Gold on the Move :2850 Next?Nothing has been changed to the outlook that I shared last time here in tradingview :
Looking at the daily chart of Gold, we can see that the price has been on a significant uptrend, the price has been consistently making higher highs and higher lows, which is a classic sign of a strong uptrend.
The previous All-Time High is now acting as strong support. This is crucial because it shows that the price has successfully retested and held above this level, which could act as a psychological and technical support zone for future price action.
This suggests that the market anticipates further upward movement, possibly due to momentum and investor sentiment.
Given the current trend, gold might continue its ascent towards the projected target. However, watch for any signs of exhaustion or significant pullbacks which could indicate a short-term correction or consolidation.
If the price breaks above the 2850 level convincingly, it could set a new higher base for gold, potentially leading to further gains. However, if there's a rejection at this level, we might see a pullback to the support zone around the previous ATH, which could then act as a buying opportunity if the overall trend remains intact.
overall ,
gold looks bullish in the short to mid-term with a clear target above 2850
F#forex
XAU#12: Blocking gold is burning? Experience when trading XAU🔥Yesterday we had a correction to 280x (slightly higher than the 279x analysis of analysis #11) which gave us a very nice buying position. Currently, the price is still continuing to conquer the next milestones. 🔥
💎 💎 💎 And here is the plan for FOREXCOM:XAUUSD : 💎 💎 💎
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊 The World Gold Center is Expanding, the shift of the gold market center from New York, London, Zurich to Dubai, Shanghai, Mumbai and Saudi Arabia.
🔴 Dubai now accounts for 25% of global gold trading, becoming the second largest market in the world. Demand for physical gold from emerging markets such as India, Turkey and China is increasing strongly because gold is considered a "stable currency".
📌 Morgan Stanley: No longer expecting the Fed to cut interest rates in March, expecting a rate cut in June
🚀 Although high interest rates and a strong USD often put pressure on gold, gold prices have remained stable, showing the sustainability of the uptrend. However, money flows from Western investors have not yet participated strongly in this price increase, although every slight adjustment is bought.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D Frame**: Yesterday's candle closed showing optimism about the prospect of OANDA:XAUUSD 's price increase.
🔹 **H4 Frame**: The bullish structure has not changed.
🔹 **H1 Frame**: We have new support zones but there is no sign of a correction. Gold's uptrend is sustainable
3️⃣ **Trading plan:**
⛔ As you can see, the importance of trading with the trend. There are quite a few accounts that have been burned by stubbornly holding on to losses waiting for gold to fall. However, this action will erode our trading psychology and accounts. In my personal experience, blocking gold to catch a falling knife or holding on to losses at this time always brings bad results. The advice for those who have lost or are still holding on to losses is that we should end our mistakes and rest to stabilize our psychology before planning the next transaction.
✅ If we have a good position, we can completely wait for a larger profit according to the current situation. In my personal experience, with the current long-term increase, we can only wait until Gold reaches round numbers like 2900 or 3000. Pay special attention to the 3000 mark because its value is equivalent to an important psychological barrier
💪🚀 **Wish you successful trading!**
📌 For any questions, please contact us directly. I am ready to answer you for free
Important Timeframes in MarketThe best time frame for intraday trading depends on your goals, experience, and the stock you're trading. For beginners, mid-day hours with 15-minute charts offer a safer environment, while experienced traders can take advantage of the high volatility during opening and closing hours.
The 3 5 7 rule is a risk management strategy in trading that emphasizes limiting risk on each individual trade to 3% of the trading capital, keeping overall exposure to 5% across all trades, and ensuring that winning trades yield at least 7% more profit than losing trades.
happy trading!!!
Option and Database TradingOption chain analysis is the process of evaluating the information provided in the option chain to identify potential trading opportunities. Traders use option chain analysis to evaluate the market's expectations of an asset's future price movements and make informed decisions about their investments.
The Option Chain is a table that contains the most critical information needed to purchase and sell options. We have previously discussed calls and puts, underlying prices, strike prices, expiration, and moneyness. The option chain is where all of this comes together (just like that map of the metro network).
Option Chain AnalysisOption chain analysis is the process of evaluating the information provided in the option chain to identify potential trading opportunities. Traders use option chain analysis to evaluate the market's expectations of an asset's future price movements and make informed decisions about their investments.
OI stands for Open Interest, which is the total number of outstanding option contracts that have not yet been settled. OI helps to gauge market trends and shows how many options contracts are still open. Higher open interest generally indicates higher liquidity and market activity for that contract.
Use Graphs and Charts: You can plot the option chain data on graphs and charts. It will help understand the trends associated with different components of the option chain. Technical and Fundamental Analysis: Investors must analyse technical factors (associated with price) to make informed decisions.
Option Chain AnalysisUnderstanding Option Chain Analysis
An option chain is a matrix consisting of all available contracts for investors. Option chains are available for individual stocks and market indices like NIFTY 50 and NIFTY 500. You can select a stock or a market index and find all available options through an option chain.
