just incorporated its joint venture with White Peak Refrigeration Pvt. Ltd . for visi-coolers and refrigeration equipment.
Q2 CY2025: despite a 3% volume dip, revenue grew 2.5% and net profit rose 5% , aided by efficiencies and lower finance costs.
International volumes (esp. South Africa, +16%) remain strong.
So, while the chart points to a possible Wave 2 bottom , the fundamentals also provide support.
(Source: in.tradingview.com)
Conclusion
If support holds at current levels, Varun Beverages could be setting up for a strong Wave 3 rally . If ₹449.3 is breached , the bullish impulse count is invalid and the structure must be re-evaluated.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Divi’s Laboratories – Wave (C) Decline Targeting Lower ZonesWave Count
Divi’s Laboratories topped at ₹7,071.50, completing a 5-wave impulse.
From there, price declined in five clear waves into Wave (A) at ₹5,856.50.
The subsequent bounce unfolded as an abc zigzag, peaking at ₹6,314.50 — aligning perfectly with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the 7,071.50–5,856.50 fall.
Wave (B) therefore looks complete, though the possibility of a triangle cannot be fully dismissed. The structure now favors a Wave (C) decline, unfolding in five waves toward lower zones.
Momentum
RSI stays weak, repeatedly failing to break above 50. This confirms lack of bullish strength and supports the bearish case.
Targets
Wave (C) is expected to stretch into the ₹5,563–₹5,100 zone, defined by the 0.618-1.00 extension and prior structural supports.
Trade Plan
Bias: Bearish until Wave (C) completes
Target zone: ₹5,563–₹5,100
Stop-loss / invalidation: Close above ₹6,350.50
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
BSE Ltd – Corrective W–X–Y In ProgressThe previous impulsive wave topped at ₹3030, marking an all-time high.
Since then, the structure has unfolded as a W–X–Y corrective double three. The market is now progressing within Wave Y, with Wave (a) already driving price down to ₹2090.
For Wave (b), watch for price rejection either at the midline of the channel or the upper boundary. A rejection from these levels should lead Wave (c) lower, targeting the 0.5–0.618 retracement zone between ₹2128 and ₹1915, where Wave Y may complete.
RSI is oversold and continues to print lower lows, showing no bullish divergence yet — momentum still favors the bears.
Bearish invalidation sits at ₹2550 — any sustained move above this would negate the immediate bearish view.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
IREDA – Support Zone in Focus During Wave 2The rally from ₹50 → ₹310 unfolded in a clean 5-wave impulse, marking the completion of Wave 1.
Since then, the decline has been unfolding as a W–X–Y correction , currently progressing inside Wave 2. The ongoing drop is an unfinished Wave (a), projected toward the support cluster around ₹123–110 . This area coincides with the 100% extension of the internal Wave 4 and prior structural support.
Once tested, a corrective Wave (b) bounce may follow, before one final dip in Wave (c) completes Wave Y of 2. A potential double bottom formation near ₹110 cannot be ruled out, which could set the stage for the powerful Wave 3 rally.
Bearish invalidation remains at ₹186.58.
Trade Plan
Bias: Bearish until Wave Y of 2 completes
Entry Zone: Relief rallies into resistances (watch for rejection signs)
Watch for: A corrective Wave (b) bounce, followed by one final leg down in Wave (c)
Stop-loss: Close above ₹186.58 (bearish invalidation)
Target: Support cluster at ₹123–110, with possible extension into a double bottom near ₹110
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Trading Psychology & DisciplineIntroduction
In the world of financial markets, traders often focus on technical analysis, fundamental research, algorithms, and news-driven events to make decisions. While these tools are essential, there is one element that is frequently underestimated yet plays a much bigger role in success: trading psychology and discipline.
Trading is not just about numbers, charts, or strategies—it is a game of emotions, mindset, and self-control. Even the most sophisticated strategies fail if the trader cannot control fear, greed, and impulsive behavior. On the other hand, an average trading system can become profitable in the hands of a disciplined and emotionally balanced trader.
This discussion will explore the psychological aspects of trading, the emotional challenges, common behavioral biases, and how discipline can transform a trader’s performance. We’ll also look at techniques and practices to build a resilient trading mindset.
1. The Role of Psychology in Trading
Trading psychology refers to the emotions and mental state that influence how traders make decisions in the market. Unlike professions where skills and experience directly translate into results, trading is unique because psychological factors often override logic.
For example:
A trader may have a solid strategy to exit a position at a 10% profit. But when the time comes, greed makes them hold longer, hoping for more, and the market reverses.
Another trader may see a perfect setup but doesn’t enter the trade because of fear after a previous loss.
