#Banknifty directions and levels for December 3rd.Bank Nifty Current View:
It looks similar to Nifty's sentiment. If the market takes an initial pullback, it could reach a minimum of 61% to 78%. After that, if it consolidates or breaks this level, the rally will likely continue. Conversely, if it rejects this level, it may consolidate between the previous low and the upcoming high. If it breaks below the bottom of the swing, the correction will continue. Conversely, if it breaks the 61% level on the upside, the rally will continue.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the market initially declines, it may indicate a range-bound market, which means it may consolidate between the previous low and the opening price. After that, if it breaks below the bottom of the swing, the correction will continue. Conversely, if it breaks the 61% level on the upside, the rally will continue.
Elliott Wave
#Sensex directions and levels for December 2nd. Current View:
The current view indicates that if the market starts neutral or experiences an initial decline, the immediate zone(red) will act as support. If it consolidates or breaks this level, we can expect a continuation of the correction, with a minimum target of 79136 to the minor demand zone. This is the basic structure. However, if it doesn’t break this level, it could see a pullback.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the market sustains the gap-up and breaks the previous high, it could reach the 80170 Fibonacci level on the upside, which is a major resistance. Until we break this level, we cannot expect a continuation of the rally. If it breaks, the rally will continue; conversely, if it is rejected, it could turn into a range-bound market.
#Nifty directions and levels for December 2nd.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for December 2nd.
Market Overview:
There are no significant changes happening. The global market is maintaining a bullish sentiment (based on Dow Jones only), while our local market has a moderately bearish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, based on Gifty Nifty showing a positive 50 points.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty experienced minor pullbacks.
Structurally, Nifty closed at the mid-level of its minor swing, while Bank Nifty closed around the 38% Fibonacci level.
What does this indicate?
>Nifty suggests a range-bound market sentiment.
>Bank Nifty reflects a slightly bearish sentiment.
Overall, this suggests a moderately bearish outlook, meaning we cannot expect a rally continuation until the previous highs are broken. Let's explain this further using charts.
Nifty Current View:
The current view indicates that if the market starts neutral or experiences an initial decline, the 38% level to 24031 will act as support. If it consolidates or breaks this level, we can expect a continuation of the correction, with a minimum target of 23941 to the minor demand zone. This is the basic structure. However, if it doesn’t break this level, it could see a pullback.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the market sustains the gap-up and breaks the previous high, it could reach the 78% Fibonacci level on the upside, which is a major resistance. Until we break this level, we cannot expect a continuation of the rally. If it breaks, the rally will continue; conversely, if it is rejected, it could turn into a range-bound market.
#Banknifty directions and levels for December 2nd.Bank Nifty Current View:
The current view indicates that until we break the previous low, we cannot expect a correction. If it breaks, we can expect a minimum of 51656 to 51461. On the other hand, if it doesn’t break the previous low, consolidation will likely continue.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the market sustains the gap-up and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, it could reach the 50% Fibonacci level on the upside. This is a major resistance; if it breaks this level, the rally will continue to a minimum of the 61% Fibonacci level at 52551. Conversely, if it is rejected, it could turn into a range-bound market or a continuation of the correction.
PI INDUSTRIES good to buy?The daily chart of PI INDUSTRIES shows that the stock is in wave 4 of an impulse.
Wave 3 is a terminal impulse in this case as it is less than 161.8% (see fib extension in green).
And as per the rule, wave 4 of any terminal impulse can overlap with wave 1. Also, wave 4 can retrace to 50%.
We have done detailed counting, and we can see that the price is near 50% of the fib retracement of the impulse.
At this level, we can see wave C of wave 4 is standing at 127% extension. It is possible that the price can fall a little further up to 161.8% extension. (See fib extension in blue).
The conclusion is that an aggressive trader can enter between the zone of 50% (see in black) fib retracement and 161.8% (see in blue) fib extension.
For conservative entry, one can wait for the price to break and sustain above 38.2% (see in black).
The stoploss for both entries will be below 61.8% (see in red). This is quite logical because wave 4 will never close below 61.8%
Meaning, the 61.8% level is an invalidation point for all this counting and the price will fall further if it breaks 61.8%
This analysis is based on Elliott wave theory and Fibonacci.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
This is not any buying recommendation. Please always do your research before taking any trade.
XAU USD From Dec 2nd to Dec 6th (target1000 pips )These levels are valid from Dec 2nd to Dec 6th.
XAUUSD should touch 2672 and from 2672 to 2674 we can see good selling opportunity SL can be 2681 and target 2562 and 2552 is the last target(1000 pips).
From 2649 we can see good buying opportunity up to 2569 (200 pips).
#Nifty directions and levels for November 29th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for November 29th.
Market Overview:
The global market is maintaining a bullish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones only), while our local market shows a moderately bearish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as the Gifty Nifty indicates a positive 20 points.