The 9.20 short straddle strategy involves selling a call and a put option at the same strike price at 9:20 AM in Indian markets, aiming to capitalize on time decay and volatility.
Database trading Part 5Database trading is a method of using data to make better decisions in the market. It involves using data analysis to improve profits and avoid costly mistakes
Algo trading, also known as algorithmic trading, is a method of executing orders by providing a predefined set of rules to a computer program. When the predefined conditions are met, orders are placed at a speed and frequency that is impossible for a human trader.
Line charts are one of the most commonly used charts in intraday trading. The line charts only display the closing price.
Advanced Level Pcr tradingThe Put-Call Ratio (PCR) is a popular technical indicator used by investors to assess market sentiment. It is calculated by dividing the volume or open interest of put options by call options over a specific time period. A higher PCR suggests bearish sentiment, while a lower PCR indicates bullish sentiment.
However, no PCR can be considered ideal, but usually, a PCR below 0.7 is typically viewed as a strong bullish sentiment while a PCR more than 1 is usually considered as a strong bearish sentiment.
If PCR is above 1, it would mean that more puts are being traded and since more puts are being traded by the retail traders (option buyers) this could mean that markets might do the opposite which is go up. Higher than 1 the PCR is, higher the chances of the market going up.
Why RSI is Important in Trading???The relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator that measures recent price changes as it moves between 0 and 100. The RSI provides short-term buy and sell signals and is used to track the overbought and oversold levels of an asset.
To use the RSI indicator, check if the value is above 70 to show an asset is overbought, or below 30 to show it is oversold. Traders can use these signals to find possible trading opportunities.
Successful trades often occur when the RSI crosses above 30 (indicating a buy signal) or below 70 (indicating a sell signal). Adjusting the RSI period to 9 can make it more sensitive to price changes and be suitable for more active trading strategies
Divergence Based TradingDivergence is when the asset price moves in the direction opposite to what a technical indicator indicates. When a stock is diverging, it signals weaker price trends and the beginning of a reversal. The two types of divergence are: Positive: A positive divergence is a sign of higher price movement in the asset.
Divergence signals tend to be more accurate on the longer time frames. You get fewer false signals. This means fewer trades but if you structure your trade well, then your profit potential can be huge. Divergences on shorter time frames will occur more frequently but are less reliable.
Divergences are a powerful trading concept and the trader who understands how to trade divergences in the right market context with the correct signals can create a robust method and effective way of looking at price.
Database Trading Part 4Database trading is a method of using data to make better decisions in the market. It involves using data analysis to improve profits and avoid costly mistakes.
Trading data is a sub-category of financial market data. It provides real-time information about stock and market prices as well as historical trends for assets such as equities, fixed-income products, currencies and derivatives.
A database is an electronically stored, systematic collection of data. It can contain any type of data, including words, numbers, images, videos, and files. You can use software called a database management system (DBMS) to store, retrieve, and edit data.
Database Trading Part 2Database trading is a method of using data to make better decisions in the market. It involves using data analysis to improve profits and avoid costly mistakes.
How does database trading work?
Data collection: Data is collected from various sources, such as stock exchanges, third-party financial data vendors, investment banks, and hedge funds
Data analysis: The data is analyzed to identify patterns and trends
Decision making: The data analysis is used to make decisions about trading, such as when to buy or sell
Execution: The decisions are executed by machines or humans
Benefits of database trading Helps improve profits, Helps avoid costly mistakes, and Helps navigate the markets.
Examples of trading strategies
Day trading
Involves making many trades in a single day to profit from short-term price changes
Algorithmic trading
Involves using computer programs to execute trades based on predefined rules
Event trading
Involves profiting from short-term price movements triggered by specific events
Position trading
Involves holding positions for an extended period to profit from price movements
Database Trading Part 1Database trading is a method of using data to make better decisions in the market. It involves using data analysis to improve profits and avoid costly mistakes.
How does database trading work?
Data collection: Data is collected from various sources, such as stock exchanges, third-party financial data vendors, investment banks, and hedge funds
Data analysis: The data is analyzed to identify patterns and trends
Decision making: The data analysis is used to make decisions about trading, such as when to buy or sell
Execution: The decisions are executed by machines or humans
Benefits of database trading Helps improve profits, Helps avoid costly mistakes, and Helps navigate the markets.
Examples of trading strategies
Day trading
Involves making many trades in a single day to profit from short-term price changes
Algorithmic trading
Involves using computer programs to execute trades based on predefined rules
Event trading
Involves profiting from short-term price movements triggered by specific events
Position trading
Involves holding positions for an extended period to profit from price movements
Database Trading Part 5Trading data is a sub-category of financial market data. It provides real-time information about stock and market prices as well as historical trends for assets such as equities, fixed-income products, currencies and derivatives.
How does database trading work?