This illustrates that psychology can either support or sabotage trading success. Research shows that 80–90% of retail traders lose money consistently—not always because of poor strategies, but due to a lack of discipline and emotional control.
2. Key Emotional Challenges in Trading
Let’s examine the major psychological challenges that traders face.
a) Fear
Fear is the most dominant emotion in trading. It manifests in different ways:
Fear of losing money (not taking a trade).
Fear of missing out (FOMO—jumping into a trade too late).
Fear of being wrong (holding on to losing positions).
Fear often leads to hesitation, early exits, or missed opportunities.
b) Greed
Greed drives traders to:
Overstay in profitable trades.
Over-leverage positions.
Overtrade (taking too many trades in a day).
While the market rewards patience, greed often blinds judgment.
c) Hope
Many traders fall into the trap of hope, especially with losing trades. Instead of cutting losses, they keep hoping the market will reverse in their favor. Hope replaces rational decision-making.
d) Revenge Trading
After a loss, traders sometimes feel the need to recover money immediately. This leads to impulsive trades without proper setups—often resulting in bigger losses.
e) Overconfidence
Success can be as dangerous as failure. After a winning streak, traders may become overconfident, take unnecessary risks, or abandon risk management—leading to devastating drawdowns.
3. Behavioral Biases in Trading
Trading psychology overlaps with behavioral finance, where human biases cloud rational thinking. Some common biases include:
Loss Aversion Bias – The pain of loss is psychologically stronger than the pleasure of gain. Traders avoid booking small losses, leading to bigger ones.
Confirmation Bias – Traders look only for information that supports their trade idea, ignoring opposing signals.
Anchoring Bias – Traders anchor to a certain price level (like the price they bought at) and refuse to sell below it.
Herd Mentality – Following the crowd without analysis, often during market bubbles.
Recency Bias – Giving more weight to recent outcomes rather than long-term performance.
These biases affect judgment and lead to poor decision-making.
4. The Importance of Discipline in Trading
If psychology is the foundation, discipline is the structure that holds a trader’s career together. Discipline in trading means sticking to rules, risk management, and strategies regardless of emotions.
A disciplined trader:
Enters trades only when rules align.
Exits trades at predefined stop-loss or target levels.
Maintains position sizing regardless of emotions.
Accepts losses as part of the business.
Avoids impulsive and revenge trading.
Discipline converts trading from gambling into a professional business.
5. The Mindset of a Successful Trader
Professional traders think differently from amateurs. They focus on process over outcome. Their mindset includes:
Probability Thinking
No trade is guaranteed. Each trade is just one outcome in a series of probabilities. Accepting this reduces emotional pressure.
Detachment from Money
Professionals see money as a tool, not an emotional anchor. They measure success in terms of following their plan, not short-term profits.
Adaptability
Markets change constantly. Disciplined traders adapt rather than stubbornly sticking to failing strategies.
Patience
They wait for high-probability setups rather than forcing trades.
Long-term Focus
Success is measured in months and years, not a single trade.
6. Building Trading Discipline
Discipline is not automatic—it requires conscious practice. Here’s how traders can develop it:
a) Create a Trading Plan
A trading plan defines:
Entry and exit rules.
Position sizing.
Risk-reward ratios.
Markets and timeframes to trade.
Maximum daily/weekly losses.
Without a plan, emotions take over.
b) Use Risk Management
Risk per trade should never exceed 1–2% of capital. Stop-loss orders should be predefined. This ensures survival even during losing streaks.
c) Keep a Trading Journal
A journal helps track:
Why you entered a trade.
Emotions felt during the trade.
What went right/wrong.
Over time, patterns emerge, revealing weaknesses in psychology and strategy.
d) Practice Mindfulness
Mindfulness techniques such as meditation, deep breathing, or visualization help traders stay calm during stressful market conditions.
e) Accept Losses as Normal
Even the best traders lose frequently. What matters is keeping losses small and letting winners run. Accepting losses removes emotional baggage.
f) Avoid Overtrading
Set daily/weekly limits on trades. This prevents emotional exhaustion and impulsive decisions.
7. Practical Techniques to Improve Trading Psychology
Here are actionable steps:
Pre-Market Routine – Spend 10–15 minutes visualizing scenarios, checking news, and calming the mind.
Set Daily Goals – Focus on execution (e.g., “Follow my plan”) rather than monetary goals.
Take Breaks – Step away after a loss or win streak to reset emotionally.
Limit Screen Time – Over-monitoring leads to anxiety. Check setups at predefined times.
Simulation/Backtesting – Helps build confidence in a system before using real money.
Accountability Partner – Sharing trades with another trader builds discipline.