In the previous session, the market started with a positive bias, but this did not sustain, and it fell drastically. If we consider yesterday's structure, there is bearish pressure. However, the overall structure suggests that we might see a time adjustment movement, meaning we can expect a minor pullback and some consolidation today. I will explain this in the chart.
Both Nifty and Bank Nifty are showing similar structural sentiment.
Current View:
The current view indicates that if the market starts neutral or if the initial market takes a pullback, we can expect a minimum pullback of 38% to 50%. Structurally, it could reject there. If that happens, we can expect some consolidation between the previous low and the pullback high. This is the basic structure,
> but the notable point is the 38% Fibonacci level. the 38% Fibonacci level is critical because sharp corrections typically struggle to decisively break this level. Therefore, if the market pulls back but then breaks the previous low without breaching the 38% Fibonacci level, the correction is likely to continue, making this a key area to watch.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the initial market declines and breaks the previous low, the correction will likely continue to the level of the minor demand zone, which is a support level. However, if it consolidates around there, the correction is likely to continue.
#Banknifty directions and levels for November 29th.Current View:
The current view indicates that if the market starts neutral or if the initial market takes a pullback, we can expect a minimum pullback of 38% to 50%. Structurally, it could reject there. If that happens, we can expect some consolidation between the previous low and the pullback high. This is the basic structure,
> but the notable point is the 38% Fibonacci level. the 38% Fibonacci level is critical because sharp corrections typically struggle to decisively break this level. Therefore, if the market pulls back but then breaks the previous low without breaching the 38% Fibonacci level, the correction is likely to continue, making this a key area to watch.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the initial market declines and breaks the previous low, the correction will likely continue to the level of 51,461, which is a support level. However, if it consolidates around there, the correction is likely to continue.
COCHIN SHIPYARD analysisCOCHIN SHIPYARD is forming wave of Zig-zag pattern.
We can see the previous fall has 5 waves within it forming wave of Zig-zag.
According to the rule, wave will go a minimum 23.6% and a maximum of 50%.
Anyone in the buying side in COCHIN SHIPYARD, should exit at these levels, as the price will fall again to form wave of Zig-zag.
Trend changes above 61.8% level.
This analysis is based on Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
This not buying recommendations. Please always do your research before you take any trade.
#Nifty directions and levels for November 28th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for November 28th.
Market Overview:
The global markets are maintaining a bullish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones only), and our local market is also exhibiting a moderately bullish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, based on the Nifty showing a positive 30 points.
"There were no significant changes in the previous session. Both Nifty and Bank Nifty remained in consolidation yesterday as well."
What about today?
We are still within a range, so until we break out of this range, we shouldn't expect a significant move. However, some bullish patterns are forming, such as the flag pattern, cup and handle, and a triangle breakout structure. These indicate that if the market breaks the range, it could lead to a solid movement. Conversely, on the downside, flat patterns are forming, suggesting that if the market declines, we can expect further range continuation. Let’s explain this on the chart.
Both Nifty and Bank Nifty are showing similar structural sentiment.
Current View:
The current view suggests that if the market declines, we can consider it a flat pattern, which means the range market will likely continue. Usually, flat patterns indicate a time correction, so even if the market declines, we can expect a pullback around the demand zone. This is our first variation.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that a bullish cup and handle pattern is forming. If the market breaks above the top of the range, we can expect a rally continuation. However, we should note the breakout structure: if it breaks the range with a solid candle, we can expect a rally with some minor consolidation. On the other hand, if it breaks the range gradually, it may not rise significantly.
#Banknifty directions and levels for November 28th.Current View:
The current view suggests that if the market declines, we can consider it a flat pattern, which means the range market will likely continue. Usually, flat patterns indicate a time correction, so even if the market declines, we can expect a pullback around the demand zone. This is our first variation.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that a bullish cup and handle pattern is forming. If the market breaks above the top of the range, we can expect a rally continuation. However, we should note the breakout structure: if it breaks the range with a solid candle, we can expect a rally with some minor consolidation. On the other hand, if it breaks the range gradually, it may not rise significantly.
Is correction over in MCX?In the 75-minute chart in MCX, we can see that flat correction is going to be finished.
This can be expected as the 0-B trend line breaks in less than half a time. (See that the lowest point from the trend line is formed in 25 candles, and the trend line is broken in 10 candles.)
This is the primary indication of the end of correction.
A risky buying opportunity exists at the current market price. The stop loss for this will be below the end of wave C, i.e., below the 5820 level.
This is not a buying recommendation.
Please always do your own research before you take any trade.
This analysis is based on Elliott wave theory and Fibonacci.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
#Nifty directions and levels for November 27th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for November 27th.
Market Overview:
The global markets are showing bullish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones only), and our local market has maintained a moderately bullish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, based on the Nifty showing a positive 40 points.
There have been no significant changes in the last session. In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty consolidated after the decline.
What about today?