Data collection: Data is collected from various sources, such as stock exchanges, third-party financial data vendors, investment banks, and hedge funds
Data analysis: The data is analyzed to identify patterns and trends
Decision making: The data analysis is used to make decisions about trading, such as when to buy or sell
Execution: The decisions are executed by machines or humans
Use of RSI in tradingThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a technical indicator that helps traders assess the momentum of an asset's price. It's used to identify overbought and oversold market conditions, and to provide buy and sell signals
How to use RSI
Identify overbought and oversold conditions
RSI values above 70 indicate overbought conditions, while values below 30 indicate oversold conditions.
Confirm trends
Use the RSI to validate trends and trend reversals. For example, a downward trend is confirmed when the RSI crosses from above 50 to below 50.
Provide buy and sell signals
Use the RSI to determine when to enter and exit positions. For example, low RSI levels indicate oversold conditions, which may generate a potential buy signal.
Combine with other indicators
Use the RSI with other technical indicators to identify market trends and confirm signals. For example, you can combine RSI with moving averages to identify strong assets in uptrends
Macd divergenceThe indicator is calculated by subtracting a 26-period Exponential Moving Average from the 12-period moving average. There is also a histogram available on the indicator which can also be used as a divergence indicator. As a result, you will then see the MACD line, which shows as an indicator below the price chart.
For daily charts, many traders find the default MACD settings (12, 26, 9) to be very effective. This timeframe captures the broader market trends and helps filter out market noise. Combine MACD with other indicators like RSI or Bollinger Bands when analyzing a 1-day chart for a more comprehensive market view
option-chain pcrA PCR above 0.7 or 1 reflects increased put option purchases, indicating bearish sentiment as investors hedge against potential sell-offs or speculate on falling prices. A PCR below 0.7, especially closer to 0.5, signals bullish sentiment, suggesting optimism for market gains.
No PCR is considered ideal, but a PCR below 0.7 is typically viewed as a strong bullish sentiment while a PCR above 1 is typically viewed as a strong bearish sentiment.
option chain analysisTo study an option chain, focus on the current market price, displayed in the centre. Analyse the built-up data to understand market direction based on recent changes in open interest and price. ITM call options are typically highlighted in yellow, making it easier to distinguish them from other options.
Nifty option chain is considered to be the best advance warning system of sharp moves or break outs in the index.
momentum tradingMomentum trading is a strategy that aims to capitalize on the continuance of existing trends in the market. Momentum traders usually buy or sell an asset moving intensely in one direction and exiting when this movement shows signs of reversing. They also seek to avoid buying or selling assets that are moving sideways
While it can be a profitable strategy when executed correctly, it's important to manage risk and be aware of the potential downsides. What is the concept of momentum trading? Momentum trading is an investment strategy that involves buying assets that are trending upward and selling those that are trending downward
RSI basic to advanceAn RSI divergence occurs when the indicator and price begin to reach different levels, indicating a change in momentum that precedes a change in price direction. For example, a bullish divergence occurs when the security makes a lower low but the indicator forms a higher low.
Low RSI levels, typically below 30 (red line), indicate oversold conditions—generating a potential buy signal. Conversely, high RSI levels, typically above 70 (green line), indicate overbought conditions—generating a potential sell signal
BTC#11: Will BTC rise or fall?. Market structure perspective
💎 💎 💎 Did you make a profit in post #10? Please share and comment your thoughts 💎 💎 💎
🔥After the Monday morning dump, we witnessed an amazing recovery of BINANCE:BTCUSD . Market sentiment has improved significantly. We continue to plan for BINANCE:BTCUSDT as follows:🔥
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊Data: Stablecoin on-chain trading volume decreased by 10.5% in January and legal CEX spot trading volume decreased by 18.2%
🔴According to Bybit CEO Ben Zhou, the total value of actual crypto liquidations is higher than $2 billion, he estimates this figure at around $8-10 billion.
🚀Donald Trump signed an executive order to establish a US national investment fund.
📌 In general, market liquidity is falling sharply, the loss after the recent correction has brought a cautious mentality to the majority of investors in the cryptocurrency market.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D Frame**: Yesterday's D candle marked the amazing recovery of BTC. Currently, the price structure of frame D is still maintained as an increasing price structure.
🔹 **H4 Frame**: Gives us a different perspective. Although BTC has recovered, the price structure of frame H4 has not been broken. We will have to wait a while before seeing a more positive signal
🔹 **H1 Frame**: As you can see, BTC is still running in the downtrend channel. The KEY 977xx zone will play an important role in predicting the next direction
3️⃣ **Trading plan:**
⛔At the present time. Although the D candle is a positive sign, in the smaller time frame we still do not have a price structure confirming the recovery of the main trend. Whether placing a BUY or SELL order in this area is very dangerous because there is no confirmed price structure. You should wait to get the best trading position
✅ Based on my personal experience, I will wait for the price reaction in this 97K area. If a supportive price structure appears, we can have a good position following the main trend in the D frame.
💪 **Wish you successful trading!**
📌 For any questions, please contact us directly. I am ready to answer you for free