8. Case Studies: Trading Psychology in Action
Case 1: The Fearful Trader
A new trader avoids trades after a big loss. Despite seeing good setups, fear paralyzes action. Over time, opportunities are missed, and frustration builds.
Lesson: Risk management and small position sizing reduce fear.
Case 2: The Greedy Trader
Another trader doubles account quickly during a bull run, but refuses to book profits. Overconfidence leads to leverage, and one market crash wipes out everything.
Lesson: Discipline and humility are essential.
Case 3: The Disciplined Trader
A professional trader takes 40% win rate trades but manages risk with 1:3 reward ratios. Despite losing more trades than winning, account grows steadily.
Lesson: Discipline beats emotions.
9. The Role of Technology and Psychology
Modern trading platforms provide tools like:
Automated trading systems – Reduce emotional interference.
Alerts and stop-loss automation – Enforce discipline.
Analytics dashboards – Help track performance.
But even with technology, psychology remains the deciding factor, since traders often override systems when emotions take over.
10. Long-Term Development of Trading Mindset
Trading psychology is not built overnight. It requires years of consistent practice. Key long-term practices include:
Reading trading psychology books (e.g., Trading in the Zone by Mark Douglas).
Engaging in regular self-reflection.
Accepting that markets are uncertain.
Developing resilience to handle both drawdowns and success.
The goal is to become a trader who is calm in chaos, rational under stress, and disciplined under temptation.
Conclusion
Trading psychology and discipline are the invisible forces behind every successful trader. Strategies and indicators provide the “how,” but psychology answers the “why” and “when.”
Fear, greed, and biases sabotage results.
Discipline enforces consistency and professionalism.
A strong trading mindset focuses on probabilities, risk management, and patience.
Ultimately, trading is not a battle with the market—it is a battle with oneself. Mastering psychology and discipline transforms trading from an emotional rollercoaster into a structured, profitable business.
As the saying goes:
“In trading, your mind is your greatest asset—or your biggest enemy. The choice is yours.”
Wipro: Covid Trendline + 200W MA Enough for Breakout?After topping at ₹369.90 in 2021, Wipro corrected for nearly three years through a W–X–Y structure. The decline finally found support around ₹187.52 along the Covid-low trendline, where a fresh impulsive-looking rally started.
The first leg from that low advanced in five waves, peaking near ₹320. What followed was an expanded flat correction — Wave B overshot the prior high at ₹320, and Wave C terminated at ₹228. This aligns well with the textbook characteristics of an expanded flat.
That ₹228 level now stands as the key support and invalidation marker . Price has since rebounded, and the structure suggests the early stages of Wave C/3 .
Support / SL: ₹228 (below this, the bullish count breaks down)
Target zone: Above ₹320, with potential to extend further if momentum builds
Technical confluence: Covid-low trendline support + 200-week MA + completed corrective structure + impulsive rally foundation
The setup looks constructive, but confirmation comes only with sustained strength above 271–289 . Until then, keep alternate counts in mind.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
CDSL: Corrective Drop Ending, Setup for Wave C/3 RiseThe decline from 1828.9 is unfolding as a 3-wave corrective move, likely Wave B/2 of a larger bullish sequence. Price is now testing the 0.5–0.618 retracement zone (1438–1346), which aligns with typical B/2 termination levels.
Notably, the rally from 1047.4 → 1828.9 unfolded in a clear 5-wave impulse, confirming it as Wave 1/A of a new sequence. By Elliott Wave guidelines, the present correction is setting the stage for another 5-wave advance once complete.
RSI has failed to make a fresh low while price pushed lower, creating a bullish divergence — a classic signal that downside momentum is fading.
Trade Plan
Entry Zone: 1438–1346
Watch for: Bullish price action or reversal signals before taking long positions
Stop-loss: Below 1346
Target: Retest of 1828.9, with potential for higher extension if Wave 3 is confirmed
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Trading Master Class With ExpertsReal-Life Applications of Options
Options are not just trading tools; they have practical uses:
Insurance companies use options to hedge portfolios.
Exporters/Importers hedge currency risks using options.
Banks use interest rate options to manage risk.
Investors use protective puts to safeguard their stock portfolios.
Psychology of Options Trading
Trading options requires discipline. Many beginners blow up accounts because:
They buy cheap OTM options hoping for jackpots.
They ignore time decay.
They overtrade due to low cost of entry.
A successful option trader thinks like a risk manager first, profit seeker second.
Silver Futures (4H) – Zigzag Correction in ProgressThe decline from 116,641 → 109,080 unfolded in 5 waves, confirming an impulse. This sets the stage for a 5-3-5 zigzag correction . With Wave A complete, the market is now advancing in Wave B, expected to resolve as a zigzag.