If you look at the Nifty structure, there is consolidation after the long rally. Structurally, it may continue further until it breaks the consolidation range. If it breaks either to the upside or downside, we can follow that direction. This is the basic structure; let's look at it on the chart.
Nifty Current View:
Even if the market opens with a gap-up, it could decline initially. If this happens, the range market will continue between the previous high and the demand zone. In this case, if it breaks the demand solidly, then 24006 will act as strong support.
Alternate View:
The alternate scenario suggests that if the market sustains the gap-up and breaks the 24303 level, we can expect further pullback continuation to the 38% Fibonacci level. This is a major resistance. After the rally, if it rejects there, we can expect a minimum correction of 23% to 38% in the minor swing. On the other hand, if it sustains or breaks this level(38%), then the rally will likely continue.
#Banknifty directions and levels for November 27th.Bank Nifty Current View:
Bank Nifty has a similar sentiment to Nifty. If there is an initial market decline, we can expect range market continuation between the previous high and the downside demand zone.
Alternate View:
The alternate scenario suggests that if the market sustains the gap-up, it could reach 52680, which is a major resistance. After the rally, if it rejects there, we can expect a minimum correction of 23% to 38% in the minor swing. On the other hand, if it sustains or breaks this level(52680), then the rally will likely continue.
#Nifty directions and levels for November 26th.Good morning, friends. Sorry for the delay.
Structurally, there is a bullish market; however, the momentum is currently decreasing.
> What does this indicate? It suggests a slight consolidation between the immediate resistance and the downside demand zone. A solid rally will occur only if it breaks the immediate resistance with a potential breakout; otherwise, it won't rise significantly.
#Banknifty directions and levels for November 26th.Good morning, friends. Sorry for the delay.
Structurally, there is a bullish market; however, the momentum is currently decreasing.
> What does this indicate? It suggests a slight consolidation between the immediate resistance and the downside demand zone. A solid rally will occur only if it breaks the immediate resistance with a potential breakout; otherwise, it won't rise significantly.
Gold : The fundamental context and goals have both changedOANDA:XAUUSD The breakout of the local downtrend channel has disadvantaged sellers. The fundamental background is changing, despite continued USD buying and the prevailing risk-off environment, which overall favors gold as a safe-haven asset during times of crisis.
The stronger USD, supported by the ongoing "Trump trade" rally, and US bond yields have rebounded across various maturities.
Despite the optimism around the USD, gold prices remain resilient and benefit from escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine.
Therefore, gold prices are likely to continue their growth in the near term before today’s scheduled news (PMI)... However! Since this is pre-news before session closing, reactions may consolidate for sellers before further strengthening.
Technically, gold has every opportunity to retest the boundaries of the previously broken channel. However, based on fundamental news and technical factors, we can conclude that further growth may continue.
Prices are heading toward a liquidity zone, from which a correction may occur, followed by expected further strengthening in the near term. But in any case, I prioritize and consider buying upon a clear breakout of gold at 2686 - 2700, targeting the medium-term highs as outlined on the chart.
Classic Double Correction PatternThis is a classic example of Double correction (Double three) in HDFCLIFE.
Marked in the first box, we can see Flat Correction where wave B is retraced to the 81% level. We are fulfilling the minimum requirement (61.8%) of wave B. Here in wave C, we see three waves. This is the first hint of an upcoming complex correction. The whole wave is marked as W here.
In the second box, there is a perfect Zig-zag pattern. Wave B is retraced to 50% here. Also, we can see three waves in wave C, which gives us wave Y.
These two waves are connected by wave X which is retraced to 111%.
This is the best example of Double correction.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
This analysis is based on Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci analysis.
#Nifty directions and levels for November 22nd.Good Morning, Friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for November 22nd.
Market Overview:
The global markets are showing moderately bullish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones only), while our local market has maintained a bearish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, based on the Gifty Nifty showing a positive 100 points.
> In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty experienced a significant fall. However, Bank Nifty had a solid pullback, making the structural setups for both indices different.
What about today?
Looking at Nifty's structure, there is consolidation after a long correction. Usually, this type of structure indicates a trend continuation. On the other hand, Bank Nifty had a solid pullback, suggesting further upward momentum. The gap-up indication from SGX Nifty supports this view.
Thus, both charts are showing different directions. My personal opinion is:
> if the market declines initially, it might decline further, but the momentum will be reduced.
> Conversely, if the market sustains the gap-up, then we can expect a rally continuation, but only if it has a solid candle structure
Let me explain this further with the charts.
Nifty: Current View
As per the structure If the market declines initially, we can expect a correction. However, the best confirmation would come if it breaks yesterday's low with consolidation or a solid candle structure. If this happens, the next target could be a minimum of 23082.
Alternate View:
The alternate scenario suggests that if the market sustains the gap-up and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level with a solid breakout structure, we can expect further pullback continuation with some consolidation. On the other hand, if it breaks the 38% level with gradual movements, it could consolidate between the 50% Fibonacci level and the previous low.