A strict bearish invalidation level is marked at 116,641 . As long as prices remain below this level, the expectation is for Wave C down to follow and complete the zigzag sequence.
📌 Key Levels:
Invalidation (SL): 116,641
Wave B unfolding as zigzag
Wave C down expected next
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE IOC – Approaching a Key Demand ZoneTimeframe: Daily
After reaching a high of 196.8, the price has declined by over 39% in 13 weeks. It is currently trading below the 50/100 EMA band, with ATR at 3.68 and ADX at 26.02 . According to the Elliott Wave projection, the peak of 196.80 can be identified as a wave ((3)). The security is currently undergoing the formation of a corrective wave (4).
Wave (B) formed at 185.97 , while wave 4 of wave (C) was completed at 145.10 . NSE IOC is now setting up for the final wave 5 of wave (C).
Two key Fibonacci relationships help estimate the end of the correction:
1.618 Fibonacci extension of wave (A) at 106.54 (for wave C)
0.618 Fibonacci extension of wave 1 at 115.52 (for wave 5)
The price is expected to settle between 115 and 105 , which serves as a key demand zone for buyers. If the price breaks out and sustains above 129.75, traders can target the following levels: 139 – 156 – 172+.
we will update further information soon.
Cummins India – Wave 4 Expanded Flat Before New ATHFrom the 2580 low , Cummins India has likely started a new impulse sequence .
Wave 1 unfolded as a Leading Diagonal , confirmed by messy overlaps and volume spikes.
A sharp Wave 2 retracement was followed by a powerful Wave 3 rally to 3900.
RSI has held a rising trendline throughout, supporting momentum.
Now, price action suggests a Wave 4 Expanded Flat :
Wave A dipped from 3900.
Wave B exceeded the high.
Wave C is projected to retrace into the 3737–3637 Fib zone , offering an entry setup.
Trade Plan:
Entry levels: 3737–3637
Stop loss (SL): Below 3419
Target (Tgt): New ATH at 4171+
RSI remains constructive — momentum intact unless the trendline breaks.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Angel One: Corrective pattern aligning for bounceAngel One topped at an all-time high of 3895 before entering a corrective phase. The decline into 2025 marked Wave W, followed by a rally into 3503 as Wave X, and then a fall to 1941 completing Wave Y. From there, the stock advanced to 3284, counted as Wave A/1 with a leading diagonal.
The decline since 3284 has unfolded as a double zigzag (W–X–Y) within a parallel bearish channel. Wave Y is testing key supports at 2454 (0.618 Fib) and 2228 (0.786 Fib). RSI is near the oversold band around 30, setting up the possibility of bullish divergence if price makes a marginal new low. The bullish view remains valid above 1941; a close below this level invalidates the count.
Trade Plan:
Bias: Expecting Wave B/2 to complete around 2228
Trigger: Watch for bullish divergence or reversal candles near support
Target: A break above 3284 would confirm Wave C/3
Risk: Stop loss at 1941
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
United Breweries – Confluence of Supports Testing Bulls’ NerveThe stock has completed a clear 5-wave impulse into the 2182.45 high. Since then, price action has unfolded into a complex W–X–Y corrective structure.
Now, price is testing a confluence of supports — the strong demand area, channel bottom, and the rising 200-week MA. This cluster raises the probability of a bounce, which may mark the beginning of Wave X2/1.
The 200-week MA serves as dynamic support and a trailing stop, while the hard invalidation remains at 1810 . A decisive close below this level would negate the bullish scenario and signal deeper weakness.
Summary:
Completed 5-wave advance into 2182.45
Current correction unfolding as W–X–Y
Multiple supports aligning (MA200 + channel + demand area)
Bounce potential into Wave X2/1
Dynamic stop: MA200 | Hard invalidation: 1810
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please DYOR before making trading decisions.
Tilaknagar: Retracement Zones in Focus After 5-Wave RallyTilaknagar rallied from ₹199.53 to ₹529.90 , completing a clean 5-wave impulse. The move stretched right into the 1.618 Fib extension (₹508.95) and was accompanied by RSI bearish divergence, hinting at exhaustion.
With the Wave 1 top confirmed at ₹529.90 , a corrective Wave 2 is expected. The ideal retracement zone sits between ₹403.70 (0.382) and ₹364.70 (0.5) . Price action into this zone will be key to assessing the next leg.
⚠️ Bearish invalidation level: A close above ₹529.90 invalidates the correction view and opens the door to an extended Wave 3 instead.
In short:
Holding below 529.90 → corrective Wave 2 towards 403–364.
Breakout above 529.90 → Wave 3 extension continues.